The Water Will Come: Rising Seas, Sinking Cities, and the Remaking of the Civilized World by Jeff Goodell
“The Water Will Come” is a very good book that realistically depicts the future we are creating for our children and grandchildren. Contributing editor at Rolling Stone and the author of five books including the award-winning Audacious Quest to Fix Earth’s Climate takes the reader on a dive into the rising water levels of our planet. This insightful 332-page book includes the following twelve chapters: 1. The Oldest Story Ever Told 2. Living with Noah 3. New Climate Land 4. Air Force One 5. Real Estate Roulette 6. The Ferrari on the Seafloor 7. Walled Cities 8. Island States 9. Weapon of Mass Destruction 10. Climate Apartheid 11. Miami Is Drowning and 12. The Long Goodbye.
Positives:
1. A well researched and written book.
2. A critical topic in the hands of an excellent author, the impact of climate change on our planet.
3. Good use of visual material.
4. The Prologue sets the stage for what’s to come. “It begins with this: the climate is warming, the world’s great ice sheets are melting, and the water is rising. This is not a speculative idea, or the hypothesis of a few wacky scientists, or a hoax perpetrated by the Chinese. Sea-level rise is one of the central facts of our time, as real as gravity. It will reshape our world in ways most of us can only dimly imagine.”
5. The impact to the United States is discussed. “One recent study estimated that with six feet of sea-level rise, nearly $1 trillion worth of real estate in the United States will be underwater, including one in eight homes in Florida. If no significant action is taken, global damages from sea-level rise could reach $100 trillion a year by 2100.”
6. Interesting factoids provided. “Most Biblical scholars believe that the story of Noah is based on an even earlier flood story in The Epic of Gilgamesh, which is the tale of the adventures of a Mesopotamian king that was written two thousand years before the Bible.”
7. The city of Miami plays a prominent role. “Eventually, changes were made. The City of Miami passed the first building code in the United States (it later became the basis for the first nationwide building code).”
8. The source of future flooding. “Most of the water that will drown Miami and New York and Venice and other coastal cities will come from two places: Antarctica and Greenland. Often you hear about the disappearance of the snows on Mount Kilimanjaro or the glaciers in Patagonia, but in the context of drowning cities, land-based glaciers won’t contribute much. What really matters is what happens on the two big blocks of ice at either end of the Earth.”
9. The Paris Agreement discussed. “The Paris agreement was widely viewed as a last-ditch effort to get the nations of the world to commit to reducing carbon pollution to a level that might limit the worst impacts of climate change, including slowing sea-level rise in the decades to come.”
10. Issues dealing with climate change. “The third and biggest issue is, nobody wants to spend money to build a more resilient city because nobody owns the risk.”
11. Irony. “It’s one of the great ironies that when the oil and gas barons of Russia and Brazil make money, they have been sinking it into Miami, a city that is literally drowning as a result of the combustion of the fossil fuels that made them rich. The whole point is that Miami is considered a safe investment.”
12. Flood insurance. “In the United States, virtually all flood insurance is provided through the National Flood Insurance Program, which was created in 1968 in the wake of Hurricane Betsy, which caused massive flooding in the Gulf states. In the aftermath, many commercial insurers refused to sell insurance to people who lived in flood zones. To fill the gap, and to give protection to the often poor homeowners who lived in low-lying areas, the NFIP was born.” “When people have to pay more and own more of the risk themselves, their decisions about where and how they live will change.”
13. An interesting look at how Venice is handling climate change. “But the idea that won out was the construction of high-tech mobile barriers at the inlets of the lagoon that would rise to protect the city when a storm approached, then lower to allow the lagoon to remain connected to the sea.”
14. The potential impact to New York. “Climate science is getting better and better, and storm intensity and sea-level rise projections are getting more and more alarming. It fundamentally calls into question New York’s existence. The water is coming, and the long-term implications are gigantic.”
15. The goal of poor nations. “One way to view the past thirty years of climate talks is as an extended attempt by poor nations to extract compensation from rich nations for stealing their future.”
16. Facts! “According to the World Resources Institute, between 1850 and 2011, the United States was the source of 27 percent of the world’s carbon dioxide emissions; the European Union, including the UK, 25 percent; China, 11 percent; Russia, 8 percent; and Japan, 4 percent. “To make calculating easy,” Gerrard wrote, “let’s assume that 100 million people will need new homes outside their own countries by 2050. Under a formula based on historic greenhouse gas emissions, the United States would take in 27 million people; Europe, 25 million; and so on.”
17. An interesting look at the impact to our military. “The scale of the military assets that are at risk due to our rapidly changing climate is mind-boggling. The Pentagon manages a global real estate portfolio that includes over 555,000 facilities and 28 million acres of land—virtually all of it will be impacted by climate change in some way. And it’s not just active bases and military installations that are in trouble. The headquarters of the US Southern Command, which is in charge of military operations in South and Central America as well as the Caribbean, is located in a low-lying area near Miami International Airport that is already vulnerable to flooding. The United States Naval Academy in Annapolis, Maryland, is perched right on the edge of Chesapeake Bay and is often inundated at high tide.”
18. Eye-opening accounts. “Several years ago, former state attorney general Ken Cuccinelli launched a witch-hunt against noted climate scientist Michael Mann, subpoenaing documents and private emails in an attempt to discredit his work. The Republican-dominated Virginia legislature has effectively banned the discussion of climate change—one legislator called sea-level rise “a left-wing term.””
19. Impact to the world. “In the world as it is, evidence that climate change is an engine of conflict is clear. The best example is Syria. In 2015, an exhaustive study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences found that rising CO2 pollution had made the 2007–2010 drought in Syria twice as likely to occur, and that the four-year drought had a “catalytic effect” on political unrest in the area.”
20. Efforts to adapt to rising water levels. “In Mexico, a man named Richart Sowa has made a floating island out of 250,000 used plastic bottles stuffed into recycled fruit sacks.”
21. What can be done. “Raising flood insurance rates to better reflect the true costs of living in risky places can help. But the simplest way to get people to move out of low-lying areas is simply to buy them out.” “If we want to minimize the impact of sea-level rise in the next century, here’s how we do it: stop burning fossil fuels and move to higher ground.”
22. Includes Bibliography.
Negatives:
1. No links to notes.
2. Does not expose with gusto the culprits behind the misinformation machine against climate change. Yes some politicians are mentioned but not with the emphasis expected and warranted.
3. A bit repetitive.
4. The author inserts himself too much into what should be the focus of the book.
In summary, Jeff Goodell provides readers with some keen insights into the current impact of climate change around the world and what is expected to happen based on the best of our current knowledge. Through many interviews and sound research the author depicts a somber future unless we take action. The author may insert himself a bit too much for my taste but it’s worth reading. I recommend it!
Further recommendations: “This Changes Everything: Capitalism vs. The Climate” by Naomi Klein, “Changing Planet, Changing Health” by Paul R. Epstein, MD, and Dan Feber, “The Crash Course” by Chris Marteson, “Storms of My Grandchildren” by James Hansen, “The End of Growth” by Richard Heinberg, “Warnings” by Mike Smith, “The Weather of the New Future” by Heidi Cullen, “The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars” by Michael E. Mann, “Clean Break” by Osha Gray Davidson, “Fool Me Twice” by Lawrence Otto, “Lies, Damned Lies, and Science” by Sherry Seethaler, “The Hockey Stick and Climate Wars” by Michael E. Mann, “Reality Check” by Donald R. Prothero, and “Merchants od Doubt” by Naomi Oreskes and Erik M. Conway.