This book is particularly useful for its comprehensive history of neoliberalism and especially how it went from an ideology that at one time was very much on the fringe and understood as belonging only to the loony right to becoming central to our society and virtually ‘common-sense’. The authors here say the left needs to similarly have a long term plan to change the paradigm our society takes for granted and therefore to change what is considered to be common sense. Given the abject failures of neoliberal policies, you might think this would be a relatively easy task – but that isn’t now common sense works. The authors idea is to change the way we think about fundamental problems and to therefore reinvent the future.
Part of the argument here is that too much of what has passed for left progressive action in the past has been grossly ineffectual. The Occupy Movement, the anti-war movement prior to the Iraq War – none of these came close to achieving their objectives.
One of the proposals is to shift-the-debate, shift-common-sense by getting the left to stop calling for full employment, but to rather call for full unemployment. That is, the expectation underlying this book is that automation is about to destroy most jobs anyway – so that rather than focusing on how to find ways to keep people employed, we should be looking for how best to manage a world without work.
One of the ways to achieve this is what I’m going to spend the rest of this review thinking about – a Universal Basic Income (UBI). I’m not going to pretend that I know the answer to whether this would be a good or a bad thing. Rather, I’m going to point out some of the pros and cons.
Last year my eldest daughter and I went to a discussion on a UBI organised by my University – it was mostly in favour and most of the people speaking were left-ish. One was an American academic who sounded to me a bit like John Denver. Anyway, rather than filling up my senses, he said some really interesting things about how a UBI would make the world a better place. One of the things it would do would be to make almost all jobs better. His argument being that at present capitalist have incentives to make jobs as boring and as awful as possible. This is because most of us are wage slaves, you know, a week or so away from financial ruin – so, he said we have no option but to accept jobs as they come. But if we had a UBI we would only accept jobs that were basically human – read Dan Pink’s ‘Drive’ for the things that make jobs basically human. It’s not as if we don’t know what would make jobs ‘worth doing’ – what would increase workers’ ‘intrinsic motivations’ – it is rather that the current economic incentives in society don’t allow for jobs to be made more interesting or worthwhile. Finding ways to change those incentives doesn’t seem like a terrible idea to me.
Another benefit of a UBI would be that people who have been displaced by the increasingly rapid disruptions technological change has brought about would be able to support themselves and might even be able to pay to acquire the new skills would need if they are ever to get back into the job market. Currently, in Australia, our ‘New Start’ allowance – essentially an unemployment insurance – is the second lowest in the OECD and has the most stringent requirements of any in the industrialised world. It is also set at a rate that is significantly below the official poverty line – the current government argues this is a good thing as it provides incentives for people to get back into the work force – you call it incentive, I call it starvation…let’s call the whole thing off. New Start has not been increased for 25 years – by either side of politics, not even the Australian Labor Party (labour only in name, neoliberal in all other ways). It is so self-evidently impossible to live on this allowance, that even businesses are calling on it to be increased. We only get away with this because this allowance is for the poor and any services for the poor inevitably becomes a poor services a universal rule is confirmed yet again. But because everyone would receive a UBI there is motivation for the whole of society to ensure it is set at a reasonable rate.
It isn’t at all clear how the next few decades are going to pan out in the world of employment – the assumption by the authors here is that most jobs are about to go. I’m not totally convinced this is necessarily the case – although, if it proves to be so I won’t be totally surprised, it is just that I don’t really know which of the two arguments about the future of work (that technological change always produces more jobs than it destroys – or that for some reason this time is different and all hell is about to break loose) is going to play out. One thing is utterly clear – we are in for major disruptions and the new jobs are likely to require significantly different skills to those most people currently hold. So, some form of ongoing learning is going to prove necessary, even if the best of all possible scenarios plays out and jobs suddenly become plentiful again. As such, a UBI would seem to help alleviate this problem.
The other blindingly obvious fact of the world over the last few decades has been growing inequality. Inequality is accelerating and it really does need to be addressed. An article I saw today said that over half a million people in the US are literally homeless. No society should accept this – it is an obscenity. A UBI would go some way to redistribute wealth towards those who need it.
I’m not as interested in the arguments against a UBI from the right – particularly about how it kills the work ethic. Personally, I believe people prefer to be useful to society, and so will work if given the option, particularly if the work is meaningful. If you are going to argue with me on this point, do try to remember that I write these reviews purely out of the love of writing them, that is, for no remuneration at all. I don’t know how useful people find them, but I do write them to be useful. Even if only in helping people decide the books they would rather not read. My point being, don’t tell me people don’t do things if there is not financial reward, because I think I know better than that.
However, I do think there might be problems with a UBI – not so much that it will crush the Protestant Work Ethic – god forbid – but that it is likely to be used by the right as a way to kill off social security, public services and so on. That is, give everyone a basic income and then tell them that they have to use it to pay for all the things the state currently provides – public education, health care, child care. You know, so the impact is that the poor spend all of the money they receive in this UBI on the things they currently receive anyway.
I think if we did have universal unemployment, that people will need some sort of training in a life without work, or without the necessity to work. Given the first question we are normally asked when we meet other people is ‘and what do you do?’ and that there is a clear social stigma associated with being unemployed, if work is going to be done by machines and by only a very few or, as this book predicts, eventually no one at all, then society’s idea of how people acquire self-worth will also need to change.
It is not at all clear to me what is going to happen next. If the doomsayers are right, or even just a little bit right, about what is our immediate future on jobs, then we either ‘fix’ this somehow now or it isn’t clear to me how social harmony and cohesion are going to be maintained. A boot to the face for all eternity is highly effective over the short term, but I don’t know if it is really sustainable long term. Having the majority of the population living like dogs amongst endless opulence just doesn’t seem like an ideal society to me.
This was quite an interesting book in a lot of ways – like I said, I’m not sure a UBI is the panacea many people make it out to be, and I don’t see how we will be allowed to ‘tax the rich’ to the extent that would be necessary to bring it about, but even proposing options to the monolith that is current neoliberal group think feels like a revolutionary act.