After demonetization of 2016, when there have been lots of talks on black money, this book is supposed to be timely, busting lots of myth and providing some groundbreaking objective analysis. Sadly the book fails to cover new grounds, that I have not already read in umpteen articles published or understood in newsroom debates.
The author admits in the acknowledgements, 'Since I already had a lot of published and unpublished material, I felt that I could quickly write a book….' There are only 4-5 pages on the subject of demonetization, which is a big disappointment. And the book reads exactly like that. Is it unfair to expect more from Prof. Arun Kumar who is country's leading authority on Black Economy?
It's not that the book is a complete drab. I lay below some key highlights:
- It is highly difficult to come up with accurate white economy numbers, let alone black economy. However, with whatever calculation methods and data available, Indian's black economy is estimated to be 62% of GDP.
- Only single digit percentage of black economy is stored in cash.
- Had there been little or no black economy since independence, every one of us would have been 7 times richer on average.
- Black Economy can be defined by the wealth not under the reports of the tax authority.
- This is a no brainer, that black economy is bad for any nation. The actual rate of growth is higher than that of white economy but lower than the potential rate of growth. The reason is that productivity of investment is lowered by the black economy due to wasteful investment and misuse of capital.
- Black money not only impacts the society economically but also in other aspects like health, education and environment.
- Tax itself is not a bad thing. High tax countries like Scandinavian countries don't generate huge black economy. Most people evade tax as the believe that their tax money is not properly utilized and they are not the recipient of any direct or indirect benefits from it.
- In order to tackle the black economy the triad of corrupt politicians, businessmen and the executives has to be dismantled.
- Some of the potential short term measures to tackle black economy are - bringing political parties, judiciary and the CM/PM offices under the ambit of RTI, take immediate action on available information, establish autonomy of institutions by having head of these organizations independent of their political bosses.
- Tax reform, judiciary reform, bureaucracy reform and global agreement to end secrecy of banks and tax havens should be the mid-term strategy.
- Finally, the only way in which black economy can be successfully tackled in long run is if successive governments show the political will to act. Political reforms and corporate reforms are of essence to bring in this long term plan. This can be brought by people's movement .