An explanation of the origins of the Anthropogenic Global Warming (AWG) controversy by a journalist who investigated Climategate. The author counts himself among the rank of climate skeptics. He contends that the Green movement is led by “Watermelons – green on the outside, red on the inside.” Their enemy is capitalism. He says “the reason I came to distrust AGW theory is because I recognized it as part of a familiar socio-political pattern: the advance of government through stealth... The people who tell you that AGW is a near-certainty are a bunch of liars, cheats and frauds.”
“Climategate is really about the systematic abuse of the 'scientific method.' Therein lies the real scandal of Climategate: it's a case of scientists breaking the rules of science and behaving instead like political activists. We see them 'cherry-picking' data that supports their theories and burying data that doesn't. We see them drawing conclusions based on gut-feeling rather than evidence.”
Like so much in politics, if you want to understand what is going on, just follow the money. “Ballpark figure for the amount of money Big Carbon has spent encouraging AGW skepticism: call it $20 million a year over a ten-year period. Sounds like a lot, doesn't it? At least it does until you realize how much money goes to the other side of the debate. $126 billion – World Bank estimate of carbon trading industry turnover in 2008... U.S. government spending on climate research and technology since 1989 had amounted to $79 billion... The amount spent on climate funding since 1989 by the European Union well over $100 billion.”
Quoting Michael Crichton: “Let's be clear: the work of science has nothing to do with consensus. Consensus is the business of politics. Science, on the contrary, requires only one investigator who happens to be right, which means the he or she has results that are verifiable by reference to the real world. In science consensus is irrelevant. What is relevant is reproducible results.”
“Science is never settled. That's not how it works... in order to be properly scientific, a theory (or hypothesis) must be 'falsifiable': that is, it must be capable of being proven false either through observation or experiment.”
“'Climate change', in other words, has little if anything to do with 'science' as you or I might understand the concept. It's not a genuine problem to be solved, but a handy excuse – with a fashionable green patina – to advance a particular social and political agenda under the cloak of ecological righteousness and scientific authority... This is a debate that skeptic scientists can never possibly win, no matter how apparently overwhelmingly persuasive evidence they produce. That's because the debate was never about 'the science' in the first place. It was, is and always will be about politics.”
“What 'the science' has shown is that while levels of man-made CO2 have continued to rise as industrial output around the world has increased, global temperatures have not. The world stopped warming in 1998. This is important. What it means, essentially, is that the theory claiming that catastrophic and unprecedented global warming is linked with man-made CO2 has been (in science-speak) 'falisified'.”
Yet despite this halt in the rise of global temperature, the IPCC reports have grown increasingly alarmist: “The observed increase could be largely due... to natural variability. (1990)” “The balance of the evidence suggests discernible human influence on climate. (1996)” “There is new and stronger evidence that most of the warming observed over the last 50 years is attributable to human activities. (2001)” “Most of the observed increase in globally averaged temperature since the mid-twentieth century is very likely [= 90% probable] due to observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations. (2007)”
The author traces the roots of the Climate Change agenda to the early environmental movement with leaders such as Rachel Carson, Paul Ehrlich, Barry Commoner, Harrison Brown, and the Club of Rome . The concepts were implemented by UN bureaucrat Maurice Strong. Strong's 1992 report known as Agenda 21 “effectively puts an end to national sovereignty, abolishes private property, elevates Nature above man, and places a host of restrictions on what we've come to accept as our most basic freedoms – everything from how, when and where we travel to what we eat... What you must realize is that Agenda 21 is a wolf in sheep's clothing. The reason governments found it easy enough to sign is because it contains no legally binding obligations. But then, it doesn't need to, for its apparently voluntary codes can be enforced – and are regularly, scrupulously enforced – via a mechanism over which sovereign governments have little control anyway: the vast, labyrinthine, democratically unaccountable behemoth that is the United Nations... Agenda 21 is enforced mainly at the local government level. Here is how it works: Local environmental activists create a Local Agenda 21 (LA21) lobby group. Spouting the mantra 'Think Global, Act Local', they urge their town/city/district government to sign up to the 'voluntary' code of Agenda 21... The biggest take-up has been in the U.S., where over 600 districts have signed up. Welcome to the passive-aggressive world of global watermelons – socialism hiding behind the guise of environmentalism.”
“On one side are the skeptics. They value empiricism, openness, and freedom of expression. None of them denies that climate changes naturally. Few, if any, deny that human activity may have some influence on the climate. But they are concerned that the connection between human activity and climate change may have been dramatically overstated by various interest groups. Of course, if the planet really is threatened by man-made climate change, then they will be as eager as anyone else to take remedial action. So far, however, they are not convinced that the evidence of human impact justifies the hugely expensive measures being adopted to 'combat AGW'. Indeed they believe the measures are doing harm out of all proportion to the nature of the problem. This is why they are prepared to lay their necks on the line and speak up with their unfashionable views, even at the risk of their careers and public opprobrium.”
“On the other side are the alarmists. They believe that human activity – especially through the release of CO2 – is having a dangerous effect on the climate, and perhaps other things besides, such as ocean acidification. They are convinced their cause is so just and urgent that it relieves them of the need to observe normal standards of probity and decency. In order to Save the Planet, they tacitly accept that it is okay to: rig public inquiries, hound blameless people out of their jobs, breach Freedom of Information laws, abuse the scientific method, lie, threaten, bribe, cheat, adopt nakedly political positions in taxpayer-funded academic and advisory posts that ought to be strictly neutral, trample on property rights, destroy rainforests, drive up food prices (causing unrest in the Middle East and starvation in the Third World), raise taxes, remove personal freedoms, artificially raise energy prices, featherbed rent-seekers, blight landscapes, deceive voters, twist evidence, force everyone to use expensive, dim light bulbs, frighten schoolchildren, bully adults, increase unemployment, destroy democratic accountability, take control of global governance and impose a New World Order.”
“AGW is a religion. It has its high priests and prophets: Al Gore, James Hansen. It has its temples: the National Academy of Sciences, the IPCC. It has its warrior monks: Leonardo DiCaprio, Ed Begley Jr. It has its concept of original sin – the Carbon Footprint – which can be bought off with the help of indulgences – Carbon Offsets. It is motivated by an overwhelming guilt that we are all sinners but that we can redeem ourselves through mortification of the flesh. And most important of all it is based on no hard evidence whatsoever. Only on faith. Pure, blind faith. This lack of factual basis ought to be a weakness. Unfortunately, though, it's what gives the religion such enduring strength, for how can anyone ever disprove something that was never provable in the first place?”