Michael Boyle, a Senior Fellow at the Foreign Policy Research Institute, has authored several books on warfare, and was a contributing editor in a 2017 publication Legal and Ethical Implications of Drone Warfare ; I assume that much of The Drone Age is drawn from that. It expands on the military considerations of drones with a history of their development, civilian applications of the technology, and potential future advances in the field, such as AI and autonomy in combat situations .
Many innovations have occurred in drone technology since his 2017 book; witness the number of countries that have either purchased military drones from the three main exporters (U.S., Israel and China) or are developing their own. The dispersion of these drones is not without its downsides: non-state militant groups such as ISIS have experimented with weaponizing small commercial drones to deliver explosive payloads to their adversaries. The possibility that this could be expanded to bio- weapons is a sobering thought; the difficulty in accomplishing such a feat by an organization lacking deep technical expertise may be the primary impediment to its usage by such groups.
Boyle does a thorough job of examining the pros and cons of drones in combat, and most of his s concern is its rapid adoption by the military, especially the U.S. , the obvious leader in the field. He explores the perceived advantages of drone strikes over conventional air and land assaults:
- The reduced risk to military personnel and associated hardware (planes, tanks , etc.) . Pilots and ground forces are not required to make direct contact with the enemy, and tracking the target can proceed 24/7, as personnel are rotated and aircraft employed that can stay aloft for days at a time.
- Reduced cost. While the increased sophistication of drone technology due to the improvements demanded by their users has raised the costs of these devices (see miniaturization below) , it is still less than the cost of a fighter jet and its support structure.
- Selectivity and precision of target selection. Drone usage can be viewed as the continuation of the trend from the massive bombing raids of WWII that were used to take out war production facilities (and break the will of civilian populations ) to the development of cruise missiles that could be targeted to a smaller area, thus reducing civilian casualties.
The author does a thorough analysis of these advantages, along with as a thoughtful perspective on the dangers of military drones as well. For example, he writes about the potential effects of drone attacks on people in war-torn countries who may not appreciate our careful target selection if their neighborhood has been flattened by a drone strike. The recent killing of a Afghan civilian and his family members illustrates the dependence of drone warfare on reliable ground intelligence, which may be sparse in a country with few American allies.
Despite the distance between the targets and the drone pilots who attack them, the latter have experienced PTSD symptoms due to the resulting loss of life, especially when innocent civilians are killed. To minimize mistakes in targeting , the decision to launch a drone at an enemy is generally subject to several layers of approval in the U.S. ; in the Obama era, this included the President himself.
Boyle also discusses the implications of the military’s increased use of smaller surveillance drones as protection for ground forces, and better intelligence of the combat theater. The cost of wide deployment of miniature surveillance drones in combat may have imposed a limit on their usage, as can be seen by the six-figure price of the Black Hornet, a palm-sized drone developed in Norway. The bird-sized drone in the film Eye in the Sky is not as far-fetched as you might think.
His discussion of commercial drone usage, while not subject to the same level of controversy as the military side, highlights the failure of governments to keep up with the rapid increase in civilian ownership. This has resulted in several near misses by drones flown too close to airports, and privacy issues that arise from individual usage of drone cameras that have not been addressed. Neighborhood surveillance for crime prevention by these devices has not been widely accepted , as it can stigmatize the area’s residents; it also brings in the broader issue of individual privacy, as exemplified by the ubiquity of CCTV’s in modern society, and the ultimate nightmare of China’s dystopian society.
Nonetheless, the deployment of drones in crop management, forest fire control, small package delivery, movie production, criminal pursuit and many other labor- and cost-intensive areas would seem to outweigh the concerns he has about the political deficiencies that have not been adequately addressed. To this point, he is not a pessimist about the future of the field; he writes at length about disaster relief as one of the most promising potentials for commercial drones, due to their ability to deliver medicine, food and other vital necessities to stranded communities that would normally be impeded by blocked roads and difficult or unmarked terrain. While there are many concerns here, such as locating victims in unmapped areas, coordinating the relief efforts of multiple rescue organizations, and the size and cost of drones needed to transport food and heavy supplies, Boyle is optimistic about the future of drones as a vital component of disaster relief in the future.
His writing is exhaustive, well-balanced, and it speaks of an author who has spent considerable time researching and thinking about the implications of his subject. The book is highly recommended.