In "You Weren't Supposed to See That", Joshua Brown provides a refreshing, no-nonsense perspective on the realities of the financial world. He tackles the illusions surrounding modern investing and sheds light on how automation, social media, and passive investment strategies are reshaping how individuals approach their financial futures. The book addresses a series of fundamental shifts in the investment landscape, each representing a challenge for those trying to navigate a world where financial advice and market theories can often seem contradictory or bewildering.
One major theme is the impact of automation on investment behavior. As automation increasingly displaces traditional job roles, individuals are investing defensively in technology stocks to avoid economic obsolescence. For many, investing in companies like Amazon, Facebook, or Google isn’t just about wealth accumulation—it’s about survival. Automation is transforming from a technological advancement to an economic threat, compelling investors to buy into the very tech giants that are rendering their skills obsolete. Rather than investing purely for growth, people are pouring money into these stocks to maintain relevance in an economy where traditional roles are disappearing. Brown argues that this fear-driven investment trend reveals a striking shift: if people can’t beat the robots, they’re choosing to join them.
In recent years, a noticeable shift from commission-based models to fee-based, passive investment strategies has fundamentally changed the way financial advisors approach wealth management. This trend has led to a more passive investment environment, with advisors focusing on long-term vehicles like mutual funds, index funds, and managed accounts. This steady, ongoing investment approach injects stability into the market, creating consistent demand for equities and fostering a market that trends upwards over time. Brown suggests that this fee-based management trend reflects broader demographic shifts, with investors increasingly prioritizing steady growth and stability over the frenetic trading that once characterized the stock market. The result is a more resilient market that is less prone to dramatic fluctuations, yet one that may also limit opportunities for rapid gains.
Brown also dives into how emotions, especially insecurity and envy, have taken on new forms in today’s investing world. Social media plays a significant role here, amplifying these feelings in ways that can cloud rational judgment. Where greed and fear once motivated investors, a fear of missing out (FOMO) and a sense of envy now drive many to chase high-risk investments, hoping to match the perceived success of others. This phenomenon is especially prevalent in the crypto space, where sudden wealth is often flaunted on social media, fostering a culture where financial gains become status symbols and even a form of competitive display. Brown argues that managing emotional responses is essential for today’s investors, as the constant barrage of others’ achievements can lead to reactionary investments rather than sound, long-term strategies.
In line with his advocacy for straightforward investment principles, Brown champions simplicity as a foundation for sound investment. He explains that while complexity can seem enticing, it often carries hidden risks. Brown uses the collapse of SunEdison as a cautionary tale of how overly complex financial structures can lead even savvy investors astray. Successful investors, he notes, stick to simple, well-understood strategies rather than chasing sophisticated ventures that promise high rewards but often result in devastating losses. Brown’s message is clear: simplicity not only reduces risk but is a proven strategy that outlasts the fluctuations of trendy, complicated investment schemes.
Finally, Brown underscores the importance of price signals in navigating uncertain markets. In times of volatility, he argues, price movements offer the most reliable indicators of market sentiment. This approach, often referred to as technical analysis, suggests that price actions reflect collective investor psychology and provide a clearer picture than traditional financial reports. Rather than focusing on complex fundamentals, Brown advises investors to pay attention to price trends, which tend to follow patterns that can reveal support and resistance levels in the market. This price-focused approach, he suggests, enables investors to stay responsive to market conditions and more attuned to real-time changes in sentiment.
In "You Weren't Supposed to See That", Brown delivers a compelling guide for navigating today’s complex financial landscape. He challenges readers to rethink their strategies, advocating for disciplined, evidence-based investing that emphasizes clarity, emotional resilience, and simplicity over speculative complexity. His insights offer a grounded approach for anyone seeking to thrive in an investment world increasingly driven by automation, passive strategies, and social media-fueled emotional currents. Brown’s book is a valuable resource for investors who want to cut through the noise and make sound, purposeful financial decisions.