A FINE HISTORY AND ANALYSIS OF ISIS
Author William McCants wrote in the Preface to the new edition of this 2015 book, “Though reluctant to use the future tense when writing the book, I ventured my own predictions about the fortunes of the Islamic State. I anticipated its government in Syria and Iraq would collapse and its ‘provinces’ abroad would multiply and spread. Both are proving true… It was obvious to anyone who has watched how capably the Islamic State capitalizes on the chaos roiling the region. If I am right that the Islamic State pushed to expand its territory and terror network in response to Western nations attacking its lands in Syria and Iraq, then we should anticipate more expansion to compensate for fresh setbacks on the battlefield… The more the United States and its allies succeed in destroying the Islamic State’s government, the more terrorism it will face.” (Pg. xiii-xiv)
He explains, “I am going to take you on a tour of the Islamic State. We will explore its origins, meet its leaders, boo its fans, and cheer its detractors. You will read its propaganda, study its strategies, eavesdrop on its internal debates, and follow its tweets… I will explain its obscure allusions to Islamic history and theology so you can understand the ways the Islamic State uses and abuses Islam… its extreme brutality defies the convention al jihadist playbook. We’re used to thinking of al-Qaeda’s former leader Osama bin Laden as the baddest of the bad, but the Islamic State is worse… the Islamic State’s members… stir messianic fervor rather than suppress it. They want God’s kingdom now rather than later. This is not Bin Laden’s jihad.” (Pg. 2-3)
He observes, “the Islamic State was destined to fall out with al-Qaeda from the start. Al-Qaeda… wanted to build popular Muslim support before declaring the caliphate. The Islamic State wanted to impose a caliphate regardless of what the masses thought. The dispute that divided parent from child was there from the Islamic State’s conception.” (Pg. 7) Later, he adds, “It is a major taboo in Islam to kill a fellow Muslim. But the Islamic State argued that those who defied its rules were apostates or rebels so it could kill them without blame.” (Pg. 34)
He notes, “The jihadist discussion boards were … friendly territory for the Islamic State and its predecessor al-Qaeda in Iraq, where they had pioneered the distribution of propaganda. They opted for snuff films rather than al-Qaeda’s usual pedantry… Extreme violence attracted eyeballs to the propaganda, and … decentralized distribution kept it online. The Islamic State would use many of the same techniques a few years later to recruit on Twitter.” (Pg. 43)
He comments, “just as the flag of the Islamic State was trampled underfoot in Iraq, jihadist fanboys and al-Qaeda’s own affiliates began to lift it up, keeping the dream of the caliphate alive during a bleak period… preceding the chaos of the Arab Spring, which would renew the fortunes of the global jihadist movement.” (Pg. 45)
He points out, “all the al-Qaeda affiliates failed to create durable governments. The jihadists could interpret the failure as proof that al-Qaeda’ leaders were right all along. Had the affiliates hewed more closely to the hearts-and-minds strategy advocated by Bin Laden… they would have succeeded… But the jihadists could also interpret the failures as proof that the al-Qaeda affiliates hadn’t been brutal enough… that’s pretty much what the Islamic State would decide, although it would do better than it had in its first attempt at providing government services and co-opting the tribes.” (Pg. 68-69)
He summarizes, “the Islamic State consolidated its hold over eastern Syria… Its strategy of going it alone to capture and control territory may have alienated everyone, but it had paid off. The Islamic State now had a vast war chest… and President Assad had turned a blind eye, happy to see the Islamic State threaten his domestic and foreign enemies as long as it didn’t threaten him… Thousands of fighters left… other rebel groups to join the Islamic State. Some wanted to play for the winning team, some believed it was doing God’s work, some saw it as the Sunnis’ only hope… and some just wanted to make a little money… The Islamic State welcomed them all.” (Pg. 98)
He states, “the Islamic State had the money, fighters, weapons, and land to make a plausible case that it was the caliphate reborn. It helped that its caliph had more religious training than any political leaders in the Muslim world. Most Sunni Muslims may have rejected the Islamic State as a travesty and a sham, but they could not easily dismiss it as a joke when it declared itself a caliphate in 2014. The Islamic State was too powerful.” (Pg. 123) He adds, “The Islamic State had once been an object in what NOT to do. Its critics… attributed its defeat in 2008 to its brutality, zealotry, and arrogant belief that it was a state. But by 2014, those were the very qualities that made the Islamic State so successful. While other rebel groups worked together to overthrow governments, the State was busy creating its own.” (Pg. 126)
He points out, “the Islamic State has deliberately provoked the anger of Muslims and non-Muslims alike with its online videos of outrageous and carefully choreographed violence. It showcases the beheading of prisoners … and dumps enemy soldiers in mass graves while the camera is rolling. The State revels in gore and wants everyone to know it. And yet it has been remarkably successful at recruiting fighters, capturing land, and subduing its subjects, and creating a state. Why? Because violence and gore work.” (Pg. 148) Later, he adds, “The hands of thieves were severed, adulterers were stoned, bandits were shot and crucified, all in full public view. The Islamic State’s harsh punishments subdued the locals as effectively as massacring its enemies had.” (Pg. 152)
He summarizes and concludes, “The international coalition … can… support proxies to fight against the Islamic State… The coalition should provide air cover and intelligence to Sunni tribal militias and rebel groups that fight against the Islamic State… the coalition should consider arming them with light weaponry…If you think all of that sounds a lot like the coalition’s current military strategy, you’re right. It’s not a great plan, but it’s the best option at the moment. I’m confident that the Islamic State’s government in Syria and Iraq will crumble. No modern jihadist has provoked international intervention and survived…. The question is how will the jihadists evaluate the demise of the Islamic State? Will it prove to then that Bin Laden was right? Or will it prove that the State just needed to double down on its strategy? … there’s no obvious answer to the question…” (Pg. 157-158)
This book will be of great interest to those studying the Islamic State, and terrorist movements.