As science fiction William Gibson famously stated, 'The future is already here – it's just not evenly distributed". No where is that more true with the propulsive AI arms race. With fear and wonder, it feels like we are only at beginning of the beginning of massive societal changes. Generative AI, agentic bots, advancements in natural linguistic processing, and quantom computing are moving from the phase of ideas to product development. Like the ascendt of the world-wide net, we can traces in our time of the birth of a wider intellignece from a trillion points of computation.
Keach Hagey centers on Sam Altman's development story. He is a paragon of the millenial technologist wunderkid, and a driving force of venture capital to the R&D ventures like YC Continuity and OpenAI. We are given a proxy of the start-up education, seen through the lens of Altman's story. His confidence, and mastery of technical skills is remarkable even from the pages. We see the transition from a Stanford dorm project idead, Loopt, a mobile-location app for users, to it's development in a mentorship incubator program with Paul Graham. Ultimately he carries his disruptive innovation to mobile Carriers like Spirit and venture capitalists like Sequoia Capital.
In a book that highlights the development of people over technologies, through the story of Altman, we see the collaborative effects of Silicon Valley's insular culture. We also see the role of the Y Combinator, through the elixir of ideas, seed money and coding helped produce consumer-known firms like Stripe, Airbnb, and Doordash. Although Altman's story is prominent, mostly do to the transformative nature of ChatGPT, a large language model, trained on global compendium of shared knowledge, we are given insights into other Silicon Valley movements such as effecitve altruism, the cryptocurrency mania, fusion/nuclear power development and AI safety/regulations.
Although the book highlights fascinating aspects of Silicon Valley, I was sorely left feeling like this is an undeveloped story. Maybe it's the first iteration of a larger AI development narrative. Harsh as it may be, I don't think the book needed a 50 page intro about Sam's parents. Also, I think Altman's story needed to be grounded in the larger AI development story. Each chapter could be it's one story, but the connective tissue was weakly connected. And strangely, the book has a distanced effect from many of the key players - I never get the sense Hagey is in the room with Altman during these critical moments - it can feel sort of summarized from a second hand source and not friendly to the reader.
Often it's at the edges of the story where Hagey entices the reader the mosts. We see something of a philosophical worldview with Peter Thiel's classes. He emphasizes a push toward epochal achievement instead of gradual careerism. Paul Graham also occupies a space as a luminary, and one who helped develop many young leaders to succeed. We get some tantalizing allusions to social atmosphere of the start-up culture. The openness from traditional relationship norms (a substanial queer culture within Silicon Valley) and an openness to psychdelics to expand the capacities of the mind stand out. There are certainly a lot of out-of-the-box thought leaders like Eliezer Yudkowesky, and generations of Ayn Rand acolytes, one is left wondering - do these people relate at all those outside their bubble. By avoiding regulatory capture, and largely working in commerical spaces, they have sidestepped tradtional constraints of businesses, while having massive effects on our society. Just how resonsible they feel to the wider public seems unaddressed.
The wider problem I had is the unexamined leap of the Silicon Valley thought leaders from technical marvels to a religious ferver. We never see pushback on the hubris or insanity of some of these leaders. Consider Elon Musk's grandstanding, incivility, drug-use and anti-semetic trolling in the last six months of the Trump administration. Altman, is quite different. He is described early on as a visionary, evangelizer, the dealmaker (p.3), and though not well-developed, people share that he has political aspirations to govern. It may be well and good to leave another book to exploring the larger visions of the Silicon Valley. Space races, expansion of lifespans and building Artificial General Intelligence may be better suited for a different book. But there seems to be something deeper driving Altman and the young millenial leaders. Altman states, “Very deeply we would like this technology to tbe governed by, and benefits of it shared with everybody" (p.9). Even if Altman displays an openness, and eschews short-term profiteering, the roots of the striving seem undefined. Maybe he just hasn't lived long enough to see how his impact unfolds.
At times it can feel like I was running my finger along a scroll bar - holding my breath as Hagey describes the development of the initial Open AI product in 2020 to the masterful ChatGPT-4 version. Similarly, in the chapter the Blip, whose boardroom drama seems a little unnecessary for a general reader, Hagey describes Altman's firing and reinstatement from the OpenAI board, all with the visceral punches from a Muhammad Ali rope-a-dope combeback win. All of that can be very exciting, but we do lose the larger narrative or critical analysis of the larger AI arms race.
Neverthless, despite any reservations on the book format - Hagey does have an inside lane to the thought-leaders of Silicon Valley. I would recommend readers go to other sources for deeper understanding of technology, but this a is a great source of understanding the story of Altman and the incubators of the Silicon Valley.