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288 pages, Paperback
First published October 27, 2015
DarknessForget the zombie apocalypse. Ted Koppel, a very level-headed newsman, has brought to light a glaring soft spot in our national defense that could very well be exploited by enemies of the USA. And we are not talking about something like the regional blackouts that have already occurred here.
Extended periods of darkness, longer and more profound than anyone not living in one of America’s great cities has ever known.
As power shuts down there is darkness and the sudden loss of electrical conveniences. As batteries lose power, there is more gradual failure of cell phones, portable radios, and flashlights.
Emergency generators provide pockets of light and power, but there is little running water anywhere…Emergency supplies of bottled water are too scarce to use for anything but drinking, and there is nowhere to replenish the supply. Disposal of human waste becomes an issue within days…. - this goes on quite a bit

There is scant consolation to be found in the fact that a major attack on the grid hasn’t happened yet. Modified attacks on government, banking, commercial, and infrastructure targets are already occurring daily, and while sufficient motive to take out an electric power grid may be lacking for the moment, capability is not.And he does not limit his attention to internet-based attacks, offering consideration of other means by which a determined enemy could knock out significant portions of the grid with tech like EMPs, or even well-targeted, garden variety munitions deployed by a small number of special forces type teams. There is evidence that this has already been practiced, by parties unknown.
A 2008 report predicts that only one in ten Americans would survive a year into a national blackout.Lights Out gives us some idea of just how uncentralized our electrical system is. Despite our sense that there are only a few large power companies in the country, there are in fact thousands. Add to that companies that distribute power without generating any. It will come as no surprise that one of the major problems is that companies will not, and in many instances cannot, invest in needed security tech, because of the impact on efficiency and profitability. Larger companies could. Smaller ones, often, could not spend the money needed and remain viable. Does this mean that the taxpayer should pick up the tab? Maybe smaller companies should be encouraged to merge with larger power companies in the interest of national security?
Q: How likely is an attack on our power grid?Solution-wise, it seems to me that, in addition to developing and installing hardware and software on our power grid control and distribution systems that it designed to thwart hostile actions, there is a clear national security advantage to encouraging the development of decentralized power sources. The national interstate highway system that was proposed in 1944 was inspired by the autobahns of Germany. When General Eisenhower became President Eisenhower, he saw to it that the proposal got funded. One rationale was a need to evacuate cities quickly, should a nuclear attack be expected. Of course, today that notion seems quaint, given how congested our urban roads are in the absence of panic mode. But the roads got built because the nation decided it needed to be done for the common defense. A similar argument might be made to secure the defense of our electric systems.
Ted Koppel: Very. When I posed that question to former Secretary of Homeland Security Janet Napolitano, she put the likelihood at 80 or 90 percent. General Lloyd Austin, who currently heads up the U.S. military’s Central Command, told me that it’s not a question of “if, but of when.” Former Defense Secretary Leon Panetta has warned of a cyber Pearl Harbor, and President Obama highlighted the threat to our power grid in his 2013 State of the Union address. In short, government and military leaders think it’s likely, and I found no compelling evidence to the contrary. - From A Conversation with Ted Koppel - on his site for the book
Unlike any other kind of threat this country has ever faced, it can be very difficult tracking the source, the origin of a cyber attack. Given all of that you might assume that the government has formulated special plans to deal with the aftermath of such an attack. There are plans for hurricanes, and blizzards, and earthquakes, but this would be very different. The power outages caused by a targeted cyber attack would last longer and cover a much wider area than any of those natural disasters. So, is there a plan? No. - from Koppel’s video intro to the book, on his siteIf the powers that be ever get around to putting a plan together, it could include a range of options, including supporting research to develop more efficient batteries, supporting research and development in promising renewable energy sources, with a focus on technology that can be implemented broadly, instead of relying primarily on major power plants. It would also be a useful thing for there to be an ability to manufacture transformer station hardware in the USA, something the country currently lacks. Enemies might be able to foul national or regional power distribution and communications, but it might be tougher to switch off every rooftop solar array, or neighborhood windmill. Government support for cyber defense (offense too, as Iran well knows) has already begun with the establishment of the United States Cyber Command in 2009. It seems clear that non-government players will need to be engaged as well to make certain that the USA, which is totally reliant on our electrical and internet infrastructure, keeps a step ahead of those who would do us harm.
…as Mike McConnell [then director of national intelligence] said: ‘For the record, if we were attacked, we would lose.’Koppel has done the nation a service by bringing this pressing security peril to light. It remains to be seen, of course, whether there is sufficient political will to actually do something about it. How ironic would it be if out power grid were left endangered by political gridlock?
Russia...turned off the electric grid in part of Ukraine last December, mostly to show that they could.and
Security experts point to evidence that a well-funded Russian hacking group, known as Energetic Bear, has been probing the networks of power grid operators and energy and oil companies in the United States, Europe and Canada. That could be exploration — or it could be preparation of the battle space in the event of a future conflict.November 3, 2016 - a NY Times article by John Markoff on a related subject- Why Light Bulbs May Be the Next Hacker Target
