Conflicts do not occur because a state is strong, strength is, after all, the greatest deterrence to violence. Conflict occurs when a state has weakened, or is perceived to have become weakened. In the case of the formerly mighty Ottoman Empire, prior to the First War, they were both weakened in perception, as well as in reality.
Internal corruption, the rise of ethnic nationalism among its occupied peoples, especially the Greeks, Slavs, Armenians and Arabs, as well as a slowly decaying military infrastructure all ensured that, even had the Ottoman's not been involved in conflict, they were a slowly dying Empire. However, the Ottoman's were involved in conflict, near endless conflict.
Near continuous revolts among many of its occupied peoples, such as the Yemeni's (a common occurrence even today) forced the Empire to continually shift garrison and line formations to quell the increasingly bloody revolts against Imperial rule. Add to this the depredations of outside powers, as well as the constant state of war that existed with the Russian Empire (itself the home of the Orthodox Church who viewed its relationship with the Russian State as the guarantor of all Christians in the East) and the Ottoman Empire should be viewed in a somewhat different light.
Rather than be continually denigrated as 'the sick man of Europe', the Ottoman's should be admired for their ability to hold on to their position for as long as they did.
Eugene Rogan has written a wonderful book on the final two decades of the Ottoman Empire. He relays the backstory, the revolts in Arabia, the strife from within, and the ever looming double threat of increasing Slavic nationalism and the Russian Bear, ever ready to strike a blow for Orthodox Christianity. No other Empire in the world, save China's, were under such extreme and continual stress during this time period as was that of the Ottoman's. And, as Mr. Rogan deftly shows, the Ottoman's did far better, considering the circumstances, than most people give them credit for.
The true beginning of the end of the Empire was in 1911 when, an unlikely opponent, Italy, invaded the Ottoman territories of Cyrenaica and Tripolotania, modern day Libya. The, relatively brief, Italo-Ottoman War ended with the Italians taking control of Libya, even though the Ottoman forces, aided by a Senussi tribal uprising against the Italians (though they also were perfectly comfortable with ambushing Ottoman positions at times as well), were able to contain the technologically superior Italian forces to the Libyan coastal port cities.
However, the Italian victory, minimal though it was, was enough to convince the Christian nations in the Balkans (Greece, Serbia, Montenegro and Bulgaria) to launch a Crusade against the Muslim Ottoman's in the Balkan's. The First Balkan War fought in 1912 was a disaster for the Ottoman's. Struck from three sides, despite valiant efforts, the Ottoman Army was thrown out of the Balkan's entirely, a position they had held for the last five hundred years. By the end of the war, Bulgarian and Greek forces were posed above Istanbul (Constantinople) and prepared to, possibly, lay siege to the great capital city of the Caliphate. As it was, the schizophrenic nature of the Christian nations' politics ensured that the Ottoman's received a reprieve.
The Second Balkan War, fought in a brief period in 1913, saw the states of Greece, Serbia and Romania turn on Bulgaria. This allowed the Ottomans to expand their bridgehead inside Europe proper, and broke the threat of an assault on Istanbul by seizing the lost city of Adrianople.
While the Balkan Wars were, despite the minor, bloodless, success the Ottoman's achieved in retaking Adrianople, a catastrophic defeat for the Empire, it also gave opportunity for the forces of reform and advancement to begin to work.
Both militarily and economically the Ottoman's utilizing knowledge and assistance garnered from their alliance with Germany, drew back from the brink and did something most Empires are never able to accomplish: Learn from their defeats.
Rogan shows that the Ottoman's even in the final days of their reign, showcased remarkable powers of restoration and endurance in tough times. Under the leadership of the Young Turks, who launched a coup in the waning days of the Balkan Wars, the Ottoman Empire strengthened itself, reformed its military, and did everything possible to modernize their infrastructure and economy. The Achilles heel of the Ottoman's, however, would be their relations with their minorities. In the case of both the Armenians and the Arabs, this would lead to horror and catastrophe.
When Europe exploded in massive warfare in August 1914, the Ottoman's decided to sit on the sidelines. However, the Ottomans were already leaning towards joining the coalition with Germany and the Hapsburg's.
Ever the careful, methodical plotters, the Ottoman's bided their time, modernizing their armed forces and industry as much as possible until the time was right. In late 1914, the time was right and, under German advisement, the Ottoman Navy sailed into the Black Sea and assaulted the Russian Fleet near Sevastopol.
The performance of the Ottoman's in the First War was a mixed bag, as is the writing quality of Mr. Rogan's work in this regard. I do not say that to cast aspersions on what is an excellent work, however it is clear that Mr. Rogan is not a trained analyzer of military affairs or military history. As such, the military narrative of his work suffers ever so slightly. Having said that, the politics of the time period, are superbly done, as is the repercussions of the broader conflict on the average Ottoman citizens.
Beginning with their naval assault on the Russian Fleet, the Ottoman's struck out at their opponents, with varying results. Without narrating the course of WWI, it would be far more useful to say that the Ottoman's had to face disaster early, and often, throughout the war.
But so did the Armenians.
Perhaps the most controversial part of Mr. Rogan's work is the chapters detailing the Armenian Genocide. Controversial not because it there is anything untrue about it, no the entirety of the horror of the murder and displacement of over a million people is all too genuine, but rather than Turkey even now refuses to acknowledge the state sponsored murder of over a million Christians during the First War. Mr. Rogan spares no details in the telling of the uprooting, and slaughter, of the Armenians, all for reasons attributed to Imperial paranoia and the victorious advance of the Russian armies into northern Turkey itself.
That said, the Ottoman's did end the possible threat of the Armenians in their rear, and even delivered two major defeats to the British in 1915 at Gallipoli and at Kut-Al Amara in modern day Iraq.
Despite these triumphs, the Ottoman's were doomed to failure. The revolt of the Arabs, prompted in part by British funding and aid, in the second half of the war ensured that the Ottoman armed forces, with their never say die attitude, were stretched to the breaking point.
By the end of the war, despite advancing deep into the Caucasus to take advantage of the Russian Civil War, the Ottoman Empire was no more. A Turkish nationalist movement under one of the best Ottoman commanders of the war, Ataturk, based upon a secularist western model, ensured that the overarching Islamic Caliphate of centuries was no more.
Nearly a million Ottoman soldiers died during the war from the Nile River all the way to the mountains of the Caucasus and the desert expanses of Arabia. And in the process one of the great Empires of the world died.
Eugene Rogan has wrote an excellent work. While light on military details, the book is fantastic, and well worth reading to understand why the modern Middle East is in the political situation that is. As it turns out, the history of a century ago, still matters today.
Very highly recommended.