“Decisions are of considerate importance in practically every aspect of life...and make the difference to the level of success we achieve.”
I remember when I was in university, if I stayed up too late, and by too late I mean so late that it was early, I would turn on the t.v. and watch reruns of the sitcom Cheers. The main character of Cheers was a womanizing ex-baseball player who possessed a little black book. Inside his little black book were the answers to all his problems, which were the phone numbers of countless women with loose morals.
For us, living in a complex world where our problems require skill, attention, and resolve, the little black book we need is the Little Black Book of Decision Making - Making Complex Decisions With Confidence in a Fast Moving World, by Michael Nicholas.
“Our decision making ability determines the size and type of the problem we can solve and is therefore related to how far we can progress… how much we will thrive.”
Nicholas believes we need to look at the way we make the decisions that shape our lives under a new light. He postulates that in an era of rapid acceleration, incomparable amounts of data and information and unfathomable complexity we are ill equipped to make successful decisions the way we used to. That rational planning models are outdated and that our conscious minds are too overwhelmed to manage and synthesize all the information at our disposal effectively.
“The more knowledge you have, the better prepared for a new experience you will be.”
Through many examples Nicholas shows how we have moved from having to solve relatively simple problems to complicated problems and now complex problems within a generation. This shift has outpaced our cognitive evolution and has taken us beyond the limits of conscious processing power. A new mindset is what we need to solve complex problems, and that requires harnessing the power of our subconscious minds vastly more powerful processing ability.
This is not a book supporting ‘blink’ decisions, but an extension of Gary Klein's 'naturalistic’ decision-making processes. That we can use our intuition to process information and inform our choices with the greater speed required to thrive in the modern world. But that requires a level of awareness and precision that must be developed from the inside out. That we have to construct the intuitive mechanism in a way that is reliable and highly functioning, and that this takes practice and focus. But you have it in you to develop these decision-making skills through attention, adaptation and creativity. It is up to you to decide if it is worth it.
Overall Score: 3.6 / 5
In a Sentence: If you want to make better decisions in the new world, you need to think about decision making in a new way.