Serhii Plokhy’s work is admirable. Originating from Central and Eastern Europe, he could have been expected to deliver an account which would be possessed of bias, given the amount of ideology and misinformation which have accreted around this historical event. Not so. Having apparently researched all available material covering the Yalta conference – from official minutes of all three delegations, through memoires written by the various participants of the conference, right to the diaries and letters of some of the official and unofficial (inter alia, Churchill’s and Roosevelt’s daughters’) participants – Plokhy managed to deliver a very measured day-by-day account of the conference, whose proceedings shaped so much of post-WWII history.
The book largely dispels the picture of Churchill and Roosevelt acting in unison. While much of the policy agenda was common, much more - divergent. While Churchill and Stalin represented 19th Century-origin “spheres of influence” ideology (Stalin towing the traditional Russian imperial expansionist line, Churchill protecting the continued existence of the British Empire), Roosevelt was the proponent, at least nominally, of the new multilateral order, to be anchored on the about-to-be-born United Nations Organisation. While this lack of synchronicity was not in itself all detrimental, as it facilitated many concessions from Stalin, due to Roosevelt’s positioning as an independent arbiter, it did not help in towing the line in the same direction on a number of issues, unfortunately including Poland. The lack of alignment was apparent during the bilateral pre-conference meeting between Roosevelt and Churchill, and their respective delegations, in Malta, during which Roosevelt all but refused to meet in a one-on-one meeting.
Another aspect which strongly influenced the events, but which has not traditionally been brought to the fore, is the failing health of FDR, who died within two months of the conference. While his intellectual capacity was unimpaired, and he displayed top pedigree diplomatic skills, so important in negotiations with Stalin, his stamina was clearly failing. He could not work long days, which both Churchill and Stalin were prepared to do, and he cut the conference short, much against Churchill’s wishes, who wished to translate into details many of the topics discussed, and agreed in principle, including Poland.
On Poland, the book largely dispels the narrative in circulation in Poland ever since the Yalta conference – that of Yalta representing the betrayal of Poland by its Western allies. Yes, it confirms that the outcome of the conference landed large swathes of Central Europe, including Poland, in the Soviet sphere of influence, but not without sustained effort from Churchill, and to some extent Roosevelt, to redress the situation and strive for as democratic solution for Poland as possible under the circumstances. Sadly, whereas Churchill’s determination went beyond what was achieved, Roosevelt was content with any solution, as long as it was capable of being sold as a success to US Poles. A temporary government, which would include Poles from London, which would administer Poland until free elections, supervised by the Allies’ ambassadors, was deemed sufficient. Due to the lack of time, the details were left to be worked out between Molotov and the two Allies’ Moscow ambassadors. It was these details – of the basis on which a combined government would be composed, of the meaning of the word “free” in elections, and the meaning of the word “supervised” in the “supervised by ambassadors” – which resulted in the Soviet domination of Poland over the ensuing half-century. This is where Roosevelt’s extra time commitment may have tilted the scales.
That said, the discussions on Poland were being led against the backdrop of the Soviet troops already occupying much of Central Europe, of the winter offensive commenced in January 1945 bringing Soviet troops to within 70 km from Berlin, and of the Western Allies, the Americans in particular, slowly licking their wounds after the near-defeat in the Ardennes. Not much leverage to be yielded by the Western Allies in the face of Stalin’s consistent determination to expand Soviet sphere of influence to much of Central Europe, which was to become a buffer against any future ill designs from remilitarised Germany. After all, as famously said by Otto von Bismarck, „Politics is the art of the possible, the attainable — the art of the next best.” Sadly, short of starting another global conflict, which neither the US, nor Britain, were prepared to entertain, given the massive strain caused upon the free world by WW II, it was very difficult to imagine a better outcome under the then prevailing circumstances.
Contrary to the narrative circulated in Central Europe, the conference was about a much broader range of topics than just CE. Each of the three Great Powers came to Yalta with their smorgasbord of objectives and, seen from this perspective, almost all of these objectives were met. The US’s two primary objectives were: securing Soviet commitment to enter the war against Japan, which was to help save a million plus American lives, needed to drive Japan to capitulation; and securing Soviet membership of the United Nations Organisation. Britain’s objectives were: securing France’s place as one of Europe’s powers, culminating in France becoming one of the four to jointly occupy Germany (strong France was deemed essential, as a buffer protecting Britain against a future remilitarised Germany); securing Greece and Italy, and to a lesser extent Yugoslavia, as Britain’s sphere of influence, which was deemed essential to protect Britain’s domination of the Mediterranean and the Suez Canal, in itself critical for the control over India (Stalin delivered on this objective, standing by while British paratroopers dealt conclusively with communist insurgents in Greece); and ensuring a democratic solution for Poland. Both the US and Britain additionally wished to ensure the Soviet troops’ withdrawal from Persia (which was earlier jointly occupied by the British and Soviet troops), and prevent a potential Soviet grab of Istanbul and the Black Sea Straits, the control over which had been on Russia’s, and later Soviet Union’s, strategic priority list for almost a century. All of these objectives, but Poland, were achieved. Sadly, Poland, and the rest of Central Europe, were the sole objective of Stalin’s and, as such, became collateral damage of the Western Allies’ other objectives being satisfactorily secured.