I give this a 2.5 because it was half-way b/w 3 for the information and 2 for its partisanship.
Although Jonathan sounds like a partisan crack pot conspiracy theorist himself, I think he is right in thinking the tax rate especially for upper income people has no bearing in economic growth or contraction. What matters in terms of government and the economy is deficit reduction and increase in R&D spending and making sure our infrastructure is up to par. I now think that once government decreases the deficit, it should focus its funds in R&D, education, infrastructure as well as make this country one of the easiest places to start and grow a business. Clearly what made Clinton's economy boom is his emphasis in deficit reduction as well as the military technology (govt. R&D) of the internet hitting the private market thus creating a new industry that now dominates the US economy.
Why does tax rate not matter in macro-economics? Clinton and Reagan raised taxes and their economy boomed. Bush decreased taxes into unprecedented levels and the economy tanked. Tax cuts by themselves don't do anything to the economy. At best, tax cuts will boost short term economy but do not do anything to the permanent. At worst, tax cuts contribute to deficit spending, especially without the corresponding cuts in government.
How did this all come to be? Chait says that supply-side economics gained traction due to 70's stagflation that discredited the Keynsnian notion of inverse relationship b/w unemployment and inflation, the GOP wanting to be the dominant party thus wanting to pry the rich from the democratic party, and the rich themselves who wanted more money for themselves.
This environment set the stage for the brain (Laffer), the mouthpiece (Wanniski), and the movt. via politics (Cheney and Kemp). Although the centerpiece of the Laffer curve is income tax for the rich should be cut b/c they are the entrepreneurial engines of America and thus American growth and all that growth would somehow add to government coffers, we now know that a permanent tax decrease does not contribute to permanent economic growth as seen in Clinton vs.W's administrations.
I have nothing against businesses lobbying for their interests as long as unemployment is low. But, once business’ interests are honored without the expectant trickle-down effect then you know that business interest are not necessarily synonymous with the countries. Apparently, business lobbying, like the conservative movement itself, grew out of the backlash against 60’s liberalism as well as global competition. When business interest married itself to the GOP, they had to follow the GOP important agenda whether it was to their interest or not. The most apparent example of this came is Clinton’s health care initiative. Corporations supported a push toward universal health care b/c health care insurance was eating their bottom line but GOP ideologues demanded that corporations withdraw their support of it since it was deemed anti-GOP.
Even though lobbyist are as old as the political system, the GOP coaxing business lobbying to be only loyal to them via the K street project ( Delay) is absolutely troubling. Because in exchange for total loyalty toward the GOP via campaign contributions, lobbyist get to write the rules for their industry thus going against the conservative principle of free market economics by picking sides. For example, the book points to numerous instances in which W. abandoned conservative free-market principles in favor of appeasing various lobbyist constituencies. Also, W as well as Republican’s disdain for non-partisan bureaucrats who are there to do their jobs allowed lobbyist to take over the role of bureaucrats. According to the book in W’s administration the bureaucrats were there to sell W’s policies not to create them.
The Faustian deal that the GOP made now has created a monster that they can no longer control. Since the GOP let lobbyist get used to writing bills for them, it is now one of a lobbyist major job descriptions no matter who is in power. I would not be surprised if large parts of the health care and financial regulation bills were written by industries that seek to protect themselves. Even the democrats now have to play by lobbyist rule if they want to be backed into office. So, what was once a GOP phenomenon has no become a de facto government phenomenon.
Thus, it seems that special interest groups and especially ones that can pay are the ones who are the new machine bosses of the 21 century.
How can we get out of the mess we are in if legislation is created to protect special interest groups instead of the country? Maybe it is better to be a lobbyist b/c at least you know what your job description is influence-peddling.
Reagan ideology as the gold standard for the GOP is absolutely ludicrous combined with Norquist pledge of not to cut taxes as the litmus test for Republican politicians is the death knell to deficit reduction. If Reagan himself raised taxes 3 times and have the economy up and running then why should every Republican politician forswear to raising taxes. I see this as idiocy.
I am actually pro-business and I am for the entrepreneurial spirit that made this a great country but I am pro-business as a means to an end and that end being the economic engine of the US. If that engine stops, we need fresh ideas not rehash of Reaganomics while it might have worked then; I am not sure it will work now.
For long-term American prosperity, I would decrease the deficit via structural revision to entitlement programs, have short-term middle class tax cuts, let the income tax cuts for the wealthy expire, have a tax cut to capital gains tax only if capital gains goes toward US businesses otherwise I would increase the capital gains tax to the rate of a middle class income wage earner, re-enforce the estate tax, have the friendliest immigration policy for highly skilled workers in the world, have education reform to increase American competitiveness, create private-public infrastructure bank to fund infrastructure costs, increase funding toward basic science R&D, and make it structurally and economically the friendliest place for entrepreneurial business.
How did this happen?
Republicans are generally a better party in creating the image of their candidates, narrative that accompanies it, and circulating rumors that become “fact” of their opponents. That is, they are better at manipulating the media. Whereas democrats run on policy prescription, the public and more importantly the media enjoy character and anecdotal personality stories better which Republicans are inherently better at. I have contended that elections are won or lost based on emotions while ruling the country is best run by people with brains.
As far as the tax cuts go, people are generally not interested in economic discussion unless they are directly affected by it. This is the reason why the economy only becomes an issue during a recession. Other than a recession, Republicans can focus on the rich in terms of economic policy because that is the only constituency who cares about money in absolute terms. The self-made rich are usually rich for a reason----because they care about money the most.
Other things that I leaned from this book:
1) "Left-wing" mainstream media and think tanks are more objective and thus easily trusted over the "right-wing" media/think tanks which is just a propaganda arm of conservative party. Ideologues in the Republican party keep politicians in check.
2) Absolute power corrupts absolutely and we should avoid having an ideological similar executive and legislative branch again. I find it disconcerting that the Republican Congress was not doing its job as a check to Executive power. It is as if they were just a rubber stamp of the presidency, thus making the separation of powers largely a myth. W. also made the conservative media the propaganda arm of the government.
This happened because power centralized in the House in which committee leadership was assigned by party loyalty not seniority any longer. It also made the House of Representative reward loyalty to the party above its constituents de facto rule. And in the Senate, the Conference Committee made sure that the House was calling the shots not the Senate.