COVID-19 has demonstrated clearly that businesses, nonprofits, individuals, and governments are terrible at dealing effectively with large-scale disasters that take the form of slow-moving train-wrecks. Using cutting-edge research in cognitive neuroscience and behavioral economics on dangerous judgement errors (cognitive biases), this book first explains why we respond so poorly to slow-moving, high-impact, and long-term crises. Next, the book shares research-based strategies for how organizations and individuals can adapt effectively to the new abnormal of the COVID-19 pandemic and similar disasters. Finally, it shows how to develop an effective strategic plan and make the best major decisions in the context of the uncertainty and ambiguity brought about by COVID-19 and other slow-moving large-scale catastrophes. Gleb Tsipursky combines research-based strategies with real-life stories from his business and nonprofit clients as they adapt to the pandemic. The "Resilience Series" is the result of an intensive, collaborative effort of our authors in response to the 2020 coronavirus epidemic. Each volume offers expert advice for developing the practical, emotional and spiritual skills that you can master to become more resilient in a time of crisis.
Dr. Gleb Tsipursky helps leaders use hybrid work to improve retention and productivity while cutting costs. He serves as the CEO of the boutique future-of-work consultancy Disaster Avoidance Experts, which helps organizations adopt a hybrid-first culture, instead of incrementally improving on the traditional office-centric culture.
He authored seven books, including the global best-sellers Never Go With Your Gut: How Pioneering Leaders Make the Best Decisions and Avoid Business Disasters (Career Press, 2019) and The Blindspots Between Us: How to Overcome Unconscious Cognitive Bias and Build Better Relationships (New Harbinger, 2020). His new book is Returning to the Office and Leading Hybrid and Remote Teams: A Manual on Benchmarking to Best Practices for Competitive Advantage (Intentional Insights, 2020). His writing was translated into Chinese, Korean, German, Russian, Polish, Spanish, French, and other languages.
Dr. Tsipursky’s cutting-edge thought leadership was featured in over 650 articles and 550 interviews in prominent venues. They include Harvard Business Review, Fortune, Fast Company, CBS News, CNBC, Entrepreneur, Business Insider, Government Executive, The Chronicle of Philanthropy, Time, Inc. Magazine, Boston Globe, New York Daily News, Fox News, USA Today, Forbes, and elsewhere.
His expertise stems from over 20 years of consulting, coaching, speaking, and training experience on future-proofing, strategic decision making and planning, and cognitive bias risk management. His hundreds of clients include innovative startups, major nonprofits, and Fortune 500 companies from Aflac to Xerox. It also comes from his strong research and teaching background as a behavioral scientist. After spending 8 years getting a PhD and lecturing at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, he served for 7 years as a professor at the Ohio State University’s Decision Sciences Collaborative and History Department. He published dozens of peer-reviewed articles in academic journals such as Behavior and Social Issues and Journal of Social and Political Psychology.
A proud Ukrainian American, Dr. Gleb lives in Columbus, Ohio (Go Bucks!). In his free time, he makes sure to spend abundant quality time with his wife to avoid his personal life turning into a disaster.
Contact him at Gleb[at]DisasterAvoidanceExperts[dot]com, follow him on Twitter @gleb_tsipursky, Instagram @dr_gleb_tsipursky, and register for his free Wise Decision Maker Course https://disasteravoidanceexperts.com/...
[I received an electronic Advance Reader’s Copy in exchange for an honest review.]
You could be excused for thinking that a book about preparing for the Corona virus pandemic is perhaps a bit out of date, but back in March you might have been excused for thinking that everything would be back to normal in two weeks. Tsipursky makes a convincing case that the COVID-19 plague will be effecting us in meaningful ways for at least five more years. And even with all the disruption it has caused so far, few of us (from what I can tell) have given much serious thought to how things will continue to be different next month, let alone next year. So a book about preparing about what is yet to come is not so ridiculous as it may at first appear.
Tsipursky offers advise for individual and families on the one hand and for companies and organizations on the other. The counsels he offers will prove to be helpful not only for the current situation, but for all the long-term crises that the future will bring. He begins with what I consider the most important subject: the maladaptive ways our minds mis-process information and cause us to do dumb things that just don't help us or anybody. He goes on to talk about specific approaches that families and companies can take to make sure that they are planning for reality, not for an optimistic misguided fantasy future.
The chapter on thought fallacies is instructive and wise. I had to stop reading and hit myself when he explained about Anchoring, which is our tendency to treat the first things we learn as of permanent truth and importance, and not notice when new information comes out. I realized how I had done that very thing with the news of the novel corona virus; several weeks after the news began I realized that my thinking on the subject was already severely out of date, as I had been quietly and unintentionally ignoring news that significantly expanded or contradicted something I had already accepted as truth.
[The realization of my own fallacious thinking made me wish there were a service that would, for example, send you an email after something important has been in the news for a while and tell you about a particular fallacy you may be committing yourself. For example, "Weeks ago you heard that this disease is isolated. Have you really noticed that that is no longer true? Are you keeping up with reality or are you anchoring?"]
His advise for business is not of any particular interest to me and I will not comment on it, but his suggestions for persons and families is crucial for everybody. He gives brief but important counsel about the need to prepare adequate for such human needs as safety (ignore that wimpy "two weeks" advise you heard at the beginning of this particular crisis), connection, and exploration. I was especially impress that he mentions the need for love, which he defines as doing good for others during a pandemic or other long-term emergency.
I am glad I read this book. It will help me prepare better for the next year of this crisis, and for whatever else my future holds.
This new book from Dr. Gleb is a great read specially nowadays that a pandemic is happening in every nation. This is a very nice book to read because it talks about how to deal when a pandemic is happening. It helped me realize all the wrong decisions and wrong thing I am doing during this pandemic.
I am guilty of the cognitive bias called "Hyperbolic Discounting". I have been living for a moment and not thinking much of our future. Have I read this book earlier I would have saved more or invested for our future. I realized that thinking ahead and saving money for the future and buying good health insurance for our family is very important to have. This book made me realized the importance of being ready for the future.
I also learned in this book that planning is good, but planning with thinking of potential risks and problem is much better to avoid cognitive bias known as the planning fallacy. The plan never always go our way, so from now on, I will be more careful with my decisions and plans and always think ahead. Thanks to this book, I learned a lot. I hope this book will reach a lot of people and leaders of any organization for them to read because this has been very helpful and informative.
In Resilience: Adapt and Plan for the New Abnormal of the COVID-19 Coronavirus Pandemic, a relatively quick read at less than 100 pages, Dr. Gleb Tsipursky addresses questions many of us have been thinking including:
* Why did ‘we’/‘they’ delay making the decisions necessary to minimize the impact of this threat? * What can we do from here so we don’t repeat this the next time there's a crisis? * As a business, how can we make this work to our advantage?
His concise explanation of the behavioral science -- why ‘we’ make the decisions we do when we do (spoiler alert: survival) known as cognitive biases -- followed by personal, professional, and organizational examples, bring the concepts to life and provide clear guidance on how to include them consciously in planning for the future in this “New Abnormal”.
A high-level guide, it’s also detailed enough for business owners and leaders to use as a road-map in figuring out how to survive and thrive. Additionally, it provides a sufficiently detailed framework for a facilitator to use in helping any business work through a bias-conscious planning process. In the last chapter, “8 Steps to Making the Best Major Decisions” and the accompanying case study is an excellent and relatively detailed walk-through illustrating the concepts and recommended actions, bringing them to life in a relatable, digestible way.
In the “no such thing as perfect” department, there were a few distractions; not sufficient to disregard the content but certainly enough to disrupt the read. Most concerning in our highly polarized political world, and with significant potential to alienate some (many?) readers, is the seemingly judgmental word choice made in a number of places.
Another distraction occurs in the Introduction. While many don’t read it, if you are one who does, know you will get a hearty dose of About the Author. If you need or want to validate credentials, this is good; otherwise, it feels self-congratulatory.
Finally, the plugs for his other books (publisher requested or added perhaps) and his consulting business seem excessive. Some reference makes sense but the frequency of mentions gives the impression that this book is primarily a marketing tool, which feels disingenuous.
Overall, this is a great introduction to cognitive biases, their affect, and how to put practices in place to address them. Notwithstanding the few flaws, it's more than worth its price!
This Book by Dr. Gleb Tsipursky entitled, Resilience: Adapt and Plan for the New Abnormal of the COVID-19 Pandemic, is a rescue guideline in this period of COVID-19. A lot has happened during this period and has changed our lives and the way we live in lots of ways.
As a victim of the Normalcy Bias, I used to plan for short term, instead of long term goals. This bias leads individuals, businesses, and governments to fail to prepare nearly as well as they should for the likelihood and effects of catastrophes, especially slow-moving train wrecks such as pandemics. Moreover, amid the event itself, people react much slower than they should, ideally. We are getting stuck in the mode of gathering information instead of deciding and acting. It’s not surprising that going with our gut reactions lead us astray in response to disasters that slowly gather steam while they spread.
The actions we perceived as solving the problem are illogical and irrational. Such that buying toilet paper and guns becomes a necessity in response to COVID-19. While the normalcy bias is the most harmful cognitive bias from which we suffer in the face of this COVID-19 pandemic, it’s far from the only one. Some other cognitive biases combined with normalcy bias to lead to bad decisions about the pandemic. I am using this book's strategy to remodel my prospects towards building a better long term profiting and promising goals. I do recommend this book at these times for everyone!
This book helped me accept some difficult realities about the coronavirus pandemic: first, that it is not likely to go away soon; second, that I was at risk of making some really bad decisions by underestimating the length and severity of the crisis - to the detriment of my life and professional career. The book helped me resist anchoring one on specific future - because the trajectory of the pandemic is uncertain - and instead focus on planning for a range of possibilities, updating and adapting as the future unfolds. Please read this book! It will help you through these perilous times.
A brief read of largely generic risk management advice. I did find some perspectives applied to COVID-19 helpful, in particular detailing all our hard-wired biases. The reason I don’t rate this book higher is its lack of truly original insights and the constant unashamed self advertisement of its author.
We are all aware by now of all the negative aspects of the current COVID-19 pandemic. With the extra downtime that isolating provides, it would benefit all of us to gain some perspective on what has happened, what is currently going on, and what the future might bring. Clearly, we were unprepared for this pandemic. It would help to understand WHY we weren’t prepared, and how we can use our experience this time around to deal with the ongoing and impending new crises effectively.
It’s one thing to understand how the human brain works, physically and psychologically. And yet another to apply that knowledge to our own thinking and behavior. Nothing teaches like direct experience, especially if we can see the application of theories to our own lives. For instance, one way to apply a theoretical understanding of cognitive bias to our daily lives is through understanding our own reactions and the reactions of others around us to overwhelming life events. Enter Covid-19.
What better time for behavioral economist and cognitive neuroscientist Dr. Glen Tsipursky to provide us with a guide to understanding our reactions and those of our leaders in the disastrous response to the Covid -19 pandemic. That he also offers us ideas and strategies to cope with what is likely to be a 2-3 year process of combatting and coping with it is a blessing in disguise. In fact, I would say, it doesn’t get more timely for a book like this!
The difficulty most of us have isn’t not understanding cognitive biases and how they operate in our lives. The greatest challenge is to recognize when our own thinking is based upon one or more of them. Because of the anxiety and fear surrounding this pandemic, we are presently more likely to be in the grip of our own cognitive biases or, at the very least, experiencing the behavior of others around us who are operating from their own. At the same time, we have a unique opportunity to begin recognizing our own faulty reasoning, and to hearing fact-based solutions that offer ways to manage our present difficulties. We are also more primed than usual to hear and acknowledge and more willing to test out possible ways to avert or prevent future pandemics from causing the massive damage that Covid-19 has caused.
Dr. Tsipursky has provided a direct, clear and easily engaged way to do this. This small volume provides a quick and easy reference for understanding the available scientific evidence about Covid-19, and makes clear the ways cognitive biases are functioning in the midst of the panic everyone is feeling. There is tremendous reassurance in having a succinct and scientific understanding of what is happening and a framework for anticipating and coping with what may be yet to come. But the true value of this excellent book is in its ability to offer individual, personal actions we can take in our own lives to evaluate what is being fed to us by the media, to identify how that information is affecting us personally and how our families and friends who are experiencing the same anxiety, fear and helplessness may be reacting to it. This type of understanding is tremendously empowering. Armed with this knowledge, we can see how our choices and our inner mental chatter can be managed so as to ensure we make good decisions and gain a measure of control over our circumstances.
I highly recommend this book to everyone. It may well provide its readers with the strongest medicine available for these difficult times.
Honestly: I never heard about or read the Changemaker books or its Resilience series. But I gave this particular book a chance due to its author and because coronavirus affects all, me included. I didn’t regret the decision. Not because it saved my life - it wasn’t necessary, fortunately. But because It was a worthy read for me, for both the private person and the business leader. Let’s separate the two cases as the reasons are quite different in one and in the other.
As a citizen you may get quicker and more tailored advices and information regarding the coronavirus from some other sources. By the time this book reaches the “bookshelves” many of us have already got first-hand experience on the restrictions of movements and quarantine. Many of us had to learn the lessons in the hard way. So why is it still a useful read? Because it is good to know: How you can better understand and interpret the news you hear daily. What to expect if you live in an area not affected by the virus yet. How long this situation can last and what to expect in longer term, in the next months or even years. That you are not alone, that others have also difficulties in adapting, but all of us can learn to handle the situation better. How to be more realistic and better prepared next time. This is hardly the last major crisis in the history of humankind. How did we get into this situation and how other countries could avoid the worst. Why we shouldn’t trust politicians, but simply check them and make them work harder for their position and pay checks.
So for a private person this book is a small contemporary history lesson too, and only partially a practical guide (if you need that). This practical-guide-for-you part is not too extensive anyway. Upside: you can finish that part quickly, getting some ideas applicable to you.
The book’s business part is far more detailed. It is hardly a surprise: the author makes a living as a business consultant business organisations have far more complex problems than individuals corporates’ adaptation to this new situation and its future consequences takes longer time, so this book is not too late for most of them.
So for corporations this book is still a practical guide, as they are still in the beginning or in the middle of the adjustments. For them this book is more like an investment into creating their long term survival strategy.
I would like to give my heartfelt thanks to Dr. Tsipursky to launch such a book which is mostly needed in this situation as it will help us to understand how to adapt to COVID19 effectively, whether we are a private individual focusing on our household and career, or a business, nonprofit, or municipal leader concerned with our organization. It will empower us to make an effective strategic plan to survive and thrive through the pandemic and guide us into the post-pandemic society. Just after my first daughter’s birth in 2017 I suffered from Chikungunya which is a viral disease transmitted to humans by infected mosquitoes. I had high fever and severe joint pain. Also I had muscle pain, headache, nausea, fatigue & rash. Those effects lasts for 2 months in my body, I wasn’t in a position to take care of my child in fact I was unable to take my child in my lap. That time we were not aware of Chikungunya & taken that lightly. But now I will able to focus on COVID19 as I have such a thoughtful book about COVID 19. Definitely, whatever I lack in tackling the Corona Virus, this book help me overcome. Wish I would have this kind of book about Chikungunya by the author earlier as these insights will be applicable not only to the COVID-19 pandemic, but to all high-impact disasters, especially slow-moving ones. In Chapter 5, the “8 Steps to Making the Best Major Decisions” I read in this book proved surprising and unexpected for me as I learned the various steps of making best major decisions. Reading this book I came to know that, the best decision makers take initiative to recognize the need for decisions before they become an emergency and don’t let gut reactions cloud their decision-making capacity. So we have to evaluate the implementation of the decision and revise as needed. I will be taking these 8 Steps forward with me. Reading this book I came to know about the Overconfidence bias. When the COVID19 pandemic outbreaks in our country I was too panicked, thought I might not get my babies food due to heavy demand & forced my husband to buy excessive food for my babies. As a result of my overconfidence my husband had to buy those baby foods in double price. Some entrepreneurs increased the price as they saw the huge rush over the super shops. I was too confident about my judgments. I think the overconfidence bias might be vulnerable. It describes our excessive confidence about our decisions: we tend to decide too quickly, without evaluating sufficient alternative options and future possibility. So now onward I will evaluate whether there are other viable options to doing so than what I have considered so far, and whether I should replace my current solutions with these new ones.
The new COVID-19 emergency has caused all levels of society --- governments, businesses, families, and individuals --- to confront problems with which few people living have had practical experience. In this environment, it’s crucially important to understand what is real and what isn’t, to evaluate our priorities and goals in a rational way, and to act reasonably in response. Dr. Gleb Tsipursky, PhD, an expert in behavioral science (and, full disclosure, a friend of mine), has just published a new book, Resilience: Adapt and Plan for the New Abnormal of the COVID-19 Coronavirus Pandemic, which provides much practical guidance in thinking through these issues. Like other books he’s recently published on decision-making in business and personal relationships (Never Go With Your Gut and The Blindspots Between Us), Adapt and Plan considers the coronavirus emergency from the perspective of our cognitive biases, which may lead us to misunderstand or react disadvantageously to the risks of COVID-19. These cognitive biases are patterns of thinking we’ve inherited from our ancestors which may have served them well in their simpler prehistoric environment, but often lead us astray in our more complex modern world. For example, the normalcy bias may lead us to expect that life will return to normal relatively soon, and blind us to thinking how the pandemic may structurally alter our society for some time to come. Gleb’s purpose in writing this book is to alert the general public to these fallacies in our thinking, and to develop techniques to counteract them.
A relatively quick read of about 100 pages, written in a conversational style, with many examples taken from current headlines, Adapt and Plan is a useful guide to understand how we are thinking through the multifaceted aspects of the pandemic. There are no simple answers to this crisis, and no solutions that will make all completely happy. From decision-makers in the highest levels of government and business to those of us living our anonymous daily lives, we’re all grappling with questions of how to do what seems right, and for whom. Adapt and Plan is a helpful contribution to a conversation that our society will be having for years.
During this time of crisis, taking care of our mental health is of utmost importance. I think one of the best ways to keep our sanity this time is to read books. I am interested in learning facts and information especially related to this pandemic to keep me informed regarding the situation as well as preparing myself on the actions I should take. Good thing that I was able to read the book entitled “Resilience Adapt and Plan for the New Abnormal” and it is very helpful to me.
I have gained a lot of useful information by reading this book such as the vaccines for the virus in which if you add all the necessary processes and maximizing the years it would take I was surprisingly shocked that it could run for an estimation of about 10 years. This will really take time as experts said that they could not afford to rush something and waste the resources and billions of people are at hand and so they need to get it right. Given this kind of information, we can really foresee where we are headed by adapting to the new abnormality. Furthermore, this pandemic will be lingering for quite some time and I agree that our underlying wants and needs remain the same. And so we should be able to adapt and plan.
The points stated in this book about cognitive biases will be useful on how we can survive and initiate plans to prevent future disaster. One of the biases mentioned that I am at fault is the “planning” fallacy. When 2020 started, I have been expecting that what I have been planning for months will come to life by March but the sudden outbursts of this pandemic did not allow it to happen. I was so sure that it would happen and haven’t accepted other job opportunities. This really hit me hard because I have been preparing for months for this one thing and anxiety starts to creep me. I was confident and did not anticipate the risks and threats. Right then, I need to take action to make ends meet.
After the awareness of our biases the next step we need to take is on how we can adapt to the new abnormality in every aspect of our lives. I like the idea that the first thing we need to do is to make sure of our safety by taking precautionary measures, followed by our relationship with others and lastly the way we deal and give importance to ourselves especially our mental state. I love how all of these 3 are elaborated in such a context that it is understandable and really helpful during this crisis. This has been such a good read!
By reading this book I have gathered a huge knowledge on how to deal in a difficult situation. I think Dr. Gleb has given us a timely and very informative book. Everybody should read this book to psychologically improve their selves on managing life in a pandemic. I would like to thank Dr Gleb for this great publication.
The cognitive biases that we made in our everyday life is one of the most important lesson for me. If I got this book earlier I might take the right decisions in my life which I believe might be very helpful for me. I always think positively and I think this positive thinking sometimes lead me to normalcy bias. Before the Corona virus pandemic started in late 2019, I was very complacent and optimistic about that and I thought we are safe from the virus. But I was wrong, the virus spread rapidly. And for this reason I got a very little time to be prepared mentally and financially. For this reason I have faced some difficulties but fortunately I am okay now. I’ve learned a lot of things from this book and will apply those if I face a situation like this again.
The “External Business Model” which I think is a great topic on how we can manage our business in this pandemic. I’ve learned we can design our business depending on our service or product. We can offer our service or product and also manage our business relationships virtually. It will give us the opportunity to run our business in a different way. I think this is a new idea for me and I’ll definitely apply this idea to my business.
I think I am vulnerable to normalcy bias. Because when the Corona virus pandemic starts in China, I thought that it may not come to my country. And it may not be as devastating as now it is. For this reason I didn’t planned many things properly. For example I was planning to do the “Khatna” (a traditional program) of my son last year, but I thought 2020 might be a good year to do that. But in current situation there is no way to celebrate the program now. For this reason I think I made a mistake on my decision making.
To be caught off guard when this virus started and caused changes is quite acceptable. To stay and continue to be caught off guard during these challenging times is just plain disaster. What was worse We saw headlines after headlines about how people prepared and over prepared for it. Dr. Tsipursky’s book keeps the readers in check and in moderation.
I was still in school when other deadly diseases such as H1N1 and Bird Flu, and I remember how authorities and citizens panicked and became more vulnerable to mistakes and disasters because of inefficient adaptation and planning. Had a material like this come out, there could have been a guide and eye opener to people in tackling issues and consequences brought about by these infectious diseases. This does not also apply only do infectious diseases, but the points laid out in this book shows that biases can be present in dealing with other life changing situations (wars, or displacements caused by force majeure) to the littlest things (such as animosity among family members or dissonance in the workplace). I was in denial and it indeed surprised me (pull me back to reality, if you will!) how Dr. Tsipursky laid out the facts and evidences that points to the extended effects of this disease until years to come. I am appreciative also that in Chapter 3, the author laid out a guide on how to properly adapt to situations such as these.
When the news of the WHO declaring the pandemic hit various media outlets, I must admit I felt uneasy, anxious and panicked. I rushed to the store and bought supplies, and just got blind sided how more rationally I could have tackled my planning. I spent and spent without looking at cheaper and more reasonable courses of action. After I read this book, I felt guilty and I confirmed that I have acted on instinct and am guilty of hyperbolic discounting. I will move forward with the steps also prescribed in the book.
Amazing book! Thank you Dr. Gleb Tsipursky for publishing “Resilience: Adapt and Plan for the New Abnormal of the COVID-19 Coronavirus Pandemic” book and also thank you for giving us a scope to learn how we can adapt effectively to the reality in this pandemic situation. I think this is a helpful book for me to protect myself from getting involved in dangerous cognitive biases in this Covid-19 coronavirus pandemic.
If I got this book in the past, I would know how to make a better plan for the future. Before the Coronavirus pandemic, I wanted to renew my passport. I gathered all the documents needed. I failed to renew it because our government locked down all the government sectors.
I found the most surprising part of this book is “Think Years, Not weeks”. By reading this book, I have learned about the Planning fallacy Bias which happens when we intuitively feel that our plans will go according to plan. This kind of thought leads us to be not prepared for future problems. I will take this “Defend Your Future” technique included in this book with me to make a strategic long-term plan for an uncertain future.
I think the Planning fallacy bias will be vulnerable to me. I never thought that the world will face a dangerous pandemic like the COVID-19 Coronavirus. Coronavirus started to spread in summer in our country so I believed in fake news that coronavirus will not spread in warm weather. I thought that we all are safe from it. These false beliefs made me not being prepared for future problems. I will definitely use the “Defend Your Future” strategy to protect myself. I feel very grateful to read this book. Thanks again for showing me such a beautiful path to defend my future from this pandemic.
I found the book to be well laid out and clearly written, with the use of practical examples to emphasise key learning points. The introduction into why mental heuristics happen and how they determine our responses to a crisis such as the covid pandemic was excellent and well explained.
Each bias was well described and then demonstrated with relevant examples.
The very important issues around fake news and misinformation was also addressed.
The author has presented the health aspects of the pandemic succinctly and clearly, so that the reader gets the reality around continued social distancing and rolling lock downs in the face of a long lead time on vaccine availability. He also cautions against hoping for a vaccine or indeed herd immunity, in the near future.
The author refers to The New Abnormal, a spin on a term we often hear – “the new normal”. A bit like saying orange is the new black, living with covid is our new reality. Calling it abnormal feels uncomfortable though, as it is something we are supposed to be adjusting to, and trying to make “normal”. By the same token, urging us to make opportunities and see benefits in this new future is welcome. Thriving in the new abnormal sounds slightly more optimistic.
The message that we should not fall to “hope” as our default is well explained. The reality is that we face years of uncertainty, led by largely incompetent political players with many unknown unknowns, referred to as black swans, littering the road ahead, and our inherent biases clouding our vision. This book seeks to help us navigate the route a bit more successfully.
A very impressive book about the current crises of COVID-19. I appreciate the author ‘Dr. Gleb’ for the detail-oriented content based on facts, reality, and deep analysis of everything that can help everyone to make decisions for moving forward or survive in the worst situations of Covid-19.
I have just finished the action plan with targeted goals for the year 2020 and we faced the CORONA crises. We don’t have any choice to prevent this rather than to get locked down in our houses. At that time we just try to manage work from home but it's not enough.
If I had read this book at that time, my mind would have already been set to face and fight with the current situation. I could be in better condition compared to now. As I was struggling to make new goals, strategies, and action plans because no one has an exact prediction about the COVID-19.
I am impressed when I was reading the Case Study based on Alex (COO) with the following “8 steps to making the best major decisions". I now have a clear mind about my strategies, setting goals with an effective action plan after reading this book.
The planning fallacy bias is something that relates to my situation where I was confident that COVID-19 wasn't going to affect my work because I’m doing all work online. Although this affected me all of a sudden as my results weren't good enough due to taking a long time to finish tasks than usual.
This book is currently helping me to make decisions to manage my business, personal life, and being innovative.
Even now, four months into the worldwide Covid-19 Pandemic, there are many waiting for a return to normal, and many who intellectually say we will never fully return to life pre January 2020, are putting plans on hold, seemingly awaiting in the not too distant future, being back at work, chatting it up around the water cooler, out on the town partying, out to a movie, concert, crowded bar or restaurant. Author Gleb Tsipursky does not pull any punches. Right in his title he makes it clear we are facing a “New Abnormal”. He makes it clear it is not enough for anyone, on a personal, business, governmental, or organizational level, to adapt a short term, few weeks to a few months, disaster plan in this pandemic. Doing that will help weather this storm for those few weeks or few months only to find we need a new plan for a new world, and lost those few weeks or months planning time and are that much further behind the eight ball. My read of this book is that we should get our heads out of the sand, accept our world has changed forever and start planning, at least in our own homes and families, and also in our communities and workplaces, for how we will live and work, meet our emotional, physical and economic needs, and survive and thrive. Wake-up call, this planning and adapting is not for a matter of months or even a year, but permanent. Tsipursky provides us a paradigm for putting together such a plan, makes us aware of a range of biases that might lead to false assumptions and poor decisions, offers a decision-making matrix with instructions for its use. This book should be a well-used tool in your toolbox that will help you be in-charge of your future in this “New Normal Post Pandemic time”. Get it, read it, use it, share it.
The pandemic that we are experiencing now came as a huge shock to everyone. The book entitled “Resilience Adapt and Plan for the New Abnormal” caught my attention, just by reading the title you can expect that you will get a lot of insights if you decide to read this, and indeed, my expectations did not fail as I finished the book.
When I read about the Covid 19 issue in China, I was shocked about its impact but I must admit that I took it very lightly thinking that it is impossible to spread the virus in the country. But when our city was slowly getting infected I already started worrying but still living as if I was just living in a normal virus-free city. I was guilty of normalcy bias just when the pandemic started, I clearly underestimated its disastrous impact. I was not prepared at all and had been thinking if I could still live a normal life and expecting that this pandemic is just short-lived.
After reading this book, I learned that in order to fully adapt and plan for this new normal, I have to accept the fact that I am indeed living in this time of the pandemic. This book has also taught me various types of biases, creating strategic plans for the new abnormal and how I can defend my future. Keeping my sanity in this stressful time is one of my priorities. In order to keep my sanity intact and to be physically, emotionally, and mentally ready in the post-pandemic society, I believed that reading this book was a good start, and so I did. I can highly recommend this book!
Reading a book is an essential part of me. Hence, I can say that if you are one of those people who haven't read any book within the past months, you are missing a lot of opportunities to learn. I am so thankful that I got a chance to read this book. In this time of pandemic, you need to prepare yourself for the worst things that could happen. The book discusses on how to deal with cognitive biases in fighting this pandemic. It will also help on how to adapt the new normal.
The book could have prepared me mentally, emotionally and financially. With the cognitive biases, I fell to "Normalcy Bias". I am one of those who failed to prepare because I was thinking that it has a small percentage of fatality rate, not knowing how infectious it is. I am also guilty of using the flight response since I chose to ignore information that led me to become unprepared financially.
Adapting the new normal is not easy. You need to plan not only for yourself, but for your family. You need to take steps in making necessary adjustment not just for the present, but for the future as well. One of the lines in the book that strikes me is to "FACE THE FACTS". This is the very first thing you need to do, and the rest will follow. If you don't face it and keep denying, you can never move forward.
The cognitive bias that I need to address is really the Normalcy Bias. I am really into following my gut reaction and tend to underestimate the impact of disasters. I am so thankful for this book because it helps me realize so many things such as using the fight response by taking immediate actions, instead of waiting things become worse.
I’ve just recently completed my first reading of this book, but hardly my last. Its up-to-date research makes it a good read, and chapter 1 sets the stage, one in which we are, all of us, beset with troublesome biases in our thinking…biases which can easily lead all of us astray, to make poor choices with often tragic outcomes.
Chapter 2 discusses the New Abnormal of the title, with the current COVID-19 pandemic, and adapting to it on an individual, household, and career level. Here are discussed basic human needs and ways to meet them: those needs of safety, self-esteem, and a sense of purpose in the current crisis.
Chapter 3 deals with meeting the needs of companies and organizations, including nonprofits, with such things as sustainable business models, motivation, member engagement, employee problems and conflicts, and personal accountability. If you happen to head an organization, I recommend especially attending to this chapter to help keep it afloat.
Chapter 4 discusses the Defend Your Future process, for households, individuals, and personal careers, as well as on an organizational level. It details a number of steps and involves effective scenario planning using available resources, in however many steps as needed.
Chapter 5 presents another tool, Making The Best Decisions, and the steps needed to reach such decisions. This and Chapter 4 are particularly pertinent.
The book concludes with guidelines for success, putting them into context with the current circumstances, given that those are unlikely to change anytime soon, or at least, not as soon as we might wish.
I find this book engaging, useful, and recommend it highly to anyone with high stakes in coming out of the current situation, and others which will likely arise, safely and smartly.
This book Adapt and Plan for the New Abnormal of the COVID-19 Coronavirus Pandemic is very informative. It’s comprehensive and accessible; the book provides an overview of the range of the pandemic, including recent actions being implemented by leaders and medical experts. I personally love that the book talk about how to deal with cognitive biases which is very timely in helping people on how to deal this pandemic. It also discuss on how to adapt the new normal after this lock down. Political leaders, business owners, and rank-in-file are prone to this trap in making decisions on a daily basis.
When the President of my country implemented a lock down, I feel worried on how to act and to overcome the said scenario. I worried about the security of my family and loved ones. I felt that I was caught by surprise on the magnitude of the effects that the COVID19 pandemic. I didn’t realize that it will come to a point when there’s a need for lock down and social distancing. The good thing is that I this book made me realized that there are so many things that I can do to still be productive and safe in the midst of the crisis. There’s still hope and all we need is to adapt to the new normal which this book is all about.
I highly recommend this for all the people especially our leaders. It will help them make a better decision-makers based on research and scientific data in fighting this pandemic.
I was one of the lucky few who got to read a pre-release version of this book, and I can't tell you just how much it's been helping me get through this pandemic. There is so much misinformation and fallacious reasoning spreading through the news and social media that it's nice to be able to read something grounded and intelligent. This book provides a sober and realistic understanding of how society is going to be affected by this virus now and in the near future, and what steps we need to take to be resilient on individual levels. The concept of resiliency is probably the most important concept I took from this book, but it also provides a lot of opportunity for hope. Although the book is intelligent and very science-based, it's written for a common audience so you don't need a PhD to read it. Through science and compassion for our fellow humans we can prevail, and this book is brimming with both! I cannot recommend this enough, both for its ability to help you decide how to make your next steps as states reopen, and for the comfort in the knowledge that despite what we see on TV, there are in fact a lot of really intelligent people working towards fixing this global problem. I cannot wait to read future books in this series and have no idea how something this good was produced so fast!
It may not sound like me but this book is a superb find - Resilience. Adapt and Plan for the New Abnormal of the COVID-19 Coronavirus Pandemic. I am very picky when it comes to books coming out in times of crisis because it may not have the information I needed.. However, the author proves me wrong as he has made his research, and it’s literally filled with research-based facts.
My line of business is under the SMEs or small and medium enterprises. The COVID 19 pandemic has greatly affected the way I conduct my business. The social distancing and the ECQ or enhance community quarantine have been getting a huge chunk of my supposed profit. The business is striving and I don’t know until when. However, I found hope after reading this book as it hit me when it discusses about the biases that I had been doing since I started the business. At least the majority of my decisions were based on the cognitive bias that I have had since I was a kid and fully developed as a habit while getting a business degree. Have I known all these, I should have prevented or at least prepared for the worst case scenario during a crisis or a pandemic.
I highly recommended this book for striving businessmen who like me are depending too much on gut feelings when cornered or faced by pressures of the moment. There’s a lot to learn from this book that may save any business during this time of crisis from shutting down.
The book was a great find. I wasn’t expecting such to be so comprehensive and witty. It’s like opening a treasure box of knowledge about what’s going on with the pandemic and how to deal with it in a various roles in the society.
I can say that I am a leader in a way that I have business with several people working with me. But with the pandemic, my business will have to work with a few workforce or as we call it, skeletal force. Workers will work alternately and maintain distance of at least 1 meter. This comes as a surprise to everyone and my reactions were understandably on my cognitive bias area. The author reminded me that there are several options rather than going with my gut. Surprisingly, my decision making is has been becoming a habit and this is definitely bad. Thus, I learn the hard way.
Let it be known that the book provided new, research-based guide to surviving the pandemic. It’s a handy tool for us to cope with loses especially during those times when we are forced to close our shop and have no revenue. This is a must-read book nowadays! Highly recommended to all.
A wise man thinks ahead; a fool doesn't, and even brags about it!”. At the beginning of the Covid-19 crisis, I always thought that this is just another case of a pandemic that will come and go. The truth is everyone is affected by this Covid-19 Pandemic; health, school, job, and business. When this will end or will this be part of our lives in the years to come? Is something that we have to think through and prepare. I am still dipping my toes into a reality that the normal has been changed, and finding what works and what doesn’t in this uncertainty would have a great impact in the future. This tough time challenges us to rise above our situation.
The book Resilience: Adapt and Plan for the New Abnormal of the Covid-19 Coronavirus Pandemic by Gleb Tsipursky is timely tackled. Why do we make bad decisions around pandemics? The cognitive biases; business leaders who make quick gut decisions, and mental blind spots harm our lives. Political and business leaders who are bound to trust their intuitions without thorough planning and weighing which will give a better outcome can result in catastrophe. In other chapters, the author also discussed how individuals, households, and careers can effectively deal with stress and anxiety accompanied by this pandemic.
This book helped me understand better our current situation and it has a lot of insightful messages to make the best decision in critical moments. I highly recommend this book to everyone, from all walks of life to read and be guided on ongoing challenges we are all facing.
Your essential guide through times of crisis: I wish our policymakers had the foresight and risk assessment abilities that Dr. Gleb Tsipursky demonstrates. Through this guide, I am confident that myself and family will remain, as resilient as we can be, to the adversities that we face now, and in the next few years ahead. Dr. Tsipursky provides here, the tools and strategies you need to thrive. Without giving spoilers, know that things like denial in the face of facts... can be very bad for your wellbeing. The book helped us to plan and prepare for change and taught me how to be adaptable in my own niche way, in a very dynamic environment. But the book doesn't stop at the individual or family unit: Observations and rational predictions, tools, and strategies for business are also given. Things like networking in a new virtual office environment, security, staff motivation, are also covered. Given our current crisis and short-term outlook, this is truly a guide that you cannot be without. We don't know what the future brings but given the amount of unknowns, we must plan to face adversity, and be prepared.
There are only a few things that keep in at home during this period when the government wants me to stay at home. One of them is having books to read while sitting on a comfortable couch inside a living room. This time of COVID 19 pandemic and a lockdown is implemented in my city, I’m glad to have this book purchased online entitled, Resilience. Adapt and Plan for the New Abnormal of the COVID-19 Coronavirus Pandemic. It’s a book worth your time reading.
I came to realize that my decision making is really bad and that being dependent on gut when making decision is bound to failure. The most surprising for me is that the author has cited several terms that I only encountered upon reading. But all these are based on research and scientific approaches. For instance, the author discusses about cognitive biases that I believe I am vulnerable with. Little did I know that I was very poor on my judgement and blinded by my practices. I don’t want to discuss with this even further to avoid spoiling readers but there certainly a lot to learn from this book.
This book was published just in time when leaders from all over the world have to step up on their response to this COVID 19 pandemic. There were too many deaths already and these can be prevented. We can also do our part as an individual. I highly recommend this book.
A swiss knife for strategic planning and execution.
A compact read filled with tools that enable one to be truly resilient. I dare you not to read this in one sitting or during the weekend. The copy I read is littered with highlights and notes as each page is filled with useful gems of knowledge with 0% fluff. Dr. Gleb Tsipursky has done a wonderful job of condensing his years of expertise into a book that won't be just another 'read-once' copy you reference in dinner parties. This is a book to have pinned on your device, close by on your shelf as the principles and tactics presented here will prepare you, your family and your team for the new world after the pandemic.
This came into my hands while handling my senior year and the 8 steps to decision making blew my mind and will continue to guide me when it comes to planning for my career and personal life. This should be on every leader's reading list.
The book is timely published in times when the majority of the population did not realize the impact of a pandemic – not only to an individual but to the way we approach the new norm in the society. I can honestly say that this book has enlightened me to different aspects on how to deal with this crisis as an individual, entrepreneur, political leader, and a daily earner.
What made this book extra special is that it is based on research and scientific approach. It is no non-sense book that tackles the issue on a factual basis. Each page provides conceptual framework on the basis of the objectives of the author to provide the information effectively to the reader. Disaster avoidance is also discussed and the concepts are updated.
I am extra careful on providing feedback as I don’t want to be a spoiler, but the idea of cognitive bias was on top of it all. There’s no way that one can make decisions without any consequence, but the thing is if the consequence is worth of it all. I will leave it at that and would highly recommend this book to anyone!
The book, Resilience: Adapt and Plan for the New Abnormal of the COVID-19 Coronavirus Pandemic by Dr. Gleb Tsipurksy, is a must-have to know your role in the midst of crisis. This is an amazing book to read. I like planning a lot and oftentimes I fall a victim to this cognitive biases called "Planning Fallacy". We tend to feel optimistic about our plans. We design them and hope that our plans are good.
We intuitively feel that our plans will go according to plan. However, failure to prepare adequately enough for threats and risks is bad. As a result, our initial plans often don’t work out and we either fail to accomplish our goals or require much more time, money, and other resources to get where we wanted to go originally. As the book describes it as a cognitive bias known as the planning fallacy.
After reading this book, I have seen the importance of working on long term goals and being conscious of this planning fallacy. This book is very helpful amidst this coronavirus crisis as everything has taken different turns due to the lockdown. Thanks to Dr. Gleb for this book as I came to realize how to be organized and wouldn't fret.
I can now work from home properly and be resourceful as well. I recommend this book for businessmen and leaders out there.