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The first comprehensive account of the growing dominance of the intangible economy
Early in the twenty-first century, a quiet revolution occurred. For the first time, the major developed economies began to invest more in intangible assets, like design, branding, R&D, and software, than in tangible assets, like machinery, buildings, and computers. For all sorts of businesses, from tech firms and pharma companies to coffee shops and gyms, the ability to deploy assets that one can neither see nor touch is increasingly the main source of long-term success.
But this is not just a familiar story of the so-called new economy. Capitalism without Capital shows that the growing importance of intangible assets has also played a role in some of the big economic changes of the last decade. The rise of intangible investment is, Jonathan Haskel and Stian Westlake argue, an underappreciated cause of phenomena from economic inequality to stagnating productivity.
Haskel and Westlake bring together a decade of research on how to measure intangible investment and its impact on national accounts, showing the amount different countries invest in intangibles, how this has changed over time, and the latest thinking on how to assess this. They explore the unusual economic characteristics of intangible investment, and discuss how these features make an intangible-rich economy fundamentally different from one based on tangibles.
Capitalism without Capital concludes by presenting three possible scenarios for what the future of an intangible world might be like, and by outlining how managers, investors, and policymakers can exploit the characteristics of an intangible age to grow their businesses, portfolios, and economies.
283 pages, Kindle Edition
First published November 7, 2017
Firms that can create and manipulate intangibles can reap outsize benefits. In a world where intangible investment is very important, we would expect to see the 'best' firms - that is, those firms that a) own valuable scalable intangibles, and b) are good at extracting the spillovers from other businesses - being highly productive and profitable, and their competitors losing out.
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The scalability and synergies of intangible investments also play a role in making leading firms more willing to invest. Leaders are more likely to be larger and grow faster and, therefore, to be able to take advantage of the scalability of intangibles. [...] They are more likely to possess other valuable intangibles that are synergistic with new investments they make.
We should consider the possibility that the true nature of intangible investment has changed. Maybe it conceals rent-seeking activities that superficially look like they increase productivity but actually do nothing of the sort.
The divides revealed by the UK's Brexit referendum and the election of Donald Trump also point to a different form of inequality, one that economists typically focus on little, if at all. This is inequality of esteem The reasons for the rise of populist political movements around the world, from the supporters of Donald Trump in the United States, to Britain's UK Independence Party, to the Five Star Movement in Italy are many and varied. But one thing many of their supporters repeatedly invoke is their anger at being patronised and disrespected by what they perceive as an out-of-touch, technocratic, even degenerate Establishment. Some of the supporters of these movements are are undoubtedly also poor in income or wealth terms - but not all. The inequality that fuels their anger seems to be as much about regard as money.
Different types of organisation will emerge, matched to the parts of the intangible economy they specialise in. Are you creating intangible assets (writing software, doing design, producing research)? If so, you probably want a flat organisation with more autonomy, fewer targets, and more access to the boss. That will cost you time on influence activities, but will build an organisation that allows information to flow, helps serendipitous interactions, and keeps the key talent. Are you using intangible assets (say, the routines in the Starbucks franchise book)? Then you probably want more control and authority to use the asset to its advantage and stop influence activities.
