I was fascinated by Stuart Goldman’s exposition and analysis of the Nomonhan battles in 1939 between the Soviet Union and Japan, and its implication for the alignments and confrontations that evolved in World War II. Particularly enlightening, for me, was the author’s examination of Nomonhan as an example of limited war which pitted a politically oriented decision maker with limited but flexible strategic goals (Stalin) and military oriented decision makers (Kwantung Army) narrowly focused on total victory. In this book, the author shows Stalin to have been a master manipulator of people and events by positioning itself as a potential ally to both Germany and the western democracies, while at the same time creating a wedge between Germany and its ally Japan in order to escape the trap of facing enemies on two fronts.
Certainly the limited war between the Soviet Union and Japan in 1939 was different in many ways from limited wars in which the United States later became involved. In the case of the Soviet Union, Stalin was able to carry out his strategy, because he had purged the military leadership and internal opposition was nonexistent. His decisions proved prophetic, but it could have proved fatal to his regime had Japan not elected to attack the United States, or if Hitler had not made some strategic blunders. In the case of Japan, at the time of the Nomonhan battles, the military had not yet gained total ascendancy over the civilian side of government, and following their defeats at Nomonhan, the military turned its attention to the South. By the time Japan made the decision to attack the United States, military men occupied major civilian seats of government and political concerns gave way to military objectives aimed at the U.S. and ultimately brought total defeat. As for Germany, Hitler, like Stalin, controlled both the political and military elements of the nation, but he became obsessed with a military solution, and ignored political considerations. Like Napoleon, he overextended his military, and was crushed.
I can’t help but compare the Nomonhan limited war with the wars the United States has been involved with since 1950. They’ve all been termed limited wars—the Korean War, Vietnam War, 1990 Gulf War, War in Afghanistan, War in Iraq. In each case, American presidents have been faced with competing domestic pressures from political parties, news media, interest groups, the military establishment, and the public at large as to proper courses of action with regard to international conflicts—pressures Stalin wasn’t confronted with since he killed anyone who could potentially oppose him. In each of the above cases, the U.S. president made a decision to go to war with limited objectives, but once in, faced tremendous pressure to expand the limited objectives or continue the war if the objectives could not be achieved as originally intended. George H. W. Bush was probably most successful in achieving his limited war objectives in the 1990 Gulf War, but he was still under pressure to invade Iraq and eliminate Saddam Hussein. He resisted that pressure, but he failed to win reelection. Harry Truman resisted pressure to extend the limited war in Korea, facing pressure from Douglas MacArthur and others. Truman held his position to end the war with a negotiated armistice, but he also gave up a chance to run for another term of office. The Vietnam War affected the political lives of three presidents. Lyndon Johnson decided not to run for a second full term because of the pressures of the war. Richard Nixon promised in 1968 that he had a plan to end the war, but the war went on, and when he resigned under threat of impeachment in 1974, the war was still going on. It was left for Gerald Ford to oversee the end of America’s military involvement in Vietnam, and Ford failed to win election 1978. George H. Bush involved the U.S. in two limited wars in Iraq and Afghanistan simultaneously. He survived two terms in office, but has been castigated for involving the U.S. in unending conflicts and leaving them to subsequent presidents to deal with. Now, after twenty years of limited warfare in Afghanistan, both Presidents Trump and Biden stated their intent to end the Afghanistan war. Trump made an agreement with Taliban to withdraw and now Biden has effected the withdrawal. There are recriminations and complaints that it is against military recommendations to continue the war efforts longer—for what purpose is unclear. Nevertheless, the U.S. military, as it has in the past and in accordance with its constitutional role, has accepted the political decision that it’s time to end it. It’s important to note that since World War II, the world has avoided a new world war because the major military powers, United States, Soviet Union/Russia, and China have, been governed by political decision makers who valued political considerations of systemic survival over total military victory. For that reason, the world has avoided, so far, World War III. Perhaps the limited war lessons of Nomonhan 1939 have been heeded, after all.