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Winner of the Enlightened Economist Prize 2019
Longlisted for the Financial Times & McKinsey Business Book of the Year Award 2019
Shortlisted for the Edward Stanford Travel Writing Awards 2020
'A highly original approach to understanding what really makes economies tick.' Mervyn King, former Governor of the Bank of England
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In search of a fresh perspective on the modern economy, Extreme Economies takes the reader off the beaten path, introducing people living at the world’s margins. From disaster zones and displaced societies to failed states and hidden rainforest communities, the lives of people who inhabit these little-known places tend to be ignored by economists and policy makers. Leading economist Richard Davies argues that this is a mistake, and explains why the world’s overlooked extremes offer a glimpse of the forces that underlie human resilience, help markets to function and cause them to fail, and will come to shape our collective future.
Whether trekking with Punjabi migrants through the lawless Panamanian jungle or revealing the clever trick Syrians use to underpin trade in the world’s most entrepreneurial refugee camp, Richard Davies brings a storyteller’s eye to places where the economy has been destroyed, distorted, and even turbocharged. In adapting to circumstances that would be unimaginable to most of us, the people he encounters have become economic pioneers whose lives help us reflect on our own.
At once intimate and analytical, Extreme Economies draws the lines between personal narratives and global trends, shedding light on today’s biggest economic questions and providing vital lessons for our turbulent future.
395 pages, Kindle Edition
First published January 1, 2020
What do the world’s most extreme economies say about the stresses and strains of 2030, and how we should prepare for them?
The year 2030, for most people on earth, will be a cocktail of these three cities: an urban society that is old, technologically advanced and economically unequal.
The philosopher and economist John Stuart Mill wrote in 1848 that it was common for communities to rebound after a war or disaster had ‘laid waste’ to their economy, and noted that most people would regard this as surprising. The source of the unexpected resilience, Mill thought, was the fact that walls, bridges and warehouses – physical capital – matter less than the ideas, skills and effort of the people who make up a country or community, since it is the people who will be called on to rebuild what has been lost.
To navigate all this, we need a fresh economics. People like to trade and are good at it, but the markets we create can destroy value – the only way forward is a new middle way. Failure is possible, even where potential is highest, so we need greater focus on resilience. An economics of resilience recognizes that for many people and many countries, income starts with informal trade.
It accepts that a society’s wealth is built on human and social capital, with financial and physical capital sitting on top. Today these subtler and more human aspects of income and wealth play little part in economic measurement or planning. My travels suggest that if they did, we might see things we are missing: the powerful fightback against old age, the real locus of the pain from technological advances, and the hidden faultiness – the erosion of resilience – that inequality is creating in the world’s most promising economies.