One sign that the US remains, for all its many faults, a liberal democracy is that literally thousands of books have been written about our experience in Vietnam, relying on open archives of memos by key decision makers and even tape recordings of Presidents and cabinet members discussing the war in real time. Meanwhile, the Socialist Republic of Vietnam is a closed authoritarian society where records of decision-making from independence in 1954 through the fall of Saigon in 1975 are for the most part unavailable to scholars.
Nguyen, born in Saigon in 1974, five months before her family fled to the US, was able to crack open at least some of the key Vietnamese sources: those at the Vietnamese National Archives and, more impressively, those at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, where she was the first historian of any nationality to gain access. Remarkably, the sources available included a daily chronology of the Paris negotiations between 1968 and 1973, including telegrams back and forth between Le Duan, the North Vietnamese supreme leader, and Le Duc Tho, his head negotiator.
You can sometimes feel the limits of even these sources in Nguyen’s writing; as she concedes in the introduction, she sometimes needs to “read between the lines” of heavily sanitized records to get at what, she surmises, really happened. That said, she was still able to put together an account of the war from Hanoi’s perspective that looks markedly different from Western perceptions at the time.
Some things I learned from Nguyen, both common knowledge and new observations enabled by her archival work:
* By the mid-1960s, Ho Chi Minh and Vo Nguyen Giap, the two most famous Vietnamese Communists in the West, had been completely marginalized within party leadership. They were “North firsters” who believed in developing socialism in the North first before taking the war to the South.
* Le Duan and his close ally Le Duc Tho (the “Comrades Le”) were responsible for that marginalization. Southerners by background, they were “South firsters” who believed that unifying the country remained paramount, even if it meant a massive war with the US. The South firsters won the day, sometimes by outright purging their enemies and other times, as with Ho and Giap, by discrediting them (in Ho’s case by emphasizing times in 1945 and 1954 he had “sold out” the revolution at negotiations).
* Le Duan was a big believer in traditional, large-scale military maneuvers, with an eye toward provoking outright revolution in the South that could overthrow the government and lead to unification. This was his “General Offensive and General Uprising” philosophy.
* Eventually Le Duan attempted the “GOGO” approach not once, not twice, but three times, ending in massive failure on each occasion.
* The first try was in 1964, as an attempt to capitalize on the chaos after Ngo Dinh Diem’s death. It failed to collapse the South and take Saigon and contributed to the US decision to intervene with hundreds of thousands of troops and regular bombings of the North, which Le Duan knew was a risk and was trying to avoid.
* The second try was the Tet Offensive, which Nguyen argues was a military and political debacle for the North. It imposed massive casualties and failed at its key objective of deposing South Vietnamese dictator Nguyen Van Thieu. Yes, it led directly to a surge in antiwar sentiment in the US and LBJ stepping aside — but it thus led to Richard Nixon, who extended the war for years, imposing even greater costs on the North.
* The third try was the 1972 general offensive. At this point, Le Duan was boxed in. His aide Le Duc Tho had been negotiating with US officials in Paris for the better part of four years. The US president was making historic visits to both China and the Soviet Union, and in light of the thaws in these relationships, the North’s backers in Moscow and Beijing were urging it to make a deal in Paris sooner rather than later. Le Duan knew a deal wouldn’t topple Saigon, leaving a last-ditch military effort as his only shot.
* The 1972 offensive, of course, failed to topple the South, forcing Le Duan to give into his great power backers’ wishes and instruct Le Duc Tho to, finally, make a deal with Kissinger in Paris. Luckily for the North, by this point intense domestic antiwar sentiment, and the momentum of Vietnamization (which made military alternatives to a deal unthinkable to the US) meant that Kissinger was willing to almost totally abandon Thieu and the South, and agreed to a deal that left North Vietnamese troops in the South while arranging US withdrawal.
* Le Duan was able to hold onto power until his death in 1986, which was a positive turning point for the country — his successors adopted perestroika-style economic reforms and laid the foundation for Vietnam’s current prosperity, which Le Duan’s orthodox Marxism-Leninism had prevented from developing.
Nguyen, obviously, does not hold Le Duan in very high regard, and more or less openly wishes that Ho and Giap had been in control of the state instead (“It is worth contemplating how Hanoi’s war would have been different had Ho and Giap been in charge”). But she comes by that judgment honestly. If there’s a single major takeaway from the book, it’s that the war was chosen both in Hanoi and Washington. The US, of course, did not need to intervene in the extreme and horrendously damaging way it did. But the North did not need to order and fuel a Southern insurgency either, and it certainly did not need to complement that insurgency with more conventional operations like Tet that hurt itself as much as the enemy.
One small detail that took me out: on April 3, 1968, the North finally agreed to talk to the US in Paris. The next day, MLK Jr. was murdered in Memphis. Zhou Enlai, a week or so later, literally argued that the North agreeing to talk caused King’s death, telling Northern premier Pham Van Dong, ““Had your statement been issued one or two days later, the murder might have been stopped.” I don’t understand, on a basic mechanical level, how that could even possibly be true.