NOTE: The author graciously gave me a copy of this book and asked me to write a review.
Political thrillers have been around about as long as politics itself, but their popularity tends to come and go with the public interest in things political. So, it stands to reason that the highly divisive 2016 Presidential election will lead to its share of fictional offspring. One of the first novels inspired by that election is Casey Dorman’s 2020, a look at an America of the near future presided over by a President who bears a striking similarity (at least in the author’s mind) to the current occupant of the Oval Office. And, while the author is not afraid to make his opinions known about current politics, he does so in a manner better suited for a political treatise rather than a thriller.
The fictional President in Dorman’s 2020 is Fremont Ferris, a fairly obvious stand-in for Donald Trump who has managed to dismantle a number of our country’s constitutional rights in the name of national security. Despite, or perhaps, because all of this, he trails badly in the polls, so, in a desperate attempt to retain power, he orchestrates a massacre at a crowded nightclub (similar to the actual 2016 shooting in Orlando) and pins the blame on Islamic terrorists. Unfortunately for his plan, a handful of witnesses saw government agents doing the shooting. Lucas Evangelista, a journalist and long-time Ferris critic, tries to gather enough evidence against Ferris for a major expose, while, at the same time, dodging the various law enforcement agencies looking to silence him and those few remaining witnesses.
2020 belongs to a sub-genre known as the cautionary political thriller. As exemplified by George Orwell’s 1984, this type of book tries to warn the public about what might happen in the not-too-distant future under the wrong set of circumstances. To succeed, the cautionary thriller must either be plausible enough for readers to accept that its premise could occur, or be exciting enough that readers just don’t care how plausible the premise might be, like a James Bond novel. The best cautionary thrillers, such as Tom Clancy’s novels, are both plausible and exciting; 2020, on the other hand, is neither.
2020 posits a United States in which “subversive” books are regularly banned, dissidents are thrown into prison indefinitely, and other constitutional abuses routinely occur, all without much of a protest or challenge in the courts. That’s a huge set of premises to swallow. On a more practical level, the book starts with a Muslim with a grudge against a co-worker getting a gun and deciding to shoot his nemesis in the bar (not all that implausible) and, for some reason, cruising Jihadist websites for reasons never really made clear, and that the government could send several armed agents into the nightclub on that very night and get them in and out after shooting dozens of people without leaving any traces of forensic evidence, and with the acquiescence of what would have to be a dozen local, state, and federal police agencies and zillions of big and small news agencies, bloggers, and the like. That dog simply won’t hunt, and the book’s credibility actually goes downhill from there.
That lack of any semblance of plausibility wouldn’t matter, of course, if the book were an engaging “innocent man on the run” novel, but it’s not. There’s very little real action in the book, and, since most of the book is written in the first person from Evangelista’s perspective, he’s not around when most of what there is occurs. Indeed, there is little tension or pressure on Evangelista and his associates to keep on the move (weeks or months go by at times from one chapter to the next). Instead, Evangelista mostly argues politics with some of the people around him.
The author is quite open about acknowledging that 2020 is inspired by his political beliefs, and Evangelista frequently serves as the author’s surrogate in propounding them. The author has Evangelista debate some people with opposing points of view, but they are laughable straw men buffoons, whose arguments are about as well reasoned as a fifth grader’s civics essay. These frequent debates slow down the pace of the book considerably, and, by having the opposing points of view so poorly expressed, actually weaken the strength of the author’s own arguments.
I did find 2020 to be reasonably well written, although some better copy editing would definitely have helped. The author’s descriptive passages of the areas through which Evangelista travels are quite good. However, if the author’s goal was to advance his political viewpoints, then cutting through the conventional trappings of the thriller and presenting his arguments directly rather than using the fictional Evangelista as a mouthpiece would have been considerably more effective. As it is, 2020 is just too far-fetched to support the author’s talking points and not exciting enough to simply enjoy as a thriller.