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224 pages, Hardcover
First published August 30, 2017
The New Sultan: Erdogan and the Crisis of Modern Turkey by Soner Çağaptay is a very good primer on modern Turkish political history. Its story begins roughly at the time of current Turkish President Reccep Tayyip Erdogan’s birth in 1954, around when Turkey began its tumultuous emergence as a multiparty democracy after decades of revolutionary one-party rule by the Ottoman generation of Kemalists. It traces Turkey’s political history from its initial democratic struggles against the Kemalist deep state, through the cold war violence between left and right, the neoliberal periods of austerity and economic crisis, and finally to the dramatic appearance of Erdogan’s conservative coalition.
Parallel to these developments in high politics, the book also delves into the mysterious world of Islamic associations and educational institutions, through which President Erdogan gained his religious education and found a role to play as a political leader and organizer, and eventually the rising-star mayor of an emerging metropolis, Istanbul. The book then examines his long national leadership, running through its successes and obstacles. The end of the book is dedicated to Cagaptay’s assessment of the current state of the republic, including his recommendations for both Erdogan and his opposition, and his positive and negative visions of Turkey’s future prospects.
The book does have certain gaps, which I think limit its narrative and leave unanswered questions. It tries to discuss the background of modern Islamism in Turkey, specifically during its multiparty period. This narrative, however, seems to center only on certain key people, such as former Islamist leader Necmettin Erbakan, and of course Erdogan himself. I still think the author could have dedicated more time to this section, as this microcosm in Turkish society remains something of a mystery, even to Turks who live within Turkey. Obviously there is much more to this community than has been discussed in the mainstream discourse, especially when considering the bewilderment of experts during the shocking aftermath of the coup in July 2016. The Gulenists in particular are a bit neglected in the book, and only abruptly mentioned in the end of the book for several pages, despite playing an instrumental role (which, to be fair, the author repeatedly acknowledges) in Turkish politics behind the scenes. Perhaps this fascinating topic cannot be adequately addressed in an introductory book, and I should reiterate that Cagaptay does discuss most of these topics sufficiently as an introduction.
Nevertheless, I would recommend this book to anyone who is unfamiliar with Turkish politics, because it incisively covers all of the essentials in Turkish political history from events, people, factions, and evolving politics and socioeconomics. Its assessment of Turkey in recent years is subjective. The author criticizes all sides for their shortcomings, be they liberals, Kurds, nationalists, secularists, Islamists, or the West. It is up to you to you to agree or disagree with Cagaptay’s assessment, but he does a good job of providing a tidy sequence of events from Menderes to ISIS.