When we seek to define ‘fictitious capital’ there are three main varieties we can point to. Credit — the lending of money in the expectation that it will be paid later along with a bonus or dividend according to the rate of interest — is one example. Stocks and securities — titles to a share of future profits — is another and debt issued by nation states — effectively claims on tax receipts — yet another.
Money capitalists making use of these instruments do not strictly speaking contribute to productive investment. Rather than working within circuits which yield value over longer periods, they would rather exploit price differentials between markets by selling claims which inflate or deflate independently of the actual performance of the productive activities in question. They prefer to keep their money in a liquid form and gravitate towards ‘hot’ cashflows. These operators allow far more money to circulate in the economy than can be derived from actual value creation and after the intensive liberalisation projects to which capitalist economies have been subject for the past half century, have become a preponderant source of economic activity, means of capital accumulation — if employers could only invest their real savings, it would be prohibitively expensive to do so at all — but also state capture. With its attenuated regulatory order, the USian state apparatus is largely captured by the power of finance and we are all now having fun finding out how relatively autonomous a state apparatus is when the morbid symptoms of this order is propelled into the cockpit.
This all has enormous consequences for how our societies are currently organised. Ferdinand Braudel’s reading of financialisation as an autumnal phase of capitalist development is legible everywhere in growing indebtedness, inequality and declining in investment / productivity, even as higher profits are levied from the Global South. We know from any number of economists and historians that understood abstractly capitalism tends towards monopoly and that it is highly anarchic. Large companies of systemic importance to the operation of global markets depend on financing that rests on profitability and vice versa at different times and to different extents. If these are not in the same place at the same time, the music stops.
Bretton-Woods, the international monetary system envisioned by John Maynard Keynes in the aftermath of World War II, would rest on a rules-based order that could not be manipulated by larger states. Gold would be retained as the anchor of the system against which the dollar would have its price fixed. Every other nation state would then fix their currency against the dollar and any changes would be determined co-operatively via the supra-national International Monetary Fund (IMF), if it was needed to correct a fundamental disequilibrium in the state’s current account, ensuring economic operators benefited from stability in the prices of the main currencies.
As the twentieth century continued US imperial strategy began to chafe within this dispensation. The Vietnam War brought the US into a structural deficit, further stretched by the US’ dominance in western European markets. The US could have stabilised the dollar by winding down its death-drive - withdrawing from the affairs of other countries or reducing its imports - but the Nixon administration instead destroyed Bretton-Woods by raising interest rates, pressuring Gulf states to raise the price of oil, putting European and Japanese economies into trade deficit and creating a new system of private international lending that would dwarf the IMF and the World Bank. Over time The Brits, the Germans, the French, the Italians were all forced to wind their capital controls down. This strengthened not only the capitalist class, which embarked on an offensive against organised labour in the seventies and eighties, but also the American state itself, now liberated from the same balance of payments restraints to which other nations are subject. If a state is heavily in deficit questions may arise as to whether they will be able to pay off their loans. They may need to sell their foreign exchange reserves, appeal to the IMF or cut back their purchases from abroad, which will have a depressive effect. There is no room for co-operation here in the final instance. According to rules set by the stronger nations, currency stability therefore depends on a state’s creditworthiness, which means integration into American markets.
Writing on subjects like this, which are just that little bit beyond my understanding at present, and therefore compiled to a large extent from notes I’m taking from this book and others, is spurred by my wish to begin to understand the mechanics of capitalism today. For better and for worse, the people most interested in doing the work in the data mines are Keynesians or post-Keynesians, whose heuristics are short to medium-term in scope and pragmatic in nature: a more federal Europe to facilitate more robust investment strategies, dovishness on inflation / allowing public debt to roll, clarifying or potentially democratising the role of central banks. From what I can gather, and this is a hostage to future reading, this amounts to ‘leaning in’ to historical developments already underway. We know banks are central to the metabolism of the global economy. This requires governments, particularly those whose investments and currencies are relatively preponderant in global markets, to interfere in their operations, even though the regnant ideological position — perhaps until very recently — has been one of laissez-faire, out of a wish to avoid raising expectations among the public that large-scale fiscal intervention may be undertaken the purposes of downward, as opposed to upward, wealth re-distribution. In short, it suits the capitalist class to present the operation of banking as beyond the reach of politics but as the world becomes less stable this becomes an increasingly difficult fetish to maintain.
The Keynesian solution is to re-distribute systemic risk at a higher level of complexity, rather than abolishing or neutralising the central antagonism of value creation for the public good value versus the baroque universe of finance capitalism I’ve been trying to outline here. I do not like coming back a fundamental antagonism when there’s no social agent at the far end, but I keep looking over my shoulder in the hope it will will show up.