John F. Kennedy learned it would impossible to win a colonial war in Vietnam ten years before he became President of the United States.
In 1951, when he was a young member of Congress, Kennedy visited Vietnam with his younger brother Robert. At the time France was trying to regain its pre-World War II colony of Indochina. Although the French army's commander in Saigon insisted to the Kennedy brothers that his 250,000 troops couldn't possibly lose to some Viet Minh guerrillas, the young congressman knew better. He was convinced by Edmund Gullion, an official at the U.S. Consulate, who expressed skepticism in regard to Vietnam. At an evening meeting on top of a Saigon hotel, he told John Kennedy: "In twenty years there will be no more colonies. We're going nowhere out here. The French have lost. If we come in here and do the same thing, we will lose, too, for the same reason. There's no will or support for this kind of war back in Paris. The homefront is lost. The same thing would happen to US."
Kennedy trusted Gullion, who had helped him earlier as a speechwriter on foreign policy, and after becoming President, he would often cite his far-sighted comment to his hawkish military advisers, who were pushing hard for the ground troops Kennedy would never send to Vietnam.
On the eve of his inauguration, Kennedy had expressed his doubts about war in Southeast Asia. When he was given a briefing by President Eisenhower, the president-elect asked an unexpected question. It pertained to the rising conflict with Communist forces in Laos, Vietnam's western neighbor. Which option would Eisenhower prefer, Kennedy asked, a "coalition with the Communists to form a government in Laos or intervening [militarily] through SEATO [the Southeast Asia Treaty Organization, to which the U.S. belonged]?" Ike was surprised by his successor's suggestion and said it would be "far better" to intervene militarily because any coalition with the Communists would end with Communist control. Even unilateral intervention by American troops was preferable to that. It would be "a last desperate effort to save Laos."
Kennedy listened carefully but skeptically and thought that what he was hearing was a recipe for disaster coming from a man who in a few hours would no longer be responsible for it. "There he sat," the new President told friends later, "telling me to get ready to put ground forces into Asia, the thing he himself had been carefully avoiding for the last eight years."
Three days after Kennedy became President, on November 11 1960, South Vietnam's president Ngo Dinh Diem was almost turned out of office by a military coup. The November 1960 attempt foreshadowed the November 1963 successful coup that would kill Diem and his brother, Ngo Dinh Nhu. In 1960, however, Diem survived and reasserted his control over South Vietnam. Claiming initially that he had reformed his ways, he continued his despotic rule, relying on American support to defeat both the democratic opposition and a Communist-led guerrilla movement.
The Pentagon Papers describe the unique American commitment to Vietnam that existed when John F. Kennedy became President: unlike any of the other countries in Southeast Asia, Vietnam was "essentially the creation of the United States," as was the leadership of Ngo Dinh Diem. Without American support Diem almost certainly could not have maintained his hold on the South during 1955 and 1956. Without the threat of American intervention, South Vietnam could not have refused to even discuss the elections called for in 1956 under the Geneva settlement without being immediately overrun by the Viet Minh armies. Without continued American aid, the Diem regime certainly, and an independent South Vietnam almost as certainly, could not have survived.
Senator Kennedy, because of his Cold War politics and his first impression of Diem as a sincere Vietnamese nationalist, had been among the American supporters of Diem's government. That is why his decision to neutralize neighboring Laos came as a shock to Diem. He regarded Kennedy's new policy there as a threat to the survival of his own government. Kennedy tried to reassure him by sending Vice President Lyndon Johnson in May 1961 to visit him along with other anti-Communist Asian allies who were dismayed by Kennedy's decision. Johnson criticized the President's policy too, but Kennedy drew the same line in South Vietnam that he had drawn in Laos and Cuba: he would not authorize the sending of combat troops.
In May 1961, the Joint Chiefs of Staff had recommended that combat troops be sent to Vietnam. For his part, Diem asked Kennedy for "selected elements of the American Armed Forces to establish training centers for the Vietnamese Armed Forces." The crucial issue was whether Americans would be sent to Vietnam in the form of organized combat units, capable of, if not intended for, conducting combat operations. Kennedy agreed to send military support to Diem, such as advisers and helicopters, but no matter what pressures were put upon him, he refused to send American units capable of independent combat against the guerrillas.
As the guerrilla attacks in South Vietnam increased almost threefold in September, Secretary of Defense Robert McNamara, his deputy Roswell Gilpatric, and the Joint Chiefs all recommended to Kennedy in a memorandum that "we do commit the U.S. to the clear objective of preventing the fall of South Vietnam to Communism and that we support this commitment by the necessary military actions," including Taylor's proposed "US force of the magnitude of an initial 8,000 men in a flood relief context" and expanding to "about 205,000 men." The President rejected this virtually unanimous recommendation of his advisers, which put him in a curious position: he single-handedly resisted the pressure from his whole administration.
John Kennedy had been to Vietnam in 1951; he had seen the French troops struggle fruitlessly. Robert Kennedy said that his brother was absolutely determined never to send ground combat units to Vietnam, because if he did, the United States would be in the same spot as the French – whites against Asians, in a war against nationalism and self-determination.
In his book, John M. Newman focuses on the "war before the war": the growing American involvement in Vietnam from mid-1961 to the assassinations of Presidents Kennedy and Diem in November 1963. Newman describes the bitter internal warfare waged by the Pentagon working with Lyndon Johnson, which cheated, lied, and plotted how to get American ground troops into Vietnam, and a skeptical President, who eventually compromised by sending thousands of military and civilian advisers.
On April 4, 1962, John Kenneth Galbraith, the ambassador to India, raised hell among Kennedy's advisers by proposing to the President that the United States negotiate with Hanoi a mutual withdrawal from the growing war in South Vietnam. If the United States instead increased its military support of Diem, Galbraith warned Kennedy, "there is consequent danger we shall replace the French as the colonial force in the area and bleed as the French did."
The Joint Chiefs were furious at Galbraith's proposal. They argued to McNamara that any drastic change in American policy would lead to the loss not only of South Vietnam but also of other Asian and non-Asian allies. The State Department was also opposed to a neutral solution.
To Kennedy, however, Galbraith's warning was a reminder of his friend Edmund Gullion's words, and he believed what the ambassador was proposing could be achieved. The President made an unsuccessful attempt to. He asked his new Assistant Secretary of State, Averell Harriman, to send Galbraith instructions to pursue an Indian diplomatic approach to the North Vietnamese about a mutual disengagement. Harriman resisted, saying they should wait a few days until they received an International Control Commission report on Vietnam. Kennedy agreed but insisted, according to a record of their conversation, that instructions should nevertheless be sent to Galbraith and that he would like to see such instructions. Harriman said he would send the instructions the following week. But he did not.
Averell Harriman sabotaged Kennedy's proposal for a mutual de-escalation. He "... struck the language on de-escalation from the message with a heavy pencil line," as chronicled in Harriman's papers, and instead wired a message to Galbraith that "changed the mutual de-escalation approach into a threat of U.S. escalation of the war if the North Vietnamese refused to accept U.S. terms," thus completely distorting Kenned's intentions.
When Harriman's colleague Edward Rice tried to re-introduce Kennedy's mutual de-escalation proposal into the telegram, Harriman again intervened, first crossing out what Rice had written and then killing the telegram altogether. Because of the Assistant Secretary of State's obstruction, John Kenneth Galbraith was not informed about Kennedy's peaceful initiative.
In the Spring of 1962, when Kennedy had almost achieved a peaceful Laotian settlement, he instructed McNamara to make a plan for American withdrawal from Vietnam. The President had not yet reached the point of ordering the military to withdraw; he just needed a plan. Yet, his military chiefs were shocked. They perceived Kennedy's neutralization of Laos as surrender to the Communists. For the United States to withdraw from Vietnam was unthinkable.
John Kennedy tried to override the Pentagon's resistance by having his Secretary of State introduce the idea as a matter-of-fact to a small circle of high-level officials. McNamara served as Kennedy's "buffer" to top military men whose rising anger toward the President urged them toward insubordination. At some point, Kennedy had considered replacing Dean Rusk with McNamara as Secretary of State after the 1963 election, but as he confessed to Galbraith, "But then if I don't have McNamara at Defense to control the generals, I won't have a foreign policy."
However, on the issue of sending ground troops to Vietnam, McNamara was on the generals' side, and when it came to enforcing the President's will over the Pentagon's, McNamara was not always that competent. His order to the generals to draft a plan for withdrawal from Vietnam took more than a year to come back to the President in a form he could consider for approval. And after the President issued his secret order for a U.S. withdrawal from Vietnam in National Security Action Memorandum (NSAM) 263 on October 11 1963, this order was covered up because of his assassination.
JFK & VIETNAM is a disturbing but eye-opening book. It persuasively argues that John F. Kennedy indeed had realized an end had to be put to American intervention in Vietnam and that had Kennedy lived, the course of events would have been drastically different. John M. Newman has done a magnificent job with both the research and the writing of his work. I recommend it to proponents, as well as to opponents, of the version that it was President Kennedy who dragged the United States into the Vietnamese quagmire.