I read non-fiction, too, I just don't often review it.
Russell Gold's Superpower: One Man's Quest to Transform American Energy isn't broad enough to even be the full story of the last twenty years of progress in wind power, much less low-emissions power, and it's not quite focused enough to be a real biography of its semi-protagonist Michael Skelly, but it's interesting.
Michael Skelly is a guy who's been very active as a wind-power developer for some twenty, twenty-five years, and the book covers the two distinct periods of his career along with one brief interlude.
The first part is the successful part: As a hands-on developer, spending someone else's money to break into region wind power development. Regional, in this case, loosely defined as "You build it close to where it will be used, usually no more than a few hundred miles away, often in the same state but definitely on the same grid." This turns out to be easy, circa the mid 90s to mid 00s. It's not, really-- there's an element of right place, right time after a whole bunch of people had already made mistakes, but it's a success story in that Skelly kept building bigger and bigger wind farms, and eventually the investor sold the company for shit-tons of money plus piss-rivers of yearly dividends.
What's interesting is how much of this got its start in the Texas area. Geographically, it makes sense, especially a little north in Oklahoma or Kansas-- lots of flat land or low hills with near constant wind. But politically, you see a lot of names signing on to these deals that you wouldn't really expect to, like George W Bush during his governorship. Later, the same with Rick Perry.
The interlude is a brief failed run for Congress in a Texas district.
And then, the second and much more dismal part. There's a soft ceiling on how much wind power you can build in one area-- whether it's the panhandle area, or off-shore in New England, or wherever-- and the limit is political constraints on technology. If you can't reliably and cheaply get the power to where it will be consumed, you shouldn't bother to build it. And generally, places rich in wind power are sparsely populated.
The second part isn't about Skelly trying to build wind farms. It's about him realizing that the modern grid needs and overhaul and trying to step up and form a private company to do exactly that.
Spoiler alert: He is crushed.
His biggest best idea (although he had five, to mitigate against any one failure) is a privately owned and operated electrical line from the panhandle area all the way into the TVA grid, which is essentially the best, most over-built grid in the country. He is crushed by:
- Absurd, antiquated catch-22 state level put in place like legal moats by medieval power companies that don't even exist any more. Things like, "You can't own power lines unless you are a power company generating power in state," and "You can't be a power company unless you're generating power, and you can't generate power unless you are a power company," and the whole "certificate of need" thing. This can be kind of circumvented by federal partnership, but see below.
- Local opposition: There didn't seem to be an offer Skelly could make that would be accepted in some quarters, it's all "Git off mah land!" It comes across as so caricatured that it's hard to believe Gold is playing it straight, here. But eventually-- at the cost of many years-- they manage to get a path, or at least most of a path, signed off on by local property owners which doesn't involve knocking down houses. (There was a real obsession with not knocking down houses that is hard to understand because the developers never even suggested it.)
- State opposition: This is an area where the states have a terrible time coordinating and need the Federal government to step in and impose order to get anything done, just like the interstate highway system and the oil pipeline networks. If a line from OK to TN goes through AK, what does AK get out of it? Nothing, which amplifies the irrational local opposition. What can TN or OK offer? Nothing. Even the rent-seeking solutions get legally complicated or intractable.
- Lamar Alexander: Lamar Alexander has an irrational opposition to wind power. Seriously, the man hates the very idea and pulled every federal trick he could to shut the projects down.
- The Federal Government: The Obama Administration was slow to move on this stuff, and although they eventually did throw in support, by then the TVA was in "Let's wait to see who wins the next election." Well, it was Individual-1.
And that's how it died. Once that project ("Clean Line") was dead, the other four projects withered as investors read the writing on the wall and pulled their cash out.
Which is both sad and infuriating, because Skelly was playing by what the GOP said was the playbook-- market based solutions, private infrastructure solving national problems, leading to vast improvements in efficiency. As the book spans 20-odd years, it is scattered with contracts and terms and prices and amounts of electricity; the quantities kept going up, eventually but easily into the gigawatt range, with hundreds of megawatts on conctract, and the prices kept going down, eventually to 2 cents per kilowatt hour and below which is just mind-bogglingly cheap. It the sort of thing that makes a real difference to energy-intensive industries like steel-making and large scale manufacturing, who live and die by energy costs. And it's clean, even slightly cleaner and slightly cheaper than nuclear, for old nuclear construction.
Didn't matter. Doesn't matter.
Didn't grease the right palms, didn't enrich the right donors, didn't pat the right constituencies on the ass.
It's such a god damned waste. Wind power isn't the sole solution for national power production, but it would be an exceptionally good addition to it if it could be done at grid scale.
But it can't, not right now.