Vijay Prashad's "Arab Spring, Libyan Winter" is a great analysis of the early dynamics of the Arab Spring, and the manner in which the Gulf States and NATO sought to take control of the dynamic in Libya. I had a vague notion that the NATO intervention in Libya had been a disaster, driven by political considerations that saw the protection of civilians as a convenient justification, but I only really grasp the full scale of it all- the alternatives blocked, the complicity of the media, the political maneuvering- after reading this. I am glad, however, that Prashad emphasizes the legitimacy of the uprising from below against the Gaddafi government, and sympathizes with their yearnings for dignity and desire to create their own future.
The book is split into two sections: the first provides a brief overview of the various uprisings that made up the Arab Spring, as well as the political dynamics that dictated the tenor of the movements and their reception by the US and the region's hegemons. The latter half, which constitutes the majority of the book, is a narrative of the rise and fall of Gaddafi's regime. I thought there were some gaps in the analysis of the relationship between Libya and the United States, and how that dynamic shifted from one of overt hostility to Gaddafi's accommodation of the War on Terror. Overall, however, the book was very well done and written with Prashad's usual passion. I'll be thinking about this one for a while.
This was written only two years after the Arab Spring actually began. While it still manages to provide crucial historical context to events Prashad's narrative is of events that are still unfolding, with ends that are uncertain. This is rarely a limiting factor in his analysis but, despite Prashad's optimism about the ultimate triumph of the people that started these incredibly brave movements, it's hard not to feel a sense of impending tragedy knowing how things have gone in the years since this book was written. I do think he is right, however, to see the Arab Spring as a rupture with the past that will have far-reaching consequences that cannot be quelled by repression.
"The Arab lands will not be the same again.
There is an appropriate, although apocryphal story from the 1970s. Zhou Enlai the Chinese premier was asked what he thought of the 1789 French Revolution. He answered, 'it is too soon to tell.' What we know for sure is that the time of the neoliberal security state, of the governments of the possible, is now over. Even if such states remain, their legitimacy has eroded. The time of the impossible has presented itself... The people continue to assert themselves...they want something more. For them the slogan is simple: Down with the Present. Long Live the Future. May it be so."