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Hubris: How HBOS Wrecked the Best Bank in Britain

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Based on documents and dozens of interviews with insiders, this account follows the Bank of Scotland’s journey from being the bank of choice for the high-rolling Monte Carlo megarich to losing 10 billion pounds. In 1995, the Bank of Scotland celebrated 300 years as Britain’s oldest commercial bank; it was lauded as the “most admired bank,” respected by competitors, applauded by investors, and trusted by customers. Less than 15 years later—reviled as part of the spectacular collapse of HBOS, the conglomerate it had joined—the Bank of Scotland became one of the high-profile victims of the credit crunch and its spectacular fall caused seismic shock waves throughout the financial world. In this complex world of modern global finance, this is book serves as a cautionary tale.

256 pages, Hardcover

First published October 1, 2012

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About the author

Ray Perman

9 books4 followers
Ray Perman, a writer and journalist for 30 years, was chair of the James Hutton Institute and is a fellow of the Royal Society of Edinburgh, of which Hutton was a founder member. His previous books include The Rise and Fall of the City of MoneyThe Man Who Gave Away His Island.

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Displaying 1 - 13 of 13 reviews
46 reviews1 follower
May 26, 2017
Enjoyable and also useful from a learning perspective which was a pleasant surprise.
Profile Image for Kirk Houghton.
Author 2 books3 followers
September 3, 2016
The people behind the merger of Bank of Scotland and Halifax in 2001 are villains today, but at least they had the foresight not to call the new behemoth BOSH. A lending institution with that name would be remembered more widely, yet HBOS is the forgotten bank of the 2008 credit crunch. It entered into a shotgun marriage with Lloyds TSB and landed its rescuer with write downs of £18 billion within the space of months. The subsequent outrage settled on Lloyds rather than its newest acquisition, while RBS and Northern Rock came to symbolise the excesses and criminal irresponsibility of the UK banking sector.

Eight years on, it’s worth recalling just how close the Halifax and Bank of Scotland came to bringing down the British economy. Few public companies suffered more after Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy on Monday 15th September 2008. Indeed, the HBOS share price tanked by 17.5 percent within hours and at one point suffered a staggering collapse of 56 percent. No wonder 72,000 staff, 22 million customers and 1.2 million investors wondered if their money would be safe. Depositors withdrew an estimated £30 billion from the bank in two weeks. How could this happen to a financial institution that held less than 1 percent of its assets in US sub-prime securities and had no presence in the investment banking world?

Ray Perman, a former journalist at the Financial Times, gives us the answer in his expert analysis of banking fundamentals. HBOS simply outgrew its liabilities in search of more assets until by 2007 it could fund only 50 percent of its new lending with customer deposits. This left it exposed, like Northern Rock, to a downturn in the inter-bank lending market once it became clear write downs on sub-prime securities had spread to other assets. The £82 billion of mortgages HBOS securitised and passed on to other investors in the period 2001 to 2007 came back to haunt them. Though the losses were not on their balance sheet, it caused the wider credit markets to seize up and threatened their day-to-day funding operations.

These should have been the conditions for a classic bank run, but the Bank of England’s £20 billion loan in September 2008 remained a secret and spared HBOS the ignominy of Northern Rock’s experience of people queuing outside the branches to get their money out. Nevertheless, the bank faced £164 billion in maturing loans to rollover on the wholesale markets in the next twelve months. How could it repay these without cutting its own lending operations? Only 9 percent of shareholders took up the bank’s rights issue of £4 billion in July 2008 – investors would be foolish to commit anymore equity after the fallout from Lehman.

Perman also highlights the bank’s exposure to Grampian Funding, an arbitrage investment operation fully owned by HBOS, which held assets up to the value of $36 billion. Investors were happy to buy Grampian’s Asset Backed Commercial Paper (ABCP) at low rates of interest because they knew it could rely on HBOS’s retail deposits if it ran into trouble. Grampian’s appetite for high yields paid for by short-term borrowing saw it accumulate $30 billion worth of Triple A and Alt-A securities in the US secondary markets. At first the transformation between borrowing at low rates and investing in assets with higher yields of interest worked wonders and rewarded the fund with hundreds of millions in profit. But this soon came to an end when inter-bank lending rates shot up in 2007. The higher cost of issuing ABCP left Grampian facing the double nightmare of increased funding costs and falling profits. Indeed, HBOS’s exposure to Grampian is one of the reasons it ended up seeing its spreads in the borrowing markets increase five-fold between June and September 2007.

Of course, no bank goes to the wall without reckless lending and outlandish risk-taking. Halifax is now infamous for extending mortgages to home-buyers at a multiple of five times the borrower’s salary. It was also happy to compete with Northern Rock’s aggressive lending expansion by issuing 125 percent mortgages. This led to the inevitable fall in lending standards associated with the stupidity of this period as banks turned a blind eye to a person’s ability to repay. Everything was sacrificed on the altar of growing the loan book and flattering returns on equity.

The Corporate Banking Division was even more of a basket case. It seems any company or individual involved in the commercial property or construction industry qualified for a loan as late as 2008 when the UK housing market already showed signs of overheating. A third of all lending – up from £35 billion in 2001 to £109 billion in 2007 – went to the property sector and brought the Corporate Banking Division record profits of £2.3 billion at the zenith of the property boom. The fall was just as impressive: a HBOS investment in Retirement Homes Builder, McCarthy & Stone, resulted in a write-down of £1.1 billion on a single asset in 2009, one of the biggest losses of all time in the history of commercial lending.

The fact this happened on the watch of Lord Stevenson, Sir James Crosby and Andy Hornby – all three from the Halifax camp – gives the author an easy opportunity to present this as an English stitch-up that corrupted Scotland’s oldest bank with a heritage stretching back to Europe’s Enlightenment. Perman is at pains to eulogise about the Presbyterian culture at the Bank of Scotland and how it once represented the virtues of prudence and cautious lending that characterise sound finance. On occasions this sounds like a bizarre wish for a return to the days when bankers followed the 3-6-3 rule (borrow at 3 percent; lend at 6 percent; golf course at 3pm) and could look forward to a job for life as respectable citizens of their local communities. Then came the 1980s when Thatcher’s Government abolished exchange controls, allowed building societies to offer cheque accounts and stockbroking services, and gave the go ahead for banks to buy up all manner of insurance companies and brokerages once off limit.

Perman’s hero is Sir Bruce Patullo, appointed Treasurer (CEO) of the Bank of Scotland at age 41 in 1980. This is the man who launched the first electronic banking system in the UK and had the lowest cost-to-income ratio of the era. Only Lloyds had a better record of Return on Equity in the period 1975-1985 and his penultimate year at the helm in 1997 saw him lead the best performing company in the FTSE 100 with the share price rising by an incredible 85 percent.

However, Patullo is also the man who presided over the bank’s continuing reliance on the wholesale lending markets in its quest for relentless growth. The deposit base covered 90 percent of all lending in 1978; this was down to 50 percent by 1985. Perman doesn’t dwell on this long enough to offer criticism, but appears to blame UK savers for the bank’s reliance on the wholesale market. Yes, UK household savings ratios fell from 12 percent in 1995 to 6 percent by 2000. But surely the banks were partly responsible for this trend? Perhaps Patullo was a victim of his own success. McKinsey’s findings presented the dilemma in 1996/97 – the Bank would need to rely more on the wholesale lending market if it wanted to grow at its current pace; this would make it a takeover target. Alternatively, a deliberate slow-down would hurt the share price and put them in play. Bank of Scotland needed a new deposit base and an acquisition to restore its stability.

Though only a sideshow to later events Perman’s summary of Bank of Scotland’s epic battle with RBS for the acquisition of Nat West in 2000 is one of the most exciting chapters of the book and lays bare the reality – Bank of Scotland needed Halifax after the defeat to its arch rival for one of England’s major prizes. There’s no reason why anybody would have seen the Halifax tie-up as a bad merger when one considers that the former building society ‘had deposits coming out of its ears.’

A brief history of Halifax as a Building Society founded in 1853 to its eventual demutualisation into a publically traded bank in 1997 is the one thing missing from this book. The result is an imbalanced assessment of HBOS’s failings and a one-sided portrayal of Halifax as the iconoclast responsible for wrecking Britain’s oldest commercial bank.

Yet Bank of Scotland had long introduced a sales approach at branch level and once boasted how it would give Nat West a dose of upselling targets if successful in its acquisition. The culture at the two banks was not too dissimilar in 2001; Andy Hornby had no problem introducing sales targets learned from his time in the supermarket sector. In reality, Bank of Scotland was well on the way to pushing loans and credit cards on risky customers before it merged with its English counterpart. And let’s not forget Peter Cummings, a Bank of Scotland lifer, ran the Corporate Banking Division that came close to bankrupting Lloyds in 2009 when the full scale of losses at HBOS became known.

To be fair, the author is not ignorant of these minor criticisms and the title of the book gives an indication of which side he’s on in the fall of HBOS. The 243 pages are easy to surmount and written with a level of confidence that matches the author’s talent for articulation. Few books are as good at explaining the rationale behind securitisation as this one; in this case with a summary of the $55 million bond issued by David Bowie in 1997 and bought by the Prudential Insurance Company in the US. This guaranteed investors a steady stream of future royalties from all his hit singles, and Bowie was able to use the proceeds to buy back ownership of his back catalogue from a former manager. Like the Anthropologist and Financial Times journalist, Gillan Tett, Perman has a gift for explaining complex financial products to a wider audience. All readers will come away from this study with an expanded knowledge base.

Ivan Fallon, Iain Martin and Ian Fraser have all published magisterial accounts of the crisis that engulfed Britain’s top banks in 2008/09. Perman’s book is worthy of such company and will stand as the definitive account of HBOS during this critical time in Britain’s recent history. The Bank of Scotland is a classic example of how break-neck growth became unsustainable in the long run without a drastic change, in this case a merger with a solid English institution. But would things have been any different if they, and not RBS, had acquired Nat West in 2000? The evidence suggests the author is all too aware of the dilemma that forces many public companies to pursue increased shareholder value while taking on more risk.

Maybe the Bank of Scotland is not as innocent as we are led to believe.
Profile Image for Demi Ogunwusi.
34 reviews
May 24, 2025
I cannot say I'd read another Ray Perman book after reading this. The foreword by the late Alistair Darling was the highlight of an otherwise dry recount of British banking history. Perman has researched well and chosen an engaging topic but for sheer reading pleasure, I would point budding readers elsewhere.
Profile Image for Mark.
308 reviews3 followers
November 1, 2020
A tough read, I gave 10 years of my working life to the "Best Bank" from 1998-98.

The starting chapters captured the organisation's culture, behaviours and echoed my experiences; starting as an office junior, progressing through the ranks with training and completing the Bank Exams. In those days trust in banks was high, the bank manager was deemed responsible enough by the government to sign off a passport photo or gun licence. Based in the community they worked encouraged a sensible approach to the local community's economy with restrained positivity.

A quote from the Bank's head during the tercentenary year of 1995 says it all (p51), "Mistakes are more likely to occur in corporate life, especially in a bank, where one individual is anxious to achieve too much in too short a space of time. There is no substitute for good old-fashioned common sense."

The author explains the financial instruments, legislation and consequences from the Bank's switch from offering services to products very well. It was often commented by friends and family who remained in the Bank when I left about the commission/target-based approach and how challenging it was and competed with their highly trained skills to meet customer's needs. There are some examples of unethical selling contained in the book for personal banking and the PPI scandal of the past 10 years wasn't even mentioned.

I read the 2013 published book which included additional chapters following the Commons Committee which grilled the Chair, CEO and Head of HBOS and not surprisingly the transcript excerpts showed them to be uncooperative, failing to accept responsibility or apologise for their involvement in HBOS crash. Luckily they all went on to earn more money working for other financial sector organisations without guilt. Patullo's quote above resonated nearly 20 years later and sadly the personal greed and lack of care for one's community continues to blight our villages, towns and cities for banks and finance which are necessary for today's must-grow economic cycle.
302 reviews10 followers
September 16, 2024
A solid post-mortem on Halifax Bank of Scotland's collapse. Names are named.

Two serious qualms as someone who was short other bank stocks at the time:
(1) Peter Burt gets off far too lightly. An 18-20% annual EPS growth target for a bank is simply insane over any period longer than 2-3 years.

(2) Also the Basel capital standards don't get their fair share of the blame either. As someone who had conversations with Hornby about their mortgage growth, it was clear that the spurious precision of the Basel rules completely fooled a nonbanker like Hornby that here was a loophole he could exploit. He viewed them as ratios to run a bank by rather than the absolute bare minimum that had been established to rein in the Japanese banks.
Profile Image for Tom Calvard.
248 reviews7 followers
August 9, 2018
A concise and accessible account of Halifax and Bank of Scotland's merger and subsequent collapse in 2008 crisis. Also some insightful thoughts on both the history and future of banking, as a profession, institution and important sector of the economy to be handled with care...we live in hope!
1 review
January 21, 2020
As someone who worked in BOS and then HBOS before being made redundant shortly after being taken over by Lloyds this book was a stark reminder of what happened and how the bank changed.
Profile Image for Breakingviews.
113 reviews37 followers
July 12, 2013
By George Hay

Anyone watching British TV in 2002 will probably remember Howard from the Sheldon branch. The bald, bespectacled bank teller at a new bank called HBOS tried to attract deposits by singing clumsily adapted pop songs. The nadir of this allegedly amusing commercial effort was undoubtedly “Who gives you extra?”, a parody of the Baha Men’s “Who let the dogs out?”. Like Howard, who rapidly became a star, HBOS was trying to be something it was not.

“Hubris: How HBOS Wrecked the Best Bank in Britain”, Ray Perman’s timely guide to the bank’s spectacular 2008 demise, gives a comprehensive insight into what HBOS “extra” ended up being: an extremely unamusing forced takeover, and an 11.5 billion pound state recapitalisation.

HBOS should have succeeded. At its core was the venerable, 300-year-old Bank of Scotland, which used to conduct its affairs according to two simple rules. First, back loans with deposits of even longer maturity. Second, evaluate credit risk on whether a borrower could actually keep up payments, not on the value of his collateral. These principles served BoS well. Under former bosses Bruce Pattullo and Peter Burt in the 1980s and 1990s, the bank seemed to inhabit the promised land of retail banking: firm control of costs, strong capital, and returns on equity in excess of 20 percent.

It didn’t last. BoS wanted to grow more without relying on flighty and sometimes expensive wholesale funding. The search for deposits led Burt into discussions with NatWest (where he lost out to Edinburgh rival Royal Bank of Scotland), Abbey National and, finally, Halifax.

The merger with Halifax was a turning point. Out went Bank of Scotland’s staid but steady brand of customer relationships and cautious risk management. In came Chief Executive James Crosby, an ex-fund manager, and his sidekick Andy Hornby, a marketing maestro with a Harvard MBA. Together they changed the bank’s culture: revenue growth was highly valued and risk control was not. Bemused BoS staff dubbed Hornby’s shock troops the “Haliban”.

The result was indeed Perman’s hubris, followed by nemesis. By the time HBOS was forced into the arms of Lloyds TSB in late 2008, the commitment to deposits had been abandoned. When wholesale lenders finally noticed the riskiness of the HBOS loan book and walked away, the bank had to rely on the Bank of England’s emergency liquidity facilities for as much as 16 billion pounds every day.

After it all went wrong, HBOS executives blamed the unprecedented global liquidity crunch. In a way, there’s something in this. As long as liquidity was plentiful and cheap, banking was almost indistinguishable from retailing. Hornby’s ability to flog products seemed more valuable than boring risk management. But as Perman shows, HBOS would have hit the skids eventually, with all the liquidity in the world. After Lloyds took over HBOS, it divulged two-thirds of the loans in HBOS’s 116 billion pound corporate lending book were “outside their risk appetite”.

“Hubris” lacks gripping fly-on-the-wall revelations, in part because the key players involved in HBOS’s demise either declined to participate, or couldn’t because they were under investigation by the Financial Services Authority. But as a document of the long and short-term causes of one of British banking’s lowest moments, Perman’s book more than delivers. Its balanced treatment of the major players involved should be required reading for anyone wondering where to position the likes of Hornby in the credit crunch Hall of Shame.

It also gives an answer to the question that everyone has no doubt been pondering - what is Howard doing now? The answer is that he’s no longer at the Sheldon Branch. Appropriately enough for a bank that has had to relearn old virtues, he has gone back to his previous job: as a locksmith.
3 reviews
November 11, 2013
5 stars if you're at all interested in how HBOS (and the rest of them) wrecked the economy
30 reviews1 follower
November 16, 2013
Interesting, and occasionally sentimental, history of the Bank of Scotland and its final disastrous incarnation as HBOS.
Profile Image for Sarah Harkness.
Author 4 books9 followers
December 4, 2013
A good basic introduction to what brought the bank down...and - hint - he doesn't think it was the US mortgage crisis!
140 reviews2 followers
March 1, 2016
Good book describing the demise of HBOS, with useful chapters at the end summarising the Turnbull commission enquiry.
Displaying 1 - 13 of 13 reviews

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