Beating the stock market isn’t very difficult. Yet almost all mutual funds consistently fail. Hedge fund manager Andreas F. Clenow takes you behind the scenes to show you why this is the case and how anyone can beat the mutual funds. Momentum investing has been one of very few ways of consistently beating the markets. This book offers you a unique back stage pass, guiding you through how established hedge funds achieve their results. The stock markets are widely misunderstood. Buying and selling stocks seems so simple. We all know what stocks are and what the companies produce. We’re told that stocks always go up in the long run and that everyone should be in the stock markets. Oversimplifications like that can end up costing you. In the long run, the major stock indexes show a performance of five to six percent per year. For that return, you will have to bear occasional losses of over half your capital and be forced to wait many years to recover your money. Yes, in the long run stocks do go up. But the story isn’t that simple. Stocks on the Move outlines a rational way to invest in the markets for the long term. It will walk you through the problems of the stock markets and how to address them. It will explain how to achieve twice the return of the stock markets at considerably lower risk. All rules and all details will be explained in this book, allowing anyone to replicate the strategies and research. Andreas F. Clenow is the chief investment officer and partner of ACIES Asset Management, based in Zurich, Switzerland. Starting out as a successful IT entrepreneur in the 90s boom, he enjoyed a stellar career as global head of equity and commodity quant modeling for Reuters before leaving for the hedge fund world. Having founded and managed multiple hedge funds, Mr. Clenow is now overseeing asset management and trading across all asset classes. He is the author of best-selling and critically acclaimed book Following the Trend and can be reached via his popular website www.FollowingTheTrend.com.
Growing up in a tiny Swedish town, Andreas has spent the past few decades in the Swiss high finance world. That journey involved IT startups, corporate management, garage band hedge funds, quant finance, proper hedge funds, private equity, family offices, and authoring some books.
He has written three international best sellers in the finance, non-fiction space - Following the Trend, Stocks on the Move, and Trading Evolved, and he is translated into eight languages.
With his upcoming work of fiction - a finance noir crime story set in the heart of Zurich, he hopes to finally be able to call himself a novelist.
A straight to the point book. The author does a good job on showing how a simple and timeless strategy can beat the market with not too much hassle.
Andreas shows a momentum strategy, that relies on checking the S&P 500 top 100 stocks, searching for a slope and R² of the fitting of the line to the chart, for seeking a 90-day momentum. It filters out 15% gap on past weeks, 200-day MA for the index and 100-day MA for the stocks, sorting them and using volatility-based position sizing.
There is a risk-adjusted benchmark, which is quite good. One part of the book that I think it's useless is the year-by-year analysis, but some may find it useful. It's basically to show the psychological problems that arise on real money portfolio management.
There are some interesting websites that continues the strategy benchmark and even improves it, showing that the original strategy still outperforms the S&P500 index for the period after the book was released.
One concern I have is related to fees/taxes, as the frequent rebalancing might incur in a loss of performance in a real world setting.
Excellent Resource for Equity Portfolio Construction
Written by a seasoned professional, this book outlines a method to beat buy and hold sp500 for equities, but can really be applied to any basket of stocks. There is enough detail in this book for you to implement the calculations in Excel or Google sheets, which can act as a check against a more robust implementation in Python, C, or some other general programming language. There's an interesting chapter on random portfolios and how fifty randomly picked portfolios beat the sp500. No detailed analysis was done, but from a graph of returns vs risk, I suspect a random handful of stocks will have a higher beta than one, and over a long period, when the market rises, higher beta portfolios will win. This leads me to wonder how much of the momentum strategy is due to beta and how much is real alpha. Shorting against a beta adjusted sp500 index in a backtest will provide the answer. Unfortunately, running a simulation is much harder than just generating a current portfolio - you will have to calculate total returns, adjusted with historical split and dividend data. You will also have to dig up historical sp500 components for inclusions and removals over time. Overall, one of the best books I've read on professional equity portfolio construction - highly recommended.
This book is a detailed breakdown of a fully functioning momentum based fund. Its very detailed and easy to understand. I particularly liked the year by year account of the fund, just to hear the struggles from a professional.
The strategy that is employed is systemic, mathematical and rather simple. Although this is a solid strategy to apply to stocks, I find it that it isn't something for me as you 1) require a decent size of capital, 2) play the long term game (10 year +?), 3) systemic/quant approach. However interesting book to learn something from.
Good introduction to a cross-sectional momentum strategy. I would say it focuses on mid–long term horizon using just the daily, as it can hold a stock for a year.
It's pretty simple concepts, it's easy to read, and easy enough to replicate if you can get the data. The only thing not mentioned at all is fees and taxes. It would be interesting to see how introducing them in a fair way would've affected his simulations.
I was able to apply it to cryptocurrencies, though the universe of symbols I'd trade is much smaller than his 500 symbols from the S&P 500. I found that his strategy would perform equal to Bitcoin taking fees, spread and slippage into account, but not taxes (there exists ways to delay tax payment though).
Takeaway from me was that I could use his strategy here to work out my own backtester and make it flexible enough for the needs of his strategies. Hopefully, the second strategy will thus be easier to implement, as I got the engine, order executor, data loading etc down already.
My followup plan is to get a book on mean reversion, and then figure a way we could deploy the cash somewhere else for the periods we sit on our hands.
I have always considered Clenow as the master of momentum investing. What I liked about this book the most is the use of exponential regression to measure momentum against the amateur approach of using ROC. Clenow goes a step further to calculate regression fit as a risk management tool and employs risk parity position sizing. Personally I have modified the 200day MA on the index to 75day MA exit in my backtest which reduced the drawdowns drastically. This is a must read book for any quant enthusiast.
This is a no nonsense, no bs book about investing using a momentum-based strategy. If you believe momentum exists in stocks, then this book will help you implement a strategy that makes sense.
A. Clenow is doing a good job at explaining every aspect of the strategy - also, he is not too dogmatic about any part of it. He explains clearly the concepts, and some simple ways to execute them.
The author goes to great lengths to simplify and give the reader actionable steps and a practical system they can implement. Of course, like any good teacher it’s not about what he gives us, it’s about understanding the why.
What’s the main point of this book - risk management and momentum strategies have an edge.
The concept makes perfect sense! Literally I have read this book in a week following the concept and working on my own implementation of the ranking model using data from Alpha Vantage. I’ve just started buying some stocks but alas the index is gone down MA 200 this week!! Great opportunity to test the strategy and my determination to stick with it! Thanks!!
With Stocks on the move, Clenow wrote a book so really everyone is able to understand momentum strategies, risk allocation and how to get started. I really like its simplicity and how accessible it is made. What I don't like though, are some technical details about the book itself. Some Chapter references, image names etc are missing, which makes it harder to read at some point.
But all in all it's a nice book, with easy-to-understand content and a rock-solid investment strategy.
Reco by my trader mentor- Jagan My fav quotes (not a review): -Page 12 | "Here’s the simple explanation. Start with the index at 100. The first day, the index drops by 10%. Now the index is at 100, the short ETF is at 110 and the double short at 120. Great for the short ETFs. The next day, the index moves back to 100, gaining 11%. Would you expect your short ETFs to be back to where they started? The short ETF, losing 11% of 110, is down to 97.8. The double short loses 22% of 120, down to 93.3." -Page 44 | "A trailing stop will be used, as is common with trend following models." -Page 70 | "It’s an approach usually referred to as risk parity allocation. By looking at the volatility of each stock, we can scale each position size according to that. The idea is to buy smaller positions of volatile stocks, so that each stock has an equal theoretical ability to impact the bottom line of the portfolio."
Great book - goes over the construction of a single name stock momentum strategy. Goes over the thought process involved for each parameter, construction of the entire strategy as well as results and review process.
Well guided book on how to create a watchlist for momentum strategies. Easy to follow selection process. Great book for both beginners and advanced traders.
In this book, he gave the full details of a momentum trading strategy which covers the concept, system, execution and eloborate a lot on how we do ranking, risk parity position sizing, weekly portfolio rebalancing and so on.
It will be better if he can lay out more on the stats of the strategy, win rate, w/l ratio and others. But I think he suppose us to be able recreate the backtesting following his instructions.
Great buy, great read, an great book like his previous one!
I have read his previous book as well. I just would buy any books by him. Quality of the writing is high, his method of explaining is great, and approach is quite logical, last but not the least, investing is not without risk, walk through on the path with risk to be experienced. All these factors make this book a complete
Andreas has done it again! 'Stocks on the Move' does for equity momentum strategies what his classic 'Following the Trend' did for managed futures -- remove the shroud of secrecy and show how these investment strategies really work.
The strategy makes sense, also it's described in fine detail, something that many similar books are lacking. I think selling rules could be improved, but in general, a useful read.