What would separate Union and Confederate countries look like if the South had won the Civil War? In fact, this was something that southern secessionists actively debated. Imagining themselves as nation builders, they understood the importance of a plan for the economic structure of the Confederacy. The traditional view assumes that Confederate slave-based agrarianism went hand in hand with a natural hostility toward industry and commerce. Turning conventional wisdom on its head, John Majewski's analysis finds that secessionists strongly believed in industrial development and state-led modernization. They blamed the South's lack of development on Union policies of discriminatory taxes on southern commerce and unfair subsidies for northern industry. Majewski argues that Confederates' opposition to a strong central government was politically tied to their struggle against northern legislative dominance. Once the Confederacy was formed, those who had advocated states' rights in the national legislature in order to defend against northern political dominance quickly came to support centralized power and a strong executive for war making and nation building.
This book wasn't entirely what I had expected. I had thought it would mostly be about the actual economic policies and planning of the Confederate government. The last chapter pretty much covers this, but I guess it makes sense that there's not enough of that to fill an entire book, since the Confederacy was only around for a few years. The earlier chapters are mostly taken up with discussion of antebellum public debate over economic issues and state investments.
The main part I found interesting was an argument reminiscent of "Guns, Germs, and Steel," basically explaining the South's lagging economy as being largely due to a difference in soil composition between most regions of the South, and the Northeast and Midwest. Basically, the soil is such that you can't continuously crop it without modern fertilizer, so rural population density was lower, which meant that the manufacturing base in the South's cities could never really grow (add to that the fact that much of the population was enslaved and therefore not spending money). It is interesting to see this at the same time as learning about all of the arguments that both Southerners and Northerners were making at the time, which of course missed the scientific point.
A good reminder that economic history is really cool; too bad it's such a small field!
I should perhaps stop with this disclaimer, but given that I am in fact a casual reader (by no means academic or professional), I do write my reviews with casual readers in mind, so as usual: this is not a necessarily fun or easy read.
Still, I give it 5 stars, because the research and line of argumentation is excellent and worthwhile for anyone with a genuine interest in the topic. I chose to read it after getting through Thomas' "The Confederate Nation" due to wanting a more economic-focused view of the Confederate South. This was certainly the ticket.
The salient point, as the title suggests, is that the Confederate South was not only a backwards-looking, individualistic agrarian society: it wanted to modernize and to move forward as a nation. However, what was really interesting to me were the parallels between that vision and the concurrent (relatively) vision of Friedrich List (explicitly named in the book), and the future visions of modern economists like Ha-Joon Chang and even Mariana Mazzucato when she speaks of the state as "investor, risk-taker, innovator". The latter is a phrase that would be pleasing to Southern nationalists, before, during, and even after secession - as shown by the book.
The study of history (and economics) is interesting and valuable in and of itself, but I always think it's more valuable when it has relevance to our modern world. In a world with a new power emerging on the back of state-sponsored capitalism (China), rising geopolitical tensions, and growing concerns about globalization (reshoring, near-shoring, government action like the CHIPS Act) in the USA, without a doubt, this book examines something fundamental which has relevance beyond the period or region itself.
This book is really two essays jammed together and interwoven. There're definitely common threads, but Majewski (to his credit) isn't attempting a full history of the Southern economy, so the two topics he does dig into still feel like they should be separate essays. In each of the would-be essays, he digs in, spells out how his conclusions are contrary to the prevailing view, and then... leaves things there without exploring the implications.
In the first sort-of-essay, Majewski points out that Southern soil is lower quality than most other places in America: more acidic and less nutrient-full. Because of this, most Southern farmers (including planters) practiced "shifting cultivation": basically, slash-and-burn agriculture, moving from quarter to quarter of their plantation every eight years or so as that quarter got exhausted. So, about three-fourths of the land was basically unpopulated forested waste. This lower population density hurt transportation and the growth of cities and industrial development by diminishing market size. Northern contemporaries attributed all these negative trends to slavery, and that didn't help, but the poor-quality soil was behind a large part of it.
In the second sort-of-essay, Majewski lists out how many Southern leaders - especially secessionists - wanted industrial development, and expected Southern independence to help it because they attributed this backwardness to Northern economic dominence over the South.
The writing was flawed, but I loved this book anyway because of these eyeopening, mindbending conclusions.
This is an outstanding book! I had wanted to read it for a while and when I found it, I read it in a day! I just couldn't leave it down. Perfectly well researched and with a very clear line of argumentation! Outstanding!
Majewski eschews all the usual dichotomies we use to talk about the history of the South and makes a key but often forgotten point: the opposition to Northern-style industry and labor was about the "Northern" part. A Southern industrial economy would be just fine with most of the region's leading thinkers and doers, be they planters, merchants, industrialists, or dirt farmers. And thus, too, an enormously powerful central CONFEDERATE government was OK, precisely because it would not be a "Northern" government and its tyranny would be that of the "majority." Simple but powerful stuff. Highly recommend. Skip the last chapter, it's absurd.