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Baseball Prospectus 2012
it is an alternate cover edition: ISBN 9780470622070
the original entry has no cover photo
the original entry has no cover photo
546 pages, Paperback
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Displaying 1 - 6 of 6 reviews
April 8, 2012
At the outset of each baseball season, I like to pick up several volumes--the Bill James annual work and this volume, among others. And the 2012 edition does not disappoint.
The purpose of this book (Page ix): "Baseball Prospectus 2012, like its predecessors, is an attempt to make sense of the chaos, not just the sometimes tragic chaos of those cold months, but also the wonderful bedlam that makes up any baseball season any summer, and more importantly, what it means for the coming season and beyond." This work begins with a discussion of statistics--both on offense and defense and pitching. On offense, the "True Average" is a key metric. Note that a TAv of .260 is average, .300 exceptional, and .200 awful (TAv is a conglomerate measure including power, walking, striking out, and making "productive outs"). Then, there is PECOTA--projections for the coming season.
Let's take a look at the Chicago Cubs. Their best offensive player, by the PECOTA score, should be Geovany Soto. The Chicago White Sox? Paul Konerko has the highest projected true average--.297. One element in the player descriptions is the analogous players to the one named. Konerko's doppelgangers? Stan Musial, Kevin Mitchell, and Rafael Palmeiro. Not bad company! The most intriguing projection? Adam Dunn, after a disastrous 2011 season, is projected to have a TAv of .292. We shall see! And we see projections and actual records on a team by team basis, from the Arizona Diamondbacks to the Washington Nationals.
Other features--the top 101 prospects for the major leagues (Matt Moore, pitcher for the Rays) comes in as the number 1 prospect; the PECOTA leaderboard.
Another baseball season has begun! And this work helps make that a little bit more enjoyable.
The purpose of this book (Page ix): "Baseball Prospectus 2012, like its predecessors, is an attempt to make sense of the chaos, not just the sometimes tragic chaos of those cold months, but also the wonderful bedlam that makes up any baseball season any summer, and more importantly, what it means for the coming season and beyond." This work begins with a discussion of statistics--both on offense and defense and pitching. On offense, the "True Average" is a key metric. Note that a TAv of .260 is average, .300 exceptional, and .200 awful (TAv is a conglomerate measure including power, walking, striking out, and making "productive outs"). Then, there is PECOTA--projections for the coming season.
Let's take a look at the Chicago Cubs. Their best offensive player, by the PECOTA score, should be Geovany Soto. The Chicago White Sox? Paul Konerko has the highest projected true average--.297. One element in the player descriptions is the analogous players to the one named. Konerko's doppelgangers? Stan Musial, Kevin Mitchell, and Rafael Palmeiro. Not bad company! The most intriguing projection? Adam Dunn, after a disastrous 2011 season, is projected to have a TAv of .292. We shall see! And we see projections and actual records on a team by team basis, from the Arizona Diamondbacks to the Washington Nationals.
Other features--the top 101 prospects for the major leagues (Matt Moore, pitcher for the Rays) comes in as the number 1 prospect; the PECOTA leaderboard.
Another baseball season has begun! And this work helps make that a little bit more enjoyable.
March 10, 2012
Your basic baseball stat-head primer for the upcoming season. Among the NL nuggets: BP expects the Cardinals to be roughly as good as they were last year, is positive the Nationals got fleeced in the Gio Gonzalez trade, and would give the Astros about a 27.3% chance of having a .500 season in the Midwest League.
April 14, 2012
Look out, fantasy baseball leagues, I'm coming to dominate you!
March 26, 2012
Reading the Baseball Prospectus Annual from cover to cover is my annual spring training/fantasy baseball prep tradition. This year was no exception.
April 25, 2012
Part of my yearly required reading, not as many interesting essays as in previous years.
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May 30, 2012Next year I need to get back into a fantasy baseball league.
Displaying 1 - 6 of 6 reviews