Reading this book was something of a treat. Back in the '80s, I devoured books about NATO going to war with the then Soviet Union by the dozens. Hackett, Clancy, Coyle, Peters, and so many more authors provided me hours of "what-if?" military fiction speculation about what such a brutal war could look like. They were all as fascinating as they were informative about the weapons and military doctrines of NATO and the Warsaw Pact during those tense times.
Well, fast forward to the modern world and a lot has changed. While NATO is still around, the Warsaw Pact is gone, as is the Soviet Union. But Russia is still there, and despite an initial bout of feebleness in the wake of the Soviet collapse, it is starting to reassert itself politically and militarily again, as seen it its invasion of Georgia and Ukraine. While NATO is bigger than ever, it is also currently weaker than it ever has been in its long history due to military budgets being slashed in the wake of the end of the Cold War. Apparently, many western leaders continue to believe Fukuyama's rosey prediction about the "End of History."
And that is the point of this book. As General Hackett did with his masterful "The Third World War," Shirreff is attempting to do by sounding the alarm about how unchecked Russian aggression may well bring NATO to the point of existential crisis and even nuclear war with Russia if strong measures aren't taken now to blunt Putin's ambitions. Shirreff, as deputy commander of SACEUR, was in a position to see firsthand western weakness in the face of greater and greater Russian provocations over the last few years, so his thoughts on the matter shouldn't be taken lightly (his opening essay is particularly fascinating to read as it recounts his actual experience as Deputy SACEUR during Russia's invasion of Ukraine).
Overall, the book was a good read that was very reminiscent of the military fiction of the Cold War years. Most of the book details the Russian invasion of the Baltic states, particularly Latvia, and a group of British and Latvian soldiers who engage in guerrilla warfare when they become trapped behind the lines. While there are some scenes of high level politics, I found them mostly to be there for reasons of geo-strategic exposition. Overall, I thought Shirreff did a decent job of conveying what a Russian invasion of the Baltics might look like, and NATO's subsequent bungled response, something reminiscent of Ralph Peter's excellent "Red Army".
What I found particularly interesting was seeing how things have changed militarily since the Cold War ended. Shirreff's depiction of the importance of cyberwarfare and social media in contemporary military operations was particularly fascinating as such things didn't exist back during the Cold War years. To also see how decrepit NATO has become since the Cold War ended was, frankly, shocking.
That was the "good" about the book - and it was mostly good. Now the "bad":
The ending was absolutely terrible. Not because it was poorly written, or because it was tragic, but because it almost seemed like Shirreff got bored with the story, or maybe he just couldn't devote any more time to his book, and decided to write a three-page conclusion and call it a day! Frankly, I was stunned when I went from a tense scene where NATO troops were launching a high-risk invasion into Kaliningrad, once designed to seize Russian nukes and use them in a high stakes gamble to get Putin to back off, to finding "Epilogue" being the header of the next chapter! I was so shocked that I found myself flipping back and forth looking for some missing pages! NATO is in the opening moves of a high risk gamble, one the author kept telling us could start an intercontinental nuclear war, and the author decides to call it day and write what is basically a superficial "and they lived happily ever after" epilogue as a way of ending the story? I am not kidding when I say I was absolutely stunned by this anticlimactic and, frankly, lazy ending. I would have much rather reached the sudden epilogue to have discovered that a forthcoming Book 2 would continue where this left off.
Because of this terrible ending, I ultimately found the book to be very disappointing. Shirreff was on to something good but instead decided to phone-in a deeply disappointing ending at the pinnacle of the narrative. As a result, what would have been a three star review is now two stars ("fair") with an "incomplete assignment" notation.