قد تثير السَّببيَّة قلق المُبتدِئ؛ بسبب طبيعتها النظريَّة والفنيَّة، شأنها في ذلك شأن العديد من مجالات الفلسفة، ومع أنّ الكثير من الأفكار الأساسيَّة، والمفاهيم، والأسئلة المتعلقة بالسَّببيَّة تمتاز بالبساطة، فإننا نرمي إلى شرح المسائل الرئيسة المرتبطة بها، وإذا لم نتبنَّ إحدى النظريَّات المرتبطة بالسَّببيَّة، فلن نتمكن من البحث أوالخوض في ماهيَّتها، وعليه، إذا تمكَّن أحدنا من تطوير نظريَّته السَّببيَّة وتحديثها فسيكون قادرًا على اكتشاف الأسباب، وقد يكون هذا الأمر حيويًّا، وضروريًّا؛ فعلى سبيل المثال: لا بدَّ من تحديد أسباب أمراض مُعيَّنة، لنتمكَّن من توفير الأدوية التي تسهم في الشفاء من تلك الأمراض؛ ولن يكون بمقدورنا السَّيطرة على التغيُّر المناخيِّ إلا عندما نفهم مُسبِّباته، وينبغي لنا أن نُحدِّد الأسباب جميعَها التي تؤدِّي إلى نشوب الحروب، وولادة الفقر والمعاناة، والألم، ونتجنَّبها بتوفير أسباب الاستقرار، والسَّلام، والازدهار.
ولكن كيف من المُمْكن أنْ نجعل هذه الآمال، والطُموحات حقيقة على أرض الواقع إذا لم نَعِ طبيعة العَلاقة السَّببيَّة بين الأشياء؟ من يريد الحصول على الإجابة، فلا شكَّ أنَّ هذا هو الكتاب الأنسب لذلك ، ولا شكَّ في أنَّ الجميع معنيٌّ ومهتم بتلك التسؤلات.
A sustained discourse on a relatively obscure aspect of philosophy. Causation is often taken for granted in many philosophical problem. One popular hypothetical example in ethics, for instance, is about pushing a man (or yourself), thereby sacrificing a life, to stop a train from crashing or falling, saving many more lives inside the train. Now it is assumed that this act of pushing can save the people. In legalistic terms, but for you , the train will crash and people die. It is a little anti-climax to say that even if you push yourself onto the rail, the train will crash and people inside will all die. In other words, there is no counter-factual dependence . With or without your sacrifice, the result is the same anyway.
In this very short introduction, the starting point is Hume's view of causation which sees everything as merely succession of events. What is seen as causation is only when two events chance to happen often. From this vintage, various theories of causation are explained and explored. Causation is when there is counter-factual dependence or it can be a matter of energy transfer ( physicalism ) or a combination of all of the above (pluralism ). Perhaps it can't be explained as it is so basic and fundamental ( primitivism ). Alternatively, there is no definitive answer because it depends on the tendency of matter and is therefore a matter of probability ( dispositionalism )
This is an interesting introduction because causation permeates in almost every branches of philosophy. I also recommend Stephen Mumford's book on metaphysics in the very short introduction series, which is similarly engaging and stimulating.
Causation sounds like one of those super obscure philosophical terms. However, it refers to the simple idea that events in the real world cause other events. It’s a very primitive and intuitive notion, on par with our notions of space and time. And just as it turns out that our simple ideas about space and time belie a much more complicated reality, so it is that a closer look at the notion of causation leads to some puzzling and even troubling questions.
“Causation: A Very Short Introduction” aims to take the reader on a tour of some of the most interesting ideas about causation that have cropped up over the history of philosophy. It is a short book, but it is by no means a quick read. As it often happens when trying to untangle apparently uniform threads a lot of exactitude and precision need to be applied, which in turn requires a high level of mental dexterity and patience. This book is not an easy read, and I would only recommend it to readers who appreciate tightly argued philosophical ideas and are willing to invest the time and effort required for their full comprehension.
The book presents several main ideas and schools of thought that have been built in order to answer the question of what exactly we mean by causation. The authors show that most of those ideas, even though they seem very counterintuitive on the surface, have many attractive features that make them hard to dismiss out hand, or at all. However, the book argues that no single school of though so far has managed to capture all of our intuitive ideas about causation.
Personally, as a theoretical Physicist, I would have liked it if this book covered the “Physicalist” view of causation (or “causality” as we like to call it) in more depth. I think that this book’s ideas about physical reductionism are a bit too glib and don’t quite capture the full complexity of this approach.
Worrying about causation is not just an exercise in navel gazing. Finding and understanding causal connection deeply affects science, law, and medicine, to name just a few examples through which we are affected on a daily basis. If you would like to take a probing tour of what causation may mean in and of itself, then this short book is a good place to start. But be fully prepared to grease your intellectual elbows, as reading this small tome can be quite a mental exercise.
The biggest lacking when talking about physics is that only example of conservative systems are presented, in which time is by definition time can be reversed. Example from thermodynamics and in particular about irreversible system could be more suited to talk about causation. In particular, the concept of entropy and further of information, and their change and transfer as the system evolves, could be very useful to explain causation.
Great overview of the philosophy literature on causation. Well-written.
I decided to read this book because I had just read "Black Swan," where the author argues that the discipline of history is a "fraud." He argues that many historical causal claims of the form "the assassination of Franz Ferdinand caused WWI" or "the Great Recession was caused by a financial crisis, which was caused by the securitization and reckless transferring of the risk of subprime mortgages" are inadequately supported and likely wrong. Historical claims of this kind, he says, are not subject to empirical testing, and when historians make them, they're just picking somewhat arbitarily from the many different possible ways that a historical event may have been caused, often on the grounds that the chosen causal explanation creates a good-sounding "narrative." This got me wondering what we really mean when we say something like "the assassination of Franz Ferninand caused WWI."
After reading this book on causation, I think I have a better sense. Interestingly, in the end, I think the philosophical literature (or at least the view I came out of this book with) ends up somewhere similar to the US legal system's approach to causation. Causation is not as simple as counterfactual dependence/but-for causation. That is, to say that the assassination of Franz Ferninand caused WWI is not simply to say that WWI would not have happened had Franz Ferninand not been assassinated. It's also definitely not the case that a cause has to be sufficient for an effect, e.g., Germany also needed to exist in order for WWI to happen, so Franz Ferdinand's assassination wasn't sufficient. The book talks about Judea Pearl's idea of a sort of causal graph showing factors that all contribute to an effect or event. Changing some of those factors slightly can sometimes change the result. The book also introduced the very appealing Wittgensteinian/pluralist idea that causation doesn't have a single essence. Instead, conceptually, it's more of a family resemblance or can take many different forms. And combining those two ideas together, my view is that causation can refer to several different roles that a factor might play in a causal graph. For example, to say that Franz Ferdinand's assassination caused WWI is to say that Franz Ferdinand's assassination "ignited" WWI because in the causal map it was right behind the start of WWI. We might also say that Germany's ambitions to expand across Europe caused WWI not only in a "but-for" sense, but also in the sense that, even if you hypothetically changed a lot of the other factors/inputs in the causal map, the effect would still happen in a lot of possible worlds (e.g. even if Franz Ferninand was never assassinated, WWI still would have happened in a lot of possible worlds, because Germany had such ambitions to expand that the war would have started in some other way). In that sense, to say that Germany's ambition caused WWI is to say that it played a significant enough role in the causal graph leading to WWI. (This explains why, contrary to the author of Black Swan, doing history is useful, since it can allow us to identify social conditions that in this sense tend to cause good or bad outcomes, even if there's not a strict necessary or sufficient relationship.) Also, as I said earlier, this is similar to what the US legal system says about causation. "But-for" causation is a common definition of causation in the law, but usually something further is required for causation to be satisfied (e.g. proximate causation, which is somewhat similar to the idea that the putative cause must play a significant enough or direct enough role in the causal graph). And the law also recognizes that even where there is not a but-for relationship, causation sometimes may still be satisfied (e.g. when there are multiple tortfeasors each of whose conduct was sufficient to have caused a plaintiff's injury and thus none of them was individually necessary for the injury to occur).
While this might be somewhat of an answer to the conceptual question of what we mean when say one event caused another, I'm still confused about the metaphysical question of what causation really is. I'm also a little unclear of how separate those questions really are. I guess my only criticism of this book is that it could have distinguished those two questions and explained their relationship a little more clearly.
I can’t rate this because it’s my first journey into this subject (how I have a degree in philosophy while managing to neglect this? I can’t answer). It seemed awfully well-informed, however, and the writing was good as far as this very short intro series is concerned.
Causation is one of the fundamental forces that forms the very bedrock of reality and how we experience the world. Without causation, knowledge would be impossible as we would have no way to link any one thing with another – every object and event would have had a separate existence independent of other objects and events; inference, logic, reason – every scientific edifice would crumble. It’s hard to imagine how we could have even existed then – eating food, reproducing, saving oneself from physical and mental harm, nothing would have mattered.
Wrapping one’s head around such concepts is especially difficult as they are never directly observed. This is what Hume said, that our sense of causation is nothing but an intuitively developed concept formed by seeing a given combination of events multiple times – causation has no metaphysical existence, but is only a psychological artefact of expectation within us. Causation, he said, is an illusion.
With this background, Mumford and Anjum begin their book on causation.
In the chapters that follow, some of the common ideas associated with causation are taken up – that causes precede effects, that they are near in space and time, that they always occur together and the like. At a first glance, all these are indeed the kinds of properties and relationships we expect between causes and effects.
But lo and behold! It turns out each and every one of these properties that we relate with causation is flawed as, one by one, the authors start dismantling our notions regarding this concept.
But perhaps the more difficult part was to come up with replacements to form the new foundations of the crumpled and crumbled edifice. In the past few decades, some new theories of causation have entered into the scene and the authors then go on to expound the positives and negatives of those. Some theories, like pluralism which says that causation comprises of a combination of different things which depend on the specific event, or primitivism which says causation is an un-analysable event, a sort of metaphysical atom, tantamount to accepting defeat in the quest to understand causation, whereas others, like dispositionalism which talks about the “tendency” of one thing to lead to another, stand on relatively stronger grounds. Yet, at present, there is not a single theory that manages to explain causation in its various forms.
Does causation imply necessity? But then not every match strike leads to a spark as there are extra factors like wind and wetness of the match head that we forget to take into account. Does causation imply a change from what could have been (an elk on the railway track causes the train to stop and get late; but its presence wouldn’t matter if there was also a red signal), or can causation also exist in things that don’t happen (a medicine stops the onset of a disease, so did it cause nothing?) – questions like these keep the readers occupied, and by the end of the book, short thought experiments such as these help to extract the main components of the concept of causation that one might have.
A statement like “causes precede effects” is seen as being axiomatic. And yet, it is incorrect. Causes and effects exist simultaneously. Let’s take a sugar cube dissolving in water, for instance. If the cause is “sugar coming into contact with water” and the effect is “sugar dissolving in water”, then, the authors say, all the considerations of how the sugar cube and glass of water came to be together, and how someone picked up the sugar cube and put it in the water, are irrelevant from a causation point of view. The sugar cube will only dissolve when it is in contact with water. The effect can only simultaneously exist with the cause.
Causes do not precede effects. This was one of the results that really surprised me. And that is the beauty of reading such books. You realise that there are cracks in the very foundations of your knowledge. It is one thing to not know what causes X, but an entirely different thing to not even know what causation itself really is. It opens up one’s mind to the possibility of other such cracks in one’s conception of the world, and that is enlightening.
If reading the previous nine paragraphs makes you have a re-look at your concept of causation, I wouldn’t think twice before saying it may as well have caused it.
This little book packs a lot of information in! Unlike with his other short introduction (to Metaphysics), Mumford didn't try to spice things up for newcomers to the subject. Instead, we are treated to a long, serious, but extremely interesting discussion about what counts as causation, what causation is in itself, and how we may find instances of it. I applaud the author for giving us something other than just Humeanism or Lewisianism. I never understood why so many academic philosophers give such credence to Lewis' possible-worlds approach to causation; the most convoluted attempt at a philosophical analysis, if there ever was one. Mumford's preferred approach (if I understood correctly) is for an analysis that returns us to objects, away from events, and makes use of old-fashioned concepts that are all but forgotten, like disposition, hidden power, and potentiality. I also applaud the author for giving Aristotle a chance and not dismissing him out of hand, under the assumption that early science definitively disproved his theory of the 4 causes. This book is very accessible to anyone interested in this thorny philosophical issue: the curious, the amateur, and even the professional. It reads like one long intelligent conversation, and the jargon is kept to a minimum... like all good philosophical literature ought to be.
A nice summation of classical conceptions of causation, with a particular focus on Hume, regularity, necessity, counterfactuals, physicalism, and primitivism. Really solid introduction for those interested.
Quite a philisophically technical book, and without as much emphasis on what causation is in the scientific world (analysis of 2nd law thermodynamics and arrow of time not included). Despite this very interesting.
Popper famously said all life is problem solving. And #problemsolving is all about understanding various moving parts and their relationships. For example - would adding a new feature be more valuable to customers or improving the page load speed? should we structure the compensation as 100% fixed or create a variable component? if we lowered the prices, would that lead to more profits? and so on. Of course, life would be so easy if we understood the degree of correlation between 'x' and 'y', but what is not always very obvious that the correlation might as well as spurious! The famous example comes to mind - eating chocolates leads to Nobel prizes! Needless to say, a decision made on an incorrect cause-effect relationship might be wasted time, effort, money and probably tons of missed opportunities! It is critical to understand causal relationships.
So, how do we improve our understanding about #causalinference? I think we need to start with teaching students to ask right questions. For example, 2+2=4 might be a right answer, but 4=2+2? might be a wrong question! Sadly, we reward them on right answers, when we should be teaching them how to ask right questions!
I read this book to help me get started with writing an introduction to my master's thesis, which was nominally about some mathematical aspects of a certain theory of causation. I found it very informative -- it is surprising how much nuance there is in what seems to be a totally natural and intuitive concept.
To get a sense of what the book covers, consider the following three statements: "pushing on my coffee cup caused it to fall off my desk", "I stood in the middle of the road, causing cars to stop", "smoking causes lung cancer". Each of these sentences use the word "cause" but what is it really that connects them together? Is the second not a complex sequence of decisions made by an independent agent with free-will while the first is simple physics? And what of the last sentence -- there are many smokers who never develop cancer, so how can we say smoking causes it?
Thoroughly enjoyable (and dizzyingly circular!) romp through the main philosophical themes of causation. Introduces the popular approaches, but leaves plenty of room to play with the ideas (especially if one engages and peeks into the sources mentioned).
Eurocentric to the boot, of course. Which is a real pity. While I stan Hume and Russell on this particular topic, there are so many long-standing problems which even as a layperson I can see being enriched by (e.g.) Yogācāra approaches to interbeing, causal symmetry, instantaneity and the theory of signs. Instead, non-academic readers today must make do with Kant's ham-fisted attempt to reinvent the wheel 1,200 years later. Still, very stimulating.
I'm not altogether sure where I stand on the various understandings of causality, but I do know this little volume gave me cause to think.
Part of the joy comes from SM & RLAs brilliant expostulation which could easily be turned to as a guide for how to present complex topics. Again and again the two authors presented some plausible notion of what we mean by causality, always in clear and simple terms, only to cheerfully tear it down with an equally convincing counter argument. It was equal parts enthralling and frustrating, and I loved it.
This book, to me, felt neither very short nor as an introduction. A long and drivelling narrative primarily devoted to the ontological aspects of ‘cause’, and insufficient (in my opinion) treatment of the computational and inferential aspects of causal models and systems make it a rather dry read to a non-philosopher.
Decent, but less interesting than I hoped. The book introduced various schools of thought on causation, but didn’t really follow them through as much as I’d have liked and it wasn’t as sharp/cogent? as I would have liked. I just felt it left a things hazier than they needed to be and a lot of loose threads - more than there needed to be?
I bought this book thinking that I'd learn about the concept of causation as how a statistician would think about it. Instead, it gave me something else. This simultaneously delighted and disappointed me for some reason.
We act as if we know causation because our lives are invariably caught up in the pragmatic living of being a creature in this universe. Unfortunately, like so many ideas that make intuitive sense, common notions of causation are not so accurate. Mumford does a wonderful job going through the essential philosophical ideas concerning causation, utilizing Hume as a rudder to point out the difficulties in each theory, before finally offering a tentative idea of what may work. Such is the honesty of the criticism throughout that when it comes to his own idea, it doesn't seem inevitable but simply more accurate than the rest. If you're looking for a book that will cause some serious, if being introspectively honest, doubt about assumed ideas, this is certainly a good place to start and by the end the world will become just a little bit clearer.
List of illustrations xiii Why causation? - 1 1. The problem: what's the matter with causation? - 4 2. Regularity: causation without connection? - 15 3. Time and space: do causes occur before their effects? - 27 4. Necessity: do causes guarantee their effects? - 38 5. Counterfactual dependence: do causes make a difference? - 51 6. Physicalism: is it all transference - 63 7. Pluralism: is causation many different things? - 75 8. Primitivism: is causation the most basic thing? - 85 9. Dispositionalism: what tends to be? - 96 10. Finding causes: where are they? - 109
A very short afterword - 120 Further reading - 121 Index - 125
A clear, sober catalog of seemingly all the philosophical angles and debates to do with causation down the centuries. Since Hume, it's been hard for causation to stand up to close analysis. On the other hand, in practical terms it's too useful to dispense with. Causation thus becomes something sanctioned mainly by practical use. Science tries and almost succeeds in adjudicating what patterns should be considered causally determined, but there's plenty of room for determined skepticism to mount opposition. All of which keeps things lively.
AVSI books range from bad to great. This one falls somewhere in-between. It's a well-written book, but if you want to be inspired to live differently, this is not for you. If you like philosophy, would like to challenge your thinking about something most of us take for granted, you'll enjoy this book. The book explores what it means, if anything, for one thing to cause another to occur.
It does what it promises: a proper introduction to the philosophy of causation. It explains matters in an uncomplicated manner and supposes no previous knowledge. Having said this, this book will not be a thorough guide for experts.
Is missing some important points like all the bizarre ways quantum physics affect causation, and discussion of the anthropic principle that "for us to exist at all the universe needs to be operated by causal laws".