Excellent book detailing the Covid crisis of 2020/21. The authors draw comparisons with the Great Flu pandemic (Spanish influenza) of 1918/19 following WWI, in respect of the impacts on the economy, world order, co-operation etc. Specifically they draw attention to the poorly created Treaty of Versailles and the reparations forced on Germany. These were exacerbated by the Wall St crash of 1929 and the subsequent depression in the 30's, leading to the rapid growth of populist leaders and ultimately fascism in Germany, Spain, Italy and Japan and WWII. They describe that in 2020, we also suffered a huge pandemic against a background of increasing nationalism, populism, and a backlash against capitalism and globalisation post the 2008/9 financial crisis, as many are deemed 'left behind'. This has punctuated an erosion of the 'world order' created after WWII, it's institutions, and the concept of expertise. All these things made the management of covid much more difficult and much more ineffective. Kahl and Wright outline the failures, and weaknesses in the system and in leadership around the world, and in contrast to the 2008/9 financial crisis, a vacuum in cooperation. Whilst there were clear 'winners' against covid, it seems many countries refused to learn from them (especially those who had learned from Sars / Mers etc) preferring to 'go their own way', not least the populist leaders such as Trump, Bolsonarro, Duterte, Netenyahu, Modi and Johnson.
Whilst the detailed explanations and examples of the effective and mismanagement of covid were excellent, more could have been given in terms of the threats going forward. Indeed only a few pages were given to the 'Aftershocks' on the economy, massive debt, inflation, supply chains and employment. Likewise little was said about the Geo-political impacts of ever greater nationalism, isolation, and the growth of the authoritarians, China, Turkey, Eastern Europe, Russia, India etc
Clearly we are at a very dangerous point, given the vacuum in leadership and effective co-operation across the world as we grapple with de-gobalisation, reducing democracy, crumbling institutions, vast inequality, and a reversal of improving living standards. This at a time when we face some of the greatest challenges, not least conflict in Ukraine, the dangers for Taiwan, potential future pandemics, a commodity crisis, financial volatility, and not least the transition to a no-carbon environment.
The future does not look good, and covid has shown how weak and ineffective so many leaders and governments can be in this new world of disorder!