This book gives Canadians the knowledge and tools to realize peace of mind in their retirement, without being paralyzed by fear of depleting the assets they spent their working years accumulating. Vettese uses the term “decumulation” to refer to the drawdown of those assets.
I came away feeling fortunate to be a Canadian. Our government pays senior’s prescription drug cost; our socialized healthcare system insulates us from financial ruin in the event of illness; and the Canada Pension Plan (CPP) is sustainable based on current funding levels for at least 75 years.
Conversely, in the United States, Americans can face bankruptcy when their health fails, and the social security system, a pay-as-you-go plan, is currently unsustainable.
Vettese’s advice is practical and subsumed within a free online tool he calls PERC (Personal Enhanced Retirement Calculator).
Based on your and your spouse’s assets, PERC indicates the amount of income you can withdraw each year and the amount you can spend (after taxes), within a lower and upper bound.
The lower bound assumes worst-case scenario investment returns (5th percentile) while the upper bound assumes median returns, based on a Monte Carlo simulation.
The two scenarios assume your make a few “enhancements” over a base case that is also shown in PERC. Much of the book is devoted to explaining the rationale of four enhancements.
First, lower your investment fees to 0.6% or less by using a Robo-Advisor that will build and maintain your portfolio at a pre-set ratio of stocks to bonds. Or, for even lower fees, you can create your own portfolio of low-cost index funds.
Second, defer your Canada Pension Plan (CPP) payments to age 70, in exchange for 40% higher payments. By doing so, you transfer two key risks to the government: (1) that the market will yield poor returns, and (2) that you will live a very long life. The CPP absorbs the risks, and you receive a larger and reliable income stream for life.
The third enhancement is buying an annuity with 20% of your retirement savings. The annuity – a “joint and two-thirds survivor policy” – pays a regular stream of income for the rest of your life (with two thirds of the amount paid to the surviving spouse, upon the death of the other).
The above two enhancements mimic a Defined Benefit (DB) pension plan –a prized asset for those lucky few who have them. Yet, perhaps due to our psychological quirks, they are passed over by most retirees. Vettese does a good job showing why the reasons people give for rejecting the CPP deferral and the purchase of annuities are unsound.
The final enhancement is, if you get into trouble due to “spending shocks” or poor investment returns, you can convert nonfinancial assets into income. Specifically, you can tap into your home’s equity by taking out a “reverse mortgage”. The interest rate is higher than a regular mortgage, but you are safe in your home for the rest of your life, and your estate will never be liable for more than the home’s equity.
Without Vettese’s book, many people assume you just withdraw 4% of your assets a year (the so-called 4% rule) and expect to leave the principal value of your assets unchanged.
The 4% rule is flawed because it ignores the fact that you probably want to take out more money in the early years of retirement when you can enjoy it more. Vettese presents strong empirical evidence that spending declines when people reach their 70’s, which makes sense as health issues make spending money more difficult (e.g. travel) and less enjoyable. By that point in your life, your income needs are lower, but you want the source of that income to be secure and persist as long as you do.
A related insight Vettese shares is that low interest rates are probably here to stay, due to demographics. The high saving rates of seniors create ample supply of money, while there are fewer young people looking to borrow. Thus, bonds are not likely to be a good investment, and your best bet is stocks or a high-interest savings account.
While retirement is not on my horizon quite yet, this book gave me a great sense of how to “decumulate” assets when the time comes.