Full Planet, Empty Plates: The New Geopolitics of Food Scarcity by Lester Brown.
3/5 rating. 138 pages.
Book #7 of 2021. Read January 21, 2021.
This is a thoroughly depressing (though not inaccurate) look at the issues that are coming to a head in disrupting humanity's future.
Lester talks about the huge concerns of increasing population, poverty, and increased meat consumption all at the same time as climate change and water shortages clamp our ability to produce food.
I think that this is probably a good book to read right before "Two Percent Solutions for the Planet" as "Full Planet, Empty Plates" will alert you to the issues that we will see increase if we continue to go about with business as usual. After you realize the issues, then you can check out potential solutions in Two Percent Solutions.
As Lester says, "In short, avoiding a breakdown in the food system requires the mobilization of our entire society." We must address each of these concerns concurrently as unfortunately, we have run out of time while dawdling and hoping for someone else to fix things. "We all have a stake in the future of civilization."
Lester shares a few ideas, but this is mostly a book to show us where we are. We all have to make moves to reach for a brighter future. "Saving civilization is not a spectator sport."
Quotes:
"At home, corn accounts for four fifths of the U.S. grain harvest. Internationally, the U.S. corn crop exceeds China’s rice and wheat harvests combined."
"The world may be much closer to an unmanageable food shortage—replete with soaring food prices, spreading food unrest, and ultimately political instability—than most people realize."
"As a result of chronic hunger, 48 percent of all children in India are stunted physically and mentally. They are undersized, underweight, and likely to have IQs that are on average 10–15 points lower than those of well-nourished children."
"Interviewing individual families in Kinshasa, he noted that three years ago everyone ate at least one meal a day. But today even families with both parents working often cannot afford to eat every day."
"In 2011, the United States harvested nearly 400 million tons of grain. Of this, 127 million tons (32 percent) went to ethanol distilleries."
"The average American, in contrast, consumes roughly 1,400 pounds of grain per year, four fifths of it indirectly in the form of meat, milk, and eggs. Thus the total grain consumption per person in the United States is nearly four times that in India."
"The grain required to fill a 25-gallon fuel tank of a sport utility vehicle with ethanol just once would feed one person for a whole year. The grain turned into ethanol in the United States in 2011 could have fed, at average world consumption levels, some 400 million people."
"In terms of energy efficiency, grain-based ethanol is a clear loser. For sugarcane, the energy yield—that is, the energy embodied in the ethanol—can be up to eight times the energy invested in producing the biofuel. In contrast, the energy return on energy invested in producing corn-based ethanol is only roughly 1.5 to 1, a dismal return."
"Wang Tao, one of the world’s leading desert scholars, reports that from 1950 to 1975 an average of 600 square miles of land turned to desert each year. Between 1975 and 1987, this climbed to 810 square miles a year. From then until the century’s end, it jumped to 1,390 square miles of land going to desert annually."
"Korea’s Ministry of Environment reports that the country suffered dust storms on average for 39 days in the 1980s, 77 days in the 1990s, and 118 days from 2000 to 2011."
"Nigeria, Africa’s most populous country, is losing 868,000 acres of rangeland and cropland to desertification each year."
"Over the last decade, Lesotho’s grain harvest dropped by half as its soil fertility fell."
"Soil erosion and land degradation issues are local, but their effect on food security is global."
"As adults, each of us drinks nearly 4 liters of water a day in one form or another. But it takes 2,000 liters of water—500 times as much—to produce the food we consume each day."
"With wells going dry, Syria’s grain harvest has fallen by one third since peaking at roughly 7 million tons in 2001. In Iraq, the grain harvest has fallen by one sixth since peaking at 4.5 million tons in 2002."
"The state of Iowa, for instance, produces more grain than Canada and more soybeans than China."
"World fertilizer use climbed from 14 million tons in 1950 to 177 million tons in 2010, helping to boost the world grain harvest nearly fourfold."
"Impressive though the growth is over the last 60 years, the pace has slowed during the last two decades. Between 1950 and 1990, the world grain yield increased by an average of 2.2 percent a year. From 1990 to 2011, the annual rise slowed to 1.3 percent. In some agriculturally advanced countries, the dramatic climb in yields has come to an end as yields have plateaued."
"They also noted that glaciers are now melting at least twice as fast as a decade ago."
"Since 1970, the forested area in the Brazilian Amazon Basin has shrunk some 19 percent from its 400 million hectares. For the cerrado, it is estimated that roughly half of its original 200 million hectares has been lost. In both cases, soybean expansion has played a significant role."
"In short, avoiding a breakdown in the food system requires the mobilization of our entire society."
"On the demand side of the food equation, there are four pressing needs—to stabilize world population, eradicate poverty, reduce excessive meat consumption, and reverse biofuels policies that encourage the use of food, land, or water that could otherwise be used to feed people."
"The world needs to focus on filling the gap in reproductive health care and family planning while working to eradicate poverty. Progress on one will reinforce progress on the other. Two cornerstones of eradicating poverty are making sure that all children—both boys and girls—get at least an elementary school education and rudimentary health care. And the poorest countries need a school lunch program, one that will encourage families to send children to school and that will enable them to learn once they get there."
"The goal of restructuring taxes is to lower income taxes and raise carbon taxes so that the cost of climate change and other indirect costs of fossil fuel use are incorporated in market prices. If we can get the market to tell the truth, the transition from coal and oil to wind, solar, and geothermal energy will move very fast. If we remove the massive subsidies to the fossil fuel industry, we will move even faster."
"Beyond this, diverting a big chunk of the largely obsolete military budget into incentives to invest in rooftop solar panels, wind farms, geothermal power plants, and more energy-efficient lighting and household appliances would accelerate the energy transition."
"We all have a stake in the future of civilization."