My fav quotes (not a review):-Page 11 |"The sixth secret is that, as Charles Darwin tried to explain, survival of the fittest is not determined by competitive strength, but rather by social desirability. There’s more money than certified talent in the world of investing, so outstanding investment managers have many choices because so many investors want to be their clients. Given their freedom of choice, managers prefer to work for and with clients they like and admire, and they like and admire David Swensen very much."-Page 43 |"The high risk, high return investment policy best suited to serve asset preservation conflicts with the low risk, low return investment approach more likely to produce stable distributions to the operating budget."-Page 90 |"Yale economist Robert Shiller argues that markets exhibit excess volatility. That is, security prices tend to fluctuate more than necessary to respond to fundamental factors, such as earnings and interest rates, that determine intrinsic value. In other words, if price movements were rescaled down…so as to be less variable, then price would do a better job of forecasting fundamentals.” Shiller’s self-described “controversial claim” provides “evidence of a failure of the efficient markets model.” Anyone attempting to understand October 1987’s market crash from a fundamental perspective sees merit in Shiller’s position."-Page 135 "Thoughtful investors strike a balance between respect for history and concern for analytical consistency."-Page 136 "In mean-variance optimization, data on expected returns provide the most powerful determinant of results, demanding the greatest share of quantitative modelers’ attention. Forecasts of variances place second in importance, while assumptions regarding correlations prove least crucial."-Page 143 "Real estate constitutes the core of Yale’s real assets portfolio with a weight of 50 percent."-Page 144 "Timber investments round out the real assets trio. Although timber shares the characteristic of inflation sensitivity with real estate and oil and gas, because timber plays less of a role in the general economy, timber prices exhibit less correlation with general price levels. Financially astute timber owners manage holdings on a sustainable basis, cutting the amount of wood produced each year through biological growth. When managed on a sustainable basis, the productive capacity of the forest remains intact, preserving value across generations. Sustainable forest management does not require lockstep harvesting of a single year’s biological growth. If timber prices appear to be relatively low, the cutting program can be curtailed, deferring current year harvests to future years. In fact, the forestland owner receives a bonus in the form of an additional year’s biological growth as the payment for patience. Pay for patience in the timber arena contrasts with the depletion characteristic of oil and gas investments."
-Page 145
"In fact, inefficiencies in pricing of real assets argue for higher expected returns, suggesting parity in return expectations for real assets and for stocks and leading to an assumption of 6 percent real returns."
-Page 146
"Misuse of Mean-Variance Optimization Despite mean-variance optimization’s potential for making a positive contribution to portfolio structuring, dangerous conclusions result from poorly considered forecasts. Some of the most egregious errors committed with mean-variance analysis involve inappropriate use of historical data. Consider allocations to real estate in the late 1980s. Real estate provided extremely strong returns during the 1980s with relatively low volatility and relatively low correlation to traditional marketable securities. Not surprisingly, naïve application of mean-variance analysis led to recommendations of extraordinary allocations to real estate."
-Page 157
"The tendency of markets for risky assets to move together in times of crisis reduces the value of diversification, at least in the short run."
-Page 169
"At June 30, 2005, the university’s $29.4 billion investment pool supported long positions of $49.7 billion offset by short positions of $20.3 billion."
-Page 205
"Unless foreign currency positions constitute more than 20 percent or 25 percent of portfolio assets, currency exposure serves to reduce overall portfolio risk."
-Page 229
"Survivorship bias presents a pervasive problem for gatherers of historical return data."
-Page 231
"In cases where funds steer clear of market risk, investors without skill deserve to earn only money-market levels of return."
-Page 232
"Perhaps the most blatant example of hedge fund exposure to market forces lies in the long-only manager that simply establishes a private partnership, calls it a hedge fund, and charges a 20 percent profits interest."
-Page 235
"Investors find coincidence of interests only in those situations where the absolute return manager invests substantial personal assets side-by-side with investor monies."
-Page 286
"Yale pioneered the use of absolute return as an asset class, first employing it in 1990. As of June 30, 2007, inception-to-date returns clocked in at 13.2 percent per annum, with a standard deviation of only 4.9 percent (relative to the Wilshire "5000’s 11.2 percent return and 14.0 percent standard deviation)."
-Page 289
"Keynes likens active investment to children’s entertainment: “For it is, so to speak, a game of Snap, of Old Maid, of Musical Chairs—a pastime in which he is the victor who says snap neither too soon nor too late, who passes the Old Maid to his neighbor before the game is over, who secures a chair for himself when the music stops."
-Page 290
"Conversely, in public perception, poor results follow from lack of ability. Market participants rarely wonder whether high returns came from accepting greater than market risk, or whether low returns resulted from lower than market risk."
-Page 297
"The best investors care about risk. Diligence and hard work take an investment manager only so far, as even the most carefully researched decisions ultimately face the vicissitudes of market forces. Because so much lies beyond a portfolio manager’s control, superior investors seek to know as much as can be known, limiting uncertainty to the irreducible minimum."
-Page 298
"Over time, markets will do extraordinary, even bizarre, things. A single, big mistake could wipe out a long string of successes. We therefore need someone genetically programmed to recognize and avoid serious risks, including those never before encountered."
-Page 298
"Certain perils that lurk in investment strategies cannot be spotted by use of the models commonly employed today by financial institutions."
-Page 304
"the parachute troops are more entrepreneurial than the tank battalions. We want to make lightning raids in Zimbabwe and Ghana and Egypt while your partners…are holding meetings to decide… "
-Page 352
"Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally.”
-Page 379
"If the institution fails in its unusual approach, the policy will likely be abandoned and the investment staff will likely be unemployed. In contrast, had the institution failed with a standard institutional portfolio, policies may still be abandoned, but investment professionals would likely remain gainfully, if not happily, employed."
-Page 384
"Ironically, Silber’s positive assessment of Seragen’s science appears well-founded. The firm’s major drug, Interleukin-2, received FDA approval in February 1999. Yet the university stands to accrue little benefit from the drug’s commercial success as Boston University’s economic interest in the project diminished greatly with the Ligand takeover. Seragen’s progress came too late and cost too much to reward the firm’s shareholders."
-Page 386
"Portfolio return data provide essential hard input into the performance assessment process. By comparing manager returns to passive market benchmarks and active manager benchmarks, investors measure the successes and failures of an investment program. Sensible investors look beyond the basic return data to understand the risks associated with the portfolios that generated the returns."
-Page 396
"Adjusting portfolio returns for risk plays at best a supporting role in performance evaluation. Managers tend to avoid discussing risk, unless explaining poor relative performance, as in “we did worse than the market, but we did it with less risk.”