So, the longer review:
Klosterman seems unable to really think through his central thesis: how will the present look from the future? As a result, his book is incredibly dated only five years after publication, despite it being meant to take a view of 500 years from now. This is due largely to two things: Klosterman doesn't understand that other people have vastly different values and perspectives from himself (and oh the irony), and doesn't understand the relative strangeness of our current moment and how vastly unlikely it is to continue for five hundred years. As such, all of his predictions about how people 500 years from now will value or perceive things from the 21st century essentially reflect the values and perspectives of comfortable middle-class white men from 2016.
In some sections, this myopia has less impact than others, possibly because he relies more on the knowledge of experts. So his section on science, for example, and the possibility that in 500 years people will have a radically different understanding of something like gravity, was a straight recounting of disagreements between promiment scientists like Tyson and Greene and had little of his own interpretation to muck things up. But on subjects where he considered himself to have some expertise, his conclusions were confounding.
Art (music, TV & literature)
Klosterman believes that the preference for realistic art is a human universal rather than a very recent and very strange mindset of well-off westerners: there's a reason why so many prior cultures didn't produce such art, and it's because they didn't want it. Just because Klosterman thinks that he would watch a TV show from ancient Egypt about common Egyptians doesn't mean that someone 500 years or more from now would prefer Roseanne to all other possible TV shows.
It's at least as likely if not more so than the humans of the future would be interested in our mythologies (cartoons, superhero stories) as most of us are interested in the mythologies of prior civilizations, and if not, I think it most likely that they will be interested in our predictions from various science fiction stories. I mean, aren't things like 1984 and The Handmaid's Tale and Back to the Future more interesting, if only briefly, when we are in the year they meant to foresee? What would those 2300's humans make of Star Trek, for instance? Or The Expanse? Like one of us opening a time capsule or finding a letter we'd written to our future selves, they would want to see how right or wrong we were. Klosterman doesn't consider this. He only continues his own preferences centuries/millennia into the future as a human universal, which it isn't.
Politics
Klosterman begins by reflecting on his circa 2000 belief that the Republicans and Democrats were the same, which he again assumes was the view everyone shared. (I just as clearly remember the outrage from a Florida courtroom deciding the presidency as he remembers "everyone" not actually caring.) He then describes how wrong he's come to see that perspective, and then, confoundingly, spends the rest of the section talking about whether it's really bad or not when people don't vote, that a single vote doesn't really matter and saying it does it egotism, and that if you participate in that system you then lose the right to complain about whoever wins. Considering that later in the year this was published Trump won the presidency, largely because large swaths of Democrats stayed home and didn't vote, and the vast consequences this had for people in America and all over the world--well. I sputtered through the whole thing.
I wonder if a future Klosterman will reflect on the failure of every single one of past Klosterman's political analyses and predictions enough to stop offering his opinions?
Climate Change
Towards the end of the book, Klosterman shares his opinions about the accuracy of climate science, and whether or not it will really be as bad as the scientists say.
He claims to be offering an agnostic opinion of "no one really knows," but that's not true. I'll get into more about what and why in the next section, but for now I'll just note how completely out of touch and inaccurate what he does include here is already: maybe someday, he writes, humans will incrementally need to move away from rising seas! We already have sunny-day flooding along coastlines and plummeting real estate values there and migration is already underway--along with a major migrant crisis along America's southern borders created largely by climate impacts in South America--and a similar migrant crisis in Europe--and impacts to our politics and rising populism from these--and major heat waves along N America coastlines killing hundreds, and in Europe killing thousands--and and and.
In five years. And he could have seen this coming, if he were even mildly cognizant of the science and weighted the scientific evidence equally with whatever denialist crap he saw in the papers, but he didn't.
This is due to the last and largest of Klosterman's blind spots, below.
Comfort and Stability
Klosterman largely predicts the future will be exactly the same as today in term of the stability and prosperity he's enjoyed in his life, and moreso, he predicts that there will be no significant disruptions to that comfort and prosperity throughout the centuries/millennia he "analyzes."
Not directly, no; but none of his predictions make a lick of sense if filtered through the lens of disruptions such as pandemics, climate disasters, economic collapses, and so on. If the climate emergency continues unfolding as predicted by scientists (and there's no reason to think it wouldn't, given that the predictions have been, if anything, conservative so far), then it's very likely that any human civilization of the future in whatever form it survives will mostly be looking back at this period through the lens of "what the hell were those people thinking?" and "if they saw it coming, why didn't they do anything?"
Wouldn't you? I mean, sea level rise will continue for centuries/millennia yet, as in continue to increase throughout that entire period, and migratory retreat will continue throughout the entire period Klosterman writes about; if you were affected by increasingly shrinking land areas and ongoing planned retreat from the seas and you were looking back at this moment, wouldn't you wonder what the fuck we were thinking? Why we didn't cut emissions faster, why people continued to build new towns and new houses on shorelines that were on the brink of disappearing? This will be their history, remember, and therefore a fact.
I mean, yes, someone in 2700 might look back at our stories and want to know how regular people lived, but they might end up consumed by fury at all the cars and airplanes mentioned so casually, the way modern female readers are often angry about the casual misogyny of the art of previous ages (another lens Klosterman fails to bring to his 'analysis,' as all of the artists he considers for sticking power are men, and he doesn't consider the way women artists of any kind are reevaluated through history--apparently he's as comfortable with sexism sticking with us forever as he is with his own mediocrity).
Klosterman is so used to his comfort, his stability, his effortless prosperity, that he doesn't and indeed can't consider that this is far from a human universal, and future humans are very unlikely to share it with him. These predictions are, just five years on, and from only the training-wheels apocalypses we've been treated to so far, completely jarring and out of date. This will accelerate.
~~~~~
Well this aged badly. Hard to believe it's only five years old. It's unbelievable wrongness on almost every count so quickly is however a nice refutation of its central conceit.
I'll come back with a longer review soon, but for now, consider that in 2016 Klosterman, in a book about how the present would look in the future, very clearly did not foresee Trump, the rise of populism, a massive global climate protest youth movement, the acceleration of climate change, or a global pandemic, and the impacts of these events on the currency of his assessments is impossible to overstate. Skip this one. There is literally no point.
Serves me right for my "I wonder what audiobook is currently available at the library?" habit.