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Why the West Rules—For Now: The Patterns of History, and What They Reveal about the Future
Why did British boats shoot their way up the Yangzi in 1842, rather than Chinese ones up the Thames? Why do Easterners use English more than Europeans speak in Mandarin or Japanese? To put it bluntly, why does the West rule? There are two schools of thought: the "Long-Term Lock-In" theory, suggesting some sort of inevitability, and the "Short-Term Accident" theory. But both approaches have misunderstood the shape of history.
Ian Morris presents a startling new theory, drawing on thousands of years of history and archaeology, and the methods of social science. He explains with flair and authority why the paths of development differed in the East and West and – also analysing a vicious twist in trajectories just ahead of us – when the West's lead will come to an end.
681 pages, Kindle Edition
First published October 12, 2010
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October 18, 2023
AS HISTORY SHOWS, THE WEST'S DOMINANCE HAS BEEN AN EXCEPTION
Something strange was afoot. A mere geographer, Jared Diamond, had had the temerity to publish a history book, upending centuries of historians’ speculations about the reasons why civilization first developed in the Middle East. It was 2005, and the book was Guns, Germs, and Steel. History by non-historians? Unthinkable.
Five years later an archaeologist, Ian Morris, wrote another history book for the general reader called Why the West Rules—for Now. Building on Diamond’s thesis, Morris laid out his own, more comprehensive view of the course of human history, reaching back 15,000 years and venturing into the 22nd Century.
DEBUNKING THE GREAT MAN THEORY OF HISTORY
While some historians still engaged in the stale debate about whether “Great Men” or social forces and ideas are dominant in history, Diamond and Morris convincingly laid out the case for the greater influence of the larger context in which human history takes place. They delved not just into geography but also (in Morris’ case) into biology, sociology, and archaeology.
In fact, Morris has little patience for the Great Man Theory of History. “The most that any of these great men/bungling idiots did was to speed up or slow down processes that were already under way,” he writes. “None really wrestled history down a whole new path. Even Mao, perhaps the most megalomaniac of all, only managed to postpone China’s industrial takeoff.”
A LIVELY AND READABLE SURVEY OF HUMAN HISTORY
As you may surmise, this is not a dry college textbook. Just for example, the author advances what he calls, tongue in cheek, the “Morris Theorem” that “Change is caused by lazy, greedy, frightened people looking for easier, more profitable, and safer ways to do things. And they rarely know what they’re doing.” There are times when the pace drags, as when Morris follows the endless rise and fall of Chinese dynasties. But on the whole the book is lively and eminently readable.
Like Diamond, Morris set out to understand why what today is called “the West” has dominated the planet for at least the past two centuries. The standard historical explanation is that sometime around 1800, the Industrial Revolution caused a sharp increase in development in Europe and North America. As Morris explains, however, “this upturn was itself only the latest example of a very long-term pattern of steadily accelerating social development.”
MEASURING “SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT” WITH A FOUR-FACTOR TOOL
In Why the West Rules, Morris explores the state of society and the quality of life in both West and East since long before the onset of written history in the first millennium BCE. In fact, he traces human history since the passing of the last Ice Age 15,000 years ago. With a four-factor analytical tool of his own, Morris measures “social development” since then in each of the two broad regions of East and West. (His four benchmarks are “energy capture, urbanization, information technology, and war-making capacity.”) From this perspective, viewing history a thousand years at a time, he concludes that “the East has been the most developed region of the world for fourteen of the last fifteen millennia.”
It is that exception—a period of about 1,200 years from the Sixth Century until the 18th, when the West finally wrested itself out of the legacy of the Dark Ages—that Morris seizes upon to refute those who assert that the West has always “ruled” and is destined to do so forever.
DISCERNING THE SHAPE OF THINGS TO COME
As telegraphed in his subtitle (The Patterns of History, and What They Reveal About the Future), Morris’s ultimate goal is to discern the shape of times to come. His conclusion is noncommittal: “The great question for our times is not whether the West will continue to rule. It is whether humanity as a whole will break through to an entirely new kind of existence before disaster strikes us.”
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
According to his biography at the Stanford University King Center for Global Development, “Ian Morris is a historian and archaeologist and holds Stanford’s Jean and Rebecca Willard Professorship in classics. In addition to his Stanford appointment, he is also a senior fellow of the IDEAS think tank at the London School of Economics, a corresponding fellow of the British Academy, a senior fellow of the Institute for Advanced Studies at the University of Toulouse, a fellow of the Society of Antiquaries and the Royal Society for the Arts, a contributing editor at the strategic forecasting company Stratfor, and a member of the scientific advisory board of the Max Planck Institute.”
Wikipedia reveals further that Morris was born in Staffordshire, England in 1960 and educated at the University of Birmingham and Cambridge University, where he received his PhD in Archaeology. After teaching for eight years at the University of Chicago, he moved to Stanford in 1995 and has been on the faculty there ever since. He is the author of eight books and editor or coeditor of many more.
Morris describes himself as an archaeologist, and he has been an academic for more than thirty-five years. But his interests are clearly more expansive than those of the typical college history teacher. In Why the West Rules, he draws upon insights and examples from science fiction, popular film and television shows, and from his own personal experience on excavations in Sicily. This is how history should be written!
Something strange was afoot. A mere geographer, Jared Diamond, had had the temerity to publish a history book, upending centuries of historians’ speculations about the reasons why civilization first developed in the Middle East. It was 2005, and the book was Guns, Germs, and Steel. History by non-historians? Unthinkable.
Five years later an archaeologist, Ian Morris, wrote another history book for the general reader called Why the West Rules—for Now. Building on Diamond’s thesis, Morris laid out his own, more comprehensive view of the course of human history, reaching back 15,000 years and venturing into the 22nd Century.
DEBUNKING THE GREAT MAN THEORY OF HISTORY
While some historians still engaged in the stale debate about whether “Great Men” or social forces and ideas are dominant in history, Diamond and Morris convincingly laid out the case for the greater influence of the larger context in which human history takes place. They delved not just into geography but also (in Morris’ case) into biology, sociology, and archaeology.
In fact, Morris has little patience for the Great Man Theory of History. “The most that any of these great men/bungling idiots did was to speed up or slow down processes that were already under way,” he writes. “None really wrestled history down a whole new path. Even Mao, perhaps the most megalomaniac of all, only managed to postpone China’s industrial takeoff.”
A LIVELY AND READABLE SURVEY OF HUMAN HISTORY
As you may surmise, this is not a dry college textbook. Just for example, the author advances what he calls, tongue in cheek, the “Morris Theorem” that “Change is caused by lazy, greedy, frightened people looking for easier, more profitable, and safer ways to do things. And they rarely know what they’re doing.” There are times when the pace drags, as when Morris follows the endless rise and fall of Chinese dynasties. But on the whole the book is lively and eminently readable.
Like Diamond, Morris set out to understand why what today is called “the West” has dominated the planet for at least the past two centuries. The standard historical explanation is that sometime around 1800, the Industrial Revolution caused a sharp increase in development in Europe and North America. As Morris explains, however, “this upturn was itself only the latest example of a very long-term pattern of steadily accelerating social development.”
MEASURING “SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT” WITH A FOUR-FACTOR TOOL
In Why the West Rules, Morris explores the state of society and the quality of life in both West and East since long before the onset of written history in the first millennium BCE. In fact, he traces human history since the passing of the last Ice Age 15,000 years ago. With a four-factor analytical tool of his own, Morris measures “social development” since then in each of the two broad regions of East and West. (His four benchmarks are “energy capture, urbanization, information technology, and war-making capacity.”) From this perspective, viewing history a thousand years at a time, he concludes that “the East has been the most developed region of the world for fourteen of the last fifteen millennia.”
It is that exception—a period of about 1,200 years from the Sixth Century until the 18th, when the West finally wrested itself out of the legacy of the Dark Ages—that Morris seizes upon to refute those who assert that the West has always “ruled” and is destined to do so forever.
DISCERNING THE SHAPE OF THINGS TO COME
As telegraphed in his subtitle (The Patterns of History, and What They Reveal About the Future), Morris’s ultimate goal is to discern the shape of times to come. His conclusion is noncommittal: “The great question for our times is not whether the West will continue to rule. It is whether humanity as a whole will break through to an entirely new kind of existence before disaster strikes us.”
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
According to his biography at the Stanford University King Center for Global Development, “Ian Morris is a historian and archaeologist and holds Stanford’s Jean and Rebecca Willard Professorship in classics. In addition to his Stanford appointment, he is also a senior fellow of the IDEAS think tank at the London School of Economics, a corresponding fellow of the British Academy, a senior fellow of the Institute for Advanced Studies at the University of Toulouse, a fellow of the Society of Antiquaries and the Royal Society for the Arts, a contributing editor at the strategic forecasting company Stratfor, and a member of the scientific advisory board of the Max Planck Institute.”
Wikipedia reveals further that Morris was born in Staffordshire, England in 1960 and educated at the University of Birmingham and Cambridge University, where he received his PhD in Archaeology. After teaching for eight years at the University of Chicago, he moved to Stanford in 1995 and has been on the faculty there ever since. He is the author of eight books and editor or coeditor of many more.
Morris describes himself as an archaeologist, and he has been an academic for more than thirty-five years. But his interests are clearly more expansive than those of the typical college history teacher. In Why the West Rules, he draws upon insights and examples from science fiction, popular film and television shows, and from his own personal experience on excavations in Sicily. This is how history should be written!
April 21, 2014
Wow, all those four- and five-star reviews. I disagree.
First up, it should be called Why China Hasn't Ruled the World Up Till Now, But Will After 2103.¹
The book opens with an AU, in which the Chinese navy forces Queen Victoria to swear fealty, and takes Albert hostage to ensure her co-operation. Morris asks, "Why did British boats shoot their way up the Yangzi in 1842, rather than Chinese ones up the Thames?" (p. 11) This is an exciting and interesting question. Morris finally answers it 546 rather wearisome pages later: "The West rules because of geography."
His next statement will be somewhat surprising to sociologists: "Sociology provide[s] universal laws, applying to all humans in all times and places; geography explains differences" (p. 557).
Well, I think that's complete crap. Sadly a review space is not the place to go into why it's complete crap, nor is it a space in which I can convince anyone who agrees with Morris.
The second key reason that Morris and I can't agree is that he thinks 900 years is a long time (p. 575). Morris and I actually agree that if you rewind history to 1100 it's anyone's ball game. To Morris, that's a vast swathe of history. But if we start where Morris starts, with Homo habilis, 2,500,000 years ago, (p. 43) 900 years is nothing.
The third reason is that Morris doesn't think the "what-if game" changes that basic fact that "whether the West would rule by 2000 [is] a matter of probabilities, not of . . . accidents"; but it's all a what-if game. Geographically, nothing changed in those last 900 years (ok, the Little Ice Age, but that's a cyclical climate blip, you know?) So, with Morris acknowledging that if we start again in 1100 it could "plausibly lead to Eastern rule by 2000" (p. 575) it's not geographical, is it? It's all a "wild-card." Morris argues that without "guns and armies that could close the steppes" it was "never very likely . . . that the East would industrialize first, gain the ability to project its power globally, and turn its lead in social development into rule the way the West would subsequently do." Really? What if K'ung-fu-tzu dies in infancy and Confucianism never gets developed, gains prominence, and causes the Han dynasty to look down on merchants? One of the tasks of Zheng He's voyages is therefore to open trading routes, and his ships don't stop with the Indian Ocean. Han merchants and diplomats push on into Europe, while they also cross the Pacific, beat both France and England to Australia, and colonize South America before Portugal gets there.
Fourthly, Morris presents "rule" as a binary choice: either the West rules or the East rules. What if Timur Lenk,² who was certainly in diplomatic contact with Charles VI of France, proposed an alliance, and with the support of European troops as well, took on the Ming dynasty in a late Spring campaign, avoiding both winter troop movements, and the plague, thereby winning, and creating a single unified alliance spanning the entire distance from the Pacific to the Atlantic.
It's all luck, innit. And uncharacteristic tactical missteps. It's all a game of what-if, and Morris presents it as entirely the most probable and logical outcome. That's a lot like arguing that intelligent bipeds with binocular color vision are the most probable outcome for evolution.
What I really hoped to find in this book was an understanding of the more complex reasons why China hasn't "ruled" before now (and I do agree with Morris that after 2103 it's China all the way, baby. I don't think that's shockingly new information.) And no, "geography" does not provide us with the answer. Example: a Western economic paradigm does not necessarily apply to China, and compared to other aspects of culture, economics at least gives you hard data to work with.
In 1788 hail destroys French crops: in 1789 8,000 starving people storm the Bastille, 7,000 (mainly women) surround Versailles.
Between 1958-1962, Mao's Great Leap Forward, 20 million people starved to death³ (p. 545): rather than revolt, "parents would allow their children to starve to death . . . they stopped giving the girl-children food."(4)
Why the difference?
Morris calls it "the West's corrosive, liberal acid" that "[eats] away the barriers within societies and those between them" and "geography" does not explain this. I'm going to have to find some good contextualizing histories written by Chinese authors.
Aside from all this (and it's a big aside) I didn't find the book particularly readable. Morris wisely starts the journey by telling us that to answer the titular (implied) question, we must "confront the most basic issues: What is the West? . . . What do we mean by rule?" (p. 35). Well, I hope you packed provisions, folks. History should be a hike through fields and forests, stopping to admire both panoramic vistas and the tiny delicate indigo stripes on a pansy, sometimes meandering, other times running and leaping like fools. Morris leads us on a forced march across a vast plain. "Forward, fellows!" he cries. "I swear there's a point here somewhere, just a bit further." Onwards we slog, for 518 pages. I whined a lot. Morris kept me going with tales of bloodthirsty uppity women who had their son's eyes plucked out, or imprisoned (the whole son, not just the eyes) so they could rule. Sometimes I'd heard the story before: "Wait a minute," I'd say. "Are you sure that's how it goes?" It mattered not - Morris was off, gone, striding over the centuries like a colossus in his own mind.
The text is occasionally broken by graphs. I'm going to let one speak for itself here *cough x-axis cough*
If you like history this is not a book I'd recommend. While the scope is impressive, it achieves that by leaving charm in the bedside drawer at home: it's MREs all the way and there is no room for personal extras on this journey. If you don't like history, for the gods' sake, don't make this your first book.
Not recommended.
¹ The whole premise of the book is to present a Europe-China binary, contrasting and comparing developments in both. The idea that anywhere else could have come to "rule" isn't even considered. That the Shona, for example, constructing Great Zimbabwe in the 11th century, could have spread their civilization through to North Africa, Spain, and then across the Med to pre-Renaissance Europe . . . well, Zimbabwe isn't even in the book. Film director Robert Zemekis is, but not Zimbabwe. Equally, forget India, or Russia, and let's reduce the 1258 sacking of Bagdhad to a single paragraph on page 391.
Morris doesn't actually equate the "West" with Europe when it doesn't suit him, rather defining it sometimes as everything literally "west" of China e.g. "Cairo . . . remained the West's biggest and richest city" (p. 392). Nevertheless he refers to a "core," or "center of gravity," meaning European technology/economics/paradigms etc.
² Morris's tone pissed me off throughout the book. He calls Timur Lenk "Tamerlane," because military geniuses would much rather be called by the title of a romantic 1827 poem than, I don't know, their actual name. And he insists on using the term "ape-man" because it's "less of a mouthful." Gah!
At one point Morris writes, "you would be hard-pressed to avoid concluding that the West was more developed than the East" (p.60), and my friend Camille said, "Oh. It's gonna be that book, is it? Employing that tone... " Yes. This.
³ 20 million is at the very lower end of estimates. Frank Dikotter puts the death toll at 45 million, including 2.5 million tortured to death.
(4) Please note, this is a secondary source, these are not Morris's words - however he hasn't referenced it more than "another informant" so I can't cite the source. Also, I never knew till now you only get three footnotes to play with in GR's html. Huh.
First up, it should be called Why China Hasn't Ruled the World Up Till Now, But Will After 2103.¹
The book opens with an AU, in which the Chinese navy forces Queen Victoria to swear fealty, and takes Albert hostage to ensure her co-operation. Morris asks, "Why did British boats shoot their way up the Yangzi in 1842, rather than Chinese ones up the Thames?" (p. 11) This is an exciting and interesting question. Morris finally answers it 546 rather wearisome pages later: "The West rules because of geography."
His next statement will be somewhat surprising to sociologists: "Sociology provide[s] universal laws, applying to all humans in all times and places; geography explains differences" (p. 557).
Well, I think that's complete crap. Sadly a review space is not the place to go into why it's complete crap, nor is it a space in which I can convince anyone who agrees with Morris.
The second key reason that Morris and I can't agree is that he thinks 900 years is a long time (p. 575). Morris and I actually agree that if you rewind history to 1100 it's anyone's ball game. To Morris, that's a vast swathe of history. But if we start where Morris starts, with Homo habilis, 2,500,000 years ago, (p. 43) 900 years is nothing.
The third reason is that Morris doesn't think the "what-if game" changes that basic fact that "whether the West would rule by 2000 [is] a matter of probabilities, not of . . . accidents"; but it's all a what-if game. Geographically, nothing changed in those last 900 years (ok, the Little Ice Age, but that's a cyclical climate blip, you know?) So, with Morris acknowledging that if we start again in 1100 it could "plausibly lead to Eastern rule by 2000" (p. 575) it's not geographical, is it? It's all a "wild-card." Morris argues that without "guns and armies that could close the steppes" it was "never very likely . . . that the East would industrialize first, gain the ability to project its power globally, and turn its lead in social development into rule the way the West would subsequently do." Really? What if K'ung-fu-tzu dies in infancy and Confucianism never gets developed, gains prominence, and causes the Han dynasty to look down on merchants? One of the tasks of Zheng He's voyages is therefore to open trading routes, and his ships don't stop with the Indian Ocean. Han merchants and diplomats push on into Europe, while they also cross the Pacific, beat both France and England to Australia, and colonize South America before Portugal gets there.
Fourthly, Morris presents "rule" as a binary choice: either the West rules or the East rules. What if Timur Lenk,² who was certainly in diplomatic contact with Charles VI of France, proposed an alliance, and with the support of European troops as well, took on the Ming dynasty in a late Spring campaign, avoiding both winter troop movements, and the plague, thereby winning, and creating a single unified alliance spanning the entire distance from the Pacific to the Atlantic.
It's all luck, innit. And uncharacteristic tactical missteps. It's all a game of what-if, and Morris presents it as entirely the most probable and logical outcome. That's a lot like arguing that intelligent bipeds with binocular color vision are the most probable outcome for evolution.
What I really hoped to find in this book was an understanding of the more complex reasons why China hasn't "ruled" before now (and I do agree with Morris that after 2103 it's China all the way, baby. I don't think that's shockingly new information.) And no, "geography" does not provide us with the answer. Example: a Western economic paradigm does not necessarily apply to China, and compared to other aspects of culture, economics at least gives you hard data to work with.
In 1788 hail destroys French crops: in 1789 8,000 starving people storm the Bastille, 7,000 (mainly women) surround Versailles.
Between 1958-1962, Mao's Great Leap Forward, 20 million people starved to death³ (p. 545): rather than revolt, "parents would allow their children to starve to death . . . they stopped giving the girl-children food."(4)
Why the difference?
Morris calls it "the West's corrosive, liberal acid" that "[eats] away the barriers within societies and those between them" and "geography" does not explain this. I'm going to have to find some good contextualizing histories written by Chinese authors.
Aside from all this (and it's a big aside) I didn't find the book particularly readable. Morris wisely starts the journey by telling us that to answer the titular (implied) question, we must "confront the most basic issues: What is the West? . . . What do we mean by rule?" (p. 35). Well, I hope you packed provisions, folks. History should be a hike through fields and forests, stopping to admire both panoramic vistas and the tiny delicate indigo stripes on a pansy, sometimes meandering, other times running and leaping like fools. Morris leads us on a forced march across a vast plain. "Forward, fellows!" he cries. "I swear there's a point here somewhere, just a bit further." Onwards we slog, for 518 pages. I whined a lot. Morris kept me going with tales of bloodthirsty uppity women who had their son's eyes plucked out, or imprisoned (the whole son, not just the eyes) so they could rule. Sometimes I'd heard the story before: "Wait a minute," I'd say. "Are you sure that's how it goes?" It mattered not - Morris was off, gone, striding over the centuries like a colossus in his own mind.
The text is occasionally broken by graphs. I'm going to let one speak for itself here *cough x-axis cough*
If you like history this is not a book I'd recommend. While the scope is impressive, it achieves that by leaving charm in the bedside drawer at home: it's MREs all the way and there is no room for personal extras on this journey. If you don't like history, for the gods' sake, don't make this your first book.
Not recommended.
¹ The whole premise of the book is to present a Europe-China binary, contrasting and comparing developments in both. The idea that anywhere else could have come to "rule" isn't even considered. That the Shona, for example, constructing Great Zimbabwe in the 11th century, could have spread their civilization through to North Africa, Spain, and then across the Med to pre-Renaissance Europe . . . well, Zimbabwe isn't even in the book. Film director Robert Zemekis is, but not Zimbabwe. Equally, forget India, or Russia, and let's reduce the 1258 sacking of Bagdhad to a single paragraph on page 391.
Morris doesn't actually equate the "West" with Europe when it doesn't suit him, rather defining it sometimes as everything literally "west" of China e.g. "Cairo . . . remained the West's biggest and richest city" (p. 392). Nevertheless he refers to a "core," or "center of gravity," meaning European technology/economics/paradigms etc.
² Morris's tone pissed me off throughout the book. He calls Timur Lenk "Tamerlane," because military geniuses would much rather be called by the title of a romantic 1827 poem than, I don't know, their actual name. And he insists on using the term "ape-man" because it's "less of a mouthful." Gah!
At one point Morris writes, "you would be hard-pressed to avoid concluding that the West was more developed than the East" (p.60), and my friend Camille said, "Oh. It's gonna be that book, is it? Employing that tone... " Yes. This.
³ 20 million is at the very lower end of estimates. Frank Dikotter puts the death toll at 45 million, including 2.5 million tortured to death.
(4) Please note, this is a secondary source, these are not Morris's words - however he hasn't referenced it more than "another informant" so I can't cite the source. Also, I never knew till now you only get three footnotes to play with in GR's html. Huh.
May 29, 2024
O carte care intră în topul cărților de istorie preferate.
Este o istorie comparată a Vestului și a Estului, plecând de la primii hominizi care s-au instalat în Eurasia: Homo Erectus. E remarcabil cum Vestul și Estul au parcurs aceleași etape, chiar dacă au stat mult timp izolate. Spune ceva despre natura umană.
Vestul cuprinde, în accepțiunea lui Ian Morris, și lumea musulmană. În Evul Mediu se poate vorbi de un centru musulman și de o periferie creștină.
Mi-a plăcut că autorul a despicat foarte bine cauzele punctelor de inflexiune. A luat în vedere "oamenii mari ai istoriei", pe cei neisnpirați, factorii economici, demografici, culturali, epidemiologici și geografici. Timp de milenii, de la Revoluția Agricolă până în Evul Mediu, Vestul a deținut supremația datorită factorului ecologic, geografic. Așa cum bine a argumentat Jared Diamond în cartea "Arme, virusuri și oțel". Abia în secolul XVIII Vestul a luat din nou fața Estului.
Recomand
Este o istorie comparată a Vestului și a Estului, plecând de la primii hominizi care s-au instalat în Eurasia: Homo Erectus. E remarcabil cum Vestul și Estul au parcurs aceleași etape, chiar dacă au stat mult timp izolate. Spune ceva despre natura umană.
Vestul cuprinde, în accepțiunea lui Ian Morris, și lumea musulmană. În Evul Mediu se poate vorbi de un centru musulman și de o periferie creștină.
Mi-a plăcut că autorul a despicat foarte bine cauzele punctelor de inflexiune. A luat în vedere "oamenii mari ai istoriei", pe cei neisnpirați, factorii economici, demografici, culturali, epidemiologici și geografici. Timp de milenii, de la Revoluția Agricolă până în Evul Mediu, Vestul a deținut supremația datorită factorului ecologic, geografic. Așa cum bine a argumentat Jared Diamond în cartea "Arme, virusuri și oțel". Abia în secolul XVIII Vestul a luat din nou fața Estului.
Recomand
April 22, 2019
This is another real doorstopper (750 pages, without notes and bibliography) about "the Great Divergence", the debate about why the West has gained such a head start in human history that it has come to dominate the world. Archaeologist Ian Morris is not just anyone, he’s a professor at Stanford University (California), and has a good reputation in Western ancient history. It is a bold undertaking that he has dared to tackle this tricky issue that so many others have gotten their teeth in. Judging from his bibliography and the notes, he did not do that a blink of the eye: this thick book is based on a cartload of reading material and every claim is, as it should be, substantiated with references.
Morris' view on the Divergence issue is that geographic coincidence was decisive for the (temporary) dominance of the West: because as a peripheral area in the Middle Ages, Western Europe frantically tried to get up to the level of the much richer Islamic world (which according to him at that time was the core area of the West), and because the Atlantic gave it much easier access to a vast area (the New World) with huge resources. Put a bit briefly, according to Morris everything else really didn't matter that much. The East (for him only limited to China) could just as well have achieved dominance, but it was much less challenged by geography.
The great strengths of this work are Morris' own systematic approach, with even an attempt to make a measurable comparison of human cultures, and the very legible, narrative character of this (almost) world-wide history. His major weaknesses, on the other hand, are a very negative view of what drives humanity, a questionable interpretation of what the terms "East" and "West" cover, and a geographical determinism that particularly undervalues the cultural factor in human history. For a detailed discussion of those strengths and weaknesses, see my review in my Senseofhistory account on Goodreads, https://www.goodreads.com/review/show...
Morris' view on the Divergence issue is that geographic coincidence was decisive for the (temporary) dominance of the West: because as a peripheral area in the Middle Ages, Western Europe frantically tried to get up to the level of the much richer Islamic world (which according to him at that time was the core area of the West), and because the Atlantic gave it much easier access to a vast area (the New World) with huge resources. Put a bit briefly, according to Morris everything else really didn't matter that much. The East (for him only limited to China) could just as well have achieved dominance, but it was much less challenged by geography.
The great strengths of this work are Morris' own systematic approach, with even an attempt to make a measurable comparison of human cultures, and the very legible, narrative character of this (almost) world-wide history. His major weaknesses, on the other hand, are a very negative view of what drives humanity, a questionable interpretation of what the terms "East" and "West" cover, and a geographical determinism that particularly undervalues the cultural factor in human history. For a detailed discussion of those strengths and weaknesses, see my review in my Senseofhistory account on Goodreads, https://www.goodreads.com/review/show...
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October 21, 2024An original contribution to the Great Divergence Debate, but with some essential weaknesses
I’ll start with the strengths of this book, and also the presentation of his Morris' central theses and method. The charm of Ian Morris' work is that he combines modesty and boldness. His entire book, for example, is based on the view that human history is driven by 3 petty human impulses: that people are lazy, greedy and fearful and always seek solutions to their problems based on those three characteristics. Time and again he explains major changes in history through one or a combination of those characteristics. A bit blunt, he even calls this approach "the Morris theorem". There is a slight sarcasm involved in this, and that brings some lightness into this academic work.
Another merit of Morris is that, unlike others in the Great Divergence debate, he does not limit himself to the last 200 to 300 years of human history, but he covers the whole of human history. Of course that is what you could expect from an archaeologist, but it seems to me that Morris is on this by Jared Diamond who has elaborated an equally broad approach in his Guns, Germs, and Steel: The Fates of Human Societies and who has put forward some clever hypotheses about Western dominance, namely based on a combination of biological and geographical elements (the huge size of the Eurasian continent, with its West-East orientation that allows for easy exchange, and which also resulted in much more biological diversity on that continent). Morris fits in with this view in his own way, but he emphasizes more the geographical component and the interaction between core areas and periphery (though absolutely not in the way Immanuel Wallerstein used that model).
Without a doubt the greatest merit of Morris is that he has tried to capture the whole of human development in a theoretical model that makes social development measurable and shows how humanity has realised ever higher levels of development (with ups and downs of course), in different geographical areas. He deliberately kept the criteria on which he based his quantification limited (energy consumption, organizational capacity, military capacity and information technology), and due to his focus on East and West the graphs that he worked out are very transparent and seem utterly relevant. Of course, you can endlessly criticize the choices he has made and the data on which he relies, and Morris himself admits that his model is open to discussion (even though he defends his choices with fervour). I personally think it's great that he did this exercise, and it certainly is a starting point for further discussion.
On top of that, Morris is not afraid to make projections for the future based on his findings. Although as a historian I’m sceptic about this kind of bold approach (see my points of critic), but Morris at least shows that the study of history is not a voluntary activity and that absolutely relevant conclusions can be drawn on the way humanity thrives today and can evolve in the near future.
Just one more positive addendum: the readability of this book. Packing the whole of human history in more than 600 pages (I am not including his projections for the future) is no small achievement, certainly because he succeeds in keeping our attention as a reader. Morris also introduces a lot of new material, especially in the first chapters, while for the more recent periods (roughly from 1600 onwards) he moves much faster, even somewhat more superficial. Also commendable is his relatively much greater attention to Eastern history, as an understandable correction for the eurocentrism of most World Histories. Very occasionally Morris loses himself a bit in the chaotic succession of Chinese dynasties, but all in all this book is very good edited.
Weak points
The first is a very important issue: Morris uses a very broad geographical concept of what the West is, and a very limited one for the East. For him, the West represents all cultures that originated from what was originally the first Western culture in the Fertile Sickle: stretching from the Ancient Middle East (Mesopotamia, Egypt, Persia), the ancient Mediterranean cultures (Greece and Rome) , Northwestern Europe in the Middle Ages and Modern Era and of course also the entire New World (the Americas, but also Australia). Remarkably he also includes all of Arabia and the Islamic culture; that is original and astonishing, and he has some strong arguments for this, but it also comes with some downsides, making his story of Western History rather less homogenic than he presents it to be. On top of that he limits the East to all cultures that have grown out of the first agricultural cultures in China; in this book it’s China all over, in much detail, and peripheric areas like Korea, Japan, Central and South-East Asia only occasionally pop up. Worse still, Africa and especially India remain almost completely out of the picture, and that is simply incomprehensible and a great distortion of human history.
I think Morris's compulsion to simplify as much as possible is the cause of this omission, because if he had to push Africa and India into his story, his beautiful East-West schedule would have been greatly distorted. In line with that, the entire book also suffers from an East-West myopia that almost constantly leads Morris to highlight the similarities in the development of East and West, reducing his divergence story to a divergence only in pace, not in essence, and also that leads to a very debatable representation of world history.
Some detail criticism is also possible on Morris's treatment of the earliest times. Like so many others he sketches an image of the earliest human history based on very limited finds and sources, although as an archaeologist he must be very well aware of the limitations of his metier. It is also striking that he almost constantly cites climate change as a probable explanation for major shifts in human development, and he attributes these almost exclusively to deviations in the Earth's axis and Earth's orbit; now, the study of these phenomena to me still seem so to be in a pioneering stage, and so it is strange Morris lends so much authority to the few works that have been published on this subject.
In many reviews Morris is accused of determinism, and there is something to be said for that. In my enumeration of the positive aspects of the book, I already mentioned Diamond and his biological-geographic determinism. Morris further reduces this to a geographical determinism: the Western or the Eastern lead in different periods of human history all just come down to the geographical boundaries of those era’s. In his sketch of the constant dynamics between core areas and periphery and the Great Exchange between East and West, he certainly attributes some space to biological and sociological elements, but very strikingly cultural elements are almost completely absent. In his conclusion he’s even very derogatory towards the Western Renaissance and the entire Modernity discourse that emerged from it. Now, I’m aware this concept of "modernity" has its issues, but Morris keeps it practically unmentioned throughout the book. Also, the input of individual choices by leading figures is reduced to an absolute minimum. According to Morris, each culture simply and inevitably developed the obvious solutions to the problems with which that culture was confronted (due to shifts in the geographical horizon); individual creativity, the obstinate will of great rulers or the impact of cultural factors (such as religion) at most played a role in the pace at which the changes occurred, nothing more. Because of that very strict point of view Morris’ story occasionally gets into trouble, and ultimately it also undermines his explanation for the Western domination of the world. And that is an essential weakness.
Finally, there’s that famous "Morris theorem", namely that any historical change can ultimately be attributed to the laziness, greed and fear of humans. These human impulses naturally play a major role in history, there is simply no discussion about that. But here too Morris goes way too far in his simplification. Because inevitably it gives his history a very negative focus: why should only the "low impulses" of man be decisive, and not just the more positive ones such as the urge for excellence, the drive to transcend oneself, to indulge in empathy and altruism? Or, to keep it less elevated: adventurousness, practical utilitarianism and so on? I fully understand that Morris wanted to keep his story manageable, and he really succeeds in that. But he does so at the expense of a number of elements that deny the complexity of human history and of reality itself.
Futurism
In the end, all these weaknesses become clear in the "futuristic" section at the end of his book. Again, it is worthwhile that he tries to learn lessons from history (I know that academic historians are very hesitant about this, but under certain conditions it is worth to try). But because of his geographical determinism and his narrow view of what drives humanity, his look into the future just ends up in open doors: yes, after a period of 200 years of western domination, the east is now coming up, and yes, humanity faces enormous challenges because the nuclear weapons arsenal and the threat of major climate change make the total destruction of our planet conceivable. Morris gets lost in a chaotic, almost endless sequence of "what if" arguments, where he only ends up in a plea for a "Great Singularity" (the merging of all differences between east and west, even in the form of a connected human brain) and a Kantian plea for a world government. The whole of this futuristic chapter, written in 2010, immediately brings at light how quickly such looking ahead can become obsolete.
All these critical remarks do not alter the fact that I think this is a very worthwhile book. At least Morris’ great merit is that he dares to take a broad look, somewhat like the adepts of Big History, but with a closer eye for the historical contingency. And his quantification method may be open to discussion, it is at least a starting point for further adjustments and refinements. Morris rightly quotes Karl Popper: progress in (exact) science is a matter of speculation and refutation, it follows a zigzag course because one researcher suggests an idea and others rush to refute it, and in the process come up with better ideas. So, if there’s one lesson to remember: historians and others, take up the challenge of Ian Morris!
I’ll start with the strengths of this book, and also the presentation of his Morris' central theses and method. The charm of Ian Morris' work is that he combines modesty and boldness. His entire book, for example, is based on the view that human history is driven by 3 petty human impulses: that people are lazy, greedy and fearful and always seek solutions to their problems based on those three characteristics. Time and again he explains major changes in history through one or a combination of those characteristics. A bit blunt, he even calls this approach "the Morris theorem". There is a slight sarcasm involved in this, and that brings some lightness into this academic work.
Another merit of Morris is that, unlike others in the Great Divergence debate, he does not limit himself to the last 200 to 300 years of human history, but he covers the whole of human history. Of course that is what you could expect from an archaeologist, but it seems to me that Morris is on this by Jared Diamond who has elaborated an equally broad approach in his Guns, Germs, and Steel: The Fates of Human Societies and who has put forward some clever hypotheses about Western dominance, namely based on a combination of biological and geographical elements (the huge size of the Eurasian continent, with its West-East orientation that allows for easy exchange, and which also resulted in much more biological diversity on that continent). Morris fits in with this view in his own way, but he emphasizes more the geographical component and the interaction between core areas and periphery (though absolutely not in the way Immanuel Wallerstein used that model).
Without a doubt the greatest merit of Morris is that he has tried to capture the whole of human development in a theoretical model that makes social development measurable and shows how humanity has realised ever higher levels of development (with ups and downs of course), in different geographical areas. He deliberately kept the criteria on which he based his quantification limited (energy consumption, organizational capacity, military capacity and information technology), and due to his focus on East and West the graphs that he worked out are very transparent and seem utterly relevant. Of course, you can endlessly criticize the choices he has made and the data on which he relies, and Morris himself admits that his model is open to discussion (even though he defends his choices with fervour). I personally think it's great that he did this exercise, and it certainly is a starting point for further discussion.
On top of that, Morris is not afraid to make projections for the future based on his findings. Although as a historian I’m sceptic about this kind of bold approach (see my points of critic), but Morris at least shows that the study of history is not a voluntary activity and that absolutely relevant conclusions can be drawn on the way humanity thrives today and can evolve in the near future.
Just one more positive addendum: the readability of this book. Packing the whole of human history in more than 600 pages (I am not including his projections for the future) is no small achievement, certainly because he succeeds in keeping our attention as a reader. Morris also introduces a lot of new material, especially in the first chapters, while for the more recent periods (roughly from 1600 onwards) he moves much faster, even somewhat more superficial. Also commendable is his relatively much greater attention to Eastern history, as an understandable correction for the eurocentrism of most World Histories. Very occasionally Morris loses himself a bit in the chaotic succession of Chinese dynasties, but all in all this book is very good edited.
Weak points
The first is a very important issue: Morris uses a very broad geographical concept of what the West is, and a very limited one for the East. For him, the West represents all cultures that originated from what was originally the first Western culture in the Fertile Sickle: stretching from the Ancient Middle East (Mesopotamia, Egypt, Persia), the ancient Mediterranean cultures (Greece and Rome) , Northwestern Europe in the Middle Ages and Modern Era and of course also the entire New World (the Americas, but also Australia). Remarkably he also includes all of Arabia and the Islamic culture; that is original and astonishing, and he has some strong arguments for this, but it also comes with some downsides, making his story of Western History rather less homogenic than he presents it to be. On top of that he limits the East to all cultures that have grown out of the first agricultural cultures in China; in this book it’s China all over, in much detail, and peripheric areas like Korea, Japan, Central and South-East Asia only occasionally pop up. Worse still, Africa and especially India remain almost completely out of the picture, and that is simply incomprehensible and a great distortion of human history.
I think Morris's compulsion to simplify as much as possible is the cause of this omission, because if he had to push Africa and India into his story, his beautiful East-West schedule would have been greatly distorted. In line with that, the entire book also suffers from an East-West myopia that almost constantly leads Morris to highlight the similarities in the development of East and West, reducing his divergence story to a divergence only in pace, not in essence, and also that leads to a very debatable representation of world history.
Some detail criticism is also possible on Morris's treatment of the earliest times. Like so many others he sketches an image of the earliest human history based on very limited finds and sources, although as an archaeologist he must be very well aware of the limitations of his metier. It is also striking that he almost constantly cites climate change as a probable explanation for major shifts in human development, and he attributes these almost exclusively to deviations in the Earth's axis and Earth's orbit; now, the study of these phenomena to me still seem so to be in a pioneering stage, and so it is strange Morris lends so much authority to the few works that have been published on this subject.
In many reviews Morris is accused of determinism, and there is something to be said for that. In my enumeration of the positive aspects of the book, I already mentioned Diamond and his biological-geographic determinism. Morris further reduces this to a geographical determinism: the Western or the Eastern lead in different periods of human history all just come down to the geographical boundaries of those era’s. In his sketch of the constant dynamics between core areas and periphery and the Great Exchange between East and West, he certainly attributes some space to biological and sociological elements, but very strikingly cultural elements are almost completely absent. In his conclusion he’s even very derogatory towards the Western Renaissance and the entire Modernity discourse that emerged from it. Now, I’m aware this concept of "modernity" has its issues, but Morris keeps it practically unmentioned throughout the book. Also, the input of individual choices by leading figures is reduced to an absolute minimum. According to Morris, each culture simply and inevitably developed the obvious solutions to the problems with which that culture was confronted (due to shifts in the geographical horizon); individual creativity, the obstinate will of great rulers or the impact of cultural factors (such as religion) at most played a role in the pace at which the changes occurred, nothing more. Because of that very strict point of view Morris’ story occasionally gets into trouble, and ultimately it also undermines his explanation for the Western domination of the world. And that is an essential weakness.
Finally, there’s that famous "Morris theorem", namely that any historical change can ultimately be attributed to the laziness, greed and fear of humans. These human impulses naturally play a major role in history, there is simply no discussion about that. But here too Morris goes way too far in his simplification. Because inevitably it gives his history a very negative focus: why should only the "low impulses" of man be decisive, and not just the more positive ones such as the urge for excellence, the drive to transcend oneself, to indulge in empathy and altruism? Or, to keep it less elevated: adventurousness, practical utilitarianism and so on? I fully understand that Morris wanted to keep his story manageable, and he really succeeds in that. But he does so at the expense of a number of elements that deny the complexity of human history and of reality itself.
Futurism
In the end, all these weaknesses become clear in the "futuristic" section at the end of his book. Again, it is worthwhile that he tries to learn lessons from history (I know that academic historians are very hesitant about this, but under certain conditions it is worth to try). But because of his geographical determinism and his narrow view of what drives humanity, his look into the future just ends up in open doors: yes, after a period of 200 years of western domination, the east is now coming up, and yes, humanity faces enormous challenges because the nuclear weapons arsenal and the threat of major climate change make the total destruction of our planet conceivable. Morris gets lost in a chaotic, almost endless sequence of "what if" arguments, where he only ends up in a plea for a "Great Singularity" (the merging of all differences between east and west, even in the form of a connected human brain) and a Kantian plea for a world government. The whole of this futuristic chapter, written in 2010, immediately brings at light how quickly such looking ahead can become obsolete.
All these critical remarks do not alter the fact that I think this is a very worthwhile book. At least Morris’ great merit is that he dares to take a broad look, somewhat like the adepts of Big History, but with a closer eye for the historical contingency. And his quantification method may be open to discussion, it is at least a starting point for further adjustments and refinements. Morris rightly quotes Karl Popper: progress in (exact) science is a matter of speculation and refutation, it follows a zigzag course because one researcher suggests an idea and others rush to refute it, and in the process come up with better ideas. So, if there’s one lesson to remember: historians and others, take up the challenge of Ian Morris!
March 11, 2012
First off, this is a very readable, interesting and often insightful book. It works as a good history of development in East Asia and Europe.
I have mixed feelings about the scale of Morris' ambition, though. Or maybe just his framing.
He seems like he very much wants to the scholar who has *the* theory that explains why Europe came from behind to zoom past China in the last couple centuries, but to some extent the explanation is "civilizations face crises, if they are lucky they aren't that deep and trigger innovations that make them better." So he spends a lot of time on the details of various stresses, and how China or Europe responded; which is fun history but not quite a theory. He does make a convincing case that Europe did have some nice advantages built in, but this is a tendency and certainly not a lock.
So then he keeps stressing how "great men" and "bungling idiots" influence things but really didn't change much, and this or that event probably wouldn't have changed much on its own. To the point that I thought he was really protesting too much, trying to save a theory that promised too much. But in point of fact, when at the end he does make a stab at probabilities, I thought they were perfectly reasonable--so some element is rhetorically
I won't summarize his approach in any detail, but some of the things that I didn't know, or hadn't thought about in this perspective include: (1) The west did start agriculture earlier and essentially built up an "early lead" in the development race that lasted millennia (until after Rome); (2) both civilizations hit somewhat hard limits imposed by energy requirements, alleviated only intermittently by opening up new sources like water, wind and eventually coal; (3) the great nomads who roamed between the Russian steppes and Mongolia impacted everywhere, but geography meant they'd always draw more of China's focus towards the vast, less controllable land areas (as opposed to the option to exploit the seas for Europeans.)
Arbitrary and unnecessary numbers being assigned to things is a peeve of mine, and he overuses (but doesn't actually abuse) his "development index." Also, I do knock off points for quoting both Kurzweil Tom Friedman in the last chapter. Still, a very strong 3 stars.
I have mixed feelings about the scale of Morris' ambition, though. Or maybe just his framing.
He seems like he very much wants to the scholar who has *the* theory that explains why Europe came from behind to zoom past China in the last couple centuries, but to some extent the explanation is "civilizations face crises, if they are lucky they aren't that deep and trigger innovations that make them better." So he spends a lot of time on the details of various stresses, and how China or Europe responded; which is fun history but not quite a theory. He does make a convincing case that Europe did have some nice advantages built in, but this is a tendency and certainly not a lock.
So then he keeps stressing how "great men" and "bungling idiots" influence things but really didn't change much, and this or that event probably wouldn't have changed much on its own. To the point that I thought he was really protesting too much, trying to save a theory that promised too much. But in point of fact, when at the end he does make a stab at probabilities, I thought they were perfectly reasonable--so some element is rhetorically
I won't summarize his approach in any detail, but some of the things that I didn't know, or hadn't thought about in this perspective include: (1) The west did start agriculture earlier and essentially built up an "early lead" in the development race that lasted millennia (until after Rome); (2) both civilizations hit somewhat hard limits imposed by energy requirements, alleviated only intermittently by opening up new sources like water, wind and eventually coal; (3) the great nomads who roamed between the Russian steppes and Mongolia impacted everywhere, but geography meant they'd always draw more of China's focus towards the vast, less controllable land areas (as opposed to the option to exploit the seas for Europeans.)
Arbitrary and unnecessary numbers being assigned to things is a peeve of mine, and he overuses (but doesn't actually abuse) his "development index." Also, I do knock off points for quoting both Kurzweil Tom Friedman in the last chapter. Still, a very strong 3 stars.
August 25, 2016
This book was Fantastic! A+
Morris' main focus is "energy capture". He examines how organisms capture energy from the sun and from their surrounding environments and use that energy to remain active and build things. His particular interest is in how various groups of humans have captured and used energy over time to build the civilizations we have built throughout history. In addition to energy capture, he looks at the social, cultural, and economical forces that shaped various empires and political systems. What a novel approach to this subject! Far better than Jared Diamond's Guns, Germs, and Steel.
An example of his novel approach to the creation of human civilization is as follows:
How are cities a product of the sun?
We often think of plants and animals as products of the sun . The sun sends down energy, in the form of photons. The photons enter the leaves of plants. They excite the electrons, which set off a cascade that makes ATP (energy for the cells in the plant). Animals eat the plant and ingest the sun's energy. Still other animals come and eat the animal that ate the plant. though the sun's energy is less than it was when it arrived on the planet, the larger animals still is able to have a share of the sun's energy. It is easy to see how the sun's energy grew plants and the animals that ate those plants.
This author takes that logic one step further and is spot on! When human's capture their share of energy from the sun, they are able to remain alive, grow stronger, and reproduce more humans to increase their number. When humans captured enough energy to make many more humans (to do the work of building civilizations), construct many huts and many villages, and do more than survive (remain healthy), these energized humans were in a state that allowed them to capture even more of the sun's energy by creating agriculture. At first it took its toll. However, once they got the hang of it, they captured a lot of the sun's energy in the foods they grew, which were readily available to them. They then used that readily available energy, originally from the sun, to build small cities, large cities, and even great empires.
This author examines how the concept of kings likely emerged and what that had to do with building cities. Every part of this book was amazing. I read Bill Bryson's At Home and Witold Rybczynski's Home in the hopes of understanding how humans climbed down from the trees, inhabited caves, built tiny huts and eventually tiny villages and then built power structures, and built grand empires complete with palaces. However, neither of those books answered those questions. Morris answers them and more.
I listened to this book on audio (free from Hoopla). It was 21 hours long. At 9 hours I already became depressed knowing it would be over all too soon. I wish this book were 30 hours or longer. I loved every second of it!
Morris' main focus is "energy capture". He examines how organisms capture energy from the sun and from their surrounding environments and use that energy to remain active and build things. His particular interest is in how various groups of humans have captured and used energy over time to build the civilizations we have built throughout history. In addition to energy capture, he looks at the social, cultural, and economical forces that shaped various empires and political systems. What a novel approach to this subject! Far better than Jared Diamond's Guns, Germs, and Steel.
An example of his novel approach to the creation of human civilization is as follows:
How are cities a product of the sun?
We often think of plants and animals as products of the sun . The sun sends down energy, in the form of photons. The photons enter the leaves of plants. They excite the electrons, which set off a cascade that makes ATP (energy for the cells in the plant). Animals eat the plant and ingest the sun's energy. Still other animals come and eat the animal that ate the plant. though the sun's energy is less than it was when it arrived on the planet, the larger animals still is able to have a share of the sun's energy. It is easy to see how the sun's energy grew plants and the animals that ate those plants.
This author takes that logic one step further and is spot on! When human's capture their share of energy from the sun, they are able to remain alive, grow stronger, and reproduce more humans to increase their number. When humans captured enough energy to make many more humans (to do the work of building civilizations), construct many huts and many villages, and do more than survive (remain healthy), these energized humans were in a state that allowed them to capture even more of the sun's energy by creating agriculture. At first it took its toll. However, once they got the hang of it, they captured a lot of the sun's energy in the foods they grew, which were readily available to them. They then used that readily available energy, originally from the sun, to build small cities, large cities, and even great empires.
This author examines how the concept of kings likely emerged and what that had to do with building cities. Every part of this book was amazing. I read Bill Bryson's At Home and Witold Rybczynski's Home in the hopes of understanding how humans climbed down from the trees, inhabited caves, built tiny huts and eventually tiny villages and then built power structures, and built grand empires complete with palaces. However, neither of those books answered those questions. Morris answers them and more.
I listened to this book on audio (free from Hoopla). It was 21 hours long. At 9 hours I already became depressed knowing it would be over all too soon. I wish this book were 30 hours or longer. I loved every second of it!
December 6, 2012
While the title "Why the West Rules ... For Now" suggests a right wing polemic mourning the decline of Western Civilization, something written by Niall Ferguson at best, and Mark Levin at worst, Ian Morris' weighty volume is far from it (in fact, he has been criticized as being too culturally relativist). Instead, Ferguson gives a survey of the long view of human history, bringing into focus patterns that are obscured when one views history in terms of decades and centuries. Morris' book is in the tradition of Big History, and fills a similar niche to Jared Diamond's Guns, Germs, and Steel. Morris is a materialist, and clearly defines East and West, not through subjective cultural values, but as the civilizations emerging from the respective original cores of the "Hilly Flanks" (one of the many terms Morris uses), and the North China Plain. However, Morris' history is not about the oppositional contest between East and West, but more generally about the patterns of human social development, to which his quantitative mind provides a numerical index. Similarly to his colleague Fukuyama's recent work, Morris both spends much time discussing China, sees us at "the end" history. However, unlike Fukuyama's End of History (once 1989, now 1689?, Morris sees history as a series of contingencies and reactions to geographical problems. His future is not that of the triumph of liberal democracy, rather he sees humanity on the precipice of either the Singularity, or global nuclear and climate catastrophe. Either way, we are in for "interesting times". I highly reccomend this book to anyone interested in the long view of history, how we got from stone tools to Ipads, and how unique and unstable our modern civilization is.
(also, for those of you listening to the audiobook, the narrator's Chinese pronunciation is, as per Audible standards, atrocious)
(also, for those of you listening to the audiobook, the narrator's Chinese pronunciation is, as per Audible standards, atrocious)
August 2, 2011
Astounding! I was fascinated by the premise of the book (why DOES the West rule, anyway?) but I was blown away by the scope! To make his case, Morris starts us at the dawn of humankind and takes us on a guided tour through all periods of human history until a little less than a year ago.
His writing is wonderful. I felt as though I had a firm grasp on the big picture throughout the entire book. His tone is conversational and he interjects very mild humor where appropriate. As someone who has not read a lot of history, I found the specific historical topics completely fascinating. There are too many delightful historical anecdotes peppered throughout this book to count.
I loved the fact that Morris occasionally referenced science fiction (such as Isaac Asimov's Foundation series) and non-fictional works by authors like Erich von Daniken (Chariots of the Gods). He used these references to great effect in a "what if" sense to explore humankind's past, present, and future.
As for his theorem that the West gained traction over the East in the last few hundred years because of its geography, I can't really comment in a critical way because I simply don't have the background. But I felt Morris did an excellent job of explaining it. Most importantly, it seemed to make more sense than the competing theories (many of which have racist underpinnings). According to Morris's theory, the people of the East and West were more or less interchangeable. Their geography was not. And history seems to bear this out.
Do not be intimidated by the scope or subject of this book. It is an easy read and an absolute page-turner. I can't remember the last time I learned so much!
His writing is wonderful. I felt as though I had a firm grasp on the big picture throughout the entire book. His tone is conversational and he interjects very mild humor where appropriate. As someone who has not read a lot of history, I found the specific historical topics completely fascinating. There are too many delightful historical anecdotes peppered throughout this book to count.
I loved the fact that Morris occasionally referenced science fiction (such as Isaac Asimov's Foundation series) and non-fictional works by authors like Erich von Daniken (Chariots of the Gods). He used these references to great effect in a "what if" sense to explore humankind's past, present, and future.
As for his theorem that the West gained traction over the East in the last few hundred years because of its geography, I can't really comment in a critical way because I simply don't have the background. But I felt Morris did an excellent job of explaining it. Most importantly, it seemed to make more sense than the competing theories (many of which have racist underpinnings). According to Morris's theory, the people of the East and West were more or less interchangeable. Their geography was not. And history seems to bear this out.
Do not be intimidated by the scope or subject of this book. It is an easy read and an absolute page-turner. I can't remember the last time I learned so much!
April 5, 2018
إن أسباب الهيمنة الغربية هي أسباب طويلة المدى وقصيرة المدى علي حد سواء،وتكمن في التفاعل المتغيّر بانتظام بين الجغرافيا والتطور الاجتماعي،ولكن الهيمنة الغربية نفسها لم تكن حتمية او عَرضية.ومن المنطقي تسميتها بأنها هيمنة محتملة،أو انها النتيجة الأكثر احتمالاً،عبر معظم التاريخ،في لعبة قامت فيها الجغرافيا بترجيح الموازين لصالح الغرب.ولذا يمكننا القول بأن الهيمنة الغربية كانت رهاناً رابحاً.
الكتاب أقرب ما يكون إلي نظرية حقليّة موحدة للتاريخ.يعرض المؤلف بكياسة وحكمة،أساليب التاريخ القديم والحديث وبصائره لمعالجة أكبر أسئلة التاريخ:لماذا تُرى هَزم الغرب البقية؟
يسعي المؤلف لبلورة إجابات حقيقية لأحد اهم الأسئلة التاريخية الراهنة:لماذا وصلت الحضارة الغربية إلي موقع السيطرة الحالي؟وما هي السياقات التاريخية التى ادت إلي ذلك؟وذلك من خلال سرد تاريخي متجانس يشرح من خلاله كيف حدث الانقسام بين الشرق والغرب،ومدي اهمية الاجابة عن ذلك أصلا،وكيف يمكن ان نقرأ مستقبل هذا الانقسام وسيرورة هذه الهيمنة الغربية،وذلك وفق النسيج التاريخي الذي يسير وفقه في البحث.
يشرح المؤلف كيف حدث الانقسام الغامض بين الشرق والغرب،ولماذا يهمّ هذا الأمر حقاً،وكيف يمكن ان ينتهي هذا الانقسام يوماً ما.
الكتاب مثير للفكر بعمق،وحيوي بشكل جذاب ومتسع للخيال ودقيق في التفاصيل،فهو مجهود هائل وجذاب بثراء لتحديد لماذا تهيمن المؤسسات الغربية علي العالم؟
فالكتاب مساهمة ممتازة لنوع النظرية الكبري للتاريخ البشري.
قسم المؤلف كتابه إلي ثلاثة أجزاء:
الجزء الاول:يتعرض لاكثر المشكلات الأساسية:ما هو الغرب؟ومن اين نبدأ قصتنا؟ماذا نعني بالهيمنة؟كيف يمكننا القول:الذي يقود او يهيمن؟
الجزء الثاني:تتبع قصص الشرق والغرب بالتفصيل متسائلا بأستمرار عما يفسر اوجه الشبه والاختلاف بينهما،وفحص قيام اولي الدول المُعيقات الكبري التي حطمت المركز الغربي في القرون إلي ١٢٠٠ق.م.،ثم تحدث عن الإمبراطوريات الشرقية والغربية العظمي الأولي وكيف ازداد تطورها الاجتماعي،ثم يناقش الانهيار الكبير الذي اجتاح اوروبا الآسيوية بعد.حوالي ١٥٠٠ق.م.ثم نقطة تحول الشرق نحو الصدارة في التطور الاجتماعي،واخيرا كيف حولت الثورة الصناعية صدارة الغرب إلي هيمنة والنتائج الهائلة في ذلك.
الجزء الثالث:انتقل إلي السؤال الاهم بالنسبة لأي مؤرخ:ماذا بعد؟ لماذا يهيمن الغرب؟ ثم ختم الكتاب بتذيل:حول التطور الاجتماعي
الخلاصة:
يُعد مؤشر التطور الاجتماعي هو العمود الفقري لهذا الكتاب،حيث يجمع مجموعة الحقائق التي جمعها علماذ الآثار والمؤرخون.والمؤشر نفسه لا يفسر لماذا يهيمن الغرب،ولكنّه يوضح لنا نمط التاريخ الذى يحتاج إلي تفسير.
كتاب ضخم يقع في ٨٣١صفحة،من إصدارات مركز نماء للبحوث والدراسات لسنة ٢٠١٨م، لأستاذ التاريخ والآثار كلاسيكي "إيان موريس".
الكتاب أقرب ما يكون إلي نظرية حقليّة موحدة للتاريخ.يعرض المؤلف بكياسة وحكمة،أساليب التاريخ القديم والحديث وبصائره لمعالجة أكبر أسئلة التاريخ:لماذا تُرى هَزم الغرب البقية؟
يسعي المؤلف لبلورة إجابات حقيقية لأحد اهم الأسئلة التاريخية الراهنة:لماذا وصلت الحضارة الغربية إلي موقع السيطرة الحالي؟وما هي السياقات التاريخية التى ادت إلي ذلك؟وذلك من خلال سرد تاريخي متجانس يشرح من خلاله كيف حدث الانقسام بين الشرق والغرب،ومدي اهمية الاجابة عن ذلك أصلا،وكيف يمكن ان نقرأ مستقبل هذا الانقسام وسيرورة هذه الهيمنة الغربية،وذلك وفق النسيج التاريخي الذي يسير وفقه في البحث.
يشرح المؤلف كيف حدث الانقسام الغامض بين الشرق والغرب،ولماذا يهمّ هذا الأمر حقاً،وكيف يمكن ان ينتهي هذا الانقسام يوماً ما.
الكتاب مثير للفكر بعمق،وحيوي بشكل جذاب ومتسع للخيال ودقيق في التفاصيل،فهو مجهود هائل وجذاب بثراء لتحديد لماذا تهيمن المؤسسات الغربية علي العالم؟
فالكتاب مساهمة ممتازة لنوع النظرية الكبري للتاريخ البشري.
قسم المؤلف كتابه إلي ثلاثة أجزاء:
الجزء الاول:يتعرض لاكثر المشكلات الأساسية:ما هو الغرب؟ومن اين نبدأ قصتنا؟ماذا نعني بالهيمنة؟كيف يمكننا القول:الذي يقود او يهيمن؟
الجزء الثاني:تتبع قصص الشرق والغرب بالتفصيل متسائلا بأستمرار عما يفسر اوجه الشبه والاختلاف بينهما،وفحص قيام اولي الدول المُعيقات الكبري التي حطمت المركز الغربي في القرون إلي ١٢٠٠ق.م.،ثم تحدث عن الإمبراطوريات الشرقية والغربية العظمي الأولي وكيف ازداد تطورها الاجتماعي،ثم يناقش الانهيار الكبير الذي اجتاح اوروبا الآسيوية بعد.حوالي ١٥٠٠ق.م.ثم نقطة تحول الشرق نحو الصدارة في التطور الاجتماعي،واخيرا كيف حولت الثورة الصناعية صدارة الغرب إلي هيمنة والنتائج الهائلة في ذلك.
الجزء الثالث:انتقل إلي السؤال الاهم بالنسبة لأي مؤرخ:ماذا بعد؟ لماذا يهيمن الغرب؟ ثم ختم الكتاب بتذيل:حول التطور الاجتماعي
الخلاصة:
يُعد مؤشر التطور الاجتماعي هو العمود الفقري لهذا الكتاب،حيث يجمع مجموعة الحقائق التي جمعها علماذ الآثار والمؤرخون.والمؤشر نفسه لا يفسر لماذا يهيمن الغرب،ولكنّه يوضح لنا نمط التاريخ الذى يحتاج إلي تفسير.
كتاب ضخم يقع في ٨٣١صفحة،من إصدارات مركز نماء للبحوث والدراسات لسنة ٢٠١٨م، لأستاذ التاريخ والآثار كلاسيكي "إيان موريس".
April 26, 2025
This is an appropriate sequel to "Guns, Germs and Steel" by Jared Diamond; but greatness sometimes comes in threes. I'm looking forward to a trilogy formed by a brilliant scientist (or not) giving us a fresh way to look at the world as Ian Morris and Jared Diamond have done.
Reading "Why the West Rules..." gave me fresh perspective on a subject that I am supremely interested in. Somebody's got to rule. No namby-pamby about that. Which civilization or civilizations can qualify? Why not start with our current success stories? (Opined before the 2025 accretion of Trump and his delinquents to the halls and walls of our government.)
Reading "Why the West Rules..." gave me fresh perspective on a subject that I am supremely interested in. Somebody's got to rule. No namby-pamby about that. Which civilization or civilizations can qualify? Why not start with our current success stories? (Opined before the 2025 accretion of Trump and his delinquents to the halls and walls of our government.)
October 25, 2019
If you loved Guns Germs and Steel, you'll need to read this one. Not because it's as interesting a read, but because it's just a more correct and careful analysis.
October 27, 2019
Thầm tranh luận với tác giả trong hơn 800 trang đầu và phát hiện ra tác giả...đồng ý với mình ở 5 trang cuối cùng..
July 2, 2016
We open with the Chinese navy sailing up the Thames, forcing Queen Victoria to sign a humiliating treaty and taking Prince Albert back to China as a hostage. Why did this story in fact happen the other way around? After all, five hundred years ago the outcome was not obvious.
Ian Morris explores this question by presenting the entire history of a world reduced to two regions, which he chooses to call East and West. The East essentially means China, while the West is defined as the descendants of the civilizations that arose in the Middle East. Thus Persia and the various Islamic Empires are considered to be a part of the West.
People complain that this grouping is arbitrary, and their favourite region is left out. The main distinction is that East and West developed separately. While there was much diversity within the West, all its parts were in constant contact. This serves as a useful device to ask why the West eventually surpassed China, but it obscures the equally interesting question of why Europe also surpassed the Islamic countries.
The history of China and the West are told together so we can compare the relative levels of development. Being ignorant of Chinese history, I found this approach very informative. I was more interested in how the development of these two very separate regions was so similar. It is as if periodic collapses are built into the very process of creating a civilization.
Historical Materialism
A detailed look at history is meant to let us to learn its “shape”, meaning the factors that determine what happens. Perhaps fitting for an archaeologist, one who reconstructs history from material objects, that shape is a material one. The importance of individual leaders, whether we think of them as great men or bumbling idiots, is downplayed. Culture is said to be merely a consequence of the level of social development.
Measuring that social development, “a community’s ability to get things done”, is a major focus of the book. He develops an index based on four factors: energy use, social organization (based on the size of the largest city), information processing capacity, and ability to make war. This is admitted to be “chainsaw art”, but he argues that alternative methods tend to produce similar results.
I think this is a useful exercise for measuring the material state of a society at a given time. It is less useful for predicting what will happen next, which also depends on a fact this book tries to deny: culture makes a difference.
For example, European technology may have surpassed that of China by 1600, but that does not show up on a development index that measures things like city sizes. It took time for the material consequences to arrive. Imagine trying to estimate the potential of Germany and Japan by measuring their development index in 1945. The most important development was already in the minds of their people.
The Limits of Geography
Due to geographical advantages development in the West started before that in the East. But by the year 1400 China had been ahead of the West for 900 years, so all that history and geography before then becomes irrelevant. This was the moment when China had the opportunity to take a commanding lead. Thus,
“When the eunuch admiral Zheng He sailed from Nanjing for Sri Lanka in 1405 he led nearly three hundred vessels. There were tankers carrying drinking water and huge ‘Treasure Ships’ with advanced rudders, watertight compartments, and elaborate signalling devices. Among his 27,000 sailors were 180 doctors and pharmacists. By contrast, when Christopher Columbus sailed from Cadiz in 1492, he led just ninety men in three ships.”
So why did not China press this advantage? The answer, we are told, is geography. The discovery of North America made all the difference to the development of Europe, and it is too far away from China.
Morris tells us that social development changes what geography means, but he obscures the fact that it also makes geography matter less. Zheng He could have taken his fleet anywhere in the world. On the map in this book one can see that western North America is no further from China than Europe is from the West Indies. Furthermore, the Chinese could get to America without losing sight of land, on a route that could be established in stages over a number of years. It was Columbus who had to cross thousands of miles of open ocean, with the help of a Chinese-invented compass.
The Chinese government decided not to do any more exploring, and because it was a single empire it could enforce that decision. This fact, impossible to hide, leads to more geographical special pleading. China had a unified empire because it was round. However, the Roman Empire also worked for quite a while, and it was anything but round. Oh, that was because they had the advantage of an inland sea. China’s lack of an inland sea held up their development. Except after they built the Grand Canal to perform the same function. Well, whatever works, as long as we readers don’t think too hard about it.
But there was a rational reason: the West had economic incentives to get to the richest market on Earth, while China could rely on everybody coming to them. Funny thing, when Europe became richer that was a reason for them to go out into the rest of the world. That is the difference between a culture that thinks it is the center of the universe with nothing to learn, and a culture of exploration.
Culture matters. Geography is used here as an excuse to pretend that it does not.
The Horsemen of the Apocalypse
“When the four horsemen of the apocalypse— climate change, famine, state failure, and migration— ride together, and especially when a fifth horseman of disease joins them, disruptions can turn into collapses.”
A few favourite catch phrases tend to be repeated, such as “paradox of development”, “hard ceiling”, “advantage of backwardness”, and those constantly shifting “horsemen of the apocalypse”. I am surprised that he rates state failure rates as a “horseman”, as surely that is only a consequence of the other material forces. Removing it from the list would also make the horsemen add up to the conventional four.
States are put under pressure because of those external “horsemen”. But if the state or its ruling class has become lazy and decadent, or there is constant civil strife, it will be less able to resist outside pressure. That is a consequence of culture.
The Migrating Horsemen
One geographical feature that had a large and mostly negative impact on the emerging civilizations in both East and West was the “Steppe Highway” running from China across Asia to Eastern Europe. The nomadic tribes living there had a habit of looting and destroying the civilizations on each end of it. The later Roman Empire suffered from waves of migration from people pushed out of their lands by the Huns. The Mongols were a regular menace to China, and devastated the Eastern half of the Islamic empire. Morris tells us that civilization was only able make it to the next level by closing that migration highway.
Migrations have played a role in the collapse of many civilizations. This is one case where geography does matter – you are in trouble if you are connected to a migration route. Europe is now on the receiving end of a new migration, and seems to be afflicted with a culture that has forgotten the lessons of history.
The What and Why: Good Questions, Not So Good Answers
The “what” part of the book, the history of civilization, is worthwhile, but the “why” part is rather slippery. Lets look at some of those questions:
“Did the culture of the ancient Greeks forge a distinctive Western way of life?”
His short answer is no, because “For long stretches of time the freedom, reason, and inventiveness that Greece supposedly bequeathed to the West were more honoured in the breach than the observance.” That is rather simplistic. While actual Greek learning was absent from Europe for a long time, it is possible that the European people preserved the attitude of individual freedom that made that learning possible. When Europe was ready for it, that classical heritage helped them get to the next stage in development.
Arab society had access to Greek learning for centuries before they passed it on to Europe. An intellectual elite extended this knowledge when they were permitted to do so. That permission expired and the knowledge did not transform their society.
My response here is simplistic because I don’t have the time or knowledge to give a proper answer. Neither does Morris in this book, in my opinion.
He also asks what would have happened if Muhammad had made a different career choice. The answer:
“The Western core would have stayed in the eastern Mediterranean whatever Muhammad did; the Turks would still have overrun it in the eleventh century and the Mongols in the thirteenth (and again around 1400); and the core would still have shifted westward toward Italy and then the Atlantic in and after the fifteenth century.”
Interesting, but maybe the rule of Islam also had some material and cultural consequences that also affected what happened. Again, I don’t think Morris even knows how to properly consider this question.
A Singular Discontinuity
In order to dismiss long-term “lock in” theories that claim the East is inherently different from the West, Morris has chosen to dismiss the role of leadership and culture entirely. According to some critics he has also chosen to exaggerate the achievements of China compared to the West. I am not qualified to say. I do think the book’s geographical materialist thesis becomes less credible as the book progresses through time.
As the point of all this effort was to discern the “shape” of history, the last chapter treats us to an analysis of the future. All the talk about a “Nightfall” collapse or The Singularity is quite the discontinuity from the sober realism of the rest of the book.
This book can serve as a very readable introduction to world history, as long as you keep in mind that a society is more than the stuff you can dig out of the ground.
Ian Morris explores this question by presenting the entire history of a world reduced to two regions, which he chooses to call East and West. The East essentially means China, while the West is defined as the descendants of the civilizations that arose in the Middle East. Thus Persia and the various Islamic Empires are considered to be a part of the West.
People complain that this grouping is arbitrary, and their favourite region is left out. The main distinction is that East and West developed separately. While there was much diversity within the West, all its parts were in constant contact. This serves as a useful device to ask why the West eventually surpassed China, but it obscures the equally interesting question of why Europe also surpassed the Islamic countries.
The history of China and the West are told together so we can compare the relative levels of development. Being ignorant of Chinese history, I found this approach very informative. I was more interested in how the development of these two very separate regions was so similar. It is as if periodic collapses are built into the very process of creating a civilization.
Historical Materialism
A detailed look at history is meant to let us to learn its “shape”, meaning the factors that determine what happens. Perhaps fitting for an archaeologist, one who reconstructs history from material objects, that shape is a material one. The importance of individual leaders, whether we think of them as great men or bumbling idiots, is downplayed. Culture is said to be merely a consequence of the level of social development.
Measuring that social development, “a community’s ability to get things done”, is a major focus of the book. He develops an index based on four factors: energy use, social organization (based on the size of the largest city), information processing capacity, and ability to make war. This is admitted to be “chainsaw art”, but he argues that alternative methods tend to produce similar results.
I think this is a useful exercise for measuring the material state of a society at a given time. It is less useful for predicting what will happen next, which also depends on a fact this book tries to deny: culture makes a difference.
For example, European technology may have surpassed that of China by 1600, but that does not show up on a development index that measures things like city sizes. It took time for the material consequences to arrive. Imagine trying to estimate the potential of Germany and Japan by measuring their development index in 1945. The most important development was already in the minds of their people.
The Limits of Geography
Due to geographical advantages development in the West started before that in the East. But by the year 1400 China had been ahead of the West for 900 years, so all that history and geography before then becomes irrelevant. This was the moment when China had the opportunity to take a commanding lead. Thus,
“When the eunuch admiral Zheng He sailed from Nanjing for Sri Lanka in 1405 he led nearly three hundred vessels. There were tankers carrying drinking water and huge ‘Treasure Ships’ with advanced rudders, watertight compartments, and elaborate signalling devices. Among his 27,000 sailors were 180 doctors and pharmacists. By contrast, when Christopher Columbus sailed from Cadiz in 1492, he led just ninety men in three ships.”
So why did not China press this advantage? The answer, we are told, is geography. The discovery of North America made all the difference to the development of Europe, and it is too far away from China.
Morris tells us that social development changes what geography means, but he obscures the fact that it also makes geography matter less. Zheng He could have taken his fleet anywhere in the world. On the map in this book one can see that western North America is no further from China than Europe is from the West Indies. Furthermore, the Chinese could get to America without losing sight of land, on a route that could be established in stages over a number of years. It was Columbus who had to cross thousands of miles of open ocean, with the help of a Chinese-invented compass.
The Chinese government decided not to do any more exploring, and because it was a single empire it could enforce that decision. This fact, impossible to hide, leads to more geographical special pleading. China had a unified empire because it was round. However, the Roman Empire also worked for quite a while, and it was anything but round. Oh, that was because they had the advantage of an inland sea. China’s lack of an inland sea held up their development. Except after they built the Grand Canal to perform the same function. Well, whatever works, as long as we readers don’t think too hard about it.
But there was a rational reason: the West had economic incentives to get to the richest market on Earth, while China could rely on everybody coming to them. Funny thing, when Europe became richer that was a reason for them to go out into the rest of the world. That is the difference between a culture that thinks it is the center of the universe with nothing to learn, and a culture of exploration.
Culture matters. Geography is used here as an excuse to pretend that it does not.
The Horsemen of the Apocalypse
“When the four horsemen of the apocalypse— climate change, famine, state failure, and migration— ride together, and especially when a fifth horseman of disease joins them, disruptions can turn into collapses.”
A few favourite catch phrases tend to be repeated, such as “paradox of development”, “hard ceiling”, “advantage of backwardness”, and those constantly shifting “horsemen of the apocalypse”. I am surprised that he rates state failure rates as a “horseman”, as surely that is only a consequence of the other material forces. Removing it from the list would also make the horsemen add up to the conventional four.
States are put under pressure because of those external “horsemen”. But if the state or its ruling class has become lazy and decadent, or there is constant civil strife, it will be less able to resist outside pressure. That is a consequence of culture.
The Migrating Horsemen
One geographical feature that had a large and mostly negative impact on the emerging civilizations in both East and West was the “Steppe Highway” running from China across Asia to Eastern Europe. The nomadic tribes living there had a habit of looting and destroying the civilizations on each end of it. The later Roman Empire suffered from waves of migration from people pushed out of their lands by the Huns. The Mongols were a regular menace to China, and devastated the Eastern half of the Islamic empire. Morris tells us that civilization was only able make it to the next level by closing that migration highway.
Migrations have played a role in the collapse of many civilizations. This is one case where geography does matter – you are in trouble if you are connected to a migration route. Europe is now on the receiving end of a new migration, and seems to be afflicted with a culture that has forgotten the lessons of history.
The What and Why: Good Questions, Not So Good Answers
The “what” part of the book, the history of civilization, is worthwhile, but the “why” part is rather slippery. Lets look at some of those questions:
“Did the culture of the ancient Greeks forge a distinctive Western way of life?”
His short answer is no, because “For long stretches of time the freedom, reason, and inventiveness that Greece supposedly bequeathed to the West were more honoured in the breach than the observance.” That is rather simplistic. While actual Greek learning was absent from Europe for a long time, it is possible that the European people preserved the attitude of individual freedom that made that learning possible. When Europe was ready for it, that classical heritage helped them get to the next stage in development.
Arab society had access to Greek learning for centuries before they passed it on to Europe. An intellectual elite extended this knowledge when they were permitted to do so. That permission expired and the knowledge did not transform their society.
My response here is simplistic because I don’t have the time or knowledge to give a proper answer. Neither does Morris in this book, in my opinion.
He also asks what would have happened if Muhammad had made a different career choice. The answer:
“The Western core would have stayed in the eastern Mediterranean whatever Muhammad did; the Turks would still have overrun it in the eleventh century and the Mongols in the thirteenth (and again around 1400); and the core would still have shifted westward toward Italy and then the Atlantic in and after the fifteenth century.”
Interesting, but maybe the rule of Islam also had some material and cultural consequences that also affected what happened. Again, I don’t think Morris even knows how to properly consider this question.
A Singular Discontinuity
In order to dismiss long-term “lock in” theories that claim the East is inherently different from the West, Morris has chosen to dismiss the role of leadership and culture entirely. According to some critics he has also chosen to exaggerate the achievements of China compared to the West. I am not qualified to say. I do think the book’s geographical materialist thesis becomes less credible as the book progresses through time.
As the point of all this effort was to discern the “shape” of history, the last chapter treats us to an analysis of the future. All the talk about a “Nightfall” collapse or The Singularity is quite the discontinuity from the sober realism of the rest of the book.
This book can serve as a very readable introduction to world history, as long as you keep in mind that a society is more than the stuff you can dig out of the ground.
August 11, 2015
This review also appears on my blog at www.silashruparell.com
My one-liner: Quite simply the best popular history book you will ever read. Astounding survey of historical forces that have shaped today’s world.
At the top of the front cover of this book, there is the following quote from Niall Ferguson: “The nearest thing to a unified field theory of history we are ever likely to see”. That is not far off the mark, and it would be impossible to do justice to the breathtaking breadth covered by this work in a short review.
There is much current debate the so-called catch-up of developing / emerging countries after several centuries of Western economic dominance. The West’s relative decline, exacerbated by the financial crisis, is personified by the projected overtaking of the USA’s GDP by China some time in the next 10-40 years, depending on which research you read. And in the world of finance and investment, this translates into debates around upcoming fast economic growth in emerging markets being a driver for superior investment returns. After a reading of Ian Morris’ book, that analysis seems less applicable as an appropriate framing for relative rise and decline. Because it forces the reader to think in much longer time frames. And to ask himself some different questions.
The book is an astounding synthesis of biology, geography, geology and socio-economic history, that surveys the ascent of humanity from pre-historic times until today. The style is both story and analysis. From Monty Python’s Life of Brian to Voltaire’s Pangloss (“All is for the best in all possible worlds”) to Alexander Pope (of Newton: “Nature, and Nature’s laws lay hid by night, God said Let Newton be ! And all was Light !) to Albert Einstein (“I do not know how the Third World War will be fought, but I can tell you what they will use in the Fourth – rocks”), there is enough literary, poetic, scientific and cultural commentary to keep any self-styled polymath reader happy.
Some central themes of the thesis.
The frame of reference is the evolution, over the last 16 millenia, of Morris’ Social Development Index. You can quibble, if you want, with the construction and the components (energy capture, organisation / urbanisation, war-making, and information technology), but what it serves to do is impose a consistent development measure across all time periods for the relative development of the West and East.
Throughout pre-history and history the index has swung in favour of either East or West for many centuries at a time. Geography (“maps”) and human progress (“chaps”) variously define which region takes the lead. Progress, is in Morris’ self-confessedly pithy theorem, “made by lazy, greedy, frightened people looking for easier, more profitable, and safer ways to do things.” The analysis thus looks to dismiss the notion that there is somehow a hard-wired ethnic or geographical lock-in of development capability for any one region.
The first sustained decline in social development in both West and East, began around 100CE and there was another one around 1000CE, as both regions hit what Morris refers to as a “hard ceiling”. Both periods were characterised, in Morris’ analysis by the prevalence, using the biblical analogy, of the “Five Horsemen of the Apocalypse”, namely climate change, famine, state failure, migration, and disease. The West spent most of the period from 1400 to 1800 CE catching up with the East, ending a 1200-year year reign of Eastern supremacy, and crucially, resulting in both regions breaking through the previous 1000CE hard ceiling. The last two hundred years ? We know the story. An unprecedented, acceleration in development for both regions, but a clear advantage to the West (the opening of the Atlantic trade route, the industrial revolution, European military power etc, etc), with its roots in an ex-ante highly probable chain of history stretching back to the twelfth century .
The surprising end to the book is less about whether China will now regain its superiority, although the projection is that it will, around 2103 at the latest, and we all kind of know that. With a further massive acceleration (from an index score of 900 to 4000) for both regions as new technologies and globalisation unlock development. This “Singularity” is borrowed from futurist Ray Kurzweil. It is “a future period during which the pace of technological change will be so rapid, its impact so deep…that technology appears to be expanding at infinite speed.”
The more ominous question is whether the world will instead enter a period of “Nightfall” (last flirted with in the Younger Dryas ice age period around 10,800BC), using the title of the novel by Isaac Asimov. Not only will the world hit another hard ceiling, but, like any crash after a big bubble, the next crash of humanity will be utterly destructive. Are the “Five Horsemen” amongst us again, as climate change threatens and the free transfer of technology increases the chance that devastating and dangerous technology can end up in the wrong hands ? Morris concludes that there will be no halfway house, no “silver medal”. Only one of Singularity or Nightfall will prevail.
My one-liner: Quite simply the best popular history book you will ever read. Astounding survey of historical forces that have shaped today’s world.
At the top of the front cover of this book, there is the following quote from Niall Ferguson: “The nearest thing to a unified field theory of history we are ever likely to see”. That is not far off the mark, and it would be impossible to do justice to the breathtaking breadth covered by this work in a short review.
There is much current debate the so-called catch-up of developing / emerging countries after several centuries of Western economic dominance. The West’s relative decline, exacerbated by the financial crisis, is personified by the projected overtaking of the USA’s GDP by China some time in the next 10-40 years, depending on which research you read. And in the world of finance and investment, this translates into debates around upcoming fast economic growth in emerging markets being a driver for superior investment returns. After a reading of Ian Morris’ book, that analysis seems less applicable as an appropriate framing for relative rise and decline. Because it forces the reader to think in much longer time frames. And to ask himself some different questions.
The book is an astounding synthesis of biology, geography, geology and socio-economic history, that surveys the ascent of humanity from pre-historic times until today. The style is both story and analysis. From Monty Python’s Life of Brian to Voltaire’s Pangloss (“All is for the best in all possible worlds”) to Alexander Pope (of Newton: “Nature, and Nature’s laws lay hid by night, God said Let Newton be ! And all was Light !) to Albert Einstein (“I do not know how the Third World War will be fought, but I can tell you what they will use in the Fourth – rocks”), there is enough literary, poetic, scientific and cultural commentary to keep any self-styled polymath reader happy.
Some central themes of the thesis.
The frame of reference is the evolution, over the last 16 millenia, of Morris’ Social Development Index. You can quibble, if you want, with the construction and the components (energy capture, organisation / urbanisation, war-making, and information technology), but what it serves to do is impose a consistent development measure across all time periods for the relative development of the West and East.
Throughout pre-history and history the index has swung in favour of either East or West for many centuries at a time. Geography (“maps”) and human progress (“chaps”) variously define which region takes the lead. Progress, is in Morris’ self-confessedly pithy theorem, “made by lazy, greedy, frightened people looking for easier, more profitable, and safer ways to do things.” The analysis thus looks to dismiss the notion that there is somehow a hard-wired ethnic or geographical lock-in of development capability for any one region.
The first sustained decline in social development in both West and East, began around 100CE and there was another one around 1000CE, as both regions hit what Morris refers to as a “hard ceiling”. Both periods were characterised, in Morris’ analysis by the prevalence, using the biblical analogy, of the “Five Horsemen of the Apocalypse”, namely climate change, famine, state failure, migration, and disease. The West spent most of the period from 1400 to 1800 CE catching up with the East, ending a 1200-year year reign of Eastern supremacy, and crucially, resulting in both regions breaking through the previous 1000CE hard ceiling. The last two hundred years ? We know the story. An unprecedented, acceleration in development for both regions, but a clear advantage to the West (the opening of the Atlantic trade route, the industrial revolution, European military power etc, etc), with its roots in an ex-ante highly probable chain of history stretching back to the twelfth century .
The surprising end to the book is less about whether China will now regain its superiority, although the projection is that it will, around 2103 at the latest, and we all kind of know that. With a further massive acceleration (from an index score of 900 to 4000) for both regions as new technologies and globalisation unlock development. This “Singularity” is borrowed from futurist Ray Kurzweil. It is “a future period during which the pace of technological change will be so rapid, its impact so deep…that technology appears to be expanding at infinite speed.”
The more ominous question is whether the world will instead enter a period of “Nightfall” (last flirted with in the Younger Dryas ice age period around 10,800BC), using the title of the novel by Isaac Asimov. Not only will the world hit another hard ceiling, but, like any crash after a big bubble, the next crash of humanity will be utterly destructive. Are the “Five Horsemen” amongst us again, as climate change threatens and the free transfer of technology increases the chance that devastating and dangerous technology can end up in the wrong hands ? Morris concludes that there will be no halfway house, no “silver medal”. Only one of Singularity or Nightfall will prevail.
April 12, 2026
My advice to the would-be reader of this book is the same as for all books that propose a grand, all-encompassing theory of history: do read it for the tonloads of interesting facts, but do not take the grand theory too seriously.
Why?
The problem is that, as usual, neither the grand theory nor its alternatives are really falsifiable. In order to be able to choose between competing theories, one would need to find a historical succession of events in history that would be unequivocally predicted by one theory and incompatible with the others. As far as I know, no such chain exists. This is not to dismiss the work of historians who attempt to provide a deep understanding of how we got where we ar3. But as an economist, I do know a thing or two about testing causality claims with data - and all the challenges that go hand-in-hand with it, even when data are good and the problem clearly delineated. But, in history, the problems are not clearly delineated, and good and complete data so scarce that grand statements are inevitably mostly clever speculation. This makes history harder than economics when it goes beyond the descriptive - but it should also be a reason to be very modest about the conclusions that can be drawn.
(It is also remarkable that, except for Fogel, Morris does not even mention the work of economists that have addressed the same issues as himself, including Nobel Prize winners such as Acemoglu, Johnson, Robinson or Mokyr- authors whose grand theories suffer from exactly the same problem , IMHO, but who cannot be ignored in the debate).
Why?
The problem is that, as usual, neither the grand theory nor its alternatives are really falsifiable. In order to be able to choose between competing theories, one would need to find a historical succession of events in history that would be unequivocally predicted by one theory and incompatible with the others. As far as I know, no such chain exists. This is not to dismiss the work of historians who attempt to provide a deep understanding of how we got where we ar3. But as an economist, I do know a thing or two about testing causality claims with data - and all the challenges that go hand-in-hand with it, even when data are good and the problem clearly delineated. But, in history, the problems are not clearly delineated, and good and complete data so scarce that grand statements are inevitably mostly clever speculation. This makes history harder than economics when it goes beyond the descriptive - but it should also be a reason to be very modest about the conclusions that can be drawn.
(It is also remarkable that, except for Fogel, Morris does not even mention the work of economists that have addressed the same issues as himself, including Nobel Prize winners such as Acemoglu, Johnson, Robinson or Mokyr- authors whose grand theories suffer from exactly the same problem , IMHO, but who cannot be ignored in the debate).
March 12, 2016
Britanyalı Tarihçi ve Arkeolog Ian Morris'in bu hacimli kitabı (yaklaşık 830 sayfa), insanlık tarihinin son 14.000 yılı üzerine odaklanarak Doğu-Batı mukayesesi, medeniyet tarihi ve gelecek projeksiyonları ortaya koyan ufuk açıcı bir çalışma...
Kitapta "Doğu denildiğinde başta Çin olmak üzere Uzakdoğu; "Batı" denildiğinde ise Mezopotamya ve Akdeniz Havzası (ve bilahare Kuzeybatı Avrupa) ele alınıyor. Bu çerçevede Türk-İslam tarihi Batı çekirdeğinin içerisinde değerlendiriliyor.
Kitabın temel tezi; Doğu ile Batı arasındaki farkı ortaya çıkaran esas unsurun kültür, din, tarih vb unsurlardan ziyade doğrudan coğrafyanın sağladığı avantajlardan kaynaklandığı üzerine kurulu. Bu açıdan bilhassa 15-16.yüzyıllardaki okyanus ötesi keşiflerin Batı'nın lehine makası açtığı; ancak 21.yüzyılda Çin önderliğindeki Doğu'nun (geri kalmışlığın avantajı ve demografik-ekonomik faktörlerin yardımıyla) tekrar ön plana çıkacağı savunuluyor.
Kitapta özellikle Asya'nın göçebe halkları (başta Türkler ve Moğollar), hem Doğu hem de Batı'da medeniyeti inkıtaya uğratan bir unsur olarak ortaya konuluyor (diğer olumsuz faktörler; kıtlık, salgın hastalıklar, devletin çöküşü ve iklim değişikliği). Öte yandan, satır aralarında, Batı'nın gelişme sürecinin köleleştirici ve sömürgeci yönleri ise çoğunlukla pas geçiliyor.
Ezcümle, biyoloji-sosyoloji-ekonomi-coğrafya temelinde okunası bir mukayeseli insanlık tarihi kitabı...
Kitapta "Doğu denildiğinde başta Çin olmak üzere Uzakdoğu; "Batı" denildiğinde ise Mezopotamya ve Akdeniz Havzası (ve bilahare Kuzeybatı Avrupa) ele alınıyor. Bu çerçevede Türk-İslam tarihi Batı çekirdeğinin içerisinde değerlendiriliyor.
Kitabın temel tezi; Doğu ile Batı arasındaki farkı ortaya çıkaran esas unsurun kültür, din, tarih vb unsurlardan ziyade doğrudan coğrafyanın sağladığı avantajlardan kaynaklandığı üzerine kurulu. Bu açıdan bilhassa 15-16.yüzyıllardaki okyanus ötesi keşiflerin Batı'nın lehine makası açtığı; ancak 21.yüzyılda Çin önderliğindeki Doğu'nun (geri kalmışlığın avantajı ve demografik-ekonomik faktörlerin yardımıyla) tekrar ön plana çıkacağı savunuluyor.
Kitapta özellikle Asya'nın göçebe halkları (başta Türkler ve Moğollar), hem Doğu hem de Batı'da medeniyeti inkıtaya uğratan bir unsur olarak ortaya konuluyor (diğer olumsuz faktörler; kıtlık, salgın hastalıklar, devletin çöküşü ve iklim değişikliği). Öte yandan, satır aralarında, Batı'nın gelişme sürecinin köleleştirici ve sömürgeci yönleri ise çoğunlukla pas geçiliyor.
Ezcümle, biyoloji-sosyoloji-ekonomi-coğrafya temelinde okunası bir mukayeseli insanlık tarihi kitabı...
December 5, 2010
Better than Guns Germs and steel and that's saying something; a seminal book about the sweep of human history and one that puts a lot of things in perspective; tons of sfnal references from Nightfall to Hari Seldon and many more add extra pleasure for the sff reader
#1 non-fiction book of 2010 for me
#1 non-fiction book of 2010 for me
June 10, 2020
First of all, I very much liked the writing style of this book. Even though it was long, it was easy to read and follow. Secondly, I loved the fact that such a long history is included in one single book. I enjoyed learning the history starting from Homo Habilis more than the aim of the book, finding out why the West rules for now. As a person who studied in Turkey in school our history classes never taught us much about the eastern history. So, even though it was much harder to follow than the familiar western history it gave me a pleasure to learn the general points of the history of the East of which I did not know much about.
I agree with Ian Morris on why the West is ruling now is not because it was locked-in or because it was an accident but because it became probable throughout the history. I am sure there might be some errors in calculating the social development scores due to insufficient information and some information not being comparable but I think the four categories he chose were perfectly suitable.
I agree with Ian Morris on why the West is ruling now is not because it was locked-in or because it was an accident but because it became probable throughout the history. I am sure there might be some errors in calculating the social development scores due to insufficient information and some information not being comparable but I think the four categories he chose were perfectly suitable.
July 24, 2016
This book is 550 pages of not great and not always completely accurate world history followed by 75 pages of a not so great grand theory of history. There were a few places along the way where Morris made me wince, like where he cited Karl Popper's concept of the scientific method in support of a similar approach to history (I guess Morris never read Popper's "Poverty of Historicism.") and where he refers to Bill Gates and Paul Allen as Harvard dropouts (Gates yes, Allen no). But the point of the book is that little things don't matter in the grand scheme, so I'll forgive Morris his small inaccuracies and consider the bigger picture. His main point is that the great trends of history are driven by geography (and climate which can in this regard be considered part of geography). OK. I agree that geography and climate are important fundamental drivers of historical trends, but the way that Morris uses them to explain history is closer to a Just So story than to a regression analysis. He has a point worth considering, but he picks the facts and trends that support his argument in a way that didn't persuade me. I don't know that he is wrong, but he isn't completely right and is almost certainly oversimplifying. His measure of "social development" as a way of comparing East and West is a decent tool, but he makes too much of his numbers, using them to argue that social development hits "hard ceilings" that are hard to break through, but I don't see anything behind the "hard ceiling" theory, other than some maximum points on curves in a somewhat arbitrary graph that don't occur with enough regularity to have statistical significance. My least favorite part of his theory was the idea that civilizations get the kind of intellectual thinking that is right for their needs (so Western Europe gets the Renaissance, Reformation, Age of Discovery, the Enlightenment and Liberal Capitalism and Ming China turns inward and stagnates); this is a tautological idea with almost no explanatory power. Morris is not as deterministic or dogmatic as some of his predecessors in the business of grand historical theories, but reading a book like this pushes me back in the direction of seeing history as one damn thing after another, predictable only in small increments and with no meaningful grand theories to explain the overall unfolding of great events.
October 10, 2018
لماذا يهيمن الغرب، هو كتاب يشرح لماذا تطور الغرب بحيث أصبح هو المهيمن اليوم وليس الشرق!
المؤلف ببداية الكتاب يعرف الشرق والغرب تعريف غير منتشر فالشرق هو بالدرجة الأولى الصين وجيرانها والغرب هو كل الشرق الأوسط مع أوروبا وأمريكا وأستراليا! تلاحظ هنا أن الشرق الأوسط هو جزء من غرب أيان مورس.
ثم بعدها يبدأ الكاتب بنقاش فكرتين أساسيتين عن سبب التطور: الأولى تقول أن أخلاقيات الغرب من عقلانية وتسامح وحرية والتي موجودة عندهم من قديم، هي التي جعلت هيمنتهم الآن مقدرة من قديم الزمان! والآخرى تقول أن الغرب لم يحصل على الهيمنة إلا من مدة قصيرة وسببها بالأساس هو مجموعة من الصدف.
الكاتب لا يوافق على أي من هاتين الفكرتين وإنما يذهب بخط مغاير. فهو يرى أن العوامل البيئة والجغرافيا هي التي سببت هيمنة الغرب الآن وليس مجموعة القيم التي يؤمنون بها، كمثال الغرب استطاع تدجين بعض النباتات والحيوانات قبل الشرق ب٢٠٠٠ سنة، والبرتغاليين هم من من المتوقع أن يكتشفوا الأمريكيتين وليس العراقيين ولا الصينيين.
الكتاب يبدأ بعصور ما قبل التاريخ ليقارن الشرق بالغرب على مقياس التطور الخاص به والذي يعرفه بأول الكتاب، ثم يبدأ بعدها بالسرد التاريخ وفي كل مرة يطبق مقياسه للتطور على ذالك المجتمع ويعطي له قيمة. في هذا المقياس يعطيك أن الغرب كان مهيمنا نسبيا على امتداد العشرة الآف سنة الماضية.
الغريب في الكاتب هو إهماله لباقي المناطق، فلا يذكر الهند والباكستان ولا أفريقيا جنوب الصحراء ولا شعوب الإنكا ولا المايا. فلماذا لم يكتشف أمريكا السنغاليون مثلا او لماذا لم تبدأ الثورة الصناعية من الهند؟ أو حتى لماذا لم تتطور شعوب المايا بحيث أن تكون هي القادرة على اكتشاف العالم القديم واستعباد شعوبه؟ أعتقد أن الكاتب قيد نفسه بتعريفه الاول للشرق والغرب بحيث أنهم لم يحلل بقية شعوب الأرض.
المؤلف ببداية الكتاب يعرف الشرق والغرب تعريف غير منتشر فالشرق هو بالدرجة الأولى الصين وجيرانها والغرب هو كل الشرق الأوسط مع أوروبا وأمريكا وأستراليا! تلاحظ هنا أن الشرق الأوسط هو جزء من غرب أيان مورس.
ثم بعدها يبدأ الكاتب بنقاش فكرتين أساسيتين عن سبب التطور: الأولى تقول أن أخلاقيات الغرب من عقلانية وتسامح وحرية والتي موجودة عندهم من قديم، هي التي جعلت هيمنتهم الآن مقدرة من قديم الزمان! والآخرى تقول أن الغرب لم يحصل على الهيمنة إلا من مدة قصيرة وسببها بالأساس هو مجموعة من الصدف.
الكاتب لا يوافق على أي من هاتين الفكرتين وإنما يذهب بخط مغاير. فهو يرى أن العوامل البيئة والجغرافيا هي التي سببت هيمنة الغرب الآن وليس مجموعة القيم التي يؤمنون بها، كمثال الغرب استطاع تدجين بعض النباتات والحيوانات قبل الشرق ب٢٠٠٠ سنة، والبرتغاليين هم من من المتوقع أن يكتشفوا الأمريكيتين وليس العراقيين ولا الصينيين.
الكتاب يبدأ بعصور ما قبل التاريخ ليقارن الشرق بالغرب على مقياس التطور الخاص به والذي يعرفه بأول الكتاب، ثم يبدأ بعدها بالسرد التاريخ وفي كل مرة يطبق مقياسه للتطور على ذالك المجتمع ويعطي له قيمة. في هذا المقياس يعطيك أن الغرب كان مهيمنا نسبيا على امتداد العشرة الآف سنة الماضية.
الغريب في الكاتب هو إهماله لباقي المناطق، فلا يذكر الهند والباكستان ولا أفريقيا جنوب الصحراء ولا شعوب الإنكا ولا المايا. فلماذا لم يكتشف أمريكا السنغاليون مثلا او لماذا لم تبدأ الثورة الصناعية من الهند؟ أو حتى لماذا لم تتطور شعوب المايا بحيث أن تكون هي القادرة على اكتشاف العالم القديم واستعباد شعوبه؟ أعتقد أن الكاتب قيد نفسه بتعريفه الاول للشرق والغرب بحيث أنهم لم يحلل بقية شعوب الأرض.
December 22, 2020
A good look at the social development of civilization. It has some similarities to Sapiens or The Silk Roads, but I felt this author laid out a very clear thesis at the beginning as to why the west rules for now and then used this for framing the history he gives us (unlike the other books which were more straight-forward histories without something to prove). I also loved how he referenced various books, films, and art to provide modern context to the histories he was telling.
Because this book was published in 2010, both pre-Trump and pre-COVID, I found the last chapter (which I think was originally supposed to be optimistic) highly depressing. Morris tells us what the world needs to do to stop the "horsemen of the apocalypse" that will reverse social development in the next century. Instead I found that we have not done any of the things he says we need to do in the last decade (e.g. tackle climate change), and so it seems we are on our way to "Nightfall."
I also have to complain that Morris says "the Wright brothers, two bicycle mechanics from North Carolina" when the Wright brothers were from Dayton, Ohio (I would have been okay with "two bicycle mechanics living in NC"). He loses half a star for that alone.
Because this book was published in 2010, both pre-Trump and pre-COVID, I found the last chapter (which I think was originally supposed to be optimistic) highly depressing. Morris tells us what the world needs to do to stop the "horsemen of the apocalypse" that will reverse social development in the next century. Instead I found that we have not done any of the things he says we need to do in the last decade (e.g. tackle climate change), and so it seems we are on our way to "Nightfall."
I also have to complain that Morris says "the Wright brothers, two bicycle mechanics from North Carolina" when the Wright brothers were from Dayton, Ohio (I would have been okay with "two bicycle mechanics living in NC"). He loses half a star for that alone.
hiatus
June 3, 2015The New York Times review (see
The Final Conflict
, by Orville Schell) of this epic work includes this paragraph in describing the book’s conclusion:
The competition that East and West have been pursuing for so long, Morris warns, is about to be disrupted by some powerful forces. Nuclear proliferation, population growth, global epidemics and climate change are in the process of radically altering old historical patterns. “We are approaching the greatest discontinuity in history,” he says.After hundreds of pages of description, the author apparently surprises the reader by ending with heartfelt prescription: our global civilization is caught between the dream of transformation away from all of the problems that have historically beset mankind, and the nightmare of collapse. The “Singularity” is apparently emblematic of the former, and “Nightfall” represents the later. Unfortunately,
For the Singularity to win out, “everything has to go right,” Morris says. “For Nightfall to win only one thing needs to go wrong. The odds look bad.”Indeed, they do.
June 25, 2018
يأخذك المؤلف في رحلة تاريخية طويلة وشاقة وممتعة ليكشف لك سبب الهيمنة الغربية.
السبب الذي يطرحه المؤلف جغرافي باﻷساس،وهو ما لم أقتنع به كليا رغم جهد المؤلف الجهيد لمحاولة بسط نفوذ هذه الحجة.
من القراءات المقترحة في هذا الموضوع و التي لم أقرأها بعد:
نشوء وسقوط القوى العظمى: بول كينيدي. اﻷهلية للنشر والتوزيع.
الحضارة.. كيف هيمنت حضارة الغرب على الشرق: نيال فرغسون. شركة المطبوعات للتوزيع والنشر.
وثمة ورقة بحثية صادرة عن مركز إدراك للدراسات والاستشارات تقارن بين أطروحتي موريس وفرغسون بعنوان:الغرب والبقية.
السبب الذي يطرحه المؤلف جغرافي باﻷساس،وهو ما لم أقتنع به كليا رغم جهد المؤلف الجهيد لمحاولة بسط نفوذ هذه الحجة.
من القراءات المقترحة في هذا الموضوع و التي لم أقرأها بعد:
نشوء وسقوط القوى العظمى: بول كينيدي. اﻷهلية للنشر والتوزيع.
الحضارة.. كيف هيمنت حضارة الغرب على الشرق: نيال فرغسون. شركة المطبوعات للتوزيع والنشر.
وثمة ورقة بحثية صادرة عن مركز إدراك للدراسات والاستشارات تقارن بين أطروحتي موريس وفرغسون بعنوان:الغرب والبقية.
December 26, 2018
Ufkumu açan, insanlık tarihine dair yeni ve bambaşka bakış açısı kazandıran, geleceğe dair düşüncelerimde yol gösterici bir rol üstlenecek muazzam bir kitap. Kitap az önce bitti sıcağı sıcağına kısa ve biraz derli toplu olmayacak olsa da düşüncelerimi paylaşmak istiyorum burada.
2018'in son ayını hiç abartmdan bu kitaba adadım diyebilirim. İnsanı araştırmaya, üstüne düşünmeye sevk edecek çok fazla bilgi ve fikir içeriyor. Bir arkeolog olan yazarımız öyle bir insanlık tarihi yazmış ki sanki bir sohbette gibisiniz. Fikir vermek için şöyle söyleyebilirim anna karenina'dan, geleceğe dönüş filmine, asimov'dan, rome dizisine ve birçok esere, yapıma göndermeler yapıyor yazar. bir sürü kitap ve film önerisi çıkardım mesela kendime.
Kitabın içeriğine bize ne anlattığına gelecek olursak Ian Morris bizi ilk insandan alıyor ve bugüne getiriyor aslında. Morris doğu ve batıdan bahsetmeye ne zaman başladığımızı ve buraların nereler olduğunu bize açıklıyor. Kabaca Çin'i doğu, dünyanın geri kalanını ise batı olarak değerlendiriyor diyebilirim. Şu an neden batının söz sahibi olduğu sorusuna verilen cevapları değerlendiriyor bunlar arasında ırkçı bakış açıları var, kültür farkı diye açıklayanlar var bunlara karşılık kendi görüşlerini açıklamaya başlıyor. Biyoloji, Sosyolojinin bu soruya cevap veremeyeceğini sayfalarca açıklıyor ve en önemli faktörün Coğrafya olduğunu söylüyor. Tarihin ilk dönemlerinden itibaren toplumları günümüzde yapılan insani kalkınma endeksine benzer bir hesaplama ile değerlendirmeye başlıyor. 200-250şer yıllık bölümlere ayırıyor ve bölüm bölüm insanlık tarihinin önemli gelişmelerini savaşları, dinleri, devletleri, devlet adamlarını vs okuyoruz. benim için en ilgi çekici ve en az fikir sahibi olduğum için ayrı bir dikkatle okuduğum kısım kesinlikle doğu tarihi diyebilirim. çin'in tarihini çok güzel anlatıyor ve bunu aynı zamanda batı ile kıyaslayarak yapması bana göre faydalı ve daha anlaşılır kılıyor. tarih boyunca dünyaya kimin hükmettiğini ne tür aşamalardan geçtiğimizi,, neler yaşadığımızı, ne gibi felaketler atlattığımızı ve hepimizin malumu olarak sanayi devriminden sonra insanoğlunun nasıl şaha kalktığını çok güzel anlatıyor.
Daha önce Daron Acemoğlu'nun ulusların düşüşü kitabını okumuştum ve orada Acemoğlu Coğrafya'nın etkisini kati bir şekilde reddediyor ve gelişimin insanların ve kurumların özgür olmasına, demokratik bir devlete ve sağlam bir anayasaya bağlıyordu kısaca özetlersek. O kitapta Çin'e dair görüşlerinde yanıldığını söyleyebiliriz Acemoğlu'nun. Ancak genel olarak ortaya koyduğu fikirler dikkate değerdi. Beni de çok etkilemişti.
Bu kitapta ise Morris kitabın adını oluşturan soruya Coğrafya cevabını veriyor. Özellikle yeni dünya denilen Amerika'nın keşfinin, tarıma başlanılan ilk yerin batıda olması gibi nedenlerin Coğrafya olduğunu bilimsel gerçeklikleri göz önüne alarak kabul etmemek bilimi reddetmek olacaktır. Coğrafya ile birlikte toplumsal gelişme kavramını harmanlayıp sunuyor düşüncelerini Ian Morris. Acemoğlu'nun bahsettiği özgürlük, kuvvetler ayrılığı, demokrasi gibi kavramlar çok kıymetli ve gerçekten yavaş yavaş önemini yitiren coğrafya gerçeği varken toplumları, devletleri ileri götürmek bana göre de bu kavramlara göre toplumumuzu inşa etmeye bağlı. Yani ne kadar özgür, farklı fikirleri rahat rahat konuşabildiğimiz, eğitime, bilime odaklandığımız, sağlam bir hukuk sistemine sahip olduğumuz, baskıcı ve tek adam yönetimlerine fırsat vermediğimiz sürece gelişeceğiz ve dünyada önemli yerlere geleceğiz. Ancak günümüze gelene kadar bazı ülkelerin neden öne geçtiğini bazı yerlerin neden geride kaldığını açıklarken Coğrafya'nın çok büyük etken olduğunu bu kitabı okuduktan sonra reddedemeyeceğim.
Okuması zahmetli olsa da, hacmi insanın gözünü korkutsa da bu tür meselelere hiç ilgisi olmayan insanların bile parça parça alıp okuyabileceği, müthiş bir emeğin(yaklaşık 100 sayfa kaynak bölümü var kitabın) çok keyifli bir üslubun, iyi bir genel kültürün senteziyle oluşmuş bu kitabı herkese tavsiye ediyorum.
2018'in son ayını hiç abartmdan bu kitaba adadım diyebilirim. İnsanı araştırmaya, üstüne düşünmeye sevk edecek çok fazla bilgi ve fikir içeriyor. Bir arkeolog olan yazarımız öyle bir insanlık tarihi yazmış ki sanki bir sohbette gibisiniz. Fikir vermek için şöyle söyleyebilirim anna karenina'dan, geleceğe dönüş filmine, asimov'dan, rome dizisine ve birçok esere, yapıma göndermeler yapıyor yazar. bir sürü kitap ve film önerisi çıkardım mesela kendime.
Kitabın içeriğine bize ne anlattığına gelecek olursak Ian Morris bizi ilk insandan alıyor ve bugüne getiriyor aslında. Morris doğu ve batıdan bahsetmeye ne zaman başladığımızı ve buraların nereler olduğunu bize açıklıyor. Kabaca Çin'i doğu, dünyanın geri kalanını ise batı olarak değerlendiriyor diyebilirim. Şu an neden batının söz sahibi olduğu sorusuna verilen cevapları değerlendiriyor bunlar arasında ırkçı bakış açıları var, kültür farkı diye açıklayanlar var bunlara karşılık kendi görüşlerini açıklamaya başlıyor. Biyoloji, Sosyolojinin bu soruya cevap veremeyeceğini sayfalarca açıklıyor ve en önemli faktörün Coğrafya olduğunu söylüyor. Tarihin ilk dönemlerinden itibaren toplumları günümüzde yapılan insani kalkınma endeksine benzer bir hesaplama ile değerlendirmeye başlıyor. 200-250şer yıllık bölümlere ayırıyor ve bölüm bölüm insanlık tarihinin önemli gelişmelerini savaşları, dinleri, devletleri, devlet adamlarını vs okuyoruz. benim için en ilgi çekici ve en az fikir sahibi olduğum için ayrı bir dikkatle okuduğum kısım kesinlikle doğu tarihi diyebilirim. çin'in tarihini çok güzel anlatıyor ve bunu aynı zamanda batı ile kıyaslayarak yapması bana göre faydalı ve daha anlaşılır kılıyor. tarih boyunca dünyaya kimin hükmettiğini ne tür aşamalardan geçtiğimizi,, neler yaşadığımızı, ne gibi felaketler atlattığımızı ve hepimizin malumu olarak sanayi devriminden sonra insanoğlunun nasıl şaha kalktığını çok güzel anlatıyor.
Daha önce Daron Acemoğlu'nun ulusların düşüşü kitabını okumuştum ve orada Acemoğlu Coğrafya'nın etkisini kati bir şekilde reddediyor ve gelişimin insanların ve kurumların özgür olmasına, demokratik bir devlete ve sağlam bir anayasaya bağlıyordu kısaca özetlersek. O kitapta Çin'e dair görüşlerinde yanıldığını söyleyebiliriz Acemoğlu'nun. Ancak genel olarak ortaya koyduğu fikirler dikkate değerdi. Beni de çok etkilemişti.
Bu kitapta ise Morris kitabın adını oluşturan soruya Coğrafya cevabını veriyor. Özellikle yeni dünya denilen Amerika'nın keşfinin, tarıma başlanılan ilk yerin batıda olması gibi nedenlerin Coğrafya olduğunu bilimsel gerçeklikleri göz önüne alarak kabul etmemek bilimi reddetmek olacaktır. Coğrafya ile birlikte toplumsal gelişme kavramını harmanlayıp sunuyor düşüncelerini Ian Morris. Acemoğlu'nun bahsettiği özgürlük, kuvvetler ayrılığı, demokrasi gibi kavramlar çok kıymetli ve gerçekten yavaş yavaş önemini yitiren coğrafya gerçeği varken toplumları, devletleri ileri götürmek bana göre de bu kavramlara göre toplumumuzu inşa etmeye bağlı. Yani ne kadar özgür, farklı fikirleri rahat rahat konuşabildiğimiz, eğitime, bilime odaklandığımız, sağlam bir hukuk sistemine sahip olduğumuz, baskıcı ve tek adam yönetimlerine fırsat vermediğimiz sürece gelişeceğiz ve dünyada önemli yerlere geleceğiz. Ancak günümüze gelene kadar bazı ülkelerin neden öne geçtiğini bazı yerlerin neden geride kaldığını açıklarken Coğrafya'nın çok büyük etken olduğunu bu kitabı okuduktan sonra reddedemeyeceğim.
Okuması zahmetli olsa da, hacmi insanın gözünü korkutsa da bu tür meselelere hiç ilgisi olmayan insanların bile parça parça alıp okuyabileceği, müthiş bir emeğin(yaklaşık 100 sayfa kaynak bölümü var kitabın) çok keyifli bir üslubun, iyi bir genel kültürün senteziyle oluşmuş bu kitabı herkese tavsiye ediyorum.
March 24, 2020
DÜNYAYA NEDEN BATI HÜKMEDİYOR (Şimdilik) (2010; 768 sayfa)
-TARİH, UZUN VADELİ KİLİTLENME etkilerinin (İKLİM-COĞRAFYA-KÜLTÜR) ve KISA VADELİ RASTLANTILARIN (1690'da Orange'lı Williams, omuzunu teğet geçen kurşunla ölseydi İngiltere Katolik kalırdı) BİLEŞİMİNDEN oluşur.
-KADIN üzerinden aktarılan genetik özelliklerin takibi MİTOKONDRİAL DNA, ERKEK üzerinden aktarılanlar ise Y KROMOZOMUNDAKİ ÇEKİRDEK DNA incelemeleri ile yapılmaktadır artık ve yeni TARİH kitapları BİYOLOJİ biliminin sağladığı bilgileri de içerecek şekilde yazılmalıdır; kitap bunu da amaçlamıştır.
-Tarih ve Toplumsal gelişmeler, ÖLÇMELER ve grafikler sayesinde DAHA ANLAŞILIR hale getirilebilir. Geliştirilen yeni yöntemle, 2000 yılındaki gelişkinlik düzeyi için herbirine 250 puan verilen 4 kategorilik, toplam 1000 puanlık bir sistem geliştirilmiş ve tarihin dönemleri bu sisteme göre bugün ile karşılaştırılarak puanlandırılmıştır:
1) tüketilen enerji miktarı:
250puan: bugünün bir ABD'lisinin günlük yaşam içinde tükettiği toplam enerji; 2puan: en eski insanın canlı kalabilmesi için beslenmeyle tükettiği enerji
2) örgütlenme-kent:
250puan: en büyük (26milyon kişi) kent olan Tokyo (yani 100bin kişi=1p); 10puan: MÖ.1.yy.Roma (1milyon kişi; 0.03puan: MÖ.6500-Çatalhöyük (3000kişi)
3) savaşabilme gücü:
250puan: bugünün ABD'si; 5puan: 1900'ler; 0.5puan: 1800'ler
4) iletişim seviyesi:
250puan: bugünün ABD'si; 3puan: 1900'ler; 0.3puan: 1800'ler
***Yukarıdaki puanlar, SON YÜZYILDAKİ GELİŞİMİN, önceki asırlarla kıyaslanamayacak kadar HIZLI olmasını ortaya koymaktadır.
***Rakamlarla ortaya çıkan durum, Doğu ve Batı'nın son 16000 yıllık gelişiminin birbirine paralel seyrettiğini, COĞRAFİK ÜSTÜNLÜKLERİ nedeniyle genellikle daha önde seyreden Batı'nın MS.600-1800 arasında üstünlüğü Doğu'ya verdiği, son 300 yıl biraz geride kalan Doğu'nun şimdilerde ARAYI KAPATTIĞINI ortaya koymaktadır.
SAPTANAN TAHMİNİ TARİHLER:
-13.7 milyar yıl: EVREN'in oluşumu
- 4.5 milyar yıl: DÜNYA'nın oluşumu
- 2.5 milyon yıl: Homo Habilis (Orta-Doğu Afrika; Alet kullanan, iki ayaklı kuyruksuz maymunsu, avcı?/leşçi?, 630cm3 beyinli) ,
- 1.7 milyon yıl: AFRİKA'dan insansının İLK ÇIKIŞ'ı
- 800.000 yıl : Heidelberg Adamı (Homo Erectus-1000cm3 beyin; ateş, tekne, iletişim)
- 200.000 yıl : Neanderthal İnsanı (tek hece, gelişkin taş alet, mızrak, post giysi)
- 70.000 yıl : HOMO SAPİENS (normal insan beyni yaklaşık 1200-1400cm3) (Afrika Çıkışlı ve TÜM AVRASYA'yı ele geçiren toplam 20.000 İNSAN; Bunlar, 35.000 yıl önce Avrupa'ya gelip Neandertallerle çiftleşirler ve 25.000 yıl önce Neandertaller kaybolur; Afrika insanında olmayan Neandertal geni, halen tüm Avrasya'da %1-4 oranında mevcuttur)
-15.000 yıl : İnsanın SİBİRYA-AMERİKA yayılımı
-"100.000yılda bir" güneşin etrafındaki yörüngemiz, daire-elips dönüşümü geçirir;
"41.000 yılda bir" dünyanın ekseninde kayma olur;
"22.000 yılda bir" dünyanın kendi ekseni etrafındaki dönüş ritmi değişir;
bu olaylara eşlik eden güneşin radyasyonunun miktarına göre şiddetli iklim (buzul çağı-çölleşme) ve yer tabakası hareket değişiklikleri (deprem-volkan) olur.
-20.000 yıl önceki BUZUL ÇAĞINDA tüm dünya okyanuslarının üzeri kalın buzlarla kaplanmış, deniz seviyesi 91metre daha alçalmıştı. 5.000 yıl süren ve kuzeydeki çok az alanda daha yumuşak iklimin olduğu bu dönemi aşabilen insan, uyum gücünü daha da yükseltmeyi başarmıştır.
-15.000 yıl önce buzullar çözülürken günde 15 cm yükselen ve 1.5 m ilerleyen sularla Karadeniz alçak toprak alanı KARADENİZ'e dönüşmüştür (Nuh Tufanı değildir; artık Nuh Tufanı'nın, 6000-7000 yıl önce BASRA KÖRFEZİ'nin sular altında kalması olduğu düşünülmektedir).
-15.000 yıl önce bugünküne yakın bir sıcaklığa ulaşan dünya, güneş ışınlarıyla fotosentezi canlandırıp BÜYÜK ENERJİ ZİNCİRİNİ hayata geçirmiştir. ŞANSLI ENLEMLER olarak adlandırılan AVRASYA 20-35 ve AMERİKA 15-20 derece Kuzey enlemleri arasında tahılların çok bollaşması, çok kolay silkelenip toplanabilmesi ile 1 kalori çalışarak 50 kalori elde edebilmek, nüfusun 1000 yıl içerisinde 11 kat artmasına ve 40-100 kişilik gruplar halinde yaşanmasına yol açmıştır.
-MÖ.12500'de Fırat-Dicle-Ürdün Vadisi arasındaki BEREKETLİ HİLAL'de 10m çaplı yuvarlak, taş duvarlı, ağaç damlı evler yapılmıştır (Suriye-Eynan/Ain Mallaha).
Burada KADINLARIN devreye girmesi ve tahıl hasatında ustalaşmaları, BATI'nın DOĞU'nun önüne geçmesinin başlangıcıdır.
-MÖ.10800'de başlayan ve 1200 yıl süren (göktaşı nedenli?) BUZUL devri, Bereketli Hilal'deki hayvanların dağa çekilmelerine, zorlukların DİNSELLİĞİ artırmasına (Cennetten kovulma) yol açmıştır.
-MÖ.9600'de iklimin normalleşmesi ile tekrar sivrilerek dünyanın geri kalanından ayrılan BEREKETLİ HİLAL'de ilk önemli yerleşimler ortaya çıkmaya başlamıştır. Burası, en besleyici 56 otun 32'si, 5 evcil hayvanın ise 5'inin de bulunduğu tam bir coğrafik üstünlük bölgesidir.
-İklimsel zorlukların yaratığı korkuların yükselttiği Dinsellik, artık insanların birlikte yaşamalarının, aralarındaki ilişkilerin önemli bir belirleyeni olmuştur.
-MÖ.9000'den eski olan Tarihin En Eski En Kalabalık Köyü GÖBEKLİTEPE'de 9m genişlik, 3m derinliğe sahip 10 oda ortaya çıkarılmıştır (15 oda daha mevcut). Bu DİNSEL MERKEZ'de birçoğu 8 tondan ağır (bir tanesi 50 ton) toplam 200 taş sütun mevcuttur.
-MÖ.8000'e ait ÇAYÖNÜ yerleşiminde ise ÖLÜLER EVİ denilen yapıda 66 kafatası ve 400'den fazla iskelet bulunmuştur (tanrılara toplu insan kurban etme ayinleri).
-MÖ.8000-7000 arasıda keçi, öküz, domuz, nohut, mercimek evcilleştirilmiş, keten giysi, değirmen taşı ve saban kullanılmıştır.
-MÖ.6500 tarihli ÇATALHÖYÜK, 3000 nüfusuyla en eski kasabadır. Artık hegemonyalar, mülkiyet aktarımları ve ATALARIN EN ÖNEMLİ DOĞA ÜSTÜ VARLIK (tanrısal) oluşu, en belirleyici toplumsal özellikler olmuştur.
-MÖ.13000'de Çin'de varolan ÇÖMLEK, Batı'da ancak MÖ.7000'de kullanılmaya başlamıştır. Zira Çin'in başlıca yiyeceği olan PİRİNÇ, HAŞLANMASI için toprak kaba ihtiyaçlı olmuştur. Bu durum, Batı'nın ağırlıklı yiyeceği olan buğdayın pişirilirken yanması ve arkeolojik kolay iz bırakması; Doğu'nun haşlanan pirincinin ise çok zor arkeolojik iz bırakması şeklinde bir farklılığa da yol açmıştır. Çömlek dışındaki tüm gelişme faktörlerinde, coğrafik üstünlüklü Batı, yüzlerce yıl boyunca önde gidişini sürdürmüştür.
-Son zamandaki gelişme ivmelerine bakıldığında, yakın zamanda DOĞU'nun öne geçme olasılığı yüksek görünmektedir.
-TARİH, UZUN VADELİ KİLİTLENME etkilerinin (İKLİM-COĞRAFYA-KÜLTÜR) ve KISA VADELİ RASTLANTILARIN (1690'da Orange'lı Williams, omuzunu teğet geçen kurşunla ölseydi İngiltere Katolik kalırdı) BİLEŞİMİNDEN oluşur.
-KADIN üzerinden aktarılan genetik özelliklerin takibi MİTOKONDRİAL DNA, ERKEK üzerinden aktarılanlar ise Y KROMOZOMUNDAKİ ÇEKİRDEK DNA incelemeleri ile yapılmaktadır artık ve yeni TARİH kitapları BİYOLOJİ biliminin sağladığı bilgileri de içerecek şekilde yazılmalıdır; kitap bunu da amaçlamıştır.
-Tarih ve Toplumsal gelişmeler, ÖLÇMELER ve grafikler sayesinde DAHA ANLAŞILIR hale getirilebilir. Geliştirilen yeni yöntemle, 2000 yılındaki gelişkinlik düzeyi için herbirine 250 puan verilen 4 kategorilik, toplam 1000 puanlık bir sistem geliştirilmiş ve tarihin dönemleri bu sisteme göre bugün ile karşılaştırılarak puanlandırılmıştır:
1) tüketilen enerji miktarı:
250puan: bugünün bir ABD'lisinin günlük yaşam içinde tükettiği toplam enerji; 2puan: en eski insanın canlı kalabilmesi için beslenmeyle tükettiği enerji
2) örgütlenme-kent:
250puan: en büyük (26milyon kişi) kent olan Tokyo (yani 100bin kişi=1p); 10puan: MÖ.1.yy.Roma (1milyon kişi; 0.03puan: MÖ.6500-Çatalhöyük (3000kişi)
3) savaşabilme gücü:
250puan: bugünün ABD'si; 5puan: 1900'ler; 0.5puan: 1800'ler
4) iletişim seviyesi:
250puan: bugünün ABD'si; 3puan: 1900'ler; 0.3puan: 1800'ler
***Yukarıdaki puanlar, SON YÜZYILDAKİ GELİŞİMİN, önceki asırlarla kıyaslanamayacak kadar HIZLI olmasını ortaya koymaktadır.
***Rakamlarla ortaya çıkan durum, Doğu ve Batı'nın son 16000 yıllık gelişiminin birbirine paralel seyrettiğini, COĞRAFİK ÜSTÜNLÜKLERİ nedeniyle genellikle daha önde seyreden Batı'nın MS.600-1800 arasında üstünlüğü Doğu'ya verdiği, son 300 yıl biraz geride kalan Doğu'nun şimdilerde ARAYI KAPATTIĞINI ortaya koymaktadır.
SAPTANAN TAHMİNİ TARİHLER:
-13.7 milyar yıl: EVREN'in oluşumu
- 4.5 milyar yıl: DÜNYA'nın oluşumu
- 2.5 milyon yıl: Homo Habilis (Orta-Doğu Afrika; Alet kullanan, iki ayaklı kuyruksuz maymunsu, avcı?/leşçi?, 630cm3 beyinli) ,
- 1.7 milyon yıl: AFRİKA'dan insansının İLK ÇIKIŞ'ı
- 800.000 yıl : Heidelberg Adamı (Homo Erectus-1000cm3 beyin; ateş, tekne, iletişim)
- 200.000 yıl : Neanderthal İnsanı (tek hece, gelişkin taş alet, mızrak, post giysi)
- 70.000 yıl : HOMO SAPİENS (normal insan beyni yaklaşık 1200-1400cm3) (Afrika Çıkışlı ve TÜM AVRASYA'yı ele geçiren toplam 20.000 İNSAN; Bunlar, 35.000 yıl önce Avrupa'ya gelip Neandertallerle çiftleşirler ve 25.000 yıl önce Neandertaller kaybolur; Afrika insanında olmayan Neandertal geni, halen tüm Avrasya'da %1-4 oranında mevcuttur)
-15.000 yıl : İnsanın SİBİRYA-AMERİKA yayılımı
-"100.000yılda bir" güneşin etrafındaki yörüngemiz, daire-elips dönüşümü geçirir;
"41.000 yılda bir" dünyanın ekseninde kayma olur;
"22.000 yılda bir" dünyanın kendi ekseni etrafındaki dönüş ritmi değişir;
bu olaylara eşlik eden güneşin radyasyonunun miktarına göre şiddetli iklim (buzul çağı-çölleşme) ve yer tabakası hareket değişiklikleri (deprem-volkan) olur.
-20.000 yıl önceki BUZUL ÇAĞINDA tüm dünya okyanuslarının üzeri kalın buzlarla kaplanmış, deniz seviyesi 91metre daha alçalmıştı. 5.000 yıl süren ve kuzeydeki çok az alanda daha yumuşak iklimin olduğu bu dönemi aşabilen insan, uyum gücünü daha da yükseltmeyi başarmıştır.
-15.000 yıl önce buzullar çözülürken günde 15 cm yükselen ve 1.5 m ilerleyen sularla Karadeniz alçak toprak alanı KARADENİZ'e dönüşmüştür (Nuh Tufanı değildir; artık Nuh Tufanı'nın, 6000-7000 yıl önce BASRA KÖRFEZİ'nin sular altında kalması olduğu düşünülmektedir).
-15.000 yıl önce bugünküne yakın bir sıcaklığa ulaşan dünya, güneş ışınlarıyla fotosentezi canlandırıp BÜYÜK ENERJİ ZİNCİRİNİ hayata geçirmiştir. ŞANSLI ENLEMLER olarak adlandırılan AVRASYA 20-35 ve AMERİKA 15-20 derece Kuzey enlemleri arasında tahılların çok bollaşması, çok kolay silkelenip toplanabilmesi ile 1 kalori çalışarak 50 kalori elde edebilmek, nüfusun 1000 yıl içerisinde 11 kat artmasına ve 40-100 kişilik gruplar halinde yaşanmasına yol açmıştır.
-MÖ.12500'de Fırat-Dicle-Ürdün Vadisi arasındaki BEREKETLİ HİLAL'de 10m çaplı yuvarlak, taş duvarlı, ağaç damlı evler yapılmıştır (Suriye-Eynan/Ain Mallaha).
Burada KADINLARIN devreye girmesi ve tahıl hasatında ustalaşmaları, BATI'nın DOĞU'nun önüne geçmesinin başlangıcıdır.
-MÖ.10800'de başlayan ve 1200 yıl süren (göktaşı nedenli?) BUZUL devri, Bereketli Hilal'deki hayvanların dağa çekilmelerine, zorlukların DİNSELLİĞİ artırmasına (Cennetten kovulma) yol açmıştır.
-MÖ.9600'de iklimin normalleşmesi ile tekrar sivrilerek dünyanın geri kalanından ayrılan BEREKETLİ HİLAL'de ilk önemli yerleşimler ortaya çıkmaya başlamıştır. Burası, en besleyici 56 otun 32'si, 5 evcil hayvanın ise 5'inin de bulunduğu tam bir coğrafik üstünlük bölgesidir.
-İklimsel zorlukların yaratığı korkuların yükselttiği Dinsellik, artık insanların birlikte yaşamalarının, aralarındaki ilişkilerin önemli bir belirleyeni olmuştur.
-MÖ.9000'den eski olan Tarihin En Eski En Kalabalık Köyü GÖBEKLİTEPE'de 9m genişlik, 3m derinliğe sahip 10 oda ortaya çıkarılmıştır (15 oda daha mevcut). Bu DİNSEL MERKEZ'de birçoğu 8 tondan ağır (bir tanesi 50 ton) toplam 200 taş sütun mevcuttur.
-MÖ.8000'e ait ÇAYÖNÜ yerleşiminde ise ÖLÜLER EVİ denilen yapıda 66 kafatası ve 400'den fazla iskelet bulunmuştur (tanrılara toplu insan kurban etme ayinleri).
-MÖ.8000-7000 arasıda keçi, öküz, domuz, nohut, mercimek evcilleştirilmiş, keten giysi, değirmen taşı ve saban kullanılmıştır.
-MÖ.6500 tarihli ÇATALHÖYÜK, 3000 nüfusuyla en eski kasabadır. Artık hegemonyalar, mülkiyet aktarımları ve ATALARIN EN ÖNEMLİ DOĞA ÜSTÜ VARLIK (tanrısal) oluşu, en belirleyici toplumsal özellikler olmuştur.
-MÖ.13000'de Çin'de varolan ÇÖMLEK, Batı'da ancak MÖ.7000'de kullanılmaya başlamıştır. Zira Çin'in başlıca yiyeceği olan PİRİNÇ, HAŞLANMASI için toprak kaba ihtiyaçlı olmuştur. Bu durum, Batı'nın ağırlıklı yiyeceği olan buğdayın pişirilirken yanması ve arkeolojik kolay iz bırakması; Doğu'nun haşlanan pirincinin ise çok zor arkeolojik iz bırakması şeklinde bir farklılığa da yol açmıştır. Çömlek dışındaki tüm gelişme faktörlerinde, coğrafik üstünlüklü Batı, yüzlerce yıl boyunca önde gidişini sürdürmüştür.
-Son zamandaki gelişme ivmelerine bakıldığında, yakın zamanda DOĞU'nun öne geçme olasılığı yüksek görünmektedir.
September 5, 2011
No serious history book can be called breezey, but Ian Morris keeps things moving while tackling a very big (and potentially critical topic). I enjoyed his examples and his speculation as well as his observations. For example: "If you get two paleoanthropologists into a room they are likely to come out with three theories of human evolution, and by the time the door shuts behind them, all will be out of date."
His point of view is made clear, early. His ability to back it up is challenging and successful enough to pass muster. I believe I will return to portions of it as time and circumstances warrant.
His point of view is made clear, early. His ability to back it up is challenging and successful enough to pass muster. I believe I will return to portions of it as time and circumstances warrant.
November 19, 2011
Picks up where Jared Diamond's Guns, Steel and Germs left off: Diamond argued that geography gave Eurasia an advantage over all other centres of civilisation and, in the very last chapter speculated briefly as to why the centres in the west of Eurasia advanced faster and further than their counterparts in the east. Morris, who speaks in a similarly lively, interdisciplinary, but also slightly more everyman-directed voice traces the very topical question of east vs west over 15 millennia, guided by a few self constructed developmental metrics.
August 14, 2014
Excellent analysis of historical facts from very early ages until twenty first century (even some predictions of the future) that eventually sums up the background for West dominance in the last two chapters. Some of the details in the book makes it even more attractive for Historians and Anthropologists however Political Scientists will find institutional and state level analyses more interesting. If you have time and interest this is a MUST read book!
September 16, 2014
Another truly remarkable book from Ian Morris, I was concerned that there would be too much cross over from the last one I read however they are easily read without that feeling of repetition. This reminds me of The Rise and Fall if Great Powers but with a much broader scope. I need a break to think before I leap into the next Ian Morris book. Highly recommended
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