I think I have had my fill of WWII revisionist history. Okay, already, the Soviets suffered more and fought more than all the other Allies put together. Davies “No Simple Victory” is all over that, and I found I learned a lot of stuff. And yet a day or two after reading it, I started getting cranky about it.
Well, first the good stuff. Davies is an Eastern European expert, and a pretty good marshaller of facts and figures. He uses a lot of easy-to-apprehend charts to keep the numbers (mostly dead people) in proportion. These numbers are appalling, but exactly how they are appalling is a good thing to know. Davies starts out asking basic questions about WWII (European/Mediterranean theatre only) that he thinks most US/UK readers will get wrong, even the WWII buffs. I must admit I was a bit surprised:
Which country suffered the most overall casualites? Which country suffered the most casualties as a proportion of its population? Ukraine and Belarus, respectively.
Here are European land battles arranged by deaths:
1. Operation Barbarossa
2. Stalingrad
3. Siege of Leningrad
4. Kiev
5. Operation Bagration
6. Kursk
7. Berlin
8. French Campaign (1940)
9. Operation Overlord (D-Day)
10. Budapest
11. Polish Campaign (1939)
12. Battle of the Bulge
13. Warsaw Rising
14. Operation Market Garden
15. Battle of El Alamein II
This rather surprised me (I thought everybody surrendered in the French Campaign of 1940!). I knew the Battle of Berlin was awful, but worse than D-Day? I thought the Nazis were exhausted at that point. Of course in the top 10, only D-Day and the French Campaign make the list from the Western Front. This is an interesting list. The book is full of useful things like it.
My complaint comes from the comparisons Davies makes and the conclusions he draws. There is no doubt that the Soviets were key in defeating the Nazis, but these claims that they did most of the work just does not quite ring true to me. In this case, it is because Davies considers only the European half of WWII, and half of anything is bound to be lopsided. Although he anticipates most of the arguments I will make below, he does not always convince me:
1. One of the luckiest things to happen to the Soviets was to have Marshal Zhukov in Siberia when the Japanese attacked from Manchuria in 1941 or thereabouts. Zhukov beat them soundly, thus ending any chance the Soviets would face a 2-front war. Zhukov was moved west, along with 30 or so divisions and this made a pretty big difference.
2. Because of item 1, I think it safe to say the USSR was the only Allied or Axis force that did NOT fight a two-front war (even the Nationalist Chinese spent half the time fighting Chinese communists). The Japanese fought in China-Burma-India and the Pacific (and Alaska). The Germans were in Italy, France, Africa, and the Eastern Front. The USA was everywhere, as was the UK. Hell, even the Italians and French were in Africa. That the Soviets were on one land front only – a big front to be sure – meant that they had one victory to focus on, and this is a huge logistical advantage if nothing else.
3. Allied air power is mostly dismissed by Davies. This is part of the revisionist dismissal of the strategic bombing campaign as having been a failure. It did fail to some extent (about everything does), and yes, I know about the rising German production figures after the bombing started. But German industry did not go on “total war” mode until very late in the game (c. 1943) and Albert Speer’s terrible but effective organization skills and the use of a vast slave labor pool offset the 8th Air Force. But what the US-UK air forces did was destroy the Luftwaffe. Although doing so later than they should of, they shut down German oil production. These are two huge contributions to the Soviet war efforts. Soviet air power confuses me – along with everything else, they built way more planes than the Germans, and yet the Germans seemed to dominate the skies of the Eastern Front until very late in the war (and only after the US-UK had pretty much wiped them out). Germans flew obsolete planes successfully on the Eastern Front (Stukas, ME-110s) years after they withdrew them from the West. Nazi aces ran up incredible kill scores (100s!). I don’t think, without the US-UK, the Soviets would have been able to gain air superiority, and without that, the Eastern Front may have come out somewhat different. Also, despite vague claims I have read, I don’t think Soviet planes were very good, even at the end of the war.
4. The Soviet Navy was inconsequential. They didn’t really need a Navy, and so the vast resources needed to maintain one went to ground and air forces. Davies largely ignores this, but the fact is, the Soviets couldn’t have done D-Day – at least not the way the UK-US did. No naval superiority, massed gunfire from the sea. I am not saying the Soviets couldn’t have done it – they just never had to. A Soviet D-Day would have been three times bigger than the real one, moving on mostly wooden boats, and would have sustained 10 times the number of casualties.
5. I still don’t understand to what extent the American Arsenal of Democracy contributed to the war. Davies dismisses it in regards to the Soviets since US materiel didn’t flow into the USSR until after Kursk and therefore didn’t have much to do with tides being turned.
I am indulging in armchair generalship rather than a review here (sorry). But Davies’ book, although very up front and clear about it, deals with only about half (arguably about a third) of what was a global war. And with the rest of the world out of the picture, the Soviet victory, as tremendous and significant as it was, is given too much credit. Also, the book has moments of sketchiness. Nothing major, but occasionally my confidence was shaken. In describing small arms of the combatants, Davies (p. 233) makes it sound as if the average Fritz and Ivan was armed with automatic assault rifles. Not so, especially for the Germans – the bolt-action rifle of 1890s technology was the main weapon of virtually all forces in World War II except for the USA. The G.I.’s had the M-1 Garand, the finest weapon of the war, this according to General Patton but Davies doesn’t mention it at all.
Still, I learned a lot from this book, and it covers a lot of statistical ground adroitly. This statistical information is nicely integrated into the text (and horrible to read – something trivial like the number of soldiers in the German and Soviet armies killed by their own side is staggering – killed by their own side! Executions for desertion, Soviet “punishment brigades” etc.). Davies also does a fine job pointing out that the ideological differences between fascism (on the political right) and Stalinist communism (on the left) is nil -just raw, ruthless power. The appallingly cynical and brutal treatment of Poland by virtually everybody in the war haunts everything. This muddies the good guys vs. bad guys certainties to a useful extent.