Shafik encaptures with statistics the current ailments of global society; although nothing an informed reader wouldn't already know. Well written and laid out, but no new novel ideas. Essentially, she argues for an exportation of the current UK system, so maybe as a Brit I'm not the intended audience? It's written from a highly London, UK (Read - LSE) centric perspective (Which isn't a judgement of relevance). Very much a mixed bag.
A summary of salient points/arguments for my own notes, paraphrased and added upon;
Work
- Welfare state about ‘evening out’ consumption over whole life, not rich giving to poor.
- Ban ‘zero hour’ contracts and instead legislate ‘minimum paid hours’?
o 3% working pop UK in these contracts.
o Companies outsource to get around this, rise in 'third-party contractors'.
o 7% of UK pop in gig work.
- UBI doesn’t lead to more jobs (shown to not work).
- AI – creativity, emotional intelligence, ability to work with people will remain valued and needed skills.
- Manufacturing jobs raise lower paid workers to middle class?
Climate Change
- 1C rise on industrial temps already.
- 80% forest cover already lost globally.
- 6-12m hectares lost of agricultural land each annum.
- 50% of the world’s wildlife lost in last 40 yrs.
- Unsustainable overfishing spread to over 33% of the world’s fisheries.
3 principles for Social Contract
1. Minimum provided/available so everyone can live a decent life; healthcare, education, benefits of work, pension (depending on affordability overall).
2. Everyone should contribute max they can, with most opportunities given to do so, such as our current system.
3. Protection against certain risks (Benefit system).
Taxes/Marriage/Family
- Maternity leave and high-quality childcare = more productive economy.
- Can force paid paternity leave to involve them more (3 months paid for each parent, then 3 months to share).
- Tax married couples as individuals to encourage full participation in the workplace, contributing to system max.
- Long holidays, do they make sense? Spilt up school year.
Schooling/Education
- Need for early learning of how to learn.
- Idea of under 4’s needing education too.
- Funds provided for reskilling more than currently.
- State provision of high quality childcare needed and potentially cost effective based on returns.
Old Age
- Largely supports UK current model.
- Allow flexible ‘step down’ of work without effecting pension terms, part-time, etc.
- 48% of 18-34 yr olds living with parents in EU.
o USA 36%
- Robotics for caring roles.
o ‘Cells’ of social groups and mental well-being.
Health
- Cost per quality year of life; how to judge?
- Digital provision + innovation (Increase cover + cost effective too).
- Smoking costs $1.4T globally
o 1.8% of world GDP (2012).
o $1T of lost productivity.
o $422B in treatment costs.
- Alcohol = £600B, 1% GDP (2009).
o MidHigh income countries.
- Obesity = $5.1B in UK every year.
o Wider societal cost = $25B
- Smoking = $2.5B per yr UK
o Societal cost = $11B.
- Alcohol = $52 UK
o $3B on NHS
*Lifestyle Diseases*
If every country raised taxes on; alcohol, tobacco, sugary beverages.
- 50m premature deaths prevented.
o +20% production revenue.
Presumed consent works best on uptake.
Generations
- Restoring populations of whales same as planting 2B trees.
- Minister for Future Generations (Wales)
o For representing unborn generations.
New Social Contract
- We live in separate generational societies.
- Need for collective approach, shared.
- Wealth tax (say 2-3% per yr).
o Penalise those holding wealth in low productivity activities.
Improves economic growth and inequality.
- Make ‘fads’ (smoking/drinking/etc) pay for themselves.
- Pro-Rata benefits to disincentivize zero-hour economy.
- 40% of multinational companies shift profits into tax havens.
o In UK 50% of multinational subsidiaries report zero profit.
o America is worse.
- So tax not by where HQ or ‘based’, but by where operating profits gained.
o Ban the use of Copyright royalties by making it illegal to sell more than ‘x’ amount of product under value, outside of promotion (Sales in territory).
- IMF estimates $500-600B corporate tax lost each year.
o Developing countries hit hardest in relative terms.
- $8.7-36T, $200B lost each yr.