Over the past 50 years or so, digital technology has subtly insinuated itself into our lives — to the extent that we may not even be aware of it. More seductively, it has so entrenched itself that we have become dependent on it for just about everything, and in general we love its charms and alluring promises of making things easier and faster by putting us in greater control over our busy lives than ever before.
This is achieved through the use of incredibly ingenious and extensive programming codes to process algorithms at electronic speeds to arrive at some required conclusion, judgement, product or activity we might desire. This process has been continuously refined and improved on, and these desirable outcomes have been able to be reconfigured and included within the overall programs we use. The same applies to special programs which can examine the previous results of our electronic activities, which then can be understood to have a predictive quality to them, and which can then be used to further refine and adjust as required — and the process repeats itself, potentially endlessly. We are so delighted wth our success at this activity that we have called it “Artificial Intelligence” (AI).
Proponents of AI are highly enthusiastic at the potentially unlimited applications for its use. Walsh is one such enthusiast, and his book is essentially advocating for its many real advantages which can be used for the betterment of humanity worldwide. Of course, Walsh is also very aware that, like any tool, AI can be used both for good and for evil. His book lists some of the “problems” that could arise societally, economically, and so forth with simply allowing for unfettered AI to be permitted free range. He accepts that we should make sure that we only permit it to be used for good, and specifically to be used by humans for humans. To this end he believes that appropriate government interference and control will be required; and that within these constraints, any further problems that might arise will be more than adequately addressed and fixed by more AI.
This approach strikes me as being rather naive and dangerous. Given the state of the political world at present, for example, it is naive to think that world governments will agree as to what is “best” for their subjects. If anything, each capable organisation could very well establish their own AI teams in direct competition with others, in the hope of subverting too much influence. In that scenario, AI will find itself at war with itself, possibly multiplied by new entrants in the field. Humans caught within opposing camps will, I would suggest, find themselves in the wrong location at the wrong time… Joblessness, homelessness, economic downturns, health concerns, terrorism, anarchy, rebelliousness, criminality, etc. will pop up all over the place, all the time, and always in different geographical locations, at different times and seasons of the year. Presumably, for AI to be universally beneficial to all, it would need to be limited to just one, monolithic, global system for all. Good luck with that.
The title of this book also suggests that a more fully advanced AI will be so efficient and effective that a real human being would find it almost impossible to distinguish AI automatons from ordinary human beings, implying that such “robots” or automatons are actually “alive”, raising moral, ethical and other social problems to be somehow dealt with — but there is very little about that in this book. It appears to prefer to be all bright eyed and bushy tailed about just how wonderful a world of AI will be…
At the end of the book Walsh dares to make ten predictions about the future of AI for the year 2050. In my opinion they provide a cross-section of repulsive and/or jejune outcomes, each of which raises more questions than answers: they certainly do not inspire confidence one way or another for the future of humanity.