Twenty-four million people wager nearly $3 billion on college basketball pools each year, but few are aware that winning strategies have been developed by researchers at Harvard, Yale, and other universities over the past two decades. Bad advice from media sources and even our own psychological inclinations are often a bigger obstacle to winning than our pool opponents. Profit opportunities are missed and most brackets submitted to pools don’t have a breakeven chance to win money before the tournament begins. Improving Your NCAA® Bracket with Statistics is both an easy-to-use tip sheet to improve your winning odds and an intellectual history of how statistical reasoning has been applied to the bracket pool using standard and innovative methods. It covers bracket improvement methods ranging from those that require only the information in the seeded bracket to sophisticated estimation techniques available via online simulations. Included Tom Adams’ work presenting bracket improvement methods has been featured in the New York Times, Sports Illustrated , and SmartMoney magazine.
Born Thomas Charles Renwick Adams, Tom Adams was a US-born Anglo-Scots illustrator and painter. Long active in a variety of visual formats, he is known for his work in book cover art, portrait painting, poster, advertising and album art. He is most widely known for his book cover art for the paperback editions of Agatha Christie.
After serving two years in the navy, 1944-1946, he then trained at the Chelsea School of Art and Goldsmiths College, where he received a National Diploma of Painting in 1949. Between 1953 and 1960 he provided illustrations for the youth-oriented UK comics Eagle, Girl and Swift.
In the 1960s and 1970s he became involved with several distinguished poets, including Edward Lucie-Smith, Ted Hughes, C. Day Lewis, Brian Patten, George MacBeth and Adrian Henri as well as artists Sandra Blow, John Piper, Josef Herman, and Mark Boyle among others, producing poetry prints published by his own gallery, the Fulham Gallery, London.
He also designed posters for Mark Boyle's light shows (The Sensual Laboratory), the Jimi Hendrix Experience and Soft Machine. His connection with the modern world of rock music continued when he met Lou Reed, an admirer of his Christie and Raymond Chandler covers. Adams designed the cover for his first solo album.
By the early 60s, Collins decided it wanted to do something more artistically distinct with Agatha Christie’s paperback covers. Impressed with Adams’s cover for John Fowles’ 'The Collector', they engaged Adams and a distinct partnership developed.
He was commissioned to do a trial cover of Christie's 'A Murder Is Announced', which was published with his cover in 1962. Everyone involved was pleased with the outcome. As a result, Adams ended up doing covers for many of Christie's paperbacks, often more than once. The only covers he did not create art for were the pre-1926 books which Fontana did not have the publishing rights to.
PocketBooks in the US very much wanted more realistic covers and for this reason, most of Adams' covers for the US editions feature a single dramatic or portentous scene from the novel that spans the front and rear covers. The two exceptions are "Nemesis" and "The Mystery of the Blue Train".
Fontana in the UK was much more open to Adams' creative input. Thus, the UK covers were often akin to a stylized tableau or surrealist collage. Adams ended up doing the covers for Agatha Christie paperbacks for 28 years (1962-1980), thus becoming connected with her intimately in the minds of many readers.
Tom Adams, creator of the seminal March Madness web app poologic, has written a book: Improving Your NCAA Bracket with Statistics.
Improving Your NCAA Bracket offers a thorough education on the applied game theory involved with winning a March Madness pool. (continue reading at WinThatPool)