It's the Spring of 2020, the year of the Coronavirus. At this moment I, like you, am quarantined in my home and admonished about any outside contact. Naturally, I began thinking about time, not just what to do with it but, more importantly, what is it? This led me to The Arrow of Time: A Voyage Through Science to Solve Time's Greatest Mysteries (1990) by Peter Coveney and Roger Highfield.
The Arrow of Time is a very interesting exposition of the history of science, much of it not relating directly to the notion of the arrow of Time. For those who want a review of scientific advances from Newton forward, it is an excellent read. But I've traveled that path several times and my interest is in the basic questions that led me to the book: What is Time? Is Time irreversible? What do those questions even mean?
So this review focuses on those questions, which are the subject of the books. I also read portions of Brian Greene's excellent new book Until the End of Time just to be sure I got it right.
So here goes. All errors are due to my wife.
The Philosophy of Time
Our understanding of Time is inextricably linked to our culture and to our understanding of the world around us (our science). The Mayans thought of Time as a rotating wheel, like a clock, that returns to its original place, thus starting another 260-year cycle. To them, time was repetitive—each cycle simply reproduced earlier cycles. Thus the future was known by the past: if you record events during one cycle, you know them for future cycles. The Mayans were great record keepers!
But today we sense an Arrow of Time—Time inexorably proceeds from the past into the future. Is this an illusion, as Einstein suggested? Is time simply thee in a complete sequence with all possibilities already determined, so we just experience what must be experienced? Is Time reversible so we can go back? Newtonian mechanics offers no assistance on these questions: for Newtonian physics time is reversible: you can run his equations backward to pinpoint the location of a celestial object at any previous time. The same is true of Maxwell's equations of electromagnetism.
If Time is, or is not, reversible, why should that be? The bidirectional Arrow of Time, deeply embeded in early science and in science fiction, is unsettling. Our observations are always that the Arrow of Time points from the past toward the future; no matter how long you wait you'll never find yourself back before you started waiting; if you spill coffee from a cup, you never see it climb back into the cup.
Philosophical paradoxes are said to arise if we can reverse our path in time, going to the past to correct mistakes or leverage successes. Are these paradoxes simply a moral caution not to go back so as not to screw up the past and, therefore, the present? Or are they signs of something deeper? In scientific work the appearance of a paradox sometimes means that you've encountered the impossible. Perhaps traveling back in time is simply impossible—the arrow always points ahead.
The Notion of Entropy
Let's begin with the slippery concept of entropy, the idea that all energy—whether organized in matter or in electromagnetic radiation—inexorably becomes more disorganized with the passage of time. For example, with all of its atoms massed in a clump the human body is very organized—it has extremely low entropy. But a human corpse is in the process of releasing those atoms back into the cloud—its entropy, or the degree of disorganization in its atoms, is and ultimately its atoms will all be dispersed and the body will be totally disorganized (have maximum entropy).
In his Until the End of Time (2020) the physicist Brian Greene gives a good simple example of the statistical foundation of entropy. Suppose you flip ten coins in a row and count the number of heads that come up. There are 210 = 1,024 possible ways the ten coins can come down, ranging from ten heads to no heads. There is only one possible way that all heads (or no heads) can occur, so the probability of all-heads or no-heads is a remote 2-10 = .000977, about one-tenth of one percent. But there are 252 ways that exactly five heads can appear among the ten coins, giving a five-heads probability of .246094 or about 25 percent. This is the result that a statistician would predict, knowing as she does that the probability of a head on a single flip is ½.
The all-heads or no-heads outcomes are said to be "highly organized" (or "low entropy") in the statistical sense that they are so unlikely to occur that it appears as if someone or something organized the event. In contrast, the five-heads result is highly likely to occur by chance, occurring almost 25 percent of the times the experiment is run, so if a five-heads result occurs it's a ho-hum event and you would likely conclude that it occurred purely by chance. Stated differently, the five-heads result shows no particular organization and is a high-entropy outcome perfectly consistent with chance.
A similar result might occur if you observe snowflakes falling outside you house. randomly throw snowflakes into a box. If you see a snow man emerging you would be surprised and term the clump of snow as having low entropy. You would not attribute it to chance but to some higher force, a designer. But if the scattering of snow is very diffuse you would call it high-entropy and attribute it purely to chance.
In the same sense, the Empire State Building is a collection of atoms that in their free state were once randomly distributed and therefore had high entropy. You would never expect the random collection of atoms to organize itself into such a building—you know that it required the application of energy in the form of mechanical and human power to develop such low entropy.
Heat and and Entropy: Thermodynamics
Thus, lumpiness like in our bodies, our planets, our stars, and our galaxy is associated with low entropy while random diffusion like the atoms in celestial dust is high entropy. And low entropy—high organization—is unlikely to occur spontaneously. It could happen by chance, but that is highly unlikely.
To get from entropy to an Arrow of Time requires a theory of energy transfer, and that gets us to Thermodynamics, the transfer of energy in the form of heat. So let's introduce Thermodynamics.
The First Law of Thermodynamics states that within any closed physical system like the universe, energy is conserved though it might change its form from pure energy (E) to matter according to the equation E=mcˆ2. Thus, burning gasoline (matter) in an auto engine creates mechanical energy and heat from friction and combustion. But all the energy to drive the automobile is due to the energy in the gasoline that drove the process. Running an auto engine simply converts the energy from one form to another.
This First Law also tells us that all the energy in our universe was there at the outset, compressed into "the primordial stew." The universe once had extremely high entropy, with all of its energy stuffed into an infinitely small space.
The Second Law of Thermodynamics states that everything progresses from an initial state of low entropy (high lumpiness) to an ultimate state of high entropy (high diffusion). Our bodies, our planet, our solar system, our galaxy, and our universe have low entropy because they are highly organized into clumps of matter and energy. But as time passes, entropy must increase unless some outside force (God?) intervenes to reorganize the dispersing atoms, an act that would require an injection of additional energy.
The Third Law of Thermodynamics says that the entropy of a closed system (like the universe) approaches a constant level as the temperature approaches absolute zero. At absolute zero there can be no change in the universe's degree of organization.
The necessary indicator of an increase in entropy is a transfer of heat. If you heat the handle of a low-entropy object like a spoon to near-melting temperature, the heat accumulated in that spoon will dissipate into the air around it—it will move from a low-entropy state to a high-entropy state. If you ignite a stick of TNT the initial concentration of heat in the explosion will dissipate from the low-entropy clump of TNT to the surrounding high-entropy air. Any change in entropy requires a change in heat, and vice-versa.
The Arrow of Time
The Arrow of Time drops directly out of the Second Law of Thermodynamics.. When we say that time is passing we mean that change is occurring, and that change is known to us by the increasing disorganization of energy: a constant degradation of the quality of energy. Buildings decay, living organisms die. Each of these releases the energy it contained in its low-entropy state to be randomly distributed in a high-entropy environment.
Of course, the reverse process would also give rise to time: an increase in lumpiness—evidenced perhaps by the autonomous rise of office buildings out of thin air and other spontaneous lumpiness would give us a sense of passing through time. But that would obviate the laws of Thermodynamics telling us (First Law) that the universe began as a highly concentrated bundle of energy and then dissipated into randomness as it transfered its energy to an expanding space, and (Second Law) that the universe inevitable loses its form as its atoms disperse into a uniform distribution. And the Third Law tells us that entropy increases until the universe hits an absolute temperature of zero degrees and all motion stops.
Until Congress repeals the Laws of Thermodynamics we will have an Arrow of Time that points only in one direction. To reverse that requires an input of energy from some external source.
The Primordial Stew and the Big Bang
It's commonly acknowledged that the universe began with a Big Bang, in which a dense bundle of energy exploded and condensed into matter while it's energy created an expansion in space that is still continuing, apparently at an increasing rate. So the Arrow of Time requires an explanation of how this static bundle of energy became unstable and exploded.
In 1979 a physicist named Alan Guth developed the theory that has become the strongest story to date. According to Guth, the answer is in the types of energy that comprised the primordial stew, the way it was held together for eons (there really wasn't time yet), and the source of the instability that led to the Big Bang about 14 billion years ago, give or take a month.
In its initial state the universe was infinitely small and consisted of enormous amounts of energy potentials—atoms, quarks, and so on didn't exist yet. These potentials would become antimatter (particles composed of antiprotons, antineutrons, and antielectrons), matter (composed of protons, neutrons and electrons), attractive forces of gravity ("gravitons," the quantum of quantum gravity), and repulsive force of antigravity (ïnflatons," the quantum of antigravity). These opposing types of energy potentials balanced each other and maintained a neutral and static universe. This was all gathered as potential energy, just as the TNT stick is a lump of potential energy.
But the energy in that miniscule area was subject to quantum uncertainty: each type of energy potential could randomly jump to higher intensity or fall to lower intensity. As statistical analysis would predict, the random variations offset each other and stasis prevailed: it was highly unlikely that one energy form would dominate its opponent, just as it was unlikely that the all-heads or no-heads outcome would occur in coin tosses.
All might have stayed that way forever except for one fact. Quantum mechanics tells us that all energy levels particles are subject to quantum uncertainty: they randomly jump around. Thus, the primordial stew jiggled and the quantum jiggles produced pockets of gravitons and of inflatons. Following statistical principles, the vast majority of these jiggles were sufficiently minor to prevent unstable imbalances: the sizes of these opposing pockets remained in balance and stasis was maintained.
The possibility of destabilizing imbalances always existed, but eventually—like the all-heads coin toss—a sufficiently great jiggle occurred and inflation pockets became sufficiently larger than graviton pockets. Cosmic inflation took over—the size of the universe instantly expanded from an infinitely small radius with an infinitely high temperature. At 10-43 seconds after ignition the temperature was a blistering 10ˆ32 degrees Kelvin and the universe's radius was 10ˆ-35 meters; after one second the radius of the universe had increased to 10ˆ18 meters, about 620 billion miles, and the temperature had fallen to a balmy 10ˆ10 degrees Kelvin.
The result is the still-expanding universe we know and the dissipation of the original heat in the process we know as entropy. Over time the process stars and planets formed as energy converted into matter and gravity caused lumpiness. This lumpiness didn't violate the Second Law of Thermodynamics because it simply represented a conversion of the already lumpy heat energy into matter. Ultimately the story is dismal—entropy will continue until the absolute temperature of the universe falls to zero Kelvin. Put on your warm and woolies!
Wait! Wait! Don't Tell Me!
So goes the standard story, but perhaps there are variations on it. The Laws of Thermodynamic apply in a state of physical equilibrium, when the relationship between entropy and time is on a steady-state path. But, the authors ask, what if it is not in equilibrium?
Suppose that the entropy level at present is above the equilibrium level. Will it tend to move toward equilibrium, so and stay along that path? Will entropy increase further in an unstable process? Will entropy cycle around the equilibrium as we follow the equilibrium path? This would break the link between entropy and time by allowing an increase in entropy (more lumpiness) as time passes.
Well, maybe. The problem is that with unstable dynamics anything can happen, and we don't know which of the possibilities to key on My training leads me to place a great weight on equilibrium. Until we know more about possible instability in the dynamics of entropy, I sign on to the standard story.
I'm putting my parka on.