I must admit that I still have not got around to reading Tim Shipman’s previous book, “All out War,” about the Brexit referendum, but it is certainly a book that I will get to. I did read, “Unleashing Demons,” by Craig Oliver and that was very interesting, but, on reflection, I think Shipman’s book would have been more balanced, as he looks at all the various political parties and does not tell the story from the point of view of any one person or political outlook. In this book, Shipman does an excellent job of recounting events from all sides of the political spectrum and is always fair and reflective.
Taking us from June 2016 to October 2017, this begins with the disastrous, and unnecessary, election, which led to a hung Parliament. Theresa May asked for a mandate from the British people; expecting that she would gain a larger majority and go into the Brexit negotiations strengthened. Instead, she was left stranded, her two main advisors – Nick Timothy and Fiona Hill – forced out , among accusations of bullying, and her government weakened; while her position as Prime Minister stood on shaky ground. Admittedly, when she called the election, her lead was so strong that she, and her party, felt able to celebrate what looked like a certain win. In this book, Shipman looked at how, and why, it all went so horribly wrong.
Having touched on the aftermath of the election results, this book takes us back to the Brexit vote. Plainly, there was no plans made by David Cameron’s government for Brexit. He anticipated a Remain win and then abandoned ship when he didn’t get what he expected – something, which, judging by this book, he may now regret. May does not come across as comfortable with making decisions, or dealing with situations she finds difficult, and upset Cameron by not seeking his advice.
You could say that, if May did not need to call an election, then Cameron did not really need to resign, but it is obvious that decisions in government are no less personal than in any other office environment. Indeed, the amount of back biting, secrecy, plotting and bullying, within all the political parties (but particularly in Downing Street) is, frankly, shocking. Although Shipman is careful to always present both sides of an argument, including much written about Nick Timothy and Fiona Hill. if even a quarter of the stories told within these pages are true, they would lead anyone in any work environment to be immediately sacked.
It is obvious that there are a lot of big personalities in the Conservative government and Shipman looks at Boris Johnson, Michael Gove, Philip Hammond, David Davis and others. Looking at it purely objectively, in personal – and not political – terms, it seemed to me that Philip Hammond was treated appallingly by May’s advisors, that Boris Johnson was pretty much used (blamed for anything that went wrong, but trotted out for any events where ‘personality’ was required), that Amber Rudd was thrown in at the deep end, having to present unpopular Conservative policies, even though she had been very recently bereaved, and that virtually everyone was out for themselves, while trying desperately to walk the tightrope of appearing to be loyal to the PM, while keeping one eye on political advancement. Gove does not enter the picture until later, of course, while Shipman also follows the story of well known former ministers, such as George Osborne; gleefully causing mischief and mayhem in the background.
Shipman covers all the main events in Theresa May’s first year as Prime Minister. Her unpopular visit, (with most of the public), to see Trump, after his shock Presidential win (I still have huge problems putting the words ‘Trump’ and ‘Presidential’ in the same sentence…), the constant dissent about Brexit, her difficulty in selling an unpopular manifesto, her lack of personal charisma and her inability to show empathy (to be fair, I don’t think she is a cold person and there are lots of examples of her being very kind to those around her, but she comes across as being impersonal and stand-offish, which is pretty unappealing when she has to be in the public eye). It is also obvious that, when she decided to call an election, neither she, nor the Conservative Party were ready. No manifesto, a hastily written manifesto, then a manifesto which turned voters away in droves, with unpopular policies, confusion and too much control over what was released, when and by who. Frankly, you expect better from people who are supposed to be running a country. If you decide a call a snap election, it would make sense to have at least prepared for it, or have some kind of plan.
Meanwhile, the Labour Party, although also very divided, seemed much more aware of what they needed to do to get votes. Although they had their own issues, with secrecy between different factions and a farcical leaking of their own manifesto, they realised the importance of social media and Jeremy Corbyn seemed much more comfortable in front of the cameras and was less easily rattled than May by difficult questions. As the Tory lead fell, to many people’s surprise (including many in the Labour Party), the Labour lead started to increase.
The result of the election left Tories devastated, but also depressed many Labour members, who disliked the fact that the hard left had done so well. While the Conservatives pondered who could be Prime Minister if Theresa May was forced out, many Labour supporters realised they would be unable to force out Jeremy Corbyn… Indeed, had the Conservatives not done so well in Scotland, he may well have been Prime Minister. What followed the election was, of course, the ‘blame game,’ and the battle for political survival, with internal squabbles on both sides. What was interesting was that the fight was, largely, between the two main parties, with other political parties fighting over a much smaller vote share.
This book takes us virtually up to the present (this review being written in November 2017). It is clear that events are still very fluid and there will probably be a lot more political upheaval to come. I would imagine that Tim Shipman may well need to make this a trilogy. Well written, highly recommended and engrossing, I recommend this book highly. I received a copy of this book from the publisher, via NetGalley, for review.