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جنگ سردتر
جنگ سردتر با عنوان فرعی چگونه تجارت جهانی انرژی از دست آمریکا خارج میشود عنوان اثری به قلم مارین کاتوسا با محور صنعت و تجارت جنبههای سیاسی است که به قلم محسن خضری و مهدی خدایی ترجمه شد و در ۲۹۶ صفحه برای نخستینبار در 1395 ارائه گردید. این اثر در واقع تشریح میکند سیاست بینالمللی با انرژی با چه کیفیتی در ارتباط است و به چه ترتیبی شکل انرژی جهانی در دهه بعدی منقلب میشود. عصری که امریکا و شوروی با نمایشهای نظامی و به رخ کشیدن تکنولوژیهای نظامی، امنیتی و فضایی خویش برای همدیگر خط و نشان میکشیدند به جنگ سرد مشهور شده به عبارت علوم سیاسی این جنگ، جنگی است که طرفین بدون آن که در مقابل یکدیگر واقع شوند، کشورهایی را که از خودشان پیروی میکردند داخل در جنگ میکردند و اقدام به مبارزات نیاتی و با واسطه میکردند. اما اینکه جنگ سردتر با چه انگیزهای استعمال شده است؟ این کتاب در ارتباط با نفت و کلا انرژی در دنیا به رشته تحریر در آمده است. امروزه توان بیشتر در دست شخصی است که منابع انرژی بیشتری در اختیار داشته باشد. این اثر در شمار پرفروشترین آثار مکتوب دنیا با محور انرژی در سال ۲۰۱۵ معرفی شده است.
نگارنده در جنگ سردتر با تحلیل بازارهاي دنیای انرژي، به اهمیت كنترل اين بسترها در ایجاد سیاستهای کلان آمریکا و روسیه اهتمام ورزیده و شمول تحلیلی گستردهای را در رابطه با وقایع پیشین، امروز و آینده دنیا و خاورميانه در دست مخاطبان قرار داده است.
چاپ ۱۳۹۵
نگارنده در جنگ سردتر با تحلیل بازارهاي دنیای انرژي، به اهمیت كنترل اين بسترها در ایجاد سیاستهای کلان آمریکا و روسیه اهتمام ورزیده و شمول تحلیلی گستردهای را در رابطه با وقایع پیشین، امروز و آینده دنیا و خاورميانه در دست مخاطبان قرار داده است.
چاپ ۱۳۹۵
296 pages, Paperback
First published October 21, 2013
86 people are currently reading
847 people want to read
About the author
Marin Katusa
2 books36 followersMarin Katusa is one of the leading experts on—and most successful portfolio managers in—the energy and resource exploration sectors.
Katusa has rubbed elbows with energy ministers, generals, oligarchs, and billionaires all over the world. He’s strapped on a flak jacket to survey lucrative projects in Russia, Iraq, Ukraine, Kuwait, Mongolia, Kosovo, Colombia, and many other dangerous yet resource-rich jurisdictions that require the protection of heavily armed private security forces.
Starting out as a mathematics professor, Katusa left academics to apply his models to portfolio management. His funds are among the top-performing in the resource sector over the last five years in Canada. He’s a regular contributor to the Business News Network (BNN), and has been interviewed by global media outlets such as CNBC, RT, CBC, Bloomberg, and Forbes.
Katusa first became interested in the energy sector through investing. He began in mining, shifted to Uranium, and began to see the unconventional energy sector as a much bigger story.
Since 2007, Katusa has been serving as the chief energy investment strategist for Casey Research. He is one of the most active financiers for early-stage, junior resource companies in Canada, and was the lead financier in the first two financings for Cuadrilla Resources, now one of the largest and most successful unconventional natural-gas plays in the UK. He also structured the financing and the sale of Turkana and the world-class 10BB oil block in Kenya to Africa Oil, a Lundin-held company with a market capitalization of over C$2 billion. Katusa is a founding director of Copper Mountain, Canada’s third-largest copper mine.
Over the years, Katusa has been involved in raising over C$1 billion in capital for early-stage and producing resource companies.
Katusa speaks fluent Serbian and Croatian, and is conversant in Russian. A graduate of the University of British Columbia, he lives in Vancouver.
Katusa has rubbed elbows with energy ministers, generals, oligarchs, and billionaires all over the world. He’s strapped on a flak jacket to survey lucrative projects in Russia, Iraq, Ukraine, Kuwait, Mongolia, Kosovo, Colombia, and many other dangerous yet resource-rich jurisdictions that require the protection of heavily armed private security forces.
Starting out as a mathematics professor, Katusa left academics to apply his models to portfolio management. His funds are among the top-performing in the resource sector over the last five years in Canada. He’s a regular contributor to the Business News Network (BNN), and has been interviewed by global media outlets such as CNBC, RT, CBC, Bloomberg, and Forbes.
Katusa first became interested in the energy sector through investing. He began in mining, shifted to Uranium, and began to see the unconventional energy sector as a much bigger story.
Since 2007, Katusa has been serving as the chief energy investment strategist for Casey Research. He is one of the most active financiers for early-stage, junior resource companies in Canada, and was the lead financier in the first two financings for Cuadrilla Resources, now one of the largest and most successful unconventional natural-gas plays in the UK. He also structured the financing and the sale of Turkana and the world-class 10BB oil block in Kenya to Africa Oil, a Lundin-held company with a market capitalization of over C$2 billion. Katusa is a founding director of Copper Mountain, Canada’s third-largest copper mine.
Over the years, Katusa has been involved in raising over C$1 billion in capital for early-stage and producing resource companies.
Katusa speaks fluent Serbian and Croatian, and is conversant in Russian. A graduate of the University of British Columbia, he lives in Vancouver.
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Displaying 1 - 30 of 78 reviews
August 28, 2021
یه کتاب بینظیر و بسیار خواندنی درباره وضعیت فعلی نبرد قدرت های بزرگ
حقیقتا از حجم اطلاعاتی که این کتاب به مخاطب میده، کیف کردم و تحلیل هاش هم خیلی دقیق و فنی بود. واقعا خیلی وقت بود چنین کتاب خوبی نخونده بودم
حقیقتا از حجم اطلاعاتی که این کتاب به مخاطب میده، کیف کردم و تحلیل هاش هم خیلی دقیق و فنی بود. واقعا خیلی وقت بود چنین کتاب خوبی نخونده بودم
May 29, 2015
A phenomenal book that is a must read. It clearly describes the coming of the new age; the sunset of the petrodollar and the decline of the hegemony of the empire of the age, the United States of America.
Again, it reminds us that energy is at the heart of civilizations' existence and progress in every aspect of our lives. My only criticism is the last chapter. It did not stand up to the expectations of an excellent book. It deserved a better ending.
In spite of this, I think it is "right on": no question history is being made and we are witnessing it at close range. We WILL BE IMPACTED SOON.
READ IT
Again, it reminds us that energy is at the heart of civilizations' existence and progress in every aspect of our lives. My only criticism is the last chapter. It did not stand up to the expectations of an excellent book. It deserved a better ending.
In spite of this, I think it is "right on": no question history is being made and we are witnessing it at close range. We WILL BE IMPACTED SOON.
READ IT
February 11, 2015
I received this book from a GoodReads Giveaway.
Time and space would not permit to give all of my thoughts on the book and the ones provoked since finishing it. Let me touch the key areas that stand out to me.
First, there is absolutely no doubt that Putin is a man to watch. For that last 11 years I have had an alert sent to my email every time Putin's name was mentioned in a certain news outlet. Instinctively, as well as by reading, I have had a sense that Putin is a major player on the world stage (how could he not be as the head of Russia), but also as a sort of potter attempting to shape our future. I would not be surprised at much that this man would do or accomplish in our lifetime.
That being said, "The Colder War", in its well laid arguments MUST address Putin, but the reader is left with a distinct impression of the author's admiration for the man. As a fellow man, one also MUST admire Putin's meteoric rise to power and his uncanny ability to wield it. As a Russian man, I would be proud to have him as my leader. As the American that I am, I cannot say I share this warm and fuzzy feeling for the man. As has been so well expressed in the book, Putin has a WORLD PLAN for Russia to be the dominant factor...I have a problem with that.
Thirdly, I do not fault the author's attention toward Putin, as a matter of fact, that was the most fascinating aspect to this book. Russia has always been a fascination to me as a student of history. Marin Katusa draws out details about the man which I was completely unaware of and sheds additional light on those aspects with which I am already familiar.
Fourthly, and more to the point of the book's premise, I agree with 95% of Marin Katusa's premise, assessment, and warning. His energy, financial, and foreign policy arguments are VERY WELL researched and explained and very compelling. He has put his finger on the pulse of our future and found it to be weak and thready under our current economic/political condition.
In Summary, I ABSOLUTELY RECOMMEND that you read this book, if for no other reason, for the shear weight of facts, details, and important topics brought out, discussed, and exposed to the light of day - something you will hear or see on NO major news outlet! If you are like me then it is a slow read as I like to absorb all the details rather than gloss a subject. Whether you agree with some, all, or none of Marin Katusa's writing it will bring an important subject to the forefront of your mind and force you to think about it.
Throughout the book the reader must bear in mind there is something that CANNOT be quantified, predictable, nor crushed; the American spirit. This alone may be the hope against all that is presented in "The Colder War"!
Time and space would not permit to give all of my thoughts on the book and the ones provoked since finishing it. Let me touch the key areas that stand out to me.
First, there is absolutely no doubt that Putin is a man to watch. For that last 11 years I have had an alert sent to my email every time Putin's name was mentioned in a certain news outlet. Instinctively, as well as by reading, I have had a sense that Putin is a major player on the world stage (how could he not be as the head of Russia), but also as a sort of potter attempting to shape our future. I would not be surprised at much that this man would do or accomplish in our lifetime.
That being said, "The Colder War", in its well laid arguments MUST address Putin, but the reader is left with a distinct impression of the author's admiration for the man. As a fellow man, one also MUST admire Putin's meteoric rise to power and his uncanny ability to wield it. As a Russian man, I would be proud to have him as my leader. As the American that I am, I cannot say I share this warm and fuzzy feeling for the man. As has been so well expressed in the book, Putin has a WORLD PLAN for Russia to be the dominant factor...I have a problem with that.
Thirdly, I do not fault the author's attention toward Putin, as a matter of fact, that was the most fascinating aspect to this book. Russia has always been a fascination to me as a student of history. Marin Katusa draws out details about the man which I was completely unaware of and sheds additional light on those aspects with which I am already familiar.
Fourthly, and more to the point of the book's premise, I agree with 95% of Marin Katusa's premise, assessment, and warning. His energy, financial, and foreign policy arguments are VERY WELL researched and explained and very compelling. He has put his finger on the pulse of our future and found it to be weak and thready under our current economic/political condition.
In Summary, I ABSOLUTELY RECOMMEND that you read this book, if for no other reason, for the shear weight of facts, details, and important topics brought out, discussed, and exposed to the light of day - something you will hear or see on NO major news outlet! If you are like me then it is a slow read as I like to absorb all the details rather than gloss a subject. Whether you agree with some, all, or none of Marin Katusa's writing it will bring an important subject to the forefront of your mind and force you to think about it.
Throughout the book the reader must bear in mind there is something that CANNOT be quantified, predictable, nor crushed; the American spirit. This alone may be the hope against all that is presented in "The Colder War"!
July 4, 2017
A very captivating book indeed. Marin Katusa has done splendid job of balancing politics, economics and humor. Although Putin is the lead character in this book, yet Marin has ensured that his views are impartial and factual. Not lengthy book given the subject matter but it packs enough punch through out the timeline and keeps the readers engaged. A 5-star for me !!!
October 30, 2022
原書是2014年出版，再不看的話就要放太久了
本書的主要篇幅其實是敘述普丁及他在能源政策的方針──努力拉高各國對俄國的能源依賴度
另外天然氣、鈾也是本書的重點
所以我覺得書名及封面設計得不太好
多虧了本書，讓我能初步認識針對石油、天然氣、鈾的博弈，以及2022年的烏俄戰爭的一些背景（原來去納粹化不是臨時想到的理由）
要不是這場戰爭打壞了普丁的如意算盤，以及疫情使美國的貨幣政策改變，本書主要部份的時效性應該能撐超過10年吧
本書的主要篇幅其實是敘述普丁及他在能源政策的方針──努力拉高各國對俄國的能源依賴度
另外天然氣、鈾也是本書的重點
所以我覺得書名及封面設計得不太好
多虧了本書，讓我能初步認識針對石油、天然氣、鈾的博弈，以及2022年的烏俄戰爭的一些背景（原來去納粹化不是臨時想到的理由）
要不是這場戰爭打壞了普丁的如意算盤，以及疫情使美國的貨幣政策改變，本書主要部份的時效性應該能撐超過10年吧
Want to read
January 10, 2015
-Putinism in the West?
-why not,taking a jump into my wagon [my Hedge Fund]?
These are possible questions one may raise after listening to and viewing Katusa’s interviews to RT and Bloomberg Radio.
To him, Putin is a “very loyal” person; he means, to those fellows he brought into Moscow, from his Saint Petersburg circle. Katusa questions the loyalty in the inner circles of Obama*. The recent West sanctions on Russia are called “illegal” and may back fire …on the west. The West seems destined to be, in the long run, the hit one.
It’s praise for Putin’s strategy in the economy field**.
The commodities investor refers the good “standard of living” and the education of present-day Russia the West should have taken another attitude towards. Katusa pointed Russia's deals with China….and Iran.
In the Bloomberg interview Katusa revealed he manages a Canadian Hedge Fund; he’s involved in shale oil, copper and uranium; so his money in “on the line”.
Russia seems to be the good partner for the west: due to its resources on gas, uranium and oil. The USA should take heed of the “judgment day for the petrodollar”. Japan is about to return to nuclear power and Russia still holds half of the world production of uranium.
To Katusa: Putin is the “right man in the right place”: a “Slavic warrior”.
Cold (er) for …the West.
PS :"Katusa speaks fluent Serbian and Croatian, and is conversant in Russian".
--
*On another interview Katusa said: "Obama has been outplayed in every form by Putin"; and:"Obama last 6 years:a disaster".
**Katusa's portrait of the Russian economy seems rather surreal,sort of "inflated" in my view.Check on The Economist, for several months,negative views; and the latest issue cover:"A wounded economy It is closer to crisis than the West or Vladimir Putin realise".Evaporating reserves,debt repayments,a rouble 23%-fall in 3 months and lower energy prices are some of the problems to be faced.The article in the magazine says:"If Russia’s economy looks likely to collapse, there will be inevitable calls in the West for sanctions to be cut back".
November 29, 2015
I received this book from Goodreads First Reads in exchange for an honest review...
I honestly don't know how I got through this book. It is an extremely bland, boring, and dry read. It's poorly written and exhausting just to finish. It was more of a headache then anything else. Most of it feels like an endless and pointless rant, scattered with questionable "facts" and absolutely nothing that sparked my interest. This read was NOT for me. Back to gathering dust, in the shelf you go!
I honestly don't know how I got through this book. It is an extremely bland, boring, and dry read. It's poorly written and exhausting just to finish. It was more of a headache then anything else. Most of it feels like an endless and pointless rant, scattered with questionable "facts" and absolutely nothing that sparked my interest. This read was NOT for me. Back to gathering dust, in the shelf you go!
April 7, 2015
this book is just another excuse for the inflation hawks and gold bug philosophy that has been proven wrong year after year. debt is deflationary not inflationary. anyway, the main argument of dollar demise MUST correspond with the relative currency winner. since the book was written, how's is the ruble doing? the yuan is rolling over. the euro is dumping and the dollar is surging. BUT SOMEDAY...
January 1, 2017
Over the past few years, I have followed the odd stories on Rosneft, Gazprom, Ukraine, Georgia etc. This book does a comprehensive job in joining the dots highlighting an undeniable and cogent rationale behind Russian involvement in all what I have read thus far.
I did, however, find the bit on the demise of the petrodollar a little far-fetched. Nevertheless the author and Casey Research have a new follower in me.
I did, however, find the bit on the demise of the petrodollar a little far-fetched. Nevertheless the author and Casey Research have a new follower in me.
March 23, 2017
This is one of the books which begin with good intentions and enchant you for a while. As the pages unfold, you call the bluff.
The author wanted to make a pathbreaking claim about something which is happening right under our noses but we're ignoring at our own peril. Something like a gray rhino.
A book fails when the author tiries too hard and this is what has happened here.
Good in bits and part, eapecially as it chronicles the person of Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin. Rest, not so good
The author wanted to make a pathbreaking claim about something which is happening right under our noses but we're ignoring at our own peril. Something like a gray rhino.
A book fails when the author tiries too hard and this is what has happened here.
Good in bits and part, eapecially as it chronicles the person of Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin. Rest, not so good
March 18, 2015
Interesting history on Putin, oil, Mid East, and US. Last couple of chapters are his opinion, and his conclusions do not correlate with rest of book. Not a lot of documentation of his sources. How much is opinion and how much is fact?
June 28, 2019
The book brings back to memory all the world events of the past fifty years and has captured the essence behind them. A very interesting and absorbing read. The problem in writing about contemporary history is that all predictions and analysis can go wrong. The post 2014 events like the election of Donald trump, the chinese trade war,Brexit imbroglio, the US withdrawal from the Iran nuclear agreement and Iran crisis that is unfolding, The North korean drama, dramatic changes in the Indian electoral fortunes, unusual changes in the world climate, technological changes such as AI and genetic engineering, green energy such as solar and wind power etc. have at least made the dollar more stronger and the US economy more buoyant and this book may sound a little out of date today. Need to watch for a longer duration to see how things shape. I wish Mr Marin would put out some interesting analysis of the recent events and join the dots with his book. However, the casey research site mentioned in the end has only few updates all dated 2014. More information and later event analysis are available under a new site "Katusaresearch.com". Overall it gives a much clear perspective of world and makes it interesting to follow world events happening now. Overall, the petrodollar may last at least another decade before other currencies take root?
May 3, 2022
On the money prediction
Just finished reading this book as the war in Ukraine is taking place. The dependency on oil and gas supplied by Russia is a playbook as predicted which has played out. But what the book didn’t envisage is the West’s will not to be held to ransom by Putin and the speed with which they are looking for alternative energy supplies. Therefore in the short term, the predictions in the book are true but in the long term maybe not. That is, the implosion of the dollar is not in the best interest of the world monetary system and Europe and the US seem like they will unite to prevent the demise of the dollar. Why? The US itself is a large market. It’s military power is as important as Putin’s oil and gas is to Europe. And there is a scenario where the petrodollar is maintained just for the sake of maintaining world order. Having said that, the most likely outcome is the return to a multi-polar as opposed to a US dominated unipolar world. A fascinating read overall.
Just finished reading this book as the war in Ukraine is taking place. The dependency on oil and gas supplied by Russia is a playbook as predicted which has played out. But what the book didn’t envisage is the West’s will not to be held to ransom by Putin and the speed with which they are looking for alternative energy supplies. Therefore in the short term, the predictions in the book are true but in the long term maybe not. That is, the implosion of the dollar is not in the best interest of the world monetary system and Europe and the US seem like they will unite to prevent the demise of the dollar. Why? The US itself is a large market. It’s military power is as important as Putin’s oil and gas is to Europe. And there is a scenario where the petrodollar is maintained just for the sake of maintaining world order. Having said that, the most likely outcome is the return to a multi-polar as opposed to a US dominated unipolar world. A fascinating read overall.
September 9, 2018
-- 4:00 in morning and just finished reading 'The Colder War by Marin Katusa'
Without a doubt, it's one of the best book available in the market.10/10 (According to me)
-From the politics to policy making.
-From the brief elaboration of natural resources to the world they shape around us
-From the hegemony of dollar to the wars it created.
-From the Petrodollar's creation to the Post Petrodollar America
-From the American domination of the world the Putinization of the world
You can connect all the dots which shaped the world we live in today in this book.
A MUST READ, I'D SAY.
Without a doubt, it's one of the best book available in the market.10/10 (According to me)
-From the politics to policy making.
-From the brief elaboration of natural resources to the world they shape around us
-From the hegemony of dollar to the wars it created.
-From the Petrodollar's creation to the Post Petrodollar America
-From the American domination of the world the Putinization of the world
You can connect all the dots which shaped the world we live in today in this book.
A MUST READ, I'D SAY.
July 21, 2019
Everything is linked to oil and oil prices. Hydrocarbon remains the single most important fuel and alternate energy sources remain a far cry for foreseeable future. This is a good read to understand the existing hydrocarbon fuel supply and demand systems in vogue as well as their history. What relevance has the petro dollar with Saudi-US deal. A very good read which will also take you on a journeys through history to the origin and phases of oil discovery while remaining brief and precise. I stand better educated on the subject now.
October 12, 2018
The book is describes in detail all the threats that the US dollar is facing and what can be done to avert those.
Particularly fascinating is the fact that Marin Katusa has a commanding knowledge of the global energy resources and it's nuances. Read this book to know the meteoric rise of the man - Vladimir Putin! For, his story and his rise nothing less than dramatic, accidentals and unexpected.
Particularly fascinating is the fact that Marin Katusa has a commanding knowledge of the global energy resources and it's nuances. Read this book to know the meteoric rise of the man - Vladimir Putin! For, his story and his rise nothing less than dramatic, accidentals and unexpected.
This entire review has been hidden because of spoilers.
August 4, 2019
An arrogant attempt at sarcasm towards world affairs. Written with the language of a 30 year old high school drop who discovered Wikipedia. I just couldn't not get past the writing style, the vocab, or the jumping narrative. I also didn't like the history book moments, which were just unnecessary. My question is, did this book have an editor? There was some good information, at times, but once again the vocab, christ almighty. It reeked of bias.
July 26, 2020
If you are not familiar with the nuances of how the Global Energy trade works and how America defined its supremacy over the world, grab this book and you will learn it in one go.
Book very well defines the way Russia and Putin plan their strategy for global dominance. Definitely recommend to read
Only thing with the book is it does not clearly highlight or articulate the future picture. Also the author wanders far too much into the middle east political issues. Could have been crisper
Book very well defines the way Russia and Putin plan their strategy for global dominance. Definitely recommend to read
Only thing with the book is it does not clearly highlight or articulate the future picture. Also the author wanders far too much into the middle east political issues. Could have been crisper
November 10, 2017
A world wind journey through the rich political, personal, and energy histories of Russia, Putin, and the modern era. Marin connects the dots between modern political events with great clarity and while he ends with a tone of alarmism, his world framework is well-designed and makes for an interesting read.
June 15, 2020
TL;DR: Putin is ruthless, extremely intelligent and very savvy. And he is setting up the long game for domination while America is consumed by its insane domestic political struggles and trying not implode from widening civil fractures. Understanding the control and flow of energy is key to understanding Putin’s ambitions for the future, etc etc.
March 28, 2022
The most insightful book on global politics I've read in a long time. Well-researched and organized critique, with a summarised yet comprehensive background background history. In these times of a European war, reading will enable you to speak on issues with the authority of someone who knows what they're talking about.
March 22, 2018
Whether true or not, this book opened my eyes to the global oil economy and how issues in the Middle East have played out around it. Provides a totally new perspective for me on current global issues. Worth a read!
July 29, 2020
Deep and insightful
Awesome book on the petro dollar and global play between US, Russia and Middle east. Lots of details in the history of alliances and reasons behind them. Does not cover the China angle though in the competition for the global reserve currency.
Awesome book on the petro dollar and global play between US, Russia and Middle east. Lots of details in the history of alliances and reasons behind them. Does not cover the China angle though in the competition for the global reserve currency.
October 4, 2020
Fantastic & informative. Easily readable by lay people without inside understanding of energy markets. It gives you a brick by brick explanation on how our current petro-dollar system was built, how it’s impacted (massively benefited the US) and how the structure is showing signs of crumbling.
January 29, 2018
Absolutely incredible, in-depth analysis into the global energy trade crisis of the modern war.
November 18, 2018
who will win this war USA - Russia - China. Interesting read.
March 9, 2019
Great read
Well researched and well thought out. Marin keeps you intrigued all the way through. He makes a complex a meaty subject easy to digest. Loved it
Well researched and well thought out. Marin keeps you intrigued all the way through. He makes a complex a meaty subject easy to digest. Loved it
January 16, 2022
An anti-Putin diatribe.
Displaying 1 - 30 of 78 reviews