The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles: How to Take Advantage of Time-Proven Market Patterns

by Jeffrey A. Hirsch, Douglas A. Kass (Foreword)

Jeffrey Hirsch discusses how to capture market-beating returns by following specific stock market cycles While predicting the direction of the stock market at any given point is difficult, it's a fact that the market exhibits well-defined and sometimes predictable patterns. While cycles do not repeat exactly all of the time, statistical evidence suggests that cyclical tendencies are very strong and should not be ignored by investors. The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles will show you how to profit from these recurring stock market patterns and cycles. Written by Jeffrey Hirsch, President of the Hirsch Organization and Editor-in-Chief of the Stock Trader's Almanac , this reliable resource explains why these cycles occur, provides the historical evidence behind them, and shows you how to capture consistent profits from them moving forward. In addition to describing his most widely followed cycles and patters, Hirsch also discusses both longer term boom-bust economic cycles and shorter term tendencies involving the best days, weeks, and months of the year to trade the market. For investors looking to beat the buy-and-hold philosophy, The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles will provide simple, actionable ideas that have stood the test of time and consistently outperformed the market.

Genres: Finance, Economics, Business, Audiobook

240 pages, Hardcover

First published July 3, 2012

Reviews

[#AskMissPatience · Rating 5 out of 5]

What I like most about Jeffrey A. Hirsch’s The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles is how comprehensive the content is toward a better relationship with understanding the stock market. Whether an investor or curious, this book ought to be educational for most average investors.

This book is probably not going to appeal to a learned scholar on stock market history or dynamics.

But, for the rest of America I'd highly recommend reading this more than once.

Borrowed from the library on the Overdrive app audio version. Within a short time ordered a copy on Amazon because I'm genuinely interested to a deeper comprehension including new insights on how the market flows.

The historionics for me are incredible. In all my years of studying, researching, attending classes and being an investment family with a Wall Street broker spouse did not know many of these nuances.

This reminds me of how I learned way more about the Supreme Court after reading Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s My Own Words. Through her story and experiences of sharing cases I learned so much for why and how this community of judge's define the law and cases.

The result, prior too with the nomination of Amy Coney Barrett to following the 2020 election and the court not taking two presidential election challenges understood the process which gave me tremendous peace of the outcomes. Whether in agreement or not could understand why many people totally didn't relate to the whys of any of the final outcomes.

This book felt similarly. As a result of the authors life and his demonstrating the reasons feel way more savvy an content with the mystery of the market as I use to struggle with it no matter how hard I tried to understand. Nothing beats experience.

The author grew up in a home where his father was closely connected with stocks and Jeffrey follows suit. Eventually making him an expert.

The stats to quality points of view are shown proven over the history of the market.

I've heard a lot of people criticize investors or the market or ’rich people’. What I enjoy very much about this book is it's ability to demystify all that stuff once unapproachable by the average American. Which this book points out.

My son, now 28, and I talked the other day about our investing history. He reminded me why we didn't begin sooner. Although he started as soon as he began working after years of taking him to investment seminars at reading countless books beginning in elementary school.

By the time Bitcoin was released my IT guru son began mining while attending Junior College for his IT degree.

As a boy, there were days I’d be laid off and we food stamps where the option if I wanted to feed my son while looking for another position. Despite this we studied how to be investors, entrepreneurs, and waited patiently for our time.

Now, he’s using all the knowledge we studied as he grew up. At 28 he's been learning to invest for two decades. At least 15 of these years includes learning from and studying with experienced people. Whether in person or through books.

My point is on taking knowledge for understanding toward wisdom creating insight for choices.

This book is NOT an easy read. Especially for anyone unfamiliar with the market terms, history, and more. This was previously by design. The wealthy gave no doorways for easy starts.

Now, for as little as a dollar with no fees you and anyone can become an investor. Including receiving timely data, articles, insights using apps like RobinHood.

Have you heard of ”Fractional” shares? These are changing how common hard working Americans can dip their tow and grow grow grow.

Have you heard of Malcom Gladwell’s Outliers: the story of success?

The gist of his book lays on how to become an expert. The summary, invest 10,000 hours in what you wish to become beyond proficient and be your best case scenario of brilliance.

It's time you become a brilliant investor today. How? As Stephen Covey says, ”Begin with the End in Mind”.

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Basically, The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles is chock full of hearty details. Some I knew and some I didn’t. It’s still viable as the future it shares about projects into 2025. While providing ebb and flow proof of ways to decipher the system once so far from the majority of people it wasn’t worth exploring for most people. Those are now at a disadvantage believing why study when I can not invest.

If this was you, this book can help you catch up.

Borrow for free from the library and flip the cash savings from purchase with new stocks or grab a copy of the book on Amazon and study the heck outta it. This is my choice.

Being a good communicator of ideas is important to my emerging Ask Miss Patience view. For me, “Empowering Happiness Through Literacy” includes not just being a proficient reader. But the literacy of knowledge. Knowing creates understanding for wisdom into insight for making choices.

No matter what your economic background taking a free stock costs zero. And, unlocks pure potentiality through educating yourself with the basic tools provided by the app.

Then, your beginning to intermediate knowledge can zip to current insider content. Before you know it you’ll be adding a dollar here and there.

And, if you’re a quick study would grab extra in certain stock because you’ll know the growth it’s facing can average 1000 plus % in five years.

Take your time with other stocks that inch solid returns over time of a safer 8% to 12%.

Regardless of which you decide, the key is investing what you can afford to lose and teaching yourself how to win at investing.

Overall for me and my audience this book gets ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️💯.

For its content-rich history, defining of terms, proven research, and overall design to demystify the stock market for anyone to benefit.

[George Florin · Rating 2 out of 5]

Really it's just a banter about how the United States has the best economy in the world and how certain events cause certain ups and downs in the stock market. Unfortunately, it's not backed up by any regression models or any other measure that might show the actual and potential impact of certain events. It is just a few graphs here and there and some percentages thrown all over the place without any causality or even correlation. Not worth the time.

[Bo · Rating 4 out of 5]

An interesting and insightful book. It illustrates market cycles across multiple timeframes—ranging from long-term war-and-peace cycles of over a decade, to the familiar 4-year election cycle, all the way down to seasonal, monthly, weekly, and even intraday half-hour patterns.

[Mandi · Rating 3 out of 5]

This is probably not the best book to jump into stock markets with if you don't have much experience. There is a lot of terminology that isn't explained because it assumes you have a basic foundation, which I didn't. However, the cycles were very interesting, but quite a lot to remember. I think this would serve better as a book you own farther than a book you borrow; so it can be referenced as needed.

[Chris Popso · Rating 3 out of 5]

My opinion- not worth the entire read. The main concepts that show any real help navigating markets from this book were long term sideway markets and average returns on certain dates around political party dynamics (i.e., Republican Senate/Democrat President).

This led to some consideration around secular investing, but overall too many factoids and dripple on certain days to invests and calendar trend statistics.

[Scott Updegraff · Rating 4 out of 5]

Solid. Only rated 4 stars due to it being decade-old data. Jeffrey Hirsch is the son of Yale Hirsch, the originator of the Stock Trader's Almanac. This book was exactly what I was looking for in an INTRODUCTORY approach to learning historical data & trends. Hirsch emphasizes that some trends stay, some die, and some change, but the reader will get ideas as to where to place starting points in backtesting historical data - and then one MUST do one's own homework.

[Maher Bhasvar · Rating 4 out of 5]

This book is really numbers' book. The author uses various past data points and compares across various instances such as election (pre-election, post-election, mid-year), wars, holidays, festivals, days like from monday to friday, how the stock market have behaved in the past, very useful book, if you are a trader or investor

[Phil · Rating 4 out of 5]

Excellent work, but much less timely due to being written in 2012. Still, it contained much information that I will be actively using when planing out investments. The chapter on the four year political cycle and how it relates to stock market movements was particularly helpful as of this election year (2020). I plan on referring back to this book quite often.

[Mudpie · Rating 3 out of 5]

This book covers useful stuff that is true, factual and practical. There is a lot of historical events mentioned and compared across a wide timeframe. I would read it again another time. I borrowed the audio version from the library. The reader was good but at times I did stray off and fall asleep.

[Alex Hui · Rating 5 out of 5]

The book provides many insightful and sound advices on stock market cycle derived from historical data. This historical approach, combined with technical analysis, should provide investors a solid reference on stock/fund trading.

[kay b · Rating 5 out of 5]

this guy predicted 38K Dow Jones by 2025 in 2010.
It’s already 40 K plus . He even predicted the 2022 bear market.

I rarely purchase physical copies, but this is one book, I’m going to buy and keep it in my book shelf

[Ashish Vyas · Rating 4 out of 5]

Very interesting and thorough analysis of the cyclic nature of markets and common trends for market cycles

[John · Rating 4 out of 5]

Short book and concise book on the US stock market cycles it is a must read for traders

[Kyle D · Rating 2 out of 5]

Too US focused. In summary buy Nov- Feb or 4 months either side. A bear market could occur 15 days either side of a full moon.

[Todd · Rating 2 out of 5]

Minutia for traders. Little that is actionable.

[JP · Rating 4 out of 5]

Of the trading and marketing timing books I've read recently, this one is the most straightforward, the most practical, and the least promissory. It's clear the Hirsch's have been watching the market and applying a consistent approach for a long time. I especially like that they explain why cyclical trends break down sometimes, such as the case with August no longer being a rally month driven by crop harvesting. The book explains some important dynamics to consider without claiming to have found a fool-proof system.

[Juan · Rating 3 out of 5]

Es interezante leer sobre la historia de los mercados bursátiles, porque esa historia se repite una y otra vez. este libro narra precisamente los ciclos que viven los mercados bursátiles. a manera de mantenernos atentos a lo que pueda ocurrir en el futuro y que no nos tome desprevenidos. buen material de referencia.

[Kelly · Rating 1 out of 5]

Not worth the money or the time spent on reading this self-promoting, confusing, and unhelpful piece of garbage.

[Alex · Rating 4 out of 5]

Quick way to learn about the common cycles of the stock market.