The bestselling annual baseball preview from the smartest analysts in the business The essential guide to the 2013 baseball season is on deck now, and whether you're a fan or fantasy player—or both—you won't be properly informed without it. Baseball Prospectus 2013 brings together an elite group of analysts to provide the definitive look at the upcoming season in critical essays and commentary on the thirty teams, their managers, and more than sixty players and prospects from each team. Now in its eighteenth edition, this New York Times bestselling insider's guide remains hands down the most authoritative and entertaining book of its kind.
Baseball Prospectus is an organization that publishes a website, BaseballProspectus.com, devoted to the sabermetric analysis of baseball. BP has a staff of regular columnists and provides advanced statistics as well as player and team performance projections on the site.
Since 1996 the BP staff has also published a Baseball Prospectus annual as well as several other books devoted to baseball analysis and history.
Each year, these days, I start the baseball season with several volumes that come out each year. And this is one of those. One of the cool things about this book is its projections about performances of players in the coming baseball season. And it is fun after the season is done to check out how well the volume's projections turned out!
PECOTA represents the projection. One of the fascinating elements of this book is the prediction as to what kind of year a player will have: breakout, improve, collapse, and attrition.
The Washington Nationals are an interesting team to consider. A lot of young players. Can they do well this year as they did last? This book is bullish on the team for 2013. Bryan Harper? The projection is a season rather like last year. I wonder if this might not be a year where he significantly improves. So, too, Ryan Zimmerman. The third baseman's projection is similar to his performance in 2012. Finally, Stephen Strasburg. As with the other two, a season rather similar to 2012.
My personal favorite team is the Chicago White Sox. What about them? Adam Dunn, two years ago, had one of the most horrifically bad seasons around. Last year, he "improved" to hit .204, although his power figures and RBIs increased dramatically. Projections? A .222 batting average, 30 home runs, and 88 RBIs. Not bad, but a crummy batting average. Paul Konerko has been amazingly consistent over the years. The prediction is a slight decline but--overall--another solid year. A pitcher, Chris Sale, seemed very promising last year. The proje4ctions are modest, though: 9-5 record, with a solid ERA of 3.05.
The last part of the book identifies the top 101 prospects, from # 1 (Jurickson Profar) to # 101 (Delino DeShields Jr.).
As always, a lot of fun, even when I'm not so sure about the projections.
A consummate blend of statistical and skill-based analysis, presented in highly readable, nay, downright entertaining player profiles. In other words, yet another edition of Baseball Prospectus.
Though I had to chuckle at their prediction of Chris Davis managing just 21 homers this year, in light of his recent ascent to superstardom.
No matter how well-informed you are, you can't win 'em all!
A little light on content outside of player analysis, but I suppose that is what the book is all about. If you want written analysis of a player's past performance along with predictions as well as data, this book is for you. If all you want is the data, then go with Bill James. If you want data plus predictive/skills-based stats go with Shandler.
I look forward to Prospectus in February. WHen I receive it, baseball season starts for me. I crawl into a quiet place and savor it. Now it is July and I just looked up a couple players that I am trying to acquire in a trade. Cogent, concise information about the player so I made the offer. Hope I get it. BTW, it is Seth Smith, Oakland and can't hit lefties.
As a Baseball Prospectus subscriber and a hardcore baseball fan this is a must have. If you want to dominate your fantasy baseball team this year with accurate predictions From PECOTA and a long season that has almost every prospect covered. I love this stuff and so should you.
Player comments are insightful as always, but the requisite Christina Kahrl/Joe Sheehan wit from the old days is sadly gone. The team reviews have been significantly reduced, to the detriment of the book. Still, no one does it better...
Getting closer and closer to dropping this series. They just ain't what they used to be. Not as much insight. Team chapters are too much recap, not enough forecasting. And the witty player reviews are almost all straightforward. I give this a solid meh.
I read one of these nearly every Spring at start of baseball season. Goldmine of information and statistics. Excellent analysis and predictions. Helps me with fantasy baseball too! Used to be five stars but quality of the actual narrative writing (but not analysis) has gone down in recent years.