Librarian Note: There is more than one author in the Goodreads database with this name. This is the "catch-all profile".
Author of How to Read Numbers, Everything Is Predictable, The Rationalist's Guide to the Galaxy - Tom Chivers Author of London Clay, The Reward of Loyalty, poetry books - Tom Chivers
Excellent and carefully researched book that strikes a balance between going deep where it needs to and staying light enough to be a popular science book. If you expect a rigorous text book full of formulas and proofs then this is not for you, but if you're looking to understand the concepts behind bayesian reasoning with concrete examples even non-statisticians can follow, this is well worth a read. I am thoroughly impressed with the author's ability to abstract away a lot of the complexity when it is not needed to drive home a specific point while staying factual or adding disclaimers whenever simplifications are made.
Good explanation of the the controversies in statistics and how to understand probabilities and the importance of subjectivity. Got a bit tiresome finding Bayes in everything, but I enjoyed the later sections on the brain and how we use prediction from a model in constructing our work.