2.5 stars
UGH! I had high hopes for this book. The first two chapters are fantastic. Like, 4.5 star material. Its interpretation of ISIS, its predictions for what ifs and its understanding of why ISIS exists and how it operates. Incredibly insightful, it evaluates what exactly ISIS is with a cool head and rigorous understanding.
And then... And then its solutions are different ways of attacking ISIS militarily. I wish it were that simple. It explains that ISIS will change shape no matter how it's culled (look at what's happened over the last year and a half, now that it's small again it's even more difficult to manage). And after explaining its anit-American nature and how it manipulates sectarian and cultural divides, especially hatred of the outsider... The solution is to bomb it differently?
The region is already so battle scarred. The world is even more of a powder-keg than it was during Vietnam. (Don't believe me? Read Chomsky's Who Rules the World.) The fact that the solution turning into a proxy war of great powers is acceptable to the author (Murphy's words, not mine) greatly delegitimizes the rationale to me.
Besides all the solutions being military and therefore risking new anti-west extremists in the area, the military solutions are so intense. Like liberation of Normandy in WWII intense. Setting aside that it won't bring a definitive end to the organization, why should the public go along with investing that much into defeating ISIS? The author brings up the possibility of them controlling oil. If that's really such a concern, the US and other western countries can look to Texas and Norway. (Or better yet, start developing a heavier reliance on renewables!)
Declaring war on ISIS in the way that Murphy suggests would end one of two ways. On the one hand, it's a pyrrhic victory that results in the rise of another unpleasant power that dislikes us. On the other, we win and it seems like imperial conquest. Morality of that aside, I doubt we would be welcomed as liberators.
I'm especially pissed off because the first half was so insightful!!!!!
After reading the "bonus content": The military solutions which were the bulk of the solutions are reactionary. Dangerous. Violent.
The cast aside quickly spat out solutions in "bonus content" are well thought out and innovative. It includes "reducing the ugly footprint of the US in the Middle East" and instead helping to build hospitals. HE SAID AFTER ADVOCATING GULF WAR 3 AND SAYING THAT A CIA BACKED PUPPET WOULD BE BETTER THAN IRAQ'S CURRENT INEPT GOVERNMENT! (again, Murphy said this, not me)