Oak’s thesis here involves use of astronomical phenomenon mentioned in Mahabharata to date the event, and he's certainly found a very plausible boundary of timeline post which it couldn't have been, using an observation about circumpolar stars that had been ignored until he didn't.
But, as is his usual overreach, he insists he's found a precise date, without explaining why previous cycles of 26,000 years are to be discarded as possibilities, or why his own discarding of various, traditionally established considerations is to be ignored without any rationale from him, except that of his own attitude.
So he ignores a most critical objection to his reasoning, presses on with his arguments, and as his usual, confuses poetic descriptions with astronomical observations, because it suits his convenience.
Worst of all, it's his habit to mix up the original text with his own, unproven, Assertions, to further claim support for his build-up of contentions, expecting a badgers reader to give up due to confusion. If this isn't deliberate dishonesty, it's a convoluted reasoning of a mind not yet clear about assertion, evidence, reasoning and proof, despite the long discourses he includes habitually battering a reader further.
Inexplicably, Oak refuses to even mention Jayadratha Vadha, the one definite indication of an exact visual observation of astronomical nature, while taking poetic allegories galore as astronomical observations instead, just because they suit his whimsical choice of date and an egotistical opposition to the Indian traditional understanding of the date that the war began, as per Indian calendar.
He continues this, even when research of his own shows a gap of almost a month in his calculations, so it becomes clear that the traditional Tithi is correct after all, as is the modern interpretation of Sun bring visible after having set on 14th day.
This makes the work, from the heights of a very promising beginning of the Arundhati and Abhijit observations, slip down to downright shoddy.
"• My theory proceeds from a simple, almost trivial, unifying idea that all astronomy observations around the time of Mahabharata War are visual observations of the sky.
"• My theory is independently testable. Anyone can access astronomy software such as Voyager 4.5™, follow through my book and test each Mahabharata observation.
"• I sought explanation for Arundhati observation, based on my theory, an observation otherwise considered absurd by entire research community (albeit with one exception), as visual observation at the time of Mahabharata War."
So far, true. But he still hasn't explained as to why he discarded all possible past timings modulo 26,000 years cycles, asserting that this interval he picked is the only possibility for Mahabharata having taken place.
Further, he has only tested more specific timelines proposed by previous researchers, and picked one that fitted more number of events as per his selection. But discarding the event of most vital importance by any criteria, and instead parading a basketful of poetic allegories as visual observations of astronomical nature, makes the whole effort by Oak not only worthless but supremely ridiculous.
"• My theory corroborates not only positions of the planets but also their movements as described in the Mahabharata text, specifically unique movements of Mars, Jupiter and Venus.
"• My theory corroborated descriptions of planets and rationale for them shining brightly at times, e.g. Jupiter and Saturn shining brightly or Mars turning in ‘apasavya’ direction while shining brightly with fearsome appearance.
"• My theory predicted ‘potential observations’ referring to the phases and the positions of the moon, which would corroborate or falsify a proposed timeline for the 18 days of War. I searched for these potential observations within the Mahabharata text, and by luck, found numerous observations.
"• My theory corroborated 100+ astronomical observations from the Mahabharata text. More importantly my theory passed numerous critical tests, which in turn provided consistent explanations for Mahabharata astronomical observations. ... "
Did he never realise he's failed, or was merely dishonest?
" ... Some of these critical tests are,
"1. Fall of Abhijit
"2. The Epoch of Arundhati ..."
These two were of importance in determining the possible intervals when Mahabharata could have taken place, modulo 26,000 years cycles before; he has still not explained, not only zeroing in on the very first possibility, but asserting there can be no other.
Rest of what he counts is of comparatively far less importance than the one event he has neither been able to fit nor explain, Jayadratha Vadha, and he chose instead to be dishonest by pretending that he hasn't noticed it.
Oak stuffs his work's bare skeleton with verbosity, expecting to exhaust his readers.
"It is always possible to introduce ad hoc hypothesis in any theory in order to save the theory from introducing contradictions. For this reason alone, a simple theory is preferred over a complicated one, where simplicity refers to testability. If ad hoc hypothesis leads to explaining away observations, rather than explain them, such a theory becomes inferior, especially when an alternate theory can corroborate ‘observations’ without an introduction of ad hoc hypothesis. Introduction of ad hoc hypothesis is a common phenomenon and is legitimate as long as ad hoc hypothesis does not turn the theory into a metaphysical program. In addition, introduction of ad hoc hypothesis should lead to growth of knowledge and at the same time should not introduce inconsistencies."
But he's done just that, and worse. He's ignored, or stuck with declaration of disdain, important parts of the works he's dated - Ramayana and Mahabharata - and avoided working to find better timeline in each case to fit what's known, and written in, the epics.
In case of Ramayana he's got entangled in a self made logical contraction by insisting that all details of celestial nature are visual observations, that he eouldnt get into astrological interpretations, and that exalted planets were merely those above horizon. This leads to absurdity about timeline of birth of Rama, which is at noon on a sunny day without an eclipse, do visual observation of five planets above horizon is absurd.
In case of Mahabharata he's merely ignored, after the insistence about all celestial descriptions bring visual observation of astronomical nature, the one key event that is undeniably such a description, and can only be explained as an eclipse very close to Sunset, getting over just before Sun actuslly set; the only other possibility is of declaration of acceptance of poet's version, a Divine Action of an intervention by Krishna using his Chakra to hide Sun.
Oak denies all of the latter by declaration of disdain for "traditional beliefs", not even giving a thought to possibility that there's traditional knowledge; former, he ignores, due to his laziness concerning finding a better timeline than one proposed by someone else.
Instead he spins a web out of the very thin material, not being content having found a good criterion or two to define possibilities of when Mahabharata did and could or could not have occurred, by testing other proposals and insisting he going the only possibility, claiming it fits a huge number of descriptions of astronomical observations. It's nothing of the sort.
And the one key, vital, visual observation that is of celestial, his timeline cannot fit, so he ignores it.
"I de-mystified Mahabharata observation of ‘Arundhati walking ahead of Vasistha’ and showed this to be a visual observation during the Mahabharata War. ... "
"This single observation defined higher and lower bounds for the timeline of Mahabharata War, ... "
It only defines a period of a few thousand years, closest to present presented by Oak as absolute single timeline, without justification of why he didn't check other timelines modulo 26,000 years cycles, why they are not viable, which he does state without any rationale thereof presented.
" ... and the observation had higher degree of improbability associated with it. The explanation of Arundhati observation and corresponding prediction of time interval for the plausible year of Mahabharata War falsified all existing proposals for the timing of Mahabharata War, with the exception of 4 proposals that fell within the ‘Epoch of Arundhati’. Arundhati observation acts as falsifying evidence for any year proposed after 4500 B.C."
He's only tested for timelines proposed by others before his work, but not admitted that the one he's termed successful is not so, that it fails the single greatest test of a visual description of an event of celestial nature.
" ... Set of observations describing the phases and the positions of Moon during the 18 days of War provide corroborative evidence for Amawasya as the first day of War and Kartika Amawasya as the first day of war, which also means month of Margashirsha as the month of Mahabharata War."
That's mostly a blatant lie, Oak having misinterpreted most of poetic allegories as visual observations to support his timeline, which actually does not fit the one celestial description of undeniably visual nature.
***
With any honesty, works of Oak should have been titled something to the tune of "Oak’s Proof of ... " or "How I Solved ..." series, the actual words regarding subject of the particular work in a small, unobtrusive type.
As it is, one gets them expecting a little discourse about the subject itself; instead, there's a little about the problem of dating, but actual key words not explained for a long while, for a few chapters, until one's exhausted and given up; meanwhile he's gone one with his favorite theme of how he ..., what he ...., and so on.
"Once I started critically discussing work of others, I feared that my book would fill only with the criticism of others and my original work would get lost. I was also disappointed by the cocksure attitude of number of researchers, especially those who made their proposal based on only those Mahabharata observations that they presumed supported their timeline. Many of them did not bother to discuss numerous Mahabharata observations, which directly contradicted their timeline. ... "
As exemplified by Oak, who declares disdain for traditional position, due to his timeline of Mahabharata not being consistent with Gita Jayanti, or his date for birth of Rama showing not exalted planets, completely avoiding and not discussing the one indisputably visual astronomical observation in Mahabharata, Jayadratha Vadha? Because he'd have to either admit Divine Action, or admit complete failure of his choice of timeline?
" ... I began writing criticism, i.e. criticism of the theories and corresponding proposals for the year of Mahabharata War as propounded by 20+ researchers. They all had predicted the first day and the year of Mahabharata War. I realized that these researchers, with the exceptions of Vartak and Kane, have been selective in quoting Mahabharata astronomical observations. Many of them ignored vast number of Mahabharata astronomical observations. Still others claimed to have included certain observations in building their timeline they thought critical, and I could demonstrate how their theories were contradicted by these so called ‘critical’ observations. These researchers appeared to be blissfully unaware of this fact. I decided, only with great reluctance, to exclude the discussion of the works of other researchers, i.e. the criticisms of their theories and timelines for the Mahabharata War, with the exception of Vartak, from this book."
Oak wouldn't knowingly be writing there about himself, would he?
"What follows is summary of my theory and my proposed timeline of the Mahabharata war and why it should be considered a better theory, i.e. better than all existing theories (and proposed timelines)."
Oak saying that? What a surprise!
Imagine how long works of any scientist - or even a Mills and Boon sort of writer for that matter, at opposite extreme - would be, if they were to use this style. Imagine G.B. Shaw going on about his correspondence with, say, Isadora Duncan, in midst of his Pygmalion!
Well, actually those could be interesting. This is merely tiring. And more exasperating when one realises there's a promising beginning, which is good, not a solution, which is not a crime, but an attitude of disdain towards what Oak is afraid his colleagues and neighbours would question or ridicule him about, with a passing off of that lack of solution as not only a solution but the best solution possible, with the said attitude and disdain patching over the gaps - well, the exasperation is overwhelming. And as if that's not enough, Oak hammers it several times over!
Also exasperating is his habit of stating, hand-waving, asserting, and then presuming proof done, while it's nothing of the sort.
" ... forced to invoke other explanations such as either ‘astrological drishti’ or ‘descriptions of impossible events by Mahabharata author’. The problem with the latter two approaches is that once one decides to employ them, anything anywhere can be explained! ... "
Not true.
" ... The problem with ‘Astrological Drishti’ is that once one decides to employ it, anything anywhere can be explained! As soon as this happens, although theory may still retain its empirical character, is no longer falsifiable and scientific."
Not true.
"The Mahabharata War timeline begins with Krishna leaving Upaplavya to visit Hastinapur before the War and ends with the passing away of Bhishma, when the Sun turned north, after the War."
What follows is Oak’s list of his matching of events of Mahabharata with the single timeline he's picked, but there are three major faults.
One, he doesn't point out that the dates are his conclusions. Two, having gone on and emphasised over and over that he treats all celestial descriptions as visual observations of astronomical nature, he resorts to calling them poetic only if he can't date them or if they go against his thesis, but otherwise forces a visual correspondence if he finds farfetched justifications.
Three, he completely ignores the one event of humongous importance which cannot but be admitted as a visual observation of astronomical nature corresponding to an event on the battlefield. If he did mention it, he'd have to admit either that his timeline and all rest of his work here failed, and look independently for another timeline not given by previous authors, or admit Divine Action.
Dating Mahabharata by counting days, between events such as discussions prior to War and subsequent Bhishma Nirvana on or past winter solstice, is only a primary bit.
But not dating the one event of vital importance that must be fitted into timeline, makes this whole effort worthless as anything but work.
This event, ignored by Oak for most part except a barest mention, is the day Arjuna almost died, but for Krishna, who either knew about an impending solar eclipse while others obviously did not, and knew how people would react, or he used his Chakra as author of Mahabharata explicitly states, to hide the Sun just before sunset, and revealed it before it set, just as Jayadratha the murderer came out of hiding to see Arjuna climb onto his own funeral pyre.
Despite all tomtomming Oak dies about treating all celestial descriptions as visual observation of astronomical nature, he ignores the one description that is nothing but visual observation of astronomical nature, ignores the vital importance of correlation of this observation with events unfolding on battlefield, ignores vital importance of consequences of alternative, and pretends it's non-existence by not even mentioning it.
Oak couldn't be more dishonest if he vowed to do so.
***
Oak begins not by introducing the subject but by talking about himself, and goes on and on, speaking of Arundhati observation, without explaining what he's talking about.
"Fifteen years ago, I stumbled on ‘Arundhati’1 observation, recorded in Bhishma Parva of Mahabharata. I liked this observation for two reasons. The observation had very high improbability associated with it. The only rational I could imagine on the part of Mahabharata author, to include such an improbable observation, was due to this being a factual observation at the time of Mahabharata War. If I could somehow test it, the observation held the key to falsification of ‘astronomical’ observations within the Mahabharata text. I could comprehend this observation, unlike numerous other astronomical observations within Mahabharata. I wanted to convince myself of the authenticity (or absurdity) of astronomical observations from the Mahabharata text, and ‘Arundhati’ observation was the most suitable for my purpose and abilities."
"It was not until 1997 A. D. when I began testing ‘Arundhati’ observation and it was not until 2009 A. D. when I succeeded in solving the mystery of Arundhati. My tests of ‘Arundhati’ observation not only resisted my falsification attempts, but also provided higher and lower bounds for plausible year of the Mahabharata War. The discovery of mine, as far as I am aware, is the first instance of such a precise prediction, albeit an interval bounded by higher and lower limits, for the plausible year of an ancient event, based on astronomical observations."
" ... Only 4 of these researchers had proposed years for the Mahabharata War that fell within the Epoch of Arundhati. ... "
If he's trying to be mysterious and pique interest, he's failing spectacularly - serious readers are highly irritated with this behaviour suitable more to a hindi film heroine of black and white era.
"Many researchers in last two centuries working on Mahabharata have precisely made this mistake. Some have used commonly accepted norms of astrology (and not astronomy), e.g. ‘Astrological drishti’ in describing Mahabharata references of a specific planet afflicting specific nakshatra. The problem with this approach is that once one starts using astrological interpretations, there is no stopping and thus anything anywhere can be explained!"
Isn't that the problem also with earning, cooking, feeding an infant, bathing, clothing, even eating?
Besides, if one's read anything by Oak, this attitude is not only familiar, but reminding one of the ridiculous ditches he digs himself into as a consequence. For example he asserts he assumes all astronomical observations of Valmiki Ramayana are visual, and interprets five exalted planets at birth of Rama as above horizon at the moment of birth! He doesn't dispute the birth ...