Having bought 4 different “For Dummies” books, ranging from how to analyze penny stock, buying a house, and quantum physics, i have to say that the moniker attributed to every book in this series often understates the sophistication found within the pages. This is definitely the case for “Technical Analysis For Dummies”, a newer title in the series, it fills a real gap for younger/newer investors/traders, who often have a wide range of resources to access online, but those resources often come with a lot of embedded narrative biases and/or holes in their explanation, which leads to inadequate instruction.
My first introduction to technical analysis was from the perspective of taking standard courses in investments and economics, whereby the prevailing orthodoxy (at least within the context of undergraduate instruction) viewed the subject as ‘voodoo’. Of course the subject is beyond the scope of an introduction investment text, which is often centered on ultimately learning the CAPM, and the associated EMH theorems/results. It was not until much later on did I understand that technical analysis as a subject matter hails from a much richer history than mere “voodoo’, and there’s an excellent little book published by a well-noted MIT finance professor, Andrew Lo, titled “The Evolution of Technical Analysis” that reveals some of this history.
I read this book after I read Lo’s small history, and after meandering through a plethora of investment books (mostly layman), which includes all the usual suspects like “A Random Walk Down Wall Street” and Graham’s “Intelligent Investor” as well as a half a dozen other lesser known text in the domain. My interests in technical analysis occurred after I read Mike Coval’s “Trend Following” book, which although voluminous in page count, has very little instructional value for those who knew little about trend following or technical analysis (often times Coval “talks about” trend following, without ever really defining it , except once or twice towards the end of the audiobook).
This interest was reinforced after Coval’s book when I started taking a graduate course on the machine learning applications of trading, and this was the real reason I picked this book up, as I needed a few external references from a practitioner standpoint on technical indicators/filters that allowed me to better deal with these notions from an algorithmic standpoint. This book does a good job of defining and contextualizing how to read charts. The manner of instruction is hands-on with respect to concrete examples. Nothing is in the abstract, and the most “technical” notion found in the text is a regression, which is used prominently in the discussion on channels. Really, if you understand the standard error, the sample mean, a bit of regression, and momenta, you really have all you need to grasp this book.
After reading this text, you should have command of “the jargon”, which includes things like retracement, trends, resistance, support, divergence, convergence, breakouts etc., as well as how these notions fit in a standard technical analysis. That being said, it is by no means “advanced”, and those who come to the text with more sophistication should probably not pick this one up. I can see at least two kinds of people who would find value with this text:
1. A fairly technical person who is first learning the principles of trading/investing and needs a fairly straight-forward reference text to help integrate their knowledge of the fundamentals of the field, and who will use this text to springboard a more advanced or detail follow-up book
2. A retail investor who needs to equip themselves with the fundamentals to make sound and unbiased judgements on their trading position, and who needs the knowledge to help them adjudicate the veracity of discussion of companies, trades etc., in popular magazines, blogs, and forums within the subject of trading/investing (CNBC, Yahoo Finance, Barrons, etc.)
If you know stochastic calculus, stay away. There’s probably better books for you. Also, anyone who is sophisticated enough to know how options contracts work is probably far too advanced to profit from this text. However, this text would definitely be a nice gentle destination for someone who is building up to learn that level of information (with additional experience/education). Overall, I think this is a well written text, with a well-defined audience, and should not be avoided for its namesake by those who want to quickly get up to speed in the world of technical trading. Conditional recommend