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First published April 23, 2019
That is precisely what Israel did in late December 2008 when it launched a guided missile at a group of young police cadets in the Gaza Strip. The cadets were marching in their graduation ceremony with their families in audience. Within a few minutes of the attack, sixty Israeli jet fighters similarly targeted Hamas police and security forces across the tiny span of the coastal enclave. Israel killed a total of 200 Palestinians in the attack, which initiated Operation Cast Lead, a military offensive in the winter of 2008 to 2009. The police cadets and the Hamas police officers are civilian law enforcement personnel and therefore not legitimate military targets. Israel defended its attack by arguing that once in a state of conflict, Hamas would absorb the officers within its military ranks. This is highly speculative, because all civilian law enforcement in Gaza falls under Hamas's authority, regardless of police officers' political allegiance. Police officers could be members of Fatah or the communist party rather than Hamas, for example, even though they are employed by Hamas by virtue of its governing authority. Although the cadets possessed civilian status, were not definitively members of Hamas, and posed no military threat at the time of their killing, Israel killed them based on their employment by Hamas and to prevent the possibility that they would ever become a threat.
This is a radical reading of humanitarian law. Israel's analysis significantly expands the definition of a legitimate target by working on the basis of unchecked forward-looking speculation and not on incontrovertible evidence of posing a legal threat. It is a risk-averse analysis that places the burnt of any risk on enemy civilians. The equivalent would be to consider nearly all Israelis aged eighteen and above as legitimate targets because they would eventually be conscripted into the army or called to serve in its reservist troops. Under Israel's revised analysis, this disturbing hypothetical is not plausible because the analysis insists that traditional laws of armed conflict remain intact during conventional warfare. Israel narrowly applies its new military directive to non-state actors, thus shielding states from ever being brutally attacked based upon the same logic.